CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceLittlejohn Coliseum, Clemson, SC
American
Efficiency #234
2025-26: 16-16 · 9-10 conf
@
Clemson
Efficiency #35
2025-26: 24-11 · 14-7 conf
Fri, Nov 6 · TBD
63.7
win 12%
Projected
77.2
win 88%
No line posted yet.
Model: CLEM −13.5 · total 140.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Clemson 66.1, American 67.9 → 65.7 possessions
−5.6
Clemson offense vs American defense
+4.0
American offense vs Clemson defense
−5.7
Projected total
140.9
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Clemson offense vs American defense
+4.0
American offense vs Clemson defense
+5.7
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Clemson by 13.5
13.5
American side ◂▸ Clemson side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Clemson.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, American is the faster team (66.7, #258 of 365) and Clemson the slower (65.1, #330). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.7
per team, 40 min
Projected total
140.9
model
Projected team totals
63.7 / 77.2
American / Clemson
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.9#217
American
66.1#338
Clemson
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Half-court grind
Clemson averages 65.1 possessions per 40, American 66.7. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageClemson
Where Clemson scores: shooting
Clemson shoots an effective 52.6% (#126); American allows 54.4% (#313). Expect about 53.6%, 2.3 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.3 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageAmerican
Where American struggles: the offensive glass
American rebounds 26.9% of its own misses (#299); Clemson lets opponents grab 26.3% of their own misses (#21). Expect about 26.0%, 4.4 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.7 points per 100 possessions.
ClashAmerican
Style match: 3-point volume
American takes 46.5% of its shots from three; Clemson lets opponents take 43.2% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 47.5% — both habits push the same way.
ClashClemson
Strength vs strength: turnover rate
Clemson (#24 in turnover rate) against American (#40 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 16.7%. Historically American's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.57 vs 0.64).
American has the ball
OffenseClemson allowsvs D1 avg
51.5% #169
48.8% #59
-1.6 pt/100
15.6% #114
17.4% #123
+0.3 pt/100
26.9% #299
26.3% #21
-2.7 pt/100
28.7% #335
33.9% #150
-0.5 pt/100
75.8% #57
—
+0.3 pt/100
American net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.2 pts/100
Clemson has the ball
OffenseAmerican allowsvs D1 avg
52.6% #126
54.4% #313
+3.3 pt/100
14.0% #24
19.2% #40
+0.0 pt/100
28.1% #264
29.4% #127
-1.3 pt/100
36.7% #136
42.1% #324
+0.6 pt/100
72.5% #187
—
+0.0 pt/100
Clemson net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersAmericanoffense vsClemsondefense
Share of shots by zone
American shoots
35.9
7.3
10.4
46.4
Clemson allows
33.0
5.5
17.9
43.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.0%#161 | 57.6%#133 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.5%#92 | 35.1%#60 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.6%#127 | 37.1%#135 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#235 | 32.4%#88 | 33.7% |
Clemsonoffense vsAmericandefense
Share of shots by zone
Clemson shoots
36.3
6.9
13.7
43.1
American allows
40.6
6.8
15.4
37.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.0%#195 | 62.5%#311 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 52.4%#5 | 48.0%#339 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.8%#81 | 37.6%#145 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.1%#165 | 35.5%#283 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersAmerican
−1.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#259 of 365
Off reb %
26.9%
#299
Def reb %
70.6%
#127
Turnover %
15.6%
#114
Forced TO %
19.2%
#40
FT rate
28.7%
#335
FT allowed
42.1%
#324
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.1
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security+0.8
Forcing turnovers+1.7
Foul shots drawn−1.6
Foul shots allowed−1.8
Clemson
+3.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#40 of 365
Off reb %
28.1%
#264
Def reb %
73.7%
#21
Turnover %
14.0%
#24
Forced TO %
17.4%
#123
FT rate
36.7%
#136
FT allowed
33.9%
#150
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.7
Defensive rebounding+1.4
Ball security+1.9
Forcing turnovers+0.5
Foul shots drawn+0.4
Foul shots allowed+0.3
Clemson has more extra scoring chances per game: +3.8 (#40 of 365) to American’s −1.6 (#259).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
American2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted American's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Greg Jones | F | Jr | 6'6" | 32-31 | 30.3 | 12.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 45.4% | 27.0% | 3.5 | 80.7% | 26.1% | |
| 33 | Matt Mayock | F | Jr | 6'7" | 31-31 | 28.8 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 54.5% | 34.4% | 3.0 | 82.7% | 17.2% | |
| 12 | Geoff Sprouse | G | Sr | 6'1" | 32-32 | 26.8 | 9.2 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 57.0% | 39.0% | 6.1 | 75.0% | 19.6% | |
| 32 | Julen Iturbe | F | So | 6'7" | 32-32 | 25.8 | 10.5 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 56.5% | 35.2% | 3.9 | 67.2% | 24.9% | |
| 7 | Wyatt Nausadis | G | So | 6'4" | 32-18 | 22.8 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 52.0% | 35.5% | 3.4 | 70.4% | 22.1% | |
| 2 | Madden Collins | G | Fr | 6'5" | 32-0 | 21.8 | 13.4 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 54.0% | 22.6% | 2.9 | 70.3% | 36.2% | |
| 4 | Kade Sebastian | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-16 | 21.7 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 57.1% | 37.9% | 2.7 | 80.4% | 14.7% | |
| 35 | Chris Eagan | F | Fr | 6'8" | 32-0 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 44.8% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 79.3% | 25.3% | |
| 3 | Dean Hogans | G | Fr | 6'4" | 22-0 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 56.7% | 35.5% | 1.4 | 42.9% | 18.8% | |
| 16 | Luke Brown | F | Fr | 6'9" | 19-0 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 38.1% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 83.3% | 14.3% | |
| 13 | Carson McDonald | F | Fr | 6'9" | 4-0 | 14.3 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 68.8% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 63.6% | 22.1% | |
| 9 | Matthew Casey | G | Fr | 6'4" | 7-0 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 15.0% | 12.5% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 30.4% | |
| 8 | Jack Anderson | G | Fr | 6'4" | 6-0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 7.5% | |
| 10 | Adrian Samuels | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Eric Michaels | F | So | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Gibraltar Coleman | F | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Kamran Prince | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Noah Jones | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Shane O'Reilly | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Clemson2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Certaat Notre Dame | G | Jr | 6'5" | 31-16 | 26.9 | 12.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 50.8% | 36.7% | 7.1 | 89.2% | 26.6% | |
| 15 | Dylan Faulknerat Samford | F | Sr | 6'10" | 30-30 | 26.2 | 17.2 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 61.7% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 56.3% | 34.5% | |
| 45 | Liutauras Leleviciusat TCU | F | Sr | 6'7" | 34-22 | 23.7 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 57.4% | 38.0% | 3.6 | 88.7% | 17.1% | |
| 8 | David Fuchsat San Francisco | F | Sr | 6'9" | 29-19 | 24.0 | 12.7 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 53.9% | 30.3% | 1.1 | 64.5% | 32.3% | |
| 21 | Ace Buckner | G | Jr | 6'3" | 35-3 | 19.5 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 49.1% | 31.2% | 2.7 | 81.3% | 27.6% | |
| 22 | Carter Welling | F | Sr | 6'11" | 32-24 | 20.9 | 10.2 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 53.2% | 29.3% | 1.8 | 70.1% | 29.3% | |
| 3 | Chase Thompson | F | So | 6'8" | 35-0 | 8.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 62.3% | 40.0% | 0.7 | 68.4% | 14.4% | |
| 5 | Zac Foster | G | So | 6'4" | 12-0 | 18.6 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 38.7% | 27.7% | 3.9 | 81.8% | 29.1% | |
| 11 | Dallas Thomas | F | Jr | 6'9" | 22-0 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 71.0% | 57.1% | 1.0 | 62.5% | 24.8% | |
| 44 | Trent Steinour | F | So | 6'10" | 6-0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | 66.7% | 30.2% | |
| 4 | Blake Davidson | F | So | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Amare James | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Harris Reynolds | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Will Stevens | C | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Cole Certa (from Notre Dame), Dylan Faulkner (from Samford), David Fuchs (from San Francisco), Liutauras Lelevicius (from TCU)
American2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted American's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Greg Jones | F | Jr | 6'6" | 32-31 | 30.3 | 12.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 45.4% | 27.0% | 3.5 | 80.7% | 26.1% | |
| 33 | Matt Mayock | F | Jr | 6'7" | 31-31 | 28.8 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 54.5% | 34.4% | 3.0 | 82.7% | 17.2% | |
| 12 | Geoff Sprouse | G | Sr | 6'1" | 32-32 | 26.8 | 9.2 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 57.0% | 39.0% | 6.1 | 75.0% | 19.6% | |
| 32 | Julen Iturbe | F | So | 6'7" | 32-32 | 25.8 | 10.5 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 56.5% | 35.2% | 3.9 | 67.2% | 24.9% | |
| 7 | Wyatt Nausadis | G | So | 6'4" | 32-18 | 22.8 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 52.0% | 35.5% | 3.4 | 70.4% | 22.1% | |
| 2 | Madden Collins | G | Fr | 6'5" | 32-0 | 21.8 | 13.4 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 54.0% | 22.6% | 2.9 | 70.3% | 36.2% | |
| 4 | Kade Sebastian | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-16 | 21.7 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 57.1% | 37.9% | 2.7 | 80.4% | 14.7% | |
| 35 | Chris Eagan | F | Fr | 6'8" | 32-0 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 44.8% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 79.3% | 25.3% | |
| 3 | Dean Hogans | G | Fr | 6'4" | 22-0 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 56.7% | 35.5% | 1.4 | 42.9% | 18.8% | |
| 16 | Luke Brown | F | Fr | 6'9" | 19-0 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 38.1% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 83.3% | 14.3% | |
| 13 | Carson McDonald | F | Fr | 6'9" | 4-0 | 14.3 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 68.8% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 63.6% | 22.1% | |
| 9 | Matthew Casey | G | Fr | 6'4" | 7-0 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 15.0% | 12.5% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 30.4% | |
| 8 | Jack Anderson | G | Fr | 6'4" | 6-0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 7.5% | |
| 10 | Adrian Samuels | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Eric Michaels | F | So | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Gibraltar Coleman | F | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Kamran Prince | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Noah Jones | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Shane O'Reilly | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26American
Against the spread
Season
16-13-1
Home
8-7
Road
8-6-1
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover −2.1
Covered 3 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
15-15
Home
7-8
Road
8-7
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +0.6
Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | Boston U | A | L 73–75 | +2.0 | P0.0 | 142.5 | O148 | 121.4 | 124.8 | 60.1 |
| Feb 28 | Boston U | H | L 65–68 | −3.5 | L−6.5 | 142.0 | U133 | 101.0 | 105.7 | 64.3 |
| Feb 25 | Lehigh | H | L 73–78 | −7.0 | L−12.0 | 140.0 | O151 | 110.0 | 117.5 | 66.4 |
| Feb 22 | Lafayette | A | W 75–61 | −3.5 | W+10.5 | 141.0 | U136 | 127.3 | 103.5 | 58.9 |
| Feb 18 | Bucknell | A | W 75–57 | −3.0 | W+15.0 | 140.5 | U132 | 115.9 | 88.1 | 64.7 |
| Feb 14 | Army | H | W 75–63 | −9.5 | W+2.5 | 145.5 | U138 | 114.0 | 95.8 | 65.8 |
| Feb 11 | Lehigh | A | L 82–90 | −1.5 | L−9.5 | 140.0 | O172 | 110.6 | 121.4 | 74.2 |
| Feb 7 | Navy | A | L 73–82 | +4.5 | L−4.5 | 134.0 | O155 | 113.2 | 127.1 | 64.5 |
| Feb 4 | Bucknell | H | L 59–60 | −8.0 | L−9.0 | 142.0 | U119 | 99.7 | 101.4 | 59.2 |
| Jan 31 | Lafayette | H | L 65–67 | −5.5 | L−7.5 | 143.0 | U132 | 102.2 | 105.4 | 63.6 |
Clemson
Against the spread
Season
16-17-2
Home
6-8-2
Road
7-4
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −3.7
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 1 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
14-21
Home
6-10
Road
5-6
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +1.2
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | #9Iowa | N | L 61–67 | +1.5 | L−4.5 | 131.0 | U128 | 113.6 | 124.7 | 53.7 |
| Mar 13 | #1Duke | N | L 61–73 | +10.5 | L−1.5 | 135.0 | U134 | 96.5 | 115.5 | 63.2 |
| Mar 12 | #19North Carolina | N | W 80–79 | −1.5 | L−0.5 | 140.5 | O159 | 115.9 | 114.5 | 69.0 |
| Mar 11 | Wake Forest | N | W 71–62 | −5.5 | W+3.5 | 142.0 | U133 | 119.0 | 103.9 | 59.6 |
| Mar 7 | Georgia Tech | H | W 79–76 | −17.5 | L−14.5 | 144.5 | O155 | 119.4 | 114.9 | 66.2 |
| Mar 3 | #17North Carolina | A | L 63–67 | +2.5 | L−1.5 | 142.0 | U130 | 96.2 | 102.3 | 65.5 |
| Feb 28 | #24Louisville | H | W 80–75 | +2.0 | W+7.0 | 146.5 | O155 | 114.4 | 107.3 | 69.9 |
| Feb 21 | Florida St | H | L 65–70 | −8.5 | L−13.5 | 144.5 | U135 | 108.6 | 116.9 | 59.9 |
| Feb 18 | Wake Forest | A | L 77–85 | −4.0 | L−12.0 | 140.0 | O162 | 115.6 | 127.6 | 66.6 |
| Feb 14 | #4Duke | A | L 54–67 | +13.5 | W+0.5 | 133.5 | U121 | 87.2 | 108.2 | 61.9 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeAmericanClemson
Efficiency
106.9
112.9
110.1
101.3
67.9
66.1
—
—
Shooting
51.5%
52.6%
53.3%
53.6%
33.0%
34.1%
75.8%
72.5%
28.7%
36.7%
Ball control & glass
15.6%
14.0%
19.2%
17.4%
26.9%
28.1%
29.4%
26.3%
8.9%
8.4%
10.0%
10.1%
Style
46.5%
43.1%
42.6%
42.2%
13.8%
10.0%
49.5%
50.3%
33.2%
37.6%
Roster
2.23
3.47
6'5.2"
6'7.4"
—
28.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputAmerican
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted American's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Clemson
Returning minutes: 28.4%Returning production: 32.0%
Lost
- Dillon Hunter 28.6 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jestin Porter 27.1 mpg, 9.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- RJ Godfrey 25.2 mpg, 12.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Nick Davidson 21.9 mpg, 9.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Butta Johnson 21.1 mpg, 6.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jake Wahlin 20.5 mpg, 5.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Cole Certa from Notre Dame · 26.9 mpg, 12.8 ppg last season
- Dylan Faulkner from Samford · 24.5 mpg, 16.1 ppg last season
- Liutauras Lelevicius from TCU · 23.0 mpg, 7.8 ppg last season
- David Fuchs from San Francisco · 21.1 mpg, 11.2 ppg last season
- Blake Davidson no D1 minutes last season
- Will Stevens no D1 minutes last season
Returns 28% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.