Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Raymond James Stadium
The market makes Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 8-point favourite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 41.5.
Moneylines sit at +320 for Cleveland Browns and -425 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a devigged 77% win probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 16.8 for Cleveland Browns and 24.8 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The spread has moved from -6.5 to -8 since it opened.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 223 passing yards and 25 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 47 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards; Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 201 passing yards and 18 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Raymond James Stadium.
Final: Cleveland Browns won 23-19 (away, over).
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
ATS: away. Total: over.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | TB -8 (open -6.5) |
| Total | 41.5 |
| Moneyline (CLE / TB) | +320 / -425 |
| TB implied win probability | 77% |
| Implied team totals (CLE — TB) | 16.8 — 24.8 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.