New Haven Chargers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights basketball final score

Fri, Nov 6 · 7:00 PM ET · Jersey Mike’s Arena, Piscataway, NJ

Non-conferenceB1G+Jersey Mike’s Arena, Piscataway, NJ
New Haven
0-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #304
@
Rutgers
2025-26: 14-20 · 7-15 conf
Efficiency #184
Final
5481
Final score
Projected 60.9 – 81.6
NHVN win 4%RUTG win 96%
MarketClose
Spread
RUTG −24.0
open RUTG −24.5
Total
138.5
open 142.5
Our line
RUTG −20.7
as of Fri, Nov 6 · 6:51 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
Rutgersrated 4.1 above average
+4.1
New Havenrated 12.2 below average
+12.2
Home court
+4.3
Our line
RUTG −20.7
◂ New Haven sideRutgers side ▸

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Rutgers. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 66.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Rutgers is the faster team (66.7, #255 of 365) and New Haven the slower (64.1, #287). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
66.7
per team, 40 min
Market total
138.5
Market close · open 142.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.1#359
New Haven
70.2#222
Rutgers

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
RUTG −20.7
Four factors 7.9Not in these stats 12.8
From the four factors
Rutgers has the ball+3.6
New Haven has the ball−4.3
Rutgers has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 15.0% #62 · NHVN forces 7.8% #302 · ~6 turnovers+7.0
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 47.2% #331 · NHVN allows 45.9% #96−3.9
✓Gets to the lineFTR 36.3% #143 · NHVN allows 41.0% #196 · FT 74.1% #126+0.4
✓Wins second chancesOR% 29.7% #217 · NHVN allows 34.1% #1980.0
New Haven has the ball
✗Few second chancesOR% 21.2% #276 · RUTG allows 32.8% #292−2.6
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 16.7% #292 · RUTG allows 31.7% #98 · FT 55.6% #273−1.9
✓Shoots it welleFG% 49.1% #174 · RUTG allows 53.0% #268+0.6
✗Coughs it upTO% 20.3% #205 · RUTG forces 17.1% #143 · ~12 turnovers−0.3

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
New Havenoffense vsRutgersdefense
Share of shots by zone
New Haven shoots
Rutgers allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim50.0%#20960.7%#25958.9%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)33.3%#12742.7%#24436.0%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)12.5%#24938.3%#17036.2%
Three33.3%#12535.6%#28732.1%
Rutgersoffense vsNew Havendefense
Share of shots by zone
Rutgers shoots
New Haven allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim54.6%#30880.0%#28758.9%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)34.8%#29050.0%#19936.0%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)37.8%#19316.7%#5536.2%
Three32.4%#26128.6%#11032.1%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
New Haven
−19.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#296 of 365
Off reb %
21.2%
#276
Def reb %
65.9%
#198
Turnover %
20.3%
#205
Forced TO %
7.8%
#302
FT rate
16.7%
#292
FT allowed
41.0%
#196
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−3.5
Defensive rebounding−0.8
Ball security−1.3
Forcing turnovers−7.6
Foul shots drawn−5.4
Foul shots allowed−0.9
Rutgers
+1.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#110 of 365
Off reb %
29.7%
#217
Def reb %
67.2%
#292
Turnover %
15.0%
#62
Forced TO %
17.1%
#143
FT rate
36.3%
#143
FT allowed
31.7%
#98
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.2
Defensive rebounding−0.7
Ball security+1.2
Forcing turnovers+0.3
Foul shots drawn+0.3
Foul shots allowed+0.9

Rutgers has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.8 (#110 of 365) to New Haven’s −19.7 (#296).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

New Haven2026-27 numbers through Fri, Nov 6
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%Usage
14FSo6'7"2-235.016.56.01.52.065.9%100.0%1.580.0%25.1%
21FSo6'8"2-231.011.54.50.02.052.6%36.4%5.575.0%24.9%
20CSo6'8"2-225.52.05.51.02.522.2%—0.0—17.0%
0GSr6'1"2-224.53.54.02.50.514.3%0.0%4.075.0%21.4%
7GSo6'3"2-124.54.53.03.02.535.0%20.0%2.5100.0%20.2%
2GSo6'3"2-019.05.01.02.01.083.3%50.0%2.0—13.0%
25FSo6'7"2-014.55.51.51.01.561.1%42.9%3.5—25.7%
1GJr6'2"1-120.03.00.00.01.037.5%100.0%1.0—15.6%
5CJr6'9"2-09.56.02.00.00.566.7%—0.0—32.6%
22FJr6'5"1-04.00.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%1.0—15.6%
4GSo5'7"1-01.00.00.00.00.0——0.0—0.0%
24FFr6'7"1-01.00.00.00.00.0——0.0—0.0%
8FSo6'4"1-01.00.00.00.01.0——0.00.0%121.4%
6GSo6'0"1-01.00.00.00.00.0——0.0—0.0%
9GSo6'3"1-01.00.00.00.00.0——0.0—0.0%
12CSr6'7"1-01.00.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%1.0—62.2%

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
New HavenRutgers
Efficiency
97.1
104.5
106.3
105.4
67.1
70.2
12.4
—
Shooting
49.1%
47.2%
48.5%
46.5%
33.3%
32.4%
55.6%
74.1%
16.7%
36.3%
Ball control & glass
20.3%
15.0%
7.8%
17.1%
21.2%
29.7%
34.1%
32.8%
14.0%
8.3%
18.2%
10.0%
Style
38.9%
34.2%
48.3%
36.9%
15.5%
15.2%
56.5%
50.1%
34.0%
41.4%
Roster
2.43
3.39
6'5.3"
6'5.3"
15.8%
53.3%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
New Haven
Returning minutes: 24.1%Returning production: 25.6%
Lost
  • Jabri Fitzpatrick 34.5 mpg, 15.0 ppg · transferred to E Michigan
  • Najimi George 32.6 mpg, 10.9 ppg · transferred to Samford
  • Andre Pasha 31.7 mpg, 10.7 ppg · transferred to Bryant
  • Stefano Faloppa 26.1 mpg, 6.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Maison Adeleye 15.9 mpg, 4.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Vere Anthony 6.1 mpg, 1.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Danny Young Jr. no D1 minutes last season
  • Moussa Camara no D1 minutes last season
  • John Oladipo no D1 minutes last season
  • Tim Walker no D1 minutes last season
  • Andy Ramirez no D1 minutes last season
  • Isiah Rose no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 24% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Rutgers
Returning minutes: 53.3%Returning production: 59.4%
Lost
  • Dylan Grant 24.1 mpg, 9.5 ppg · transferred to Charlotte
  • Harun Zrno 19.0 mpg, 6.5 ppg · transferred to Washington
  • Emmanuel Ogbole 19.0 mpg, 4.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Bryce Ruglass Dortch 13.2 mpg, 1.9 ppg · transferred to Notre Dame
  • Chris Nwuli 8.9 mpg, 1.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Denis Badalau 8.8 mpg, 2.2 ppg · transferred to Towson
Added
  • Rasheed Jones from Coastal · 36.2 mpg, 14.8 ppg last season
  • Darin Smith Jr. from C Connecticut · 32.7 mpg, 20.7 ppg last season
  • Christian Gurdak from Virginia Tech · 16.6 mpg, 5.4 ppg last season
  • Dorin Buca from Kansas St · 10.8 mpg, 2.7 ppg last season
  • Imahri Wooten no D1 minutes last season
  • Mervedi Miteo no D1 minutes last season

Returns 53% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (2 transferred).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings-24.5-110142.5→137.5o-115 u-105—+2500
FanDuel-24.5-115142.5→137.5o-110 u-110—+3500
BetMGM-24.5-110142.5→137.5o-115 u-105—+2800
BetRivers-24.5-106142.5→138.5o-109 u-114——
Caesars-24.5-110142.5→137.5o-110 u-110——
Fanatics-24→-24.5-110142.5→138o-110 u-110—+4000
BetOnline-24.5-110141→138.5o-110 u-110——
Bovada-24.5-105142.5→138o-110 u-110—+2500
theScore Bet-24.5-110142.5→136.5o-115 u-105—+3500
Hard Rock-24.5-105142.5→138.5o-110 u-110——
Kalshi—141.5→137.5o-104 u+100-4900+3233
Polymarket-24.5+100137.5o-108 u+100—+2678
Novig——-3746+3126
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
No meetings the last two seasons.

More games on Fri, Nov 6

← Thu, Nov 5 · Sat, Nov 7 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.