UT Arlington Mavericks vs Portland Pilots basketball final score
Fri, Nov 6 · 9:30 PM ET · Stan Sheriff Center, Honolulu, HI (neutral site)
Rainbow ClassicNeutral siteNon-conferenceStan Sheriff Center, Honolulu, HI
UT Arlington
2025-26: 18-14 · 10-10 conf
Efficiency #168
vs
Portland
2025-26: 15-19 · 8-13 conf
Efficiency #247
Final
8985
Final score
Projected 75.1 – 74.9
UTA win 51%PORT win 49%
MarketClose
Spread
PORT −2.0
open PORT −1.5
Total
150.0
open 150.0
Our line
UTA −0.3
as of Fri, Nov 6 · 9:27 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Portlandrated 3.0 below average
−3.0
UT Arlingtonrated 2.7 below average
+2.7
Our line
UTA −0.3
◂ UT Arlington sidePortland side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Portland. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Portland is the faster team (69.7, #105 of 365) and UT Arlington the slower (66.5, #272). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.7
per team, 40 min
Market total
150.0
Market close · open 150.0
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.9#294
UT Arlington
71.3#127
Portland
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
UTA −0.3
Four factors +2.7 · not in these stats −2.4
From the four factors
Portland has the ball−2.5
UT Arlington has the ball+0.2
Portland has the ball
✗Few second chancesOR% 28.1% #266 · UTA allows 30.1% #166−1.3
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 51.2% #188 · UTA allows 47.4% #29−1.0
✗Coughs it upTO% 19.7% #342 · UTA forces 18.0% #94 · ~13 turnovers−0.6
✓Gets to the lineFTR 34.4% #197 · UTA allows 40.9% #311 · FT 74.0% #131+0.4
UT Arlington has the ball
✓Wins second chancesOR% 34.9% #50 · PORT allows 32.5% #281+1.2
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 47.2% #332 · PORT allows 52.7% #255−0.6
✗Coughs it upTO% 20.7% #354 · PORT forces 17.0% #151 · ~13 turnovers−0.5
✓Gets to the lineFTR 42.5% #24 · PORT allows 32.6% #118 · FT 72.3% #195+0.2
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersUT Arlingtonoffense vsPortlanddefense
Share of shots by zone
UT Arlington shoots
48.2
6.8
14.0
30.9
Portland allows
35.3
5.5
13.9
45.3
D-I average
38.3
7.7
12.9
41.2
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.5%#329 | 59.2%#200 | 58.9% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.5%#279 | 29.5%#14 | 36.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.9%#190 | 37.2%#136 | 36.2% |
| Three | 29.1%#352 | 36.1%#308 | 32.1% |
Portlandoffense vsUT Arlingtondefense
Share of shots by zone
Portland shoots
41.7
8.2
15.3
34.8
UT Arlington allows
39.0
6.9
21.7
32.4
D-I average
38.3
7.7
12.9
41.2
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.9%#53 | 57.2%#123 | 58.9% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.3%#74 | 45.0%#296 | 36.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.4%#208 | 39.5%#219 | 36.2% |
| Three | 29.9%#344 | 26.9%#1 | 32.1% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersUT Arlington
+0.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#169 of 365
Off reb %
34.9%
#50
Def reb %
69.9%
#166
Turnover %
20.7%
#354
Forced TO %
18.0%
#94
FT rate
42.5%
#24
FT allowed
40.9%
#311
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.4
Defensive rebounding+0.2
Ball security−2.7
Forcing turnovers+0.9
Foul shots drawn+1.9
Foul shots allowed−1.4
Portland
−2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#290 of 365
Off reb %
28.1%
#266
Def reb %
67.5%
#281
Turnover %
19.7%
#342
Forced TO %
17.0%
#151
FT rate
34.4%
#197
FT allowed
32.6%
#118
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.7
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−2.0
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.7
UT Arlington has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.3 (#169 of 365) to Portland’s −2.6 (#290).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
UT Arlington2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | G | Sr | 6'2" | 4-4 | 32.3 | 12.3 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 47.7% | 12.5% | 2.0 | 80.0% | 21.0% | |
| 2 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 4-4 | 30.3 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 32.3% | 7.8 | 83.3% | 19.5% | |
| 4 | G | So | 6'2" | 3-3 | 31.3 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 46.8% | 33.3% | 7.0 | 20.0% | 20.9% | |
| 15 | F | Jr | 7'1" | 4-0 | 21.0 | 14.8 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 52.1% | 41.7% | 3.0 | 90.9% | 37.9% | |
| 8 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 4-0 | 19.8 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 70.0% | — | 0.0 | 62.5% | 15.8% | |
| 11 | F | So | 6'10" | 4-4 | 19.5 | 12.8 | 7.3 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 54.9% | 14.3% | 1.8 | 37.5% | 41.3% | |
| 5 | F | Jr | 7'0" | 4-4 | 18.8 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 54.8% | 100.0% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 21.8% | |
| 7 | G | Jr | 6'5" | 4-1 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 53.7% | 30.0% | 2.5 | 100.0% | 22.1% | |
| 0 | F | Fr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 18.7 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 71.1% | 58.3% | 4.0 | — | 18.9% | |
| 10 | G | Fr | 6'0" | 2-0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 42.9% | 33.3% | 3.0 | — | 24.7% | |
| 16 | G | Fr | 6'0" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 1 | G | Fr | 6'3" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameUT Arlington
Against the spread
Season
17-13
Home
7-4
Road
8-8
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −0.7
Covered 4 straightCovered 3 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
7-23
Home
3-8
Road
4-12
Last 10
1-9
avg vs total −9.2
Under 7 straightOver in 0 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | UNT Dallas Trailblazers | H | W 89–56 | — | — | — | — | 117.1 | 73.7 | 76.0 |
| Mar 13 | Utah Valley | N | L 65–67 | +8.0 | W+6.0 | 136.0 | U132 | 104.2 | 107.4 | 62.4 |
| Mar 12 | Southern Utah | N | W 69–63 | −5.0 | W+1.0 | 141.5 | U132 | 96.7 | 88.3 | 71.3 |
| Mar 7 | Abilene Chrstn | A | W 64–57 | +1.0 | W+8.0 | 133.0 | U121 | 97.8 | 87.1 | 65.4 |
| Mar 5 | Tarleton St | A | W 65–60 | +1.0 | W+6.0 | 136.0 | U125 | 107.4 | 99.2 | 60.5 |
| Feb 26 | CA Baptist | A | L 56–68 | +6.5 | L−5.5 | 134.5 | U124 | 89.0 | 108.1 | 62.9 |
| Feb 21 | Utah Valley | H | L 54–66 | +5.5 | L−6.5 | 137.5 | U120 | 81.0 | 99.0 | 66.6 |
| Feb 19 | Utah Tech | H | W 63–50 | −4.5 | W+8.5 | 140.5 | U113 | 103.0 | 81.7 | 61.2 |
| Feb 14 | Southern Utah | H | L 73–78 | −8.5 | L−13.5 | 144.5 | O151 | 104.5 | 111.7 | 69.8 |
| Feb 12 | Abilene Chrstn | A | L 63–67 | +1.5 | L−2.5 | 135.0 | U130 | 93.7 | 99.7 | 67.2 |
Portland
Against the spread
Season
15-17
Home
11-5
Road
2-11
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +0.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
14-18
Home
10-6
Road
3-10
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −3.8
Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Willamette Bearcats | H | W 133–89 | — | — | — | — | 137.2 | 89.8 | 96.9 |
| Mar 7 | San Francisco | N | L 65–82 | +7.0 | L−10.0 | 144.5 | O147 | 97.0 | 122.3 | 67.0 |
| Mar 6 | Washington St | N | W 74–68 | +5.5 | W+11.5 | 150.0 | U142 | 106.3 | 97.7 | 69.6 |
| Mar 5 | Pepperdine | N | W 77–68 | −3.5 | W+5.5 | 154.0 | U145 | 111.2 | 98.2 | 69.3 |
| Feb 28 | San Diego | H | W 87–74 | −3.5 | W+9.5 | 148.5 | O161 | 125.8 | 107.0 | 69.2 |
| Feb 25 | #9Gonzaga | A | L 48–89 | +27.0 | L−14.0 | 150.0 | U137 | 71.2 | 131.9 | 67.5 |
| Feb 21 | Seattle U | A | L 59–71 | +6.5 | L−5.5 | 140.0 | U130 | 86.0 | 103.5 | 68.6 |
| Feb 18 | Pepperdine | H | L 87–95 | −7.0 | L−15.0 | 151.0 | O182 | 124.8 | 136.2 | 69.7 |
| Feb 11 | San Diego | A | L 58–71 | +2.5 | L−10.5 | 151.5 | U129 | 91.0 | 111.4 | 63.7 |
| Feb 7 | Seattle U | H | W 54–53 | +3.5 | W+4.5 | 143.0 | U107 | 86.5 | 84.9 | 62.5 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeUT ArlingtonPortland
Efficiency
100.7
101.8
100.5
106.7
68.9
71.3
Shooting
47.2%
51.2%
48.8%
54.7%
29.1%
29.9%
72.3%
74.0%
42.5%
34.4%
Ball control & glass
20.7%
19.7%
18.0%
17.0%
34.9%
28.1%
30.1%
32.5%
11.0%
10.7%
9.5%
6.4%
Style
30.7%
35.4%
49.5%
49.2%
15.1%
10.6%
46.4%
61.6%
38.6%
31.8%
Roster
3.64
3.06
6'9"
6'6.6"
6.1%
25.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputUT Arlington
Returning minutes: 6.1%Returning production: 4.0%
Lost
- Raysean Seamster 29.7 mpg, 12.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Marcell McCreary 29.3 mpg, 12.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Cash Chavis 27.1 mpg, 10.5 ppg · transferred to North Texas
- Bahsil Laster 19.3 mpg, 7.3 ppg · transferred to Norfolk St
- Marcus Rigsby Jr. 17.2 mpg, 4.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tyran Mason 16.9 mpg, 6.5 ppg · transferred to ETSU
Added
- Tycen McDaniels from Alcorn St · 27.3 mpg, 12.0 ppg last season
- Mier Panoam from Xavier · 1.2 mpg, 0.2 ppg last season
- Niko Bundalo from Ole Miss · 1.0 mpg, 0.2 ppg last season
- Noah Shelby from Texas A&M · 0.6 mpg, 0.3 ppg last season
- Bryson McGlothin from Richmond · 0.4 mpg, 0.1 ppg last season
- Jerimiyah Smith no D1 minutes last season
Returns 6% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Portland
Returning minutes: 25.7%Returning production: 30.0%
Lost
- Joel Foxwell 35.7 mpg, 15.6 ppg · transferred to Arizona St
- Garrett Nuckolls 25.9 mpg, 6.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Cameron Williams 21.8 mpg, 9.7 ppg · transferred to Kent State
- Mikah Ballew 21.5 mpg, 8.0 ppg · transferred to CSU Northridge
- Jermaine Ballisager Webb 19.8 mpg, 8.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Matus Hronsky 16.7 mpg, 5.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jaxon Olvera from Louisiana · 29.2 mpg, 13.7 ppg last season
- Kaia Isaac from Tarleton St · 25.3 mpg, 5.6 ppg last season
- Hunter Adam from Davidson · 15.2 mpg, 5.5 ppg last season
- Vito Perkovic from East Carolina · 4.1 mpg, 1.4 ppg last season
- Marchelo Moreira no D1 minutes last season
- Omer Sukur no D1 minutes last season
Returns 26% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -1.5→-2.5-110 | 150.5o-110 u-110 | -130 | +110 |
| FanDuel | -1.5-106 | 150.5o-108 u-112 | -126 | +105 |
| BetMGM | -1.5→-2.5-115 | 150.5o-110 u-110 | -135 | +110 |
| BetRivers | +0.5→-1.5-115 | 151.5→150.5o-115 u-108 | -125 | +100 |
| Caesars | -1.5→-2-110 | 150.5o-110 u-110 | -130 | +110 |
| Fanatics | -1→-2.5-115 | 150→150.5o-110 u-110 | -140 | +115 |
| BetOnline | -1.5-105 | 149→150.5o-110 u-110 | -144 | +124 |
| Bovada | -1.5→-2-105 | 150→150.5o-110 u-110 | -135 | +115 |
| theScore Bet | -1.5→-2.5-110 | 150.5o-110 u-110 | -130 | +110 |
| Hard Rock | -1.5-115 | 151.5→150.5o-115 u-105 | -125 | +100 |
| Kalshi | -1.5+108 | 150.5o+104 u-108 | -133 | +127 |
| Polymarket | -1.5+108 | 150.5o+100 u-104 | -133 | +127 |
| Novig | -1.5→-2.5-106 | 146.5→150.5o+102 u-108 | -133 | +127 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Fri, Nov 6
- UMass vs Boston College · 4:00 PM ET
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- Valparaiso at Purdue · 6:30 PM ET
- Presbyterian at Georgia · 7:00 PM ET
- E Michigan at Xavier · 7:00 PM ET
- Troy at Florida St · 7:00 PM ET
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- Boston U at Brown · 7:00 PM ET
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- Wofford at North Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
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- ETSU at NC State · 7:00 PM ET
- Coppin St at George Mason · 7:00 PM ET
- GA Southern at Georgia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
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- Holy Cross at Villanova · 7:00 PM ET
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- James Madison at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
- New Haven at Rutgers · 7:00 PM ET
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- Detroit Mercy at Marquette · 8:00 PM ET
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- St Thomas at Minnesota · 8:00 PM ET
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- UConn vs Michigan · 8:00 PM ET
- Stony Brook at Northwestern · 8:00 PM ET
- N Kentucky at Texas A&M · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas Southern at LSU · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas A&M-CC at Louisiana · 8:00 PM ET
- Robert Morris at UIC · 8:00 PM ET
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- Idaho at Colorado St · 9:00 PM ET
- S Illinois at Kansas City · 9:15 PM ET
- Tarleton St at San Diego · 9:30 PM ET
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- N Dakota St at San Francisco · 10:00 PM ET
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- North Florida at UCLA · 10:30 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.