CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceThe Barn by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN
St Thomas
Efficiency #84
2025-26: 24-10 · 13-5 conf
@
Minnesota
Efficiency #94
2025-26: 15-18 · 8-13 conf
Fri, Nov 6 · TBD
69.8
win 38%
Projected
73.2
win 62%
No line posted yet.
Model: MINN −3.4 · total 142.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Minnesota 65.1, St Thomas 69.0 → 65.8 possessions
−5.5
Minnesota offense vs St Thomas defense
−0.1
St Thomas offense vs Minnesota defense
+0.3
Projected total
142.9
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Minnesota offense vs St Thomas defense
−0.1
St Thomas offense vs Minnesota defense
−0.3
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Minnesota by 3.4
3.4
St Thomas side ◂▸ Minnesota side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Minnesota.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, St Thomas is the faster team (69.7, #104 of 365) and Minnesota the slower (62.9, #364). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
142.9
model
Projected team totals
69.8 / 73.2
St Thomas / Minnesota
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.0#122
St Thomas
65.1#362
Minnesota
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageSt Thomas
Where St Thomas scores: shooting
St Thomas shoots an effective 58.9% (#5); Minnesota allows 51.9% (#207). Expect about 56.0%, 4.7 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +6.7 points per 100 possessions.
GlassSt Thomas
St Thomas gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 24.6% is worth roughly -3.6 points per 100 possessions against St Thomas's offense.
Pace
Tempo tug-of-war
Minnesota averages 62.9 possessions per 40, St Thomas 69.7. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageMinnesota
Where Minnesota struggles: the offensive glass
Minnesota rebounds 26.8% of its own misses (#304); St Thomas lets opponents grab 26.6% of their own misses (#25). Expect about 26.0%, 4.4 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.7 points per 100 possessions.
ClashSt Thomas
Style match: ball movement
St Thomas assists on 56.7% of its made baskets; Minnesota allows assists on 60.4% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 60.4% — both habits push the same way.
TurnoversSt Thomas
St Thomas protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 15.5% is worth roughly +1.6 points per 100 possessions for St Thomas's offense.
St Thomas has the ball
OffenseMinnesota allowsvs D1 avg
58.9% #5
51.9% #207
+6.7 pt/100
14.3% #36
16.9% #162
+1.6 pt/100
22.6% #353
29.5% #137
-3.6 pt/100
33.8% #220
26.9% #21
-0.7 pt/100
68.7% #305
—
-0.3 pt/100
St Thomas net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.8 pts/100
Minnesota has the ball
OffenseSt Thomas allowsvs D1 avg
53.9% #69
50.7% #139
+1.7 pt/100
16.5% #167
17.0% #149
-0.0 pt/100
26.8% #304
26.6% #25
-2.7 pt/100
35.8% #159
30.7% #78
-0.3 pt/100
69.4% #286
—
-0.3 pt/100
Minnesota net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.6 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSt Thomasoffense vsMinnesotadefense
Share of shots by zone
St Thomas shoots
44.3
3.7
5.5
46.5
Minnesota allows
32.6
6.5
19.6
41.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 68.5%#3 | 60.9%#268 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.6%#44 | 48.6%#345 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.8%#234 | 37.6%#150 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.0%#57 | 34.7%#229 | 33.7% |
Minnesotaoffense vsSt Thomasdefense
Share of shots by zone
Minnesota shoots
34.7
4.9
12.5
47.9
St Thomas allows
39.8
4.7
14.0
41.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 63.5%#45 | 58.4%#158 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.7%#69 | 33.8%#41 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.5%#202 | 37.9%#156 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.2%#164 | 31.7%#52 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSt Thomas
+1.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#120 of 365
Off reb %
22.6%
#353
Def reb %
73.4%
#25
Turnover %
14.3%
#36
Forced TO %
17.0%
#149
FT rate
33.8%
#220
FT allowed
30.7%
#78
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.5
Defensive rebounding+1.3
Ball security+1.7
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.3
Foul shots allowed+1.2
Minnesota
+1.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#111 of 365
Off reb %
26.8%
#304
Def reb %
70.5%
#137
Turnover %
16.5%
#167
Forced TO %
16.9%
#162
FT rate
35.8%
#159
FT allowed
26.9%
#21
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security+0.2
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed+2.1
Minnesota has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.8 (#111 of 365) to St Thomas’s +1.5 (#120).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
St Thomas2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted St Thomas's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nick Janowski | G | Fr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 31.5 | 16.1 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 57.0% | 33.9% | 5.4 | 64.1% | 27.6% | |
| 4 | Nolan Minessale | G | So | 6'5" | 34-34 | 31.0 | 19.8 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 55.4% | 30.6% | 4.2 | 75.0% | 34.7% | |
| 32 | Carter Bjerke | F | Jr | 6'9" | 34-34 | 24.9 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 67.3% | 44.9% | 5.2 | 58.8% | 17.9% | |
| 34 | Ben Oosterbaan | F | So | 6'6" | 34-34 | 24.0 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 59.5% | 36.8% | 3.1 | 69.2% | 16.9% | |
| 0 | Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | F | So | 6'7" | 33-0 | 21.4 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 60.0% | 32.5% | 2.4 | 66.7% | 26.2% | |
| 11 | Austin Herro | G | So | 6'3" | 27-24 | 23.9 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 60.2% | 37.8% | 1.4 | 72.0% | 13.8% | |
| 12 | Ryan Dufault | G | Sr | 6'0" | 33-9 | 17.7 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 68.9% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 66.0% | 15.6% | |
| 2 | Jermaine Coleman | G | So | 6'7" | 34-0 | 13.9 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 54.7% | 34.0% | 3.0 | 64.7% | 17.7% | |
| 1 | Hayden Tibbits | G | So | 5'11" | 26-1 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 53.9% | 34.1% | 1.7 | 52.4% | 16.2% | |
| 3 | Ryan Lafferty | G | So | 6'5" | 11-0 | 13.5 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 45.8% | 20.0% | 0.5 | 0.0% | 9.5% | |
| 5 | Tim Franks | G | Fr | 6'5" | 16-0 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 0.6 | 71.4% | 22.6% | |
| 10 | Tommy Humphries Jr. | G | So | 6'5" | 9-0 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 34.6% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 33.3% | 20.4% | |
| 15 | Adam Tauer | G | So | 6'3" | 12-0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 11.3% | |
| 20 | Jack Tauer | G | Sr | 6'2" | 11-0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 0.1 | 0.0% | 9.9% | |
| 24 | Kyle Counts | F | Fr | 6'7" | 5-0 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 83.3% | 50.0% | 0.4 | — | 12.3% | |
| 13 | Luka Momcilovic | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Minnesota2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Minnesota's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cade Tyson | G | Sr | 6'7" | 32-32 | 36.7 | 19.6 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 59.3% | 41.3% | 5.4 | 82.2% | 29.1% | |
| 1 | Isaac Asuma | G | So | 6'3" | 33-33 | 34.3 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 48.9% | 30.4% | 5.8 | 74.2% | 23.8% | |
| 6 | Langston Reynolds | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-26 | 33.2 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 55.9% | 25.6% | 1.3 | 59.2% | 24.5% | |
| 3 | Bobby Durkin | F | Jr | 6'7" | 33-25 | 32.8 | 10.2 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 58.8% | 39.2% | 6.2 | 87.5% | 17.9% | |
| 5 | Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | F | Jr | 6'8" | 24-24 | 31.5 | 13.4 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 49.3% | 32.3% | 5.4 | 71.8% | 28.9% | |
| 2 | Grayson Grove | F | Fr | 6'9" | 32-12 | 20.6 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 62.0% | 26.3% | 0.6 | 25.0% | 12.6% | |
| 9 | Kai Shinholster | G | Fr | 6'5" | 31-0 | 13.1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 37.5% | 22.5% | 1.3 | 75.0% | 13.1% | |
| 0 | Chansey Willis Jr. | G | Jr | 6'2" | 7-7 | 26.6 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 43.6% | 18.2% | 1.6 | 45.5% | 21.6% | |
| 22 | Robert Vaihola | F | Sr | 6'8" | 5-5 | 21.4 | 5.0 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 70.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 14.6% | |
| 4 | Nehemiah Turner | F | So | 6'10" | 7-1 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 18.8% | |
| 11 | Maximus Gizzi | G | Sr | 6'1" | 10-0 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 0.0% | 10.3% | |
| 12 | RJ Spencer | G | Sr | 6'3" | 5-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 23.7% | |
| 20 | BJ Omot | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Chance Stephens | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Max Lorenson | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
St Thomas2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted St Thomas's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nick Janowski | G | Fr | 6'4" | 34-34 | 31.5 | 16.1 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 57.0% | 33.9% | 5.4 | 64.1% | 27.6% | |
| 4 | Nolan Minessale | G | So | 6'5" | 34-34 | 31.0 | 19.8 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 55.4% | 30.6% | 4.2 | 75.0% | 34.7% | |
| 32 | Carter Bjerke | F | Jr | 6'9" | 34-34 | 24.9 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 67.3% | 44.9% | 5.2 | 58.8% | 17.9% | |
| 34 | Ben Oosterbaan | F | So | 6'6" | 34-34 | 24.0 | 7.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 59.5% | 36.8% | 3.1 | 69.2% | 16.9% | |
| 0 | Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | F | So | 6'7" | 33-0 | 21.4 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 60.0% | 32.5% | 2.4 | 66.7% | 26.2% | |
| 11 | Austin Herro | G | So | 6'3" | 27-24 | 23.9 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 60.2% | 37.8% | 1.4 | 72.0% | 13.8% | |
| 12 | Ryan Dufault | G | Sr | 6'0" | 33-9 | 17.7 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 68.9% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 66.0% | 15.6% | |
| 2 | Jermaine Coleman | G | So | 6'7" | 34-0 | 13.9 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 54.7% | 34.0% | 3.0 | 64.7% | 17.7% | |
| 1 | Hayden Tibbits | G | So | 5'11" | 26-1 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 53.9% | 34.1% | 1.7 | 52.4% | 16.2% | |
| 3 | Ryan Lafferty | G | So | 6'5" | 11-0 | 13.5 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 45.8% | 20.0% | 0.5 | 0.0% | 9.5% | |
| 5 | Tim Franks | G | Fr | 6'5" | 16-0 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 0.6 | 71.4% | 22.6% | |
| 10 | Tommy Humphries Jr. | G | So | 6'5" | 9-0 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 34.6% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 33.3% | 20.4% | |
| 15 | Adam Tauer | G | So | 6'3" | 12-0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 11.3% | |
| 20 | Jack Tauer | G | Sr | 6'2" | 11-0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 0.1 | 0.0% | 9.9% | |
| 24 | Kyle Counts | F | Fr | 6'7" | 5-0 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 83.3% | 50.0% | 0.4 | — | 12.3% | |
| 13 | Luka Momcilovic | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26St Thomas
Against the spread
Season
15-16
Home
6-6
Road
8-7
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +3.5
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 5 of 8 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
15-15-1
Home
7-5
Road
7-7-1
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −5.8
Under 6 straightOver in 3 of 8 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17 | Seattle U | A | L 52–67 | +2.0 | L−13.0 | 145.5 | U119 | 74.2 | 95.5 | 70.1 |
| Mar 7 | North Dakota | N | L 66–67 | −11.5 | L−12.5 | 153.5 | U133 | 102.4 | 104.0 | 64.4 |
| Mar 5 | S Dakota St | N | W 80–67 | −5.0 | W+8.0 | 150.0 | U147 | 124.5 | 104.3 | 64.3 |
| Feb 28 | Omaha | H | W 68–53 | −11.5 | W+3.5 | 159.5 | U121 | 104.3 | 81.3 | 65.2 |
| Feb 26 | N Dakota St | H | W 84–62 | −3.0 | W+19.0 | 155.5 | U146 | 128.8 | 95.1 | 65.2 |
| Feb 21 | Denver | A | L 80–82 | −4.0 | L−6.0 | 168.5 | U162 | 116.8 | 119.7 | 68.5 |
| Feb 14 | Kansas City | A | W 104–64 | −13.0 | W+27.0 | 153.5 | O168 | 142.9 | 87.9 | 72.8 |
| Feb 12 | Omaha | A | L 94–98 | −4.5 | L−8.5 | 156.5 | O192 | 127.1 | 132.5 | 74.0 |
| Feb 7 | Oral Roberts | H | W 92–75 | −15.5 | W+1.5 | 152.0 | O167 | 122.6 | 99.9 | 75.1 |
| Feb 4 | S Dakota St | A | W 77–62 | +1.0 | W+16.0 | 157.0 | U139 | 123.4 | 99.3 | 62.4 |
Minnesota
Against the spread
Season
14-18-1
Home
9-8
Road
5-5-1
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −2.3
Missed the spread 4 straightCovered 1 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-20
Home
6-11
Road
4-7
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −7.5
Under in the last gameOver in 2 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1 | Baylor | N | L 48–67 | +3.5 | L−15.5 | 146.5 | U115 | 80.7 | 112.7 | 59.5 |
| Mar 11 | Rutgers | N | L 67–72 | −6.0 | L−11.0 | 136.0 | O139 | 104.9 | 112.7 | 63.9 |
| Mar 7 | Northwestern | H | W 67–66 | −4.0 | L−3.0 | 133.5 | U133 | 121.5 | 119.7 | 55.1 |
| Mar 4 | Indiana | A | L 47–77 | +6.5 | L−23.5 | 138.5 | U124 | 76.7 | 125.7 | 61.3 |
| Feb 28 | UCLA | H | W 78–73 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 135.5 | O151 | 140.4 | 131.4 | 55.6 |
| Feb 24 | #3Michigan | A | L 67–77 | +22.5 | W+12.5 | 146.0 | U144 | 103.7 | 119.2 | 64.6 |
| Feb 21 | Rutgers | H | W 80–61 | −8.5 | W+10.5 | 133.5 | O141 | 136.6 | 104.2 | 58.6 |
| Feb 17 | Oregon | A | W 61–44 | +3.5 | W+20.5 | 134.5 | U105 | 101.9 | 73.5 | 59.9 |
| Feb 14 | Washington | A | L 57–69 | +7.0 | L−5.0 | 138.5 | U126 | 95.1 | 115.1 | 59.9 |
| Feb 8 | Maryland | H | L 62–67 | −10.0 | L−15.0 | 139.0 | U129 | 113.0 | 122.1 | 54.9 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSt ThomasMinnesota
Efficiency
111.9
109.8
107.0
105.4
69.0
65.1
—
—
Shooting
58.9%
53.9%
63.0%
56.2%
36.0%
34.2%
68.7%
69.4%
33.8%
35.8%
Ball control & glass
14.3%
16.5%
17.0%
16.9%
22.6%
26.8%
26.6%
29.5%
7.7%
8.8%
8.3%
12.2%
Style
46.3%
47.1%
46.5%
41.6%
12.6%
11.1%
56.7%
71.0%
32.7%
16.4%
Roster
2.13
2.87
6'4.9"
6'5.9"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSt Thomas
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted St Thomas's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Minnesota
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Minnesota's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.