CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceTucker Center, Tallahassee, FL
Troy
Efficiency #136
2025-26: 22-12 · 14-6 conf
@
Florida St
Efficiency #74
2025-26: 18-15 · 11-9 conf
Fri, Nov 6 · TBD
72.4
win 27%
Projected
79.7
win 73%
No line posted yet.
Model: FSU −7.2 · total 152.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Florida St 70.5, Troy 66.8 → 69.0 possessions
+1.4
Florida St offense vs Troy defense
+2.9
Troy offense vs Florida St defense
−0.4
Projected total
152.1
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Florida St offense vs Troy defense
+2.9
Troy offense vs Florida St defense
+0.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Florida St by 7.2
7.2
Troy side ◂▸ Florida St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +7.3 against +7.2. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Florida St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Florida St is the faster team (71.8, #27 of 365) and Troy the slower (67.0, #245). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
152.1
model
Projected team totals
72.4 / 79.7
Troy / Florida St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.8#303
Troy
70.5#26
Florida St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageTroy
Where Troy scores: the offensive glass
Troy rebounds 34.6% of its own misses (#58); Florida St lets opponents grab 34.1% of their own misses (#319). Expect about 35.1%, 4.7 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.9 points per 100 possessions.
ClashTroy
Style match: 3-point volume
Troy takes 45.9% of its shots from three; Florida St lets opponents take 44.9% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 48.1% — both habits push the same way.
TurnoversTroy
Troy turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.5% is worth roughly -2.1 points per 100 possessions against Troy's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Troy's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Troy at about 48.1% of its shots from three, Florida St about 48.1%.
Troy has the ball
OffenseFlorida St allowsvs D1 avg
51.5% #171
52.2% #226
+0.9 pt/100
17.3% #224
19.0% #52
-2.1 pt/100
34.6% #58
34.1% #319
+2.9 pt/100
36.2% #147
32.7% #122
-0.1 pt/100
74.2% #122
—
+0.2 pt/100
Troy net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.7 pts/100
Florida St has the ball
OffenseTroy allowsvs D1 avg
52.3% #132
50.2% #111
+0.1 pt/100
15.2% #83
16.7% #173
+1.1 pt/100
30.8% #170
31.7% #243
+0.6 pt/100
34.7% #191
31.4% #92
-0.3 pt/100
71.3% #231
—
-0.1 pt/100
Florida St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.4 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersTroyoffense vsFlorida Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Troy shoots
43.6
4.2
6.1
46.1
Florida St allows
32.9
5.7
15.5
45.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.3%#259 | 60.2%#236 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.5%#278 | 38.8%#154 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.3%#214 | 38.8%#194 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#229 | 34.6%#228 | 33.7% |
Florida Stoffense vsTroydefense
Share of shots by zone
Florida St shoots
35.5
6.0
8.4
50.1
Troy allows
39.7
4.0
17.8
38.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.5%#109 | 55.3%#68 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 48.1%#20 | 48.6%#346 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.7%#241 | 44.6%#344 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.1%#226 | 31.6%#47 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersTroy
+1.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#101 of 365
Off reb %
34.6%
#58
Def reb %
68.3%
#243
Turnover %
17.3%
#224
Forced TO %
16.7%
#173
FT rate
36.2%
#147
FT allowed
31.4%
#92
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.3
Defensive rebounding−0.4
Ball security−0.3
Forcing turnovers0.0
Foul shots drawn+0.3
Foul shots allowed+1.0
Florida St
+2.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#89 of 365
Off reb %
30.8%
#170
Def reb %
65.9%
#319
Turnover %
15.2%
#83
Forced TO %
19.0%
#52
FT rate
34.7%
#191
FT allowed
32.7%
#122
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.1
Defensive rebounding−1.1
Ball security+1.1
Forcing turnovers+1.6
Foul shots drawn−0.1
Foul shots allowed+0.6
Florida St has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.2 (#89 of 365) to Troy’s +1.9 (#101).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Troy2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cooper Campbell | G | So | 6'1" | 34-33 | 33.8 | 12.5 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 53.5% | 39.1% | 5.1 | 83.1% | 22.5% | |
| 11 | Victor Valdes | F | Jr | 6'7" | 33-29 | 29.2 | 14.8 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 44.8% | 24.4% | 3.8 | 76.1% | 35.3% | |
| 2 | Cobi Campbell | G | Jr | 6'2" | 33-31 | 27.9 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 55.3% | 40.0% | 5.3 | 81.3% | 18.7% | |
| 33 | Theo Seng | F | Sr | 6'9" | 28-26 | 28.6 | 12.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 57.1% | 32.5% | 2.9 | 76.8% | 23.3% | |
| 10 | Jerrell Bellamy | C | Sr | 6'9" | 34-8 | 16.6 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 66.1% | 28.6% | 0.6 | 61.5% | 25.8% | |
| 0 | Kerrington Kiel | F | So | 6'5" | 34-5 | 16.1 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 42.4% | 27.3% | 1.6 | 72.5% | 17.6% | |
| 95 | Austin Cross | G | Fr | 6'3" | 34-1 | 16.1 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 45.1% | 30.0% | 2.6 | 56.5% | 16.1% | |
| 5 | Javen Colbert | G | Fr | 6'1" | 19-1 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 51.9% | 41.7% | 0.6 | 66.7% | 23.0% | |
| 25 | Evan Griffin | F | Fr | 6'9" | 13-0 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 21.8% | |
| 22 | Corbin Green | F | Sr | 6'4" | 14-1 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 53.6% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 44.4% | 21.6% | |
| 4 | Emmanuel Clarton | G | Fr | 6'5" | 13-1 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 55.6% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 25.0% | 29.8% | |
| 14 | Kameryn Mitchell | G | Sr | 6'4" | 9-1 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 31.3% | 20.0% | 0.6 | — | 16.6% | |
| 30 | Hikaru Awata | G | Fr | 5'7" | 4-0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 33.3% | 87.3% | |
| 7 | Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow | G | Sr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Florida St2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kam Taylorat UNC Asheville | G | Jr | 6'7" | 32-30 | 34.7 | 18.9 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 49.6% | 28.1% | 4.3 | 70.1% | 34.2% | |
| 2 | Anthony Robinson IIat Missouri | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-19 | 27.0 | 8.9 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 48.3% | 31.4% | 3.2 | 67.0% | 21.9% | |
| 22 | Sebastian Rancikat Colorado | F | Jr | 6'11" | 29-26 | 28.0 | 12.3 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 48.0% | 33.1% | 4.1 | 86.0% | 25.8% | |
| 31 | Cooper Schwiegerat Wake Forest | F | Sr | 6'10" | 34-11 | 20.3 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 55.0% | 34.3% | 1.0 | 73.7% | 14.8% | |
| 19 | AJ Swinton | F | Jr | 6'6" | 26-1 | 15.8 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 53.6% | 32.8% | 2.2 | 56.5% | 16.6% | |
| 1 | Shon Abaevat Cincinnati | F | So | 6'8" | 24-12 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 41.9% | 25.7% | 4.2 | 64.9% | 30.6% | |
| 15 | Jalen Crawford | G | Jr | 6'0" | 6-0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 1.0 | — | 53.4% | |
| 7 | Jasen Lopez | G | So | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 00 | Amare Robinson | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 30 | Brandon Bass Jr. | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Collin Paul | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Elise Assui | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | JD Jones | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Marcis Ponder | C | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Martay Barnes | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Shon Abaev (from Cincinnati), Sebastian Rancik (from Colorado), Anthony Robinson II (from Missouri), Cooper Schwieger (from Wake Forest), Kam Taylor (from UNC Asheville)
Troy2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cooper Campbell | G | So | 6'1" | 34-33 | 33.8 | 12.5 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 53.5% | 39.1% | 5.1 | 83.1% | 22.5% | |
| 11 | Victor Valdes | F | Jr | 6'7" | 33-29 | 29.2 | 14.8 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 44.8% | 24.4% | 3.8 | 76.1% | 35.3% | |
| 2 | Cobi Campbell | G | Jr | 6'2" | 33-31 | 27.9 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 55.3% | 40.0% | 5.3 | 81.3% | 18.7% | |
| 33 | Theo Seng | F | Sr | 6'9" | 28-26 | 28.6 | 12.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 57.1% | 32.5% | 2.9 | 76.8% | 23.3% | |
| 10 | Jerrell Bellamy | C | Sr | 6'9" | 34-8 | 16.6 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 66.1% | 28.6% | 0.6 | 61.5% | 25.8% | |
| 0 | Kerrington Kiel | F | So | 6'5" | 34-5 | 16.1 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 42.4% | 27.3% | 1.6 | 72.5% | 17.6% | |
| 95 | Austin Cross | G | Fr | 6'3" | 34-1 | 16.1 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 45.1% | 30.0% | 2.6 | 56.5% | 16.1% | |
| 5 | Javen Colbert | G | Fr | 6'1" | 19-1 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 51.9% | 41.7% | 0.6 | 66.7% | 23.0% | |
| 25 | Evan Griffin | F | Fr | 6'9" | 13-0 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 21.8% | |
| 22 | Corbin Green | F | Sr | 6'4" | 14-1 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 53.6% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 44.4% | 21.6% | |
| 4 | Emmanuel Clarton | G | Fr | 6'5" | 13-1 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 55.6% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 25.0% | 29.8% | |
| 14 | Kameryn Mitchell | G | Sr | 6'4" | 9-1 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 31.3% | 20.0% | 0.6 | — | 16.6% | |
| 30 | Hikaru Awata | G | Fr | 5'7" | 4-0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 33.3% | 87.3% | |
| 7 | Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow | G | Sr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Troy
Against the spread
Season
15-14-3
Home
6-4-1
Road
7-7-2
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −4.0
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 8 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
14-17-1
Home
5-6
Road
8-7-1
Last 10
2-8
avg vs total −8.2
Under 2 straightOver in 2 of 8 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #4Nebraska | N | L 47–76 | +13.0 | L−16.0 | 139.5 | U123 | 77.4 | 125.1 | 60.8 |
| Mar 9 | GA Southern | N | W 77–61 | −5.0 | W+11.0 | 152.5 | U138 | 122.0 | 96.7 | 63.1 |
| Mar 8 | Southern Miss | N | W 78–70 | −5.5 | W+2.5 | 143.0 | O148 | 109.4 | 98.2 | 71.3 |
| Feb 27 | UL Monroe | H | W 80–65 | −18.0 | L−3.0 | 153.5 | U145 | 128.4 | 104.3 | 62.3 |
| Feb 24 | Louisiana | H | W 78–59 | −11.0 | W+8.0 | 134.5 | O137 | 136.6 | 103.3 | 57.1 |
| Feb 21 | South Alabama | A | L 54–65 | −2.5 | L−13.5 | 143.0 | U119 | 92.2 | 111.0 | 58.5 |
| Feb 18 | UL Monroe | A | W 77–76 | −17.0 | L−16.0 | 155.5 | U153 | 109.0 | 107.6 | 70.6 |
| Feb 14 | Southern Miss | A | L 65–69 | −5.0 | L−9.0 | 144.5 | U134 | 98.3 | 104.4 | 66.1 |
| Feb 11 | Texas St | A | L 62–74 | −5.0 | L−17.0 | 140.5 | U136 | 97.4 | 116.2 | 63.7 |
| Feb 7 | Akron | H | W 79–69 | +3.5 | W+13.5 | 157.0 | U148 | 123.2 | 107.6 | 64.1 |
Florida St
Against the spread
Season
18-14-1
Home
9-7-1
Road
7-4
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +6.7
Covered 3 straightCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
17-16
Home
8-9
Road
5-6
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +1.0
Over 4 straightOver in 4 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | #1Duke | N | L 79–80 | +17.0 | W+16.0 | 150.5 | O159 | 117.5 | 119.0 | 67.2 |
| Mar 11 | California | N | W 95–89 | −3.0 | W+3.0 | 155.0 | O184 | 136.3 | 127.7 | 69.7 |
| Mar 7 | SMU | H | W 91–78 | −1.0 | W+12.0 | 158.5 | O169 | 123.4 | 105.8 | 73.7 |
| Mar 4 | Pitt | A | W 75–74 | −1.5 | L−0.5 | 145.0 | O149 | 114.3 | 112.8 | 65.6 |
| Feb 28 | Georgia Tech | A | W 80–71 | −6.0 | W+3.0 | 159.5 | U151 | 123.7 | 109.8 | 64.7 |
| Feb 24 | Miami | H | L 73–83 | +2.0 | L−8.0 | 153.5 | O156 | 103.1 | 117.2 | 70.8 |
| Feb 21 | Clemson | A | W 70–65 | +8.5 | W+13.5 | 144.5 | U135 | 116.9 | 108.6 | 59.9 |
| Feb 17 | Boston College | H | W 80–72 | −12.0 | L−4.0 | 148.0 | O152 | 119.6 | 107.6 | 66.9 |
| Feb 14 | Virginia Tech | A | W 92–69 | +4.0 | W+27.0 | 156.5 | O161 | 142.4 | 106.8 | 64.6 |
| Feb 10 | #15Virginia | H | L 58–61 | +8.0 | W+5.0 | 154.0 | U119 | 85.1 | 89.5 | 68.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeTroyFlorida St
Efficiency
110.0
113.0
108.1
106.4
66.8
70.5
—
—
Shooting
51.5%
52.3%
53.2%
55.1%
33.0%
33.1%
74.2%
71.3%
36.2%
34.7%
Ball control & glass
17.3%
15.2%
16.7%
19.0%
34.6%
30.8%
31.7%
34.1%
9.9%
9.4%
10.9%
12.8%
Style
45.9%
50.6%
43.0%
39.3%
13.0%
12.4%
57.5%
52.5%
26.0%
34.4%
Roster
2.69
3.28
6'4.8"
6'7.4"
82.6%
6.3%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputTroy
Returning minutes: 82.6%Returning production: 78.3%
Lost
- Thomas Dowd 36.1 mpg, 14.4 ppg · transferred to Auburn
Added
- Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 83% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Florida St
Returning minutes: 6.3%Returning production: 4.9%
Lost
- Lajae Jones 29.5 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Robert McCray V 28.9 mpg, 16.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Chauncey Wiggins 27.1 mpg, 12.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Martin Somerville 26.0 mpg, 8.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kobe MaGee 19.8 mpg, 7.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Thomas Bassong 19.3 mpg, 5.9 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St
Added
- Kam Taylor from UNC Asheville · 34.7 mpg, 18.9 ppg last season
- Anthony Robinson II from Missouri · 27.0 mpg, 8.9 ppg last season
- Sebastian Rancik from Colorado · 24.6 mpg, 10.8 ppg last season
- Cooper Schwieger from Wake Forest · 19.7 mpg, 4.9 ppg last season
- Shon Abaev from Cincinnati · 11.6 mpg, 5.1 ppg last season
- Elise Assui no D1 minutes last season
Returns 6% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.