Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 12 2026

Monday, November 30, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium

Prediction: Buccaneers 24, Panthers 21 (market-implied). The market gives the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 64% chance to win. · Updated

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Panthers20.5win 36%
Market-implied score
Buccaneers24.0win 64%
SpreadTB -3.5
Total44.5
Moneyline+164 / -198
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Panthers vs Buccaneers prediction

The market makes Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 3.5-point favorite over Carolina Panthers, with the game total at 44.5.

Moneylines sit at +164 for Carolina Panthers and -198 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a devigged 64% win probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.5 for Carolina Panthers and 24 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The spread has moved from TB -4 to TB -3.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 43.75 to 44.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Carolina Panthers — Bryce Young (QB) at 232 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Chuba Hubbard (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards; Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 197 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 88 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Monday, November 30, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET, at Raymond James Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Panthers at Buccaneers — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadTB -3.5 (open TB -4)
Total44.5 (open 43.75)
Moneyline (CAR / TB)+164 / -198
TB implied win probability64%
Implied team totals (CAR — TB)20.5 — 24.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Panthers and Buccaneers this season

Games before Week 12. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Carolina Panthers3-53-54-424.927.48
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3-64-55-422.419.88

Panthers' last 3 games: L 21-26 vs DEN · L 19-27 @ GB · L 13-43 vs TB.

Buccaneers' last 3 games: L 24-27 @ CHI · W 16-0 vs ATL · W 43-13 @ CAR.

Player projections

Carolina Panthers · 20.5 market-implied pts
Bryce Young (QB) — 232 pass yds · 11 rush yds
Chuba Hubbard (RB) — 63 rush yds · 22 rec yds
Tetairoa McMillan (WR) — 64 rec yds · 5.0 rec
Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 24.0 market-implied pts
Baker Mayfield (QB) — 197 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Bucky Irving (RB) — 88 rush yds · 16 rec yds
Emeka Egbuka (WR) — 2 rush yds · 56 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Panthers @ Buccaneers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 12 games

← Week 11 · Week 13 → · Full 2026 schedule

Panthers 2026 schedule

Buccaneers 2026 schedule