Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Baltimore Ravens — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 14 2026

Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · M&T Bank Stadium

Prediction: Ravens 27, Buccaneers 21 (market-implied). The market gives the Baltimore Ravens a 69% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Buccaneers @ Ravens, on one screen.

Buccaneers21.3win 31%
Market-implied score
Ravens27.3win 69%
SpreadBAL -6
Total48.5
Moneyline+210 / -258
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Buccaneers vs Ravens prediction

The market makes Baltimore Ravens a 6-point favorite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 48.5.

Moneylines sit at +210 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and -258 for Baltimore Ravens, a devigged 69% win probability for Baltimore Ravens; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.3 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 27.3 for Baltimore Ravens.

The total has moved from 47.75 to 48.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 191 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 75 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards; Baltimore Ravens — Joe Fagnano (QB) at 210 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 75 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore Ravens take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Buccaneers at Ravens — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadBAL -6 (open BAL -5.75)
Total48.5 (open 47.75)
Moneyline (TB / BAL)+210 / -258
BAL implied win probability69%
Implied team totals (TB — BAL)21.3 — 27.3

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Buccaneers and Ravens this season

Games before Week 14. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3-64-55-422.419.87
Baltimore Ravens4-52-75-421.026.214

Buccaneers' last 3 games: L 24-27 @ CHI · W 16-0 vs ATL · W 43-13 @ CAR.

Ravens' last 3 games: L 10-33 vs JAX · L 10-36 @ BUF · L 13-35 vs CIN.

Player projections

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 21.3 market-implied pts
Baker Mayfield (QB) — 191 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Bucky Irving (RB) — 75 rush yds · 17 rec yds
Emeka Egbuka (WR) — 2 rush yds · 53 rec yds
Baltimore Ravens · 27.3 market-implied pts
Joe Fagnano (QB) — 210 pass yds · 13 rush yds
Derrick Henry (RB) — 75 rush yds · 10 rec yds
Zay Flowers (WR) — 3 rush yds · 71 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Buccaneers @ Ravens, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Buccaneers @ Ravens matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 14 games

← Week 13 · Week 15 → · Full 2026 schedule

Buccaneers 2026 schedule

Ravens 2026 schedule