CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferenceOcean Bank Convocation Center, Miami, FL

West Florida

Efficiency #352

Record unknown

FIU

Efficiency #200

2025-26: 15-17 · 8-13 conf

Fri, Nov 6 · TBD

69.8

win 12%

Projected

83.4

win 88%

No line posted yet.

Model: FIU −13.5 · total 153.2 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: FIU 71.0, West Florida 68.3 → 71.0 possessions

+5.8

FIU offense vs West Florida defense

+4.3

West Florida offense vs FIU defense

−5.1

Projected total

153.2

Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

FIU offense vs West Florida defense

+4.3

West Florida offense vs FIU defense

+5.1

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+4.1

FIU by 13.5

13.5

West Florida side ◂▸ FIU side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help FIU.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 71.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo.

Projected possessions

71.0

per team, 40 min

Projected total

153.2

model

Projected team totals

69.8 / 83.4

West Florida / FIU

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

68.3#183

West Florida

71.0#16

FIU

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

FIU

+2.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#91 of 365

Off reb %

33.9%

#69

Def reb %

65.2%

#335

Turnover %

17.7%

#254

Forced TO %

20.1%

#21

FT rate

38.6%

#87

FT allowed

35.9%

#209

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+1.1

Defensive rebounding−1.4

Ball security−0.6

Forcing turnovers+2.3

Foul shots drawn+0.9

Foul shots allowed−0.2

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

West Florida2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted West Florida's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	eFG%	3P%	FT%	Usage
—	Team	ATH	—	—	0-0	—	—	—	—
14	Brandon Burford	PG	So	6'2"	0-0	—	—	—	—
34	Conor Flanagan	G	So	6'8"	0-0	—	—	—	—
1	Darrin Jenkins	G	Sr	6'4"	0-0	—	—	—	—
11	David Petit-Homme	F	Jr	6'7"	0-0	—	—	—	—
42	Jackson Henningfield	G	Sr	6'9"	0-0	—	—	—	—
2	Kendall Bynum	PG	Fr	6'1"	0-0	—	—	—	—
3	LaTrell Tate	G	So	6'0"	0-0	—	—	—	—
5	Michael Maumbe	F	Fr	6'8"	0-0	—	—	—	—
10	Rodney Bryant	PG	Fr	6'0"	0-0	—	—	—	—
—	Rodney Bryant Jr	ATH	—	—	0-0	—	—	—	—
4	Wendell Matthews	F	Jr	6'6"	0-0	—	—	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

FIU2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
2	Zawdie Jackson	G	Sr	6'1"	31-31	29.1	12.1	2.5	3.1	1.4	50.8%	37.7%	2.5	86.9%	21.9%
9	Eric Dibami	F	Fr	6'10"	30-30	29.0	9.3	7.4	1.4	1.6	52.7%	0.0%	0.0	52.1%	19.9%
5	Hamed Olayinka	F	Jr	6'9"	32-32	23.7	10.0	6.7	0.9	1.5	55.0%	15.4%	0.4	54.5%	24.8%
10	Julian Mackey	G	Sr	6'2"	30-9	22.7	12.4	2.4	1.8	1.4	52.1%	36.4%	5.0	72.9%	30.2%
1	Brit Harris	G	Sr	6'5"	32-0	18.7	5.6	2.5	1.6	0.8	49.7%	31.5%	3.5	64.7%	18.4%
4	Ashton Williamson	G	So	6'3"	26-25	22.7	7.7	2.3	2.6	2.0	46.0%	31.6%	3.8	81.8%	24.2%
34	Ibrahim Olajuwon	F	Jr	6'10"	32-2	14.2	4.0	3.2	0.2	0.7	55.8%	0.0%	0.0	52.3%	16.6%
6	Thiago Sucatzky	G	Fr	5'10"	32-0	13.7	3.6	1.0	2.3	1.5	46.2%	44.0%	0.8	82.6%	20.5%
25	Kennedy Brown	F	Sr	6'8"	20-0	7.3	1.6	1.6	0.3	0.4	40.0%	0.0%	0.1	44.4%	16.9%
11	Amarion Nimmers	G	Jr	6'3"	5-0	8.4	1.6	0.4	0.6	0.0	18.2%	0.0%	1.6	57.1%	16.4%
15	Renato Ruiz	G	Sr	6'1"	6-0	4.5	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.2	75.0%	—	0.0	—	8.9%
23	Aydan Clinton	F	Fr	6'6"	2-0	3.0	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.0	100.0%	—	0.0	50.0%	15.2%
7	Gvidas Gicevicius	F	Jr	6'8"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
22	Jorge Santos	F	Sr	6'6"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
0	Michael Kelvin II	F	Sr	6'9"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

West Florida2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted West Florida's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	eFG%	3P%	FT%	Usage
—	Team	ATH	—	—	0-0	—	—	—	—
14	Brandon Burford	PG	So	6'2"	0-0	—	—	—	—
34	Conor Flanagan	G	So	6'8"	0-0	—	—	—	—
1	Darrin Jenkins	G	Sr	6'4"	0-0	—	—	—	—
11	David Petit-Homme	F	Jr	6'7"	0-0	—	—	—	—
42	Jackson Henningfield	G	Sr	6'9"	0-0	—	—	—	—
2	Kendall Bynum	PG	Fr	6'1"	0-0	—	—	—	—
3	LaTrell Tate	G	So	6'0"	0-0	—	—	—	—
5	Michael Maumbe	F	Fr	6'8"	0-0	—	—	—	—
10	Rodney Bryant	PG	Fr	6'0"	0-0	—	—	—	—
—	Rodney Bryant Jr	ATH	—	—	0-0	—	—	—	—
4	Wendell Matthews	F	Jr	6'6"	0-0	—	—	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

West Florida

No completed games yet.

FIU

Against the spread

Season

16-13

Home

9-6

Road

7-6

Last 10

4-6

avg cover +0.5

Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 7 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

15-14

Home

6-9

Road

9-4

Last 10

3-7

avg vs total −1.8

Under 3 straightOver in 3 of 7 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 10	Missouri StAdjEM #212	N	L 72–75	+1.0	L−2.0	152.5	U147	110.5	115.1	65.1
Mar 7	Western KYAdjEM #159	H	W 92–67	+1.0	W+26.0	160.0	U159	125.7	91.5	73.2
Mar 5	MTSUAdjEM #167	H	L 67–73	+1.0	L−5.0	153.5	U140	97.4	106.1	68.8
Feb 28	Louisiana TechAdjEM #211	A	W 84–76	+2.0	W+10.0	146.0	O160	120.7	109.2	69.6
Feb 26	Sam HoustonAdjEM #101	A	L 67–100	+6.0	L−27.0	162.0	O167	91.4	136.4	73.3
Feb 21	Missouri StAdjEM #212	H	W 70–67	−3.5	L−0.5	155.0	U137	104.2	99.7	67.2
Feb 19	LibertyAdjEM #103	A	L 89–90 OT	+10.5	W+9.5	153.5	O179	112.3	113.6	79.2
Feb 14	Louisiana TechAdjEM #211	H	W 77–64	−3.0	W+10.0	146.5	U141	113.9	94.7	67.6
Feb 12	DelawareAdjEM #302	H	L 66–68	−8.5	L−10.5	146.5	U134	98.9	101.9	66.8
Feb 7	Western KYAdjEM #159	A	L 70–80	+4.0	L−6.0	156.0	U150	102.8	117.5	68.1

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

West FloridaFIU

Efficiency

100.8

107.6

115.4

108.9

68.3

71.0

—

Shooting

—

50.6%

—

49.9%

—

34.7%

—

69.4%

—

38.6%

Ball control & glass

—

17.7%

—

20.1%

—

33.9%

—

34.8%

—

11.1%

—

8.4%

Style

—

32.7%

—

46.6%

—

16.0%

—

49.9%

—

32.6%

Roster

—

2.84

—

6'5"

—

85.1%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

West Florida

Returning minutes: —Returning production: —

ESPN hasn't posted West Florida's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

New to Division I this season -- no returning-minutes baseline.

FIU

Returning minutes: 85.1%Returning production: 81.4%

Lost

Corey Stephenson 30.2 mpg, 17.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet

Added

Jorge Santos no D1 minutes last season
Gvidas Gicevicius no D1 minutes last season
Michael Kelvin II no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 85% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.