CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceCarnesecca Arena, Queens, NY
Siena
Efficiency #134
2025-26: 23-12 · 16-7 conf
@
St John's
Efficiency #16
2025-26: 30-7 · 21-2 conf
Wed, Nov 18 · TBD
65.5
win 12%
Projected
78.9
win 88%
No line posted yet.
Model: SJU −13.4 · total 144.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: St John's 69.7, Siena 66.4 → 67.8 possessions
−1.0
St John's offense vs Siena defense
+3.3
Siena offense vs St John's defense
−6.2
Projected total
144.3
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
St John's offense vs Siena defense
+3.3
Siena offense vs St John's defense
+6.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
St John's by 13.4
13.4
Siena side ◂▸ St John's side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help St John's.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, St John's is the faster team (70.6, #74 of 365) and Siena the slower (64.2, #350). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
144.3
model
Projected team totals
65.5 / 78.9
Siena / St John's
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.4#322
Siena
69.7#70
St John's
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageSiena
Where Siena struggles: shooting
Siena shoots an effective 50.4% (#222); St John's allows 47.5% (#32). Expect about 48.8%, 2.4 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.5 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Tempo tug-of-war
St John's averages 70.6 possessions per 40, Siena 64.2. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 67 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
ClashSiena
Style match: 3-point volume
Siena rarely shoots threes (32.2% of its shots); St John's runs teams off the line (33.1% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 29.5% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageSt John's
Where St John's struggles: shooting
St John's shoots an effective 51.1% (#192); Siena allows 48.5% (#48). Expect about 49.7%, 1.6 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.2 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Siena, St John's's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Siena at about 29.5% of its shots from three, St John's about 36.0%.
GlassSt John's
St John's owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 33.3% is worth roughly +1.8 points per 100 possessions for St John's's offense.
Siena has the ball
OffenseSt John's allowsvs D1 avg
50.4% #222
47.5% #32
-3.5 pt/100
15.8% #126
19.1% #44
-1.2 pt/100
31.8% #133
29.9% #154
+0.5 pt/100
33.4% #226
31.8% #100
-0.3 pt/100
77.1% #32
—
+0.4 pt/100
Siena net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.1 pts/100
St John's has the ball
OffenseSiena allowsvs D1 avg
51.1% #192
48.5% #48
-2.2 pt/100
14.4% #39
17.0% #152
+1.5 pt/100
35.2% #43
29.5% #133
+1.8 pt/100
40.2% #57
27.5% #27
-0.2 pt/100
72.2% #200
—
-0.0 pt/100
St John's net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSienaoffense vsSt John'sdefense
Share of shots by zone
Siena shoots
40.8
5.5
22.2
31.6
St John's allows
42.4
7.1
18.2
32.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.7%#206 | 53.8%#38 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.5%#46 | 33.6%#36 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 44.1%#23 | 39.0%#201 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.6%#330 | 31.3%#39 | 33.7% |
St John'soffense vsSienadefense
Share of shots by zone
St John's shoots
42.7
6.5
15.7
35.1
Siena allows
36.8
4.8
19.2
39.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.5%#177 | 53.4%#29 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.1%#302 | 44.7%#287 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.2%#215 | 39.7%#232 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.5%#196 | 32.3%#82 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSiena
+3.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#50 of 365
Off reb %
31.8%
#133
Def reb %
70.5%
#133
Turnover %
15.8%
#126
Forced TO %
17.0%
#152
FT rate
33.4%
#226
FT allowed
27.5%
#27
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security+0.6
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.4
Foul shots allowed+2.0
St John's
+7.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#6 of 365
Off reb %
35.2%
#43
Def reb %
70.1%
#154
Turnover %
14.4%
#39
Forced TO %
19.1%
#44
FT rate
40.2%
#57
FT allowed
31.8%
#100
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.6
Defensive rebounding+0.2
Ball security+1.6
Forcing turnovers+1.6
Foul shots drawn+1.3
Foul shots allowed+0.9
St John's has more extra scoring chances per game: +7.2 (#6 of 365) to Siena’s +3.2 (#50).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Siena2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Brendan Coyle | G | Sr | 6'7" | 35-35 | 30.5 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 46.8% | 30.0% | 6.8 | 82.1% | 19.8% | |
| 30 | Tan Yildizogluat VMI | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-31 | 31.1 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 45.4% | 27.1% | 3.8 | 63.3% | 24.5% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Henderson | G | So | 6'6" | 28-1 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 47.1% | 30.4% | 2.5 | 75.8% | 18.8% | |
| 11 | Owen Schlager | G | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 31.8% | 14.3% | 1.4 | 70.0% | 27.5% | |
| 33 | Chris Torres | G | Jr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 24.4% | |
| 12 | Reid Ducharme | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Andrs Amn | G | Fr | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Angelos Bratakos | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Mana Martin | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Pace Prosser | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Parrish Edmond Jr. | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 94 | Paul Lambert | G | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Sei'Mir Roberson | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Tim Ibukunoluwa | G | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Trent Egbiremolen | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 77 | Yannis Steger | G | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Tan Yildizoglu (from VMI)
St John's2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Joson Sanon | G | So | 6'5" | 37-14 | 20.9 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 42.9% | 33.6% | 3.9 | 76.8% | 25.0% | |
| 0 | Dylan Darling | G | Jr | 6'1" | 35-15 | 21.3 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 47.1% | 27.7% | 2.9 | 71.8% | 20.4% | |
| 11 | Ian Jackson | G | So | 6'5" | 36-19 | 18.3 | 9.4 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 49.6% | 34.3% | 4.0 | 90.0% | 31.3% | |
| 17 | Ruben Prey | F | So | 6'11" | 37-1 | 10.7 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 57.9% | 62.5% | 0.6 | 67.2% | 21.5% | |
| 31 | Lefteris Liotopoulos | G | So | 6'4" | 30-0 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 45.9% | 32.1% | 1.8 | 77.8% | 23.8% | |
| 5 | Kelvin Odih | G | Fr | 6'4" | 10-0 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 46.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 20.6% | |
| 6 | Casper Pohto | G | Fr | 6'3" | 5-0 | 5.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.4 | — | 13.2% | |
| 44 | Handje Tamba | C | Sr | 6'11" | 8-0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 16.3% | |
| 7 | Fotis Konstantinidis | G | Fr | 6'2" | 6-0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.2 | — | 6.7% | |
| 22 | Imran Suljanovic | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Siena2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Brendan Coyle | G | Sr | 6'7" | 35-35 | 30.5 | 8.7 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 46.8% | 30.0% | 6.8 | 82.1% | 19.8% | |
| 30 | Tan Yildizogluat VMI | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-31 | 31.1 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 45.4% | 27.1% | 3.8 | 63.3% | 24.5% | |
| 2 | Isaiah Henderson | G | So | 6'6" | 28-1 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 47.1% | 30.4% | 2.5 | 75.8% | 18.8% | |
| 11 | Owen Schlager | G | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 31.8% | 14.3% | 1.4 | 70.0% | 27.5% | |
| 33 | Chris Torres | G | Jr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 24.4% | |
| 12 | Reid Ducharme | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Andrs Amn | G | Fr | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Angelos Bratakos | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Mana Martin | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Pace Prosser | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Parrish Edmond Jr. | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 94 | Paul Lambert | G | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Sei'Mir Roberson | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Tim Ibukunoluwa | G | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Trent Egbiremolen | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 77 | Yannis Steger | G | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Tan Yildizoglu (from VMI)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Siena
Against the spread
Season
20-14-1
Home
7-6
Road
8-7-1
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +2.2
Covered 5 straightCovered 4 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-23-1
Home
4-9
Road
7-9
Last 10
1-8-1
avg vs total −3.4
Over in 0 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 4 as an underdog, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #1Duke | N | L 65–71 | +27.5 | W+21.5 | 136.0 | P136 | 105.0 | 114.7 | 61.9 |
| Mar 10 | Merrimack | N | W 64–54 | +1.5 | W+11.5 | 128.5 | U118 | 100.7 | 84.9 | 63.6 |
| Mar 8 | Fairfield | N | W 76–61 | −1.5 | W+13.5 | 138.0 | U137 | 119.0 | 95.5 | 63.9 |
| Mar 7 | Mount St Marys | N | W 63–58 | −3.0 | W+2.0 | 135.0 | U121 | 104.4 | 96.1 | 60.3 |
| Mar 1 | Rider | H | W 76–61 | −14.5 | W+0.5 | 137.5 | U137 | 114.2 | 91.6 | 66.6 |
| Feb 27 | Fairfield | A | L 58–72 | −1.0 | L−15.0 | 142.5 | U130 | 82.9 | 102.9 | 69.9 |
| Feb 22 | Saint Peter's | H | W 72–63 | −6.0 | W+3.0 | 136.0 | U135 | 117.3 | 102.6 | 61.4 |
| Feb 20 | Merrimack | A | L 72–79 OT | +2.5 | L−4.5 | 133.0 | O151 | 113.6 | 124.7 | 63.4 |
| Feb 15 | Marist | A | W 67–63 | +2.0 | W+6.0 | 134.0 | U130 | 102.7 | 96.5 | 65.3 |
| Feb 13 | Quinnipiac | H | L 62–74 | −4.0 | L−16.0 | 144.0 | U136 | 92.8 | 110.8 | 66.8 |
St John's
Against the spread
Season
22-15
Home
11-9
Road
7-3
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +2.8
Covered the last gameCovered 5 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
14-22-1
Home
7-13
Road
4-5-1
Last 10
2-7-1
avg vs total −5.2
Over in the last gameOver in 1 of 7 as a favorite, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27 | #1Duke | N | L 75–80 | +6.5 | W+1.5 | 140.5 | O155 | 117.0 | 124.8 | 64.1 |
| Mar 22 | #4Kansas | N | W 67–65 | −3.5 | L−1.5 | 145.5 | U132 | 95.5 | 92.7 | 70.2 |
| Mar 20 | #12Northern Iowa | N | W 79–53 | −10.5 | W+15.5 | 133.5 | U132 | 125.2 | 84.0 | 63.1 |
| Mar 14 | #6UConn | H | W 72–52 | +2.0 | W+22.0 | 139.5 | U124 | 114.5 | 82.7 | 62.9 |
| Mar 13 | Seton Hall | H | W 78–68 | −8.0 | W+2.0 | 136.5 | O146 | 117.3 | 102.3 | 66.5 |
| Mar 12 | Providence | H | W 85–72 | −12.0 | W+1.0 | 159.5 | U157 | 112.6 | 95.4 | 75.5 |
| Mar 6 | Seton Hall | A | W 72–65 | −5.0 | W+2.0 | 137.0 | P137 | 112.3 | 101.3 | 64.1 |
| Mar 3 | Georgetown | H | W 72–69 | −15.5 | L−12.5 | 148.0 | U141 | 103.5 | 99.2 | 69.6 |
| Feb 28 | Villanova | H | W 89–57 | −7.5 | W+24.5 | 148.0 | U146 | 122.8 | 78.6 | 72.5 |
| Feb 25 | #6UConn | A | L 40–72 | +5.5 | L−26.5 | 146.0 | U112 | 68.8 | 123.8 | 58.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSienaSt John's
Efficiency
108.6
115.2
106.7
99.2
66.4
69.7
—
—
Shooting
50.4%
51.1%
52.5%
51.5%
30.6%
33.5%
77.1%
72.2%
33.4%
40.2%
Ball control & glass
15.8%
14.4%
17.0%
19.1%
31.8%
35.2%
29.5%
29.9%
10.2%
8.6%
9.5%
10.0%
Style
32.2%
35.2%
47.7%
45.0%
7.1%
16.7%
53.2%
57.9%
22.3%
31.0%
Roster
3.65
2.24
6'5.6"
6'4.7"
21.6%
39.3%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSiena
Returning minutes: 21.6%Returning production: 12.4%
Lost
- Gavin Doty 36.7 mpg, 18.0 ppg · transferred to Syracuse
- Justice Shoats 35.6 mpg, 13.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Francis Folefac 28.1 mpg, 11.3 ppg · transferred to Syracuse
- Antonio Chandler 18.3 mpg, 6.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Christian Jones 17.0 mpg, 4.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Riley Mulvey 13.4 mpg, 2.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Tan Yildizoglu from VMI · 30.2 mpg, 9.9 ppg last season
- Paul Lambert no D1 minutes last season
- Angelos Bratakos no D1 minutes last season
- Mana Martin no D1 minutes last season
- Yannis Steger no D1 minutes last season
- Tim Ibukunoluwa no D1 minutes last season
Returns 22% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
St John's
Returning minutes: 39.3%Returning production: 32.0%
Lost
- Zuby Ejiofor 30.1 mpg, 16.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Bryce Hopkins 28.8 mpg, 13.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Oziyah Sellers 28.6 mpg, 10.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Dillon Mitchell 28.1 mpg, 8.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Sadiku Ibine Ayo 6.2 mpg, 1.4 ppg · transferred to Iona
Added
- Imran Suljanovic no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 39% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.