Valparaiso Beacons vs Purdue Boilermakers basketball final score
Fri, Nov 6 · 6:30 PM ET · Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN
Non-conferenceBTNMackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN
Valparaiso
1-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #156
@
Purdue
0-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #17
Final (2OT)
8380
Final score
Projected 59.8 – 86.7
VAL win 1%PUR win 99%
MarketClose
Spread
PUR −19.5
open PUR −17.5
Total
144.0
open 146.5
Our line
PUR −26.9
as of Fri, Nov 6 · 6:21 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Purduerated 19.8 above average
+19.8
Valparaisorated 2.4 below average
+2.4
Home court
+4.7
Our line
PUR −26.9
◂ Valparaiso sidePurdue side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Purdue. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Valparaiso is the faster team (69.2, #200 of 365) and Purdue the slower (68.6, #211). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.0
per team, 40 min
Market total
144.0
Market close · open 146.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.3#277
Valparaiso
68.3#329
Purdue
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
PUR −26.9
Four factors −15.1 · not in these stats +42.0
From the four factors
Purdue has the ball−7.2
Valparaiso has the ball+7.8
Purdue has the ball
✗Few second chancesOR% 22.6% #261 · VAL allows 22.9% #47−4.2
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 51.8% #136 · VAL allows 43.1% #69−2.7
✗Coughs it upTO% 14.6% #76 · VAL forces 23.1% #57 · ~13 turnovers−0.8
✓Gets to the lineFTR 38.2% #129 · VAL allows 45.1% #229 · FT 71.4% #120+0.6
Valparaiso has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 13.0% #41 · PUR forces 14.6% #237 · ~9 turnovers+4.4
✓Gets to the lineFTR 86.0% #2 · PUR allows 64.2% #290 · FT 65.1% #192+3.1
✓Shoots it welleFG% 52.0% #132 · PUR allows 49.1% #130+0.3
✓Wins second chancesOR% 33.3% #110 · PUR allows 29.4% #126+0.1
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootValparaisooffense vsPurduedefense
Share of shots by zone
Valparaiso shoots
44.7
10.5
2.6
42.1
Purdue allows
37.7
13.2
18.9
30.2
D-I average
38.3
7.7
12.9
41.2
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.8%#156 | 70.0%#246 | 58.9% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 25.0%#184 | 14.3%#62 | 36.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 100.0%#1 | 20.0%#65 | 36.2% |
| Three | 25.0%#225 | 37.5%#223 | 32.1% |
Purdueoffense vsValparaisodefense
Share of shots by zone
Purdue shoots
20.0
14.5
27.3
38.2
Valparaiso allows
35.1
16.2
21.6
27.0
D-I average
38.3
7.7
12.9
41.2
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 63.6%#118 | 46.2%#58 | 58.9% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 50.0%#60 | 33.3%#121 | 36.0% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 66.7%#23 | 12.5%#44 | 36.2% |
| Three | 23.8%#243 | 28.6%#110 | 32.1% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineValparaiso
+21.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#10 of 365
Off reb %
33.3%
#110
Def reb %
77.1%
#47
Turnover %
13.0%
#41
Forced TO %
23.1%
#57
FT rate
86.0%
#2
FT allowed
45.1%
#229
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding+2.9
Ball security+3.9
Forcing turnovers+3.3
Foul shots drawn+12.6
Foul shots allowed−2.0
Purdue
−9.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#244 of 365
Off reb %
22.6%
#261
Def reb %
70.6%
#126
Turnover %
14.6%
#76
Forced TO %
14.6%
#237
FT rate
38.2%
#129
FT allowed
64.2%
#290
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−3.1
Defensive rebounding+0.7
Ball security+2.8
Forcing turnovers−2.8
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed−7.0
Valparaiso has more extra scoring chances per game: +21.3 (#10 of 365) to Purdue’s −9.1 (#244).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Valparaiso2026-27 numbers through Fri, Nov 6
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | G | So | 6'3" | 2-2 | 32.5 | 22.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 67.2% | 41.7% | 6.0 | 60.0% | 34.1% | |
| 1 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 2-2 | 31.5 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 16.7% | 3.0 | 55.6% | 20.1% | |
| 7 | F | So | 6'8" | 2-2 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 2.0 | 61.5% | 32.7% | |
| 4 | G | Jr | 6'6" | 2-2 | 25.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 44.4% | 28.6% | 3.5 | 66.7% | 12.7% | |
| 13 | F | So | 6'11" | 2-2 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 0.0% | 20.2% | |
| 44 | G | So | 6'4" | 2-0 | 24.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 7.5% | |
| 23 | G | So | 6'6" | 2-0 | 18.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 40.0% | 33.3% | 3.0 | 100.0% | 23.0% | |
| 0 | G | Fr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 17.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 63.6% | 32.4% | |
| 12 | C | Jr | 7'0" | 2-0 | 13.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 50.0% | 21.6% | |
| 14 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 2-0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 5.4% | |
| 15 | F | Fr | 6'9" | 1-0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 36.2% | |
| 5 | G | So | 6'3" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 32 | G | Jr | 6'0" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameValparaiso
Against the spread
Season
1-0
Home
1-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-0
avg cover +3.5
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −1.0
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | W Illinois | H | W 80–58 | −18.5 | W+3.5 | 139.0 | U138 | 115.6 | 83.8 | 69.2 |
| Mar 6 | Bradley | N | L 84–90 2OT | +5.0 | L−1.0 | 138.5 | O174 | 95.8 | 102.6 | 87.7 |
| Mar 5 | Indiana St | N | W 63–62 | −2.5 | L−1.5 | 142.0 | U125 | 105.6 | 103.9 | 59.7 |
| Feb 28 | Evansville | A | L 79–80 | −5.0 | L−6.0 | 138.0 | O159 | 116.4 | 117.9 | 67.9 |
| Feb 25 | Drake | H | W 74–71 | −3.0 | P0.0 | 147.5 | U145 | 116.3 | 111.6 | 63.6 |
| Feb 21 | UIC | A | W 71–67 | +7.0 | W+11.0 | 138.5 | U138 | 110.6 | 104.3 | 64.2 |
| Feb 18 | Bradley | H | W 79–72 | +2.5 | W+9.5 | 142.5 | O151 | 119.0 | 108.5 | 66.4 |
| Feb 15 | Indiana St | H | W 76–75 | −5.0 | L−4.0 | 145.0 | O151 | 124.4 | 122.8 | 61.1 |
| Feb 12 | Illinois St | A | L 64–86 | +9.0 | L−13.0 | 138.5 | O150 | 93.6 | 125.8 | 68.4 |
| Feb 9 | Drake | A | W 81–76 | +3.5 | W+8.5 | 144.5 | O157 | 121.4 | 113.9 | 66.7 |
Purdue
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −1.0
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −3.5
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | #15Gonzaga | N | L 72–78 | +5.0 | L−1.0 | 153.5 | U150 | 105.0 | 113.8 | 68.6 |
| Mar 28 | #1Arizona | N | L 64–79 | +5.0 | L−10.0 | 152.5 | U143 | 98.0 | 121.0 | 65.3 |
| Mar 26 | #11Texas | N | W 79–77 | −8.5 | L−6.5 | 146.5 | O156 | 129.9 | 126.6 | 60.8 |
| Mar 22 | #7Miami | N | W 79–69 | −8.0 | W+2.0 | 146.5 | O148 | 120.4 | 105.2 | 65.6 |
| Mar 20 | #15Queens | N | W 104–71 | −25.5 | W+7.5 | 159.5 | O175 | 154.0 | 105.1 | 67.5 |
| Mar 15 | #3Michigan | N | W 80–72 | +5.5 | W+13.5 | 149.5 | O152 | 127.7 | 114.9 | 62.7 |
| Mar 14 | UCLA | N | W 73–66 | −7.0 | P0.0 | 145.0 | U139 | 122.4 | 110.7 | 59.6 |
| Mar 13 | #11Nebraska | N | W 74–58 | −4.5 | W+11.5 | 146.0 | U132 | 122.4 | 95.9 | 60.5 |
| Mar 12 | Northwestern | N | W 81–68 | −13.5 | L−0.5 | 140.0 | O149 | 136.3 | 114.4 | 59.4 |
| Mar 7 | Wisconsin | H | L 93–97 | −9.5 | L−13.5 | 154.0 | O190 | 141.5 | 147.6 | 65.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeValparaisoPurdue
Efficiency
104.3
119.1
103.2
101.1
69.3
68.3
-18.8
20.5
Shooting
52.0%
51.8%
58.8%
61.8%
25.0%
23.8%
65.1%
71.4%
86.0%
38.2%
Ball control & glass
13.0%
14.6%
23.1%
14.6%
33.3%
22.6%
22.9%
29.4%
7.2%
5.8%
5.9%
2.9%
Style
32.0%
38.2%
45.0%
38.9%
11.3%
8.3%
45.8%
65.4%
45.0%
27.1%
Roster
2.06
2.68
6'5.9"
6'6"
47.4%
40.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputValparaiso
Returning minutes: 47.4%Returning production: 50.3%
Lost
- Owen Dease 26.9 mpg, 12.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Shon Tupuola 24.6 mpg, 6.4 ppg · transferred to Murray St
- Brody Whitaker 24.4 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Isaiah Barnes 11.7 mpg, 3.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Mark Brown Jr. 9.4 mpg, 2.0 ppg · transferred to Utah Tech
- Tucker Tornatta 7.2 mpg, 2.6 ppg · transferred to Bellarmine
Added
- Bruno Alocen from Indiana St · 21.3 mpg, 6.3 ppg last season
- Kai Yu from Bradley · 7.1 mpg, 2.3 ppg last season
- Hudson Scroggins no D1 minutes last season
- George Richardson no D1 minutes last season
- Dylan Moles no D1 minutes last season
- Terron Garrett no D1 minutes last season
Returns 47% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
Purdue
Returning minutes: 41.2%Returning production: 31.7%
Lost
- Braden Smith 34.5 mpg, 14.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Fletcher Loyer 29.3 mpg, 14.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Trey Kaufman-Renn 26.7 mpg, 13.4 ppg · transferred to Kansas
- Oscar Cluff 24.7 mpg, 10.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Liam Murphy 2.3 mpg, 0.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Aaron Fine 0.6 mpg, 0.3 ppg · transferred to Ball State
Added
- Caden Pierce no D1 minutes last season
- Luke Ertel no D1 minutes last season
- Jacob Webber no D1 minutes last season
- Sinan Huan no D1 minutes last season
- Rivers Knight no D1 minutes last season
- Antione West Jr no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 41% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -19.5-108 | 146.5→144.5o-105 u-115 | -3200 | +1400 |
| FanDuel | -18.5→-19.5-110 | 146.5→143.5o-110 u-110 | -4500 | +1600 |
| BetMGM | -19.5-110 | 146.5→143.5o-115 u-105 | -3000 | +1300 |
| BetRivers | -18.5-117 | 146.5→144.5o-112 u-112 | — | +1300 |
| Caesars | -18.5→-19.5-110 | 146.5→144o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -18.5→-19.5-110 | 146.5→144o-110 u-110 | -4000 | +1800 |
| BetOnline | -17.5→-19.5-110 | 146.5→144o-110 u-110 | -3500 | +1356 |
| Bovada | -19→-19.5-115 | 147→144o-110 u-110 | — | +1325 |
| theScore Bet | -17.5→-19.5-105 | 146.5→144.5o-105 u-115 | — | +1500 |
| Hard Rock | -18.5-115 | 146.5→144.5o-110 u-110 | — | +1300 |
| Kalshi | -19.5+100 | 146.5→144.5o+108 u-113 | -2400 | +1900 |
| Polymarket | -18.5→-19.5+104 | 146.5→143.5o-104 u+100 | -2400 | +2028 |
| Novig | -19.5+100 | 143.5o-102 u-102 | -2122 | +1900 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Fri, Nov 6
- UMass vs Boston College · 4:00 PM ET
- AR-Pine Bluff at Baylor · 5:00 PM ET
- Northeastern at Virginia · 5:00 PM ET
- West Florida at FIU · 5:00 PM ET
- E Washington at Oregon · 6:00 PM ET
- Youngstown St at Ohio State · 6:30 PM ET
- SC State at SC Upstate · 6:30 PM ET
- Presbyterian at Georgia · 7:00 PM ET
- E Michigan at Xavier · 7:00 PM ET
- Troy at Florida St · 7:00 PM ET
- Indiana St at Ball State · 7:00 PM ET
- Saint Louis vs Missouri · 7:00 PM ET
- Boston U at Brown · 7:00 PM ET
- American at Clemson · 7:00 PM ET
- Wofford at North Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
- Austin Peay at Kennesaw St · 7:00 PM ET
- ETSU at NC State · 7:00 PM ET
- Coppin St at George Mason · 7:00 PM ET
- GA Southern at Georgia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Loyola MD at Mount St Marys · 7:00 PM ET
- UNC Greensboro at Elon · 7:00 PM ET
- Holy Cross at Villanova · 7:00 PM ET
- Yale at UCF · 7:00 PM ET
- Stetson at West Virginia · 7:00 PM ET
- James Madison at Kentucky · 7:00 PM ET
- New Haven at Rutgers · 7:00 PM ET
- Arkansas St at Alabama · 7:30 PM ET
- Nicholls at UAB · 7:30 PM ET
- Delaware at Wisconsin · 7:30 PM ET
- FAU at Wright St · 7:30 PM ET
- Miss Valley St at Oklahoma · 8:00 PM ET
- Detroit Mercy at Marquette · 8:00 PM ET
- Southern Miss at Iowa State · 8:00 PM ET
- St Thomas at Minnesota · 8:00 PM ET
- Southern at TCU · 8:00 PM ET
- UConn vs Michigan · 8:00 PM ET
- Stony Brook at Northwestern · 8:00 PM ET
- N Kentucky at Texas A&M · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas Southern at LSU · 8:00 PM ET
- Texas A&M-CC at Louisiana · 8:00 PM ET
- Robert Morris at UIC · 8:00 PM ET
- C Arkansas at Ole Miss · 8:30 PM ET
- E Illinois at Iowa · 8:30 PM ET
- Idaho St at Wyoming · 8:30 PM ET
- MTSU at Kansas · 9:00 PM ET
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- N Colorado at Arizona St · 9:00 PM ET
- Omaha at BYU · 9:00 PM ET
- Idaho at Colorado St · 9:00 PM ET
- S Illinois at Kansas City · 9:15 PM ET
- Tarleton St at San Diego · 9:30 PM ET
- CA Baptist at Oregon St · 9:30 PM ET
- UT Arlington vs Portland · 9:30 PM ET
- N Dakota St at San Francisco · 10:00 PM ET
- Oakland at Stanford · 10:00 PM ET
- North Florida at UCLA · 10:30 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.