CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceAbessinio Court at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena, Boca Raton, FL
FGCU
Efficiency #246
2025-26: 16-18 · 10-11 conf
@
FAU
Efficiency #122
2025-26: 18-15 · 10-10 conf
Wed, Nov 18 · 7:00 PM ET
71.7
win 24%
Projected
80.0
win 76%
No line posted yet.
Model: FAU −8.3 · total 151.8 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: FAU 69.9, FGCU 68.5 → 70.0 possessions
+3.7
FAU offense vs FGCU defense
+2.0
FGCU offense vs FAU defense
−2.3
Projected total
151.8
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
FAU offense vs FGCU defense
+2.0
FGCU offense vs FAU defense
+2.3
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
FAU by 8.3
8.3
FGCU side ◂▸ FAU side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 151.6 against a projected 151.8. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help FAU.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, FAU is the faster team (70.2, #85 of 365) and FGCU the slower (69.1, #142). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
151.8
model
Projected team totals
71.7 / 80.0
FGCU / FAU
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.5#167
FGCU
69.9#58
FAU
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetDefenseFAU
FAU's shot-blocking
FAU ranks #20 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.9% of FGCU's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
AdvantageFAU
Where FAU scores: shooting
FAU shoots an effective 52.2% (#135); FGCU allows 53.4% (#280). Expect about 52.9%, 1.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.3 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageFGCU
Where FGCU scores: ball control
FGCU turns it over on 15.9% of possessions (#131); FAU forces turnovers on 15.5% of opponent possessions (#251). Expect about 15.5%, 1.3 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.6 points per 100 possessions.
FGCU has the ball
OffenseFAU allowsvs D1 avg
52.0% #147
49.5% #81
-0.7 pt/100
15.9% #131
15.5% #251
+1.6 pt/100
31.1% #161
28.3% #78
-0.3 pt/100
29.1% #331
36.2% #215
-0.3 pt/100
72.1% #207
—
-0.0 pt/100
FGCU net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.3 pts/100
FAU has the ball
OffenseFGCU allowsvs D1 avg
52.2% #135
53.4% #280
+2.3 pt/100
17.6% #242
16.5% #183
-0.4 pt/100
31.6% #140
28.2% #73
-0.2 pt/100
33.3% #231
38.3% #268
+0.1 pt/100
70.3% #262
—
-0.2 pt/100
FAU net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersFGCUoffense vsFAUdefense
Share of shots by zone
FGCU shoots
36.9
4.9
19.8
38.3
FAU allows
45.4
6.8
12.9
34.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.2%#89 | 53.7%#37 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.0%#171 | 40.9%#207 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.0%#55 | 34.5%#62 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.2%#219 | 33.8%#169 | 33.7% |
FAUoffense vsFGCUdefense
Share of shots by zone
FAU shoots
39.6
6.3
16.2
38.0
FGCU allows
39.0
5.4
10.0
45.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.5%#110 | 59.6%#212 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.8%#179 | 39.8%#188 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.7%#121 | 37.6%#147 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.3%#208 | 35.4%#275 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersFGCU
−0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#221 of 365
Off reb %
31.1%
#161
Def reb %
71.8%
#73
Turnover %
15.9%
#131
Forced TO %
16.5%
#183
FT rate
29.1%
#331
FT allowed
38.3%
#268
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.2
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security+0.6
Forcing turnovers−0.1
Foul shots drawn−1.5
Foul shots allowed−0.8
FAU
−1.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#229 of 365
Off reb %
31.6%
#140
Def reb %
71.7%
#78
Turnover %
17.6%
#242
Forced TO %
15.5%
#251
FT rate
33.3%
#231
FT allowed
36.2%
#215
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.4
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers−0.8
Foul shots drawn−0.4
Foul shots allowed−0.2
FGCU has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.9 (#221 of 365) to FAU’s −1.0 (#229).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
FGCU2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted FGCU's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rahmir Barno | G | Jr | 6'0" | 34-34 | 31.6 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 48.2% | 31.0% | 1.7 | 65.3% | 24.5% | |
| 20 | J.R. Konieczny | F | Sr | 6'7" | 30-28 | 31.6 | 15.6 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 50.1% | 32.6% | 4.5 | 73.2% | 30.0% | |
| 7 | Jordan Ellerbee | G | Fr | 6'2" | 34-24 | 27.0 | 13.1 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 54.6% | 35.3% | 4.6 | 73.4% | 28.3% | |
| 15 | Michael Duax | F | Sr | 6'5" | 34-31 | 24.5 | 7.7 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 56.5% | 21.4% | 0.8 | 72.0% | 18.6% | |
| 32 | Isaiah Malone | F | Jr | 6'8" | 34-27 | 22.4 | 10.5 | 5.8 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 61.8% | 44.0% | 0.7 | 78.2% | 24.4% | |
| 6 | Rory Stewart | F | Sr | 6'8" | 30-7 | 21.6 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 48.3% | 32.1% | 5.5 | 64.7% | 20.6% | |
| 2 | Darren Williams | G | So | 6'4" | 34-10 | 18.6 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 50.5% | 35.7% | 4.1 | 100.0% | 20.1% | |
| 21 | Tristen Guillouette | C | So | 6'10" | 29-7 | 13.4 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 53.0% | — | 0.0 | 63.6% | 15.1% | |
| 0 | Jack Reddick | G | So | 6'3" | 32-0 | 10.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 42.9% | 22.4% | 1.5 | 63.2% | 17.8% | |
| 3 | Gabe Tanner | F | Fr | 6'4" | 15-0 | 9.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 50.0% | 28.6% | 1.9 | 50.0% | 19.4% | |
| 10 | George Washington III | G | Jr | 6'2" | 14-2 | 9.0 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 38.9% | 25.0% | 2.9 | 100.0% | 29.8% | |
| 4 | Matt McCarthy | G | Fr | 6'3" | 13-0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 42.9% | 33.3% | 0.5 | 50.0% | 13.6% | |
| 31 | Brandon Dwyer | G | Sr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 1.0 | — | 23.8% | |
| 8 | BB Washington | G | So | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 23 | Chase Konieczny | F | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Evan Barlow | F | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
FAU2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted FAU's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Isaiah Elohim | G | So | 6'5" | 32-32 | 28.1 | 12.4 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 52.7% | 36.8% | 3.3 | 66.0% | 24.4% | |
| 18 | Kanaan Carlyle | G | Jr | 6'3" | 28-27 | 31.1 | 14.3 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 49.8% | 32.4% | 6.4 | 85.4% | 28.8% | |
| 25 | Niccolo Moretti | G | Jr | 6'1" | 33-14 | 26.2 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 50.7% | 26.7% | 1.4 | 67.2% | 15.5% | |
| 1 | Devin Williams | F | So | 6'10" | 33-33 | 23.8 | 7.5 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 54.8% | 30.6% | 1.5 | 67.4% | 19.0% | |
| 22 | Devin Vanterpool | G | So | 6'4" | 24-24 | 31.2 | 15.8 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 52.5% | 35.1% | 6.2 | 78.2% | 29.4% | |
| 11 | Josiah Parker | G | Fr | 6'7" | 32-8 | 21.8 | 9.6 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 51.7% | 16.0% | 0.8 | 61.6% | 26.6% | |
| 17 | Xander Pintelon | F | Jr | 6'11" | 33-25 | 18.2 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 51.5% | 35.2% | 3.2 | 85.4% | 19.9% | |
| 3 | Amar Amkou | G | Fr | 6'7" | 26-1 | 12.7 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 52.0% | 36.4% | 1.7 | 79.2% | 24.7% | |
| 77 | Maxim Logue | F | So | 6'9" | 28-0 | 11.2 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 67.4% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 42.9% | 22.1% | |
| 5 | Yohann Sissoko | G | Fr | 6'5" | 27-0 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 47.7% | 42.9% | 0.8 | 75.7% | 19.9% | |
| 9 | Max Langenfeld | G | Fr | 6'6" | 16-1 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 48.1% | 27.3% | 2.8 | 66.7% | 26.9% | |
| 8 | Vincent Neugebauer | C | Jr | 7'1" | 13-0 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 65.0% | — | 0.0 | 53.8% | 17.2% | |
| 4 | Liam Dayco-Green | G | Fr | 6'2" | 8-0 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 57.7% | 45.5% | 1.4 | 50.0% | 34.3% | |
| 30 | Lachlan Smith | G | Fr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 52.1% | |
| 7 | Zion Sampaio | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
FGCU2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted FGCU's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rahmir Barno | G | Jr | 6'0" | 34-34 | 31.6 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 48.2% | 31.0% | 1.7 | 65.3% | 24.5% | |
| 20 | J.R. Konieczny | F | Sr | 6'7" | 30-28 | 31.6 | 15.6 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 50.1% | 32.6% | 4.5 | 73.2% | 30.0% | |
| 7 | Jordan Ellerbee | G | Fr | 6'2" | 34-24 | 27.0 | 13.1 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 54.6% | 35.3% | 4.6 | 73.4% | 28.3% | |
| 15 | Michael Duax | F | Sr | 6'5" | 34-31 | 24.5 | 7.7 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 56.5% | 21.4% | 0.8 | 72.0% | 18.6% | |
| 32 | Isaiah Malone | F | Jr | 6'8" | 34-27 | 22.4 | 10.5 | 5.8 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 61.8% | 44.0% | 0.7 | 78.2% | 24.4% | |
| 6 | Rory Stewart | F | Sr | 6'8" | 30-7 | 21.6 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 48.3% | 32.1% | 5.5 | 64.7% | 20.6% | |
| 2 | Darren Williams | G | So | 6'4" | 34-10 | 18.6 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 50.5% | 35.7% | 4.1 | 100.0% | 20.1% | |
| 21 | Tristen Guillouette | C | So | 6'10" | 29-7 | 13.4 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 53.0% | — | 0.0 | 63.6% | 15.1% | |
| 0 | Jack Reddick | G | So | 6'3" | 32-0 | 10.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 42.9% | 22.4% | 1.5 | 63.2% | 17.8% | |
| 3 | Gabe Tanner | F | Fr | 6'4" | 15-0 | 9.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 50.0% | 28.6% | 1.9 | 50.0% | 19.4% | |
| 10 | George Washington III | G | Jr | 6'2" | 14-2 | 9.0 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 38.9% | 25.0% | 2.9 | 100.0% | 29.8% | |
| 4 | Matt McCarthy | G | Fr | 6'3" | 13-0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 42.9% | 33.3% | 0.5 | 50.0% | 13.6% | |
| 31 | Brandon Dwyer | G | Sr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 1.0 | — | 23.8% | |
| 8 | BB Washington | G | So | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 23 | Chase Konieczny | F | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Evan Barlow | F | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26FGCU
Against the spread
Season
9-22
Home
4-11
Road
3-10
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −3.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 1 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
14-17
Home
10-5
Road
4-9
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −3.4
Under 6 straightOver in 3 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | C Arkansas | N | L 63–73 | +4.5 | L−5.5 | 145.0 | U136 | 89.9 | 104.2 | 70.0 |
| Mar 6 | Lipscomb | N | W 77–53 | +4.5 | W+28.5 | 150.0 | U130 | 122.2 | 84.1 | 63.0 |
| Mar 4 | North Alabama | N | W 69–58 | −7.5 | W+3.5 | 139.5 | U127 | 110.7 | 93.1 | 62.3 |
| Feb 28 | Stetson | A | L 63–78 | −5.5 | L−20.5 | 151.5 | U141 | 93.2 | 115.3 | 67.6 |
| Feb 26 | North Florida | A | L 70–76 | −7.0 | L−13.0 | 161.0 | U146 | 101.2 | 109.8 | 69.2 |
| Feb 21 | C Arkansas | H | W 75–71 OT | +1.0 | W+5.0 | 153.0 | U146 | 104.4 | 98.8 | 71.9 |
| Feb 18 | Jacksonville | H | W 86–84 | −6.5 | L−4.5 | 136.0 | O170 | 130.6 | 127.6 | 65.8 |
| Feb 14 | Stetson | H | W 78–76 | −10.5 | L−8.5 | 148.5 | O154 | 114.8 | 111.8 | 68.0 |
| Feb 11 | North Florida | H | W 90–81 | −12.5 | L−3.5 | 163.5 | O171 | 123.6 | 111.2 | 72.8 |
| Feb 7 | Bellarmine | A | L 65–81 | −2.0 | L−18.0 | 152.5 | U146 | 96.5 | 120.3 | 67.3 |
FAU
Against the spread
Season
17-14
Home
8-5
Road
6-7
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −2.4
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 0 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
17-14
Home
6-7
Road
9-4
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total −4.8
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | North Texas | N | L 70–74 | +1.5 | L−2.5 | 137.0 | O144 | 97.8 | 103.4 | 71.5 |
| Mar 11 | Temple | N | W 63–59 | +1.0 | W+5.0 | 144.5 | U122 | 97.4 | 91.3 | 64.7 |
| Mar 7 | Wichita St | A | L 70–88 | +8.0 | L−10.0 | 149.0 | O158 | 99.9 | 125.5 | 70.1 |
| Mar 1 | Charlotte | H | W 77–76 OT | −7.0 | L−6.0 | 148.0 | O153 | 106.2 | 104.9 | 72.5 |
| Feb 26 | Temple | H | W 77–73 | −4.5 | L−0.5 | 146.0 | O150 | 120.2 | 114.0 | 64.0 |
| Feb 22 | North Texas | A | L 72–73 | +2.5 | W+1.5 | 140.5 | O145 | 112.1 | 113.7 | 64.2 |
| Feb 18 | UTSA | A | W 60–52 | −11.5 | L−3.5 | 157.5 | U112 | 88.7 | 76.9 | 67.6 |
| Feb 15 | South Florida | H | L 81–83 OT | +5.0 | W+3.0 | 166.5 | U164 | 105.7 | 108.3 | 76.6 |
| Feb 11 | Rice | A | L 73–81 | −3.5 | L−11.5 | 151.5 | O154 | 104.8 | 116.2 | 69.7 |
| Feb 4 | Tulsa | H | L 76–78 | +2.5 | W+0.5 | 163.5 | U154 | 105.4 | 108.2 | 72.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeFGCUFAU
Efficiency
107.1
109.1
110.7
106.7
68.5
69.9
—
—
Shooting
52.0%
52.2%
53.3%
53.6%
33.2%
33.3%
72.1%
70.3%
29.1%
33.3%
Ball control & glass
15.9%
17.6%
16.5%
15.5%
31.1%
31.6%
28.2%
28.3%
9.2%
10.6%
8.6%
7.5%
Style
38.4%
38.2%
43.1%
45.6%
15.4%
15.6%
52.0%
47.1%
33.0%
32.3%
Roster
2.83
2.14
6'4.7"
6'5.9"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputFGCU
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted FGCU's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
FAU
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted FAU's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sun, Dec 7 | 2025-26 | FAU 81 – 76 FGCU |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.