CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceCintas Center, Cincinnati, OH
E Michigan
Efficiency #247
2025-26: 10-21 · 4-14 conf
@
Xavier
Efficiency #129
2025-26: 15-18 · 7-15 conf
Fri, Nov 6 · TBD
71.1
win 24%
Projected
79.3
win 76%
No line posted yet.
Model: XAV −8.2 · total 150.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Xavier 70.3, E Michigan 67.8 → 69.7 possessions
+3.0
Xavier offense vs E Michigan defense
+1.6
E Michigan offense vs Xavier defense
−2.6
Projected total
150.3
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Xavier offense vs E Michigan defense
+1.6
E Michigan offense vs Xavier defense
+2.6
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Xavier by 8.2
8.2
E Michigan side ◂▸ Xavier side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 150.2 against a projected 150.3. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Xavier.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Xavier is the faster team (71.2, #44 of 365) and E Michigan the slower (68.3, #184). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.7
per team, 40 min
Projected total
150.3
model
Projected team totals
71.1 / 79.3
E Michigan / Xavier
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.8#226
E Michigan
70.3#33
Xavier
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageXavier
Where Xavier scores: ball control
Xavier turns it over on 13.9% of possessions (#21); E Michigan forces turnovers on 15.6% of opponent possessions (#244). Expect about 14.4%, 2.4 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.9 points per 100 possessions.
GlassXavier
Xavier gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 27.0% is worth roughly -2.0 points per 100 possessions against Xavier's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Xavier) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect E Michigan at about 31.7% of its shots from three, Xavier about 37.9%.
ClashE Michigan
Style clash: ball movement
E Michigan creates off the dribble (assists on 47.9% of its baskets); Xavier allows assists on 63.3% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 56.6% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
ClashE Michigan
Style match: paint scoring
E Michigan scores 49.7% of its points in the paint; Xavier gives up 47.0% of opponents' points in the paint (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 45.9% — both habits push the same way.
ClashXavier
Style clash: paint scoring
Xavier gets only 38.8% of its points in the paint; E Michigan gives up 46.3% of opponents' points in the paint (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 43.0% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.25 vs 0.34).
E Michigan has the ball
OffenseXavier allowsvs D1 avg
49.6% #264
54.1% #302
+0.7 pt/100
17.4% #229
15.5% #248
+0.6 pt/100
27.8% #273
29.5% #136
-1.4 pt/100
29.3% #325
32.6% #119
-0.5 pt/100
73.2% #162
—
+0.1 pt/100
E Michigan net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.6 pts/100
Xavier has the ball
OffenseE Michigan allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #155
50.3% #115
-0.3 pt/100
13.9% #21
15.6% #244
+2.9 pt/100
26.5% #311
29.1% #109
-2.0 pt/100
28.1% #341
35.5% #198
-0.4 pt/100
72.9% #174
—
+0.0 pt/100
Xavier net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.2 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersE Michiganoffense vsXavierdefense
Share of shots by zone
E Michigan shoots
39.2
9.0
20.0
31.8
Xavier allows
42.1
5.3
15.6
37.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.7%#129 | 62.0%#301 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.4%#259 | 36.5%#100 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 32.5%#338 | 40.6%#261 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.4%#258 | 34.8%#237 | 33.7% |
Xavieroffense vsE Michigandefense
Share of shots by zone
Xavier shoots
31.9
6.8
21.1
40.2
E Michigan allows
39.3
10.6
14.3
35.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.2%#190 | 57.0%#112 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.2%#61 | 35.7%#82 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.6%#199 | 42.0%#304 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.5%#39 | 32.9%#111 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersE Michigan
−3.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#305 of 365
Off reb %
27.8%
#273
Def reb %
70.9%
#109
Turnover %
17.4%
#229
Forced TO %
15.6%
#244
FT rate
29.3%
#325
FT allowed
35.5%
#198
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.8
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security−0.4
Forcing turnovers−0.8
Foul shots drawn−1.5
Foul shots allowed−0.1
Xavier
−0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#223 of 365
Off reb %
26.5%
#311
Def reb %
70.5%
#136
Turnover %
13.9%
#21
Forced TO %
15.5%
#248
FT rate
28.1%
#341
FT allowed
32.6%
#119
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security+1.9
Forcing turnovers−0.8
Foul shots drawn−1.8
Foul shots allowed+0.7
Xavier has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.9 (#223 of 365) to E Michigan’s −3.0 (#305).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
E Michigan2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mohammad Habhab | F | So | 6'10" | 30-30 | 36.0 | 14.2 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 41.1% | 22.2% | 1.2 | 74.3% | 28.6% | |
| 3 | Jabri Fitzpatrickat New Haven | G | Jr | 6'2" | 31-30 | 34.5 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 50.0% | 29.8% | 3.9 | 74.5% | 28.7% | |
| 2 | Emanuel Richardsat Longwood | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-31 | 26.0 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 48.4% | 32.1% | 2.4 | 73.5% | 23.6% | |
| 14 | Kilian Brockhoffat William & Mary | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-31 | 21.7 | 10.7 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 54.1% | 32.3% | 4.0 | 75.0% | 28.7% | |
| 5 | Braelon Green | G | Sr | 6'3" | 28-14 | 20.4 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 49.2% | 36.4% | 1.6 | 56.5% | 15.9% | |
| 0 | Gregory Lawson II | G | So | 6'3" | 28-12 | 17.9 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 52.3% | 43.2% | 3.1 | 90.0% | 23.5% | |
| 8 | Sencire Harrisat Cincinnati | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-8 | 16.9 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 40.5% | 18.2% | 1.1 | 62.5% | 24.1% | |
| 44 | Aviv Aronov | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | DaCory Porter | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 30 | Jaiden Martin | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Jordan Wright | F | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Kaden Johnson | F | Sr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | Max Booher | G | So | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Omar Suleiman | F | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Kilian Brockhoff (from William & Mary), Jabri Fitzpatrick (from New Haven), Sencire Harris (from Cincinnati), Emanuel Richards (from Longwood)
Xavier2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malik Messina-Moore | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 33.2 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 46.7% | 31.8% | 4.8 | 80.0% | 20.4% | |
| 4 | Filip Borovicanin | F | Sr | 6'9" | 33-32 | 31.2 | 10.8 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 49.3% | 34.9% | 3.2 | 87.3% | 21.7% | |
| 24 | Jovan Milicevic | F | So | 6'10" | 33-31 | 26.1 | 12.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 54.9% | 42.9% | 4.7 | 72.8% | 26.0% | |
| 0 | Roddie Anderson III | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-5 | 23.8 | 10.9 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 45.7% | 31.4% | 3.7 | 72.2% | 29.3% | |
| 3 | All Wright | G | So | 6'3" | 33-28 | 22.2 | 7.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 56.5% | 42.2% | 2.7 | 84.1% | 17.4% | |
| 7 | Isaiah Walker | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-1 | 17.0 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 57.6% | 41.1% | 1.8 | 80.0% | 14.0% | |
| 22 | Pape N'Diaye | F | So | 7'0" | 29-0 | 9.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 56.4% | 42.9% | 0.7 | 55.6% | 11.7% | |
| 21 | Anthony Robinson | F | So | 6'10" | 26-3 | 10.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 54.3% | — | 0.0 | 43.4% | 16.5% | |
| 9 | Mier Panoam | G | Jr | 6'2" | 7-0 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 40.0% | 18.8% | |
| 31 | Ian Sabourin | F | Sr | 6'4" | 6-0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 23.5% | |
| 20 | Henry Thole | F | So | 6'7" | 5-0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 17.8% | |
| 25 | Michael Wolf | G | Sr | 6'1" | 4-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 8.9% | |
| 2 | Gabriel Pozzato | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Kason Westphal | C | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Luke Naser | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
E Michigan2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mohammad Habhab | F | So | 6'10" | 30-30 | 36.0 | 14.2 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 41.1% | 22.2% | 1.2 | 74.3% | 28.6% | |
| 3 | Jabri Fitzpatrickat New Haven | G | Jr | 6'2" | 31-30 | 34.5 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 50.0% | 29.8% | 3.9 | 74.5% | 28.7% | |
| 2 | Emanuel Richardsat Longwood | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-31 | 26.0 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 48.4% | 32.1% | 2.4 | 73.5% | 23.6% | |
| 14 | Kilian Brockhoffat William & Mary | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-31 | 21.7 | 10.7 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 54.1% | 32.3% | 4.0 | 75.0% | 28.7% | |
| 5 | Braelon Green | G | Sr | 6'3" | 28-14 | 20.4 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 49.2% | 36.4% | 1.6 | 56.5% | 15.9% | |
| 0 | Gregory Lawson II | G | So | 6'3" | 28-12 | 17.9 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 52.3% | 43.2% | 3.1 | 90.0% | 23.5% | |
| 8 | Sencire Harrisat Cincinnati | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-8 | 16.9 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 40.5% | 18.2% | 1.1 | 62.5% | 24.1% | |
| 44 | Aviv Aronov | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | DaCory Porter | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 30 | Jaiden Martin | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Jordan Wright | F | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Kaden Johnson | F | Sr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | Max Booher | G | So | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Omar Suleiman | F | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Kilian Brockhoff (from William & Mary), Jabri Fitzpatrick (from New Haven), Sencire Harris (from Cincinnati), Emanuel Richards (from Longwood)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26E Michigan
Against the spread
Season
20-10
Home
9-4
Road
11-6
Last 10
6-4
avg cover −0.3
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
10-20
Home
3-10
Road
7-10
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −2.2
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | Bowling Green | H | L 69–77 | +5.0 | L−3.0 | 143.0 | O146 | 96.9 | 108.2 | 71.2 |
| Mar 3 | Buffalo | A | L 67–72 | +5.5 | W+0.5 | 143.0 | U139 | 100.7 | 108.2 | 66.5 |
| Feb 24 | #21Miami OH | H | L 64–74 | +9.0 | L−1.0 | 152.5 | U138 | 89.5 | 103.5 | 71.5 |
| Feb 21 | Toledo | A | L 75–94 | +8.5 | L−10.5 | 147.0 | O169 | 105.2 | 131.9 | 71.3 |
| Feb 17 | C Michigan | H | W 66–54 | −5.0 | W+7.0 | 143.0 | U120 | 99.5 | 81.4 | 66.3 |
| Feb 14 | W Michigan | H | L 62–76 | −6.5 | L−20.5 | 144.0 | U138 | 96.0 | 117.6 | 64.6 |
| Feb 11 | Kent State | A | L 91–95 | +10.0 | W+6.0 | 144.5 | O186 | 129.6 | 135.3 | 70.2 |
| Feb 7 | App State | A | L 60–65 | +7.5 | W+2.5 | 131.0 | U125 | 92.9 | 100.7 | 64.6 |
| Feb 3 | Akron | H | L 64–66 | +12.5 | W+10.5 | 153.0 | U130 | 92.2 | 95.1 | 69.4 |
| Jan 31 | UMass | A | L 67–70 | +8.0 | W+5.0 | 149.0 | U137 | 102.9 | 107.5 | 65.1 |
Xavier
Against the spread
Season
18-15
Home
10-8
Road
5-6
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +0.7
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
25-7-1
Home
14-4
Road
8-2-1
Last 10
9-1
avg vs total +13.2
Over 6 straightOver in 7 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | #6UConn | N | L 68–93 | +16.5 | L−8.5 | 151.0 | O161 | 105.5 | 144.4 | 64.4 |
| Mar 11 | Marquette | N | W 89–87 | +4.0 | W+6.0 | 157.0 | O176 | 116.3 | 113.7 | 76.6 |
| Mar 7 | Villanova | A | L 78–91 | +13.5 | W+0.5 | 154.0 | O169 | 109.9 | 128.2 | 71.0 |
| Mar 3 | Seton Hall | H | L 68–77 | +2.0 | L−7.0 | 144.5 | O145 | 107.2 | 121.4 | 63.4 |
| Feb 28 | Georgetown | H | W 91–84 | −4.5 | W+2.5 | 154.0 | O175 | 127.4 | 117.6 | 71.4 |
| Feb 25 | Providence | A | L 84–94 | +5.5 | L−4.5 | 170.0 | O178 | 120.9 | 135.3 | 69.5 |
| Feb 21 | Butler | A | L 75–80 | +4.5 | L−0.5 | 159.5 | U155 | 110.4 | 117.7 | 67.9 |
| Feb 17 | Villanova | H | L 89–92 OT | +4.0 | W+1.0 | 153.5 | O181 | 112.9 | 116.7 | 78.8 |
| Feb 14 | Marquette | H | W 96–88 | −2.0 | W+6.0 | 157.5 | O184 | 133.1 | 122.1 | 72.1 |
| Feb 9 | #17St John's | A | L 82–87 OT | +16.5 | W+11.5 | 159.5 | O169 | 99.1 | 105.1 | 82.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeE MichiganXavier
Efficiency
103.9
111.7
107.6
109.4
67.8
70.3
—
—
Shooting
49.6%
51.8%
50.0%
49.8%
32.4%
36.5%
73.2%
72.9%
29.3%
28.1%
Ball control & glass
17.4%
13.9%
15.6%
15.5%
27.8%
26.5%
29.1%
29.5%
9.5%
8.2%
9.7%
10.2%
Style
31.8%
40.6%
49.7%
38.8%
13.1%
17.2%
47.9%
62.2%
30.3%
27.4%
Roster
3.20
3.23
6'5.1"
6'6.5"
34.4%
84.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputE Michigan
Returning minutes: 34.4%Returning production: 32.0%
Lost
- Addison Patterson 29.7 mpg, 13.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Godslove Nwabude 18.7 mpg, 5.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Carlos Hart 18.7 mpg, 7.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jon Sanders II 14.9 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Mak Manciel 13.0 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Mehki Ellison 11.6 mpg, 3.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jabri Fitzpatrick from New Haven · 34.5 mpg, 15.0 ppg last season
- Emanuel Richards from Longwood · 26.0 mpg, 9.7 ppg last season
- Kilian Brockhoff from William & Mary · 21.7 mpg, 10.7 ppg last season
- Sencire Harris from Cincinnati · 15.9 mpg, 5.4 ppg last season
- Omar Suleiman no D1 minutes last season
- Aviv Aronov no D1 minutes last season
Returns 34% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Xavier
Returning minutes: 84.8%Returning production: 79.8%
Lost
- Tre Carroll 30.7 mpg, 17.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Gabriel Pozzato no D1 minutes last season
- Kason Westphal no D1 minutes last season
- Luke Naser no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 85% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.