CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceCapital One Arena, Washington, DC
Navy
Efficiency #104
2025-26: 26-8 · 18-2 conf
@
Georgetown
Efficiency #95
2025-26: 16-18 · 8-15 conf
Wed, Nov 18 · 7:00 PM ET
68.4
win 35%
Projected
72.7
win 65%
No line posted yet.
Model: GTWN −4.3 · total 141.1 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Georgetown 67.6, Navy 66.8 → 66.1 possessions
−4.9
Georgetown offense vs Navy defense
−0.9
Navy offense vs Georgetown defense
−1.4
Projected total
141.1
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Georgetown offense vs Navy defense
−0.9
Navy offense vs Georgetown defense
+1.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Georgetown by 4.3
4.3
Navy side ◂▸ Georgetown side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 141.0 against a projected 141.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Georgetown.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 66.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Georgetown is the faster team (67.0, #244 of 365) and Navy the slower (65.2, #327). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
66.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
141.1
model
Projected team totals
68.4 / 72.7
Navy / Georgetown
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.8#301
Navy
67.6#247
Georgetown
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageGeorgetown
Where Georgetown struggles: shooting
Georgetown shoots an effective 49.6% (#257); Navy allows 48.3% (#42). Expect about 48.8%, 2.5 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.5 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Half-court grind
Georgetown averages 67.0 possessions per 40, Navy 65.2. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Navy's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Navy at about 35.5% of its shots from three, Georgetown about 40.3%.
ClashGeorgetown
Style clash: 3-point volume
Georgetown rarely shoots threes (35.2% of its shots); Navy lets opponents take 46.0% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 40.3% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
Navy has the ball
OffenseGeorgetown allowsvs D1 avg
53.1% #100
49.9% #96
+0.5 pt/100
16.8% #190
16.2% #212
+0.4 pt/100
31.9% #126
31.5% #228
+1.0 pt/100
38.8% #82
33.9% #146
+0.1 pt/100
73.6% #145
—
+0.1 pt/100
Navy net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.2 pts/100
Georgetown has the ball
OffenseNavy allowsvs D1 avg
49.6% #257
48.3% #42
-3.5 pt/100
15.8% #119
18.3% #83
-0.5 pt/100
32.5% #107
27.4% #49
+0.0 pt/100
37.3% #121
26.0% #13
-0.5 pt/100
74.0% #133
—
+0.1 pt/100
Georgetown net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -4.4 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersNavyoffense vsGeorgetowndefense
Share of shots by zone
Navy shoots
42.2
6.0
19.4
32.4
Georgetown allows
35.4
4.9
18.7
41.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.8%#123 | 56.6%#105 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 48.4%#19 | 33.3%#31 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.5%#172 | 41.9%#294 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.8%#64 | 33.3%#139 | 33.7% |
Georgetownoffense vsNavydefense
Share of shots by zone
Georgetown shoots
39.1
6.3
19.7
35.0
Navy allows
29.4
7.8
17.3
45.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.9%#243 | 61.7%#295 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.7%#182 | 36.1%#91 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.9%#80 | 38.0%#159 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.8%#285 | 30.0%#7 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersNavy
+6.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#14 of 365
Off reb %
31.9%
#126
Def reb %
72.6%
#49
Turnover %
16.8%
#190
Forced TO %
18.3%
#83
FT rate
38.8%
#82
FT allowed
26.0%
#13
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding+1.0
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers+1.1
Foul shots drawn+1.0
Foul shots allowed+2.4
Georgetown
+1.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#113 of 365
Off reb %
32.5%
#107
Def reb %
68.5%
#228
Turnover %
15.8%
#119
Forced TO %
16.2%
#212
FT rate
37.3%
#121
FT allowed
33.9%
#146
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security+0.7
Forcing turnovers−0.3
Foul shots drawn+0.6
Foul shots allowed+0.3
Navy has more extra scoring chances per game: +6.0 (#14 of 365) to Georgetown’s +1.7 (#113).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Navy2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Navy's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Benigni | G | Sr | 5'11" | 34-34 | 36.1 | 18.0 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 49.2% | 44.1% | 4.0 | 88.0% | 31.6% | |
| 99 | Aidan Kehoe | C | Sr | 6'11" | 34-34 | 33.6 | 15.2 | 10.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 73.1% | — | 0.0 | 47.0% | 23.6% | |
| 10 | Jinwoo Kim | G | Jr | 6'3" | 34-33 | 30.5 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 50.0% | 40.6% | 4.1 | 83.6% | 20.1% | |
| 11 | Donovan Draper | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-16 | 26.9 | 8.7 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 46.6% | 11.6% | 1.3 | 79.3% | 22.8% | |
| 21 | Jordan Pennick | G | Jr | 6'0" | 34-20 | 24.6 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 46.3% | 31.2% | 4.1 | 74.6% | 21.1% | |
| 30 | Mike Woods | F | Sr | 6'4" | 34-31 | 22.4 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 49.5% | 28.9% | 1.3 | 78.4% | 19.3% | |
| 2 | Cam Cole | G | Jr | 6'2" | 34-0 | 19.1 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 55.7% | 38.5% | 2.8 | 75.9% | 19.8% | |
| 7 | David Burnett | G | So | 6'4" | 18-0 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 54.3% | 25.0% | 0.2 | 45.5% | 17.3% | |
| 8 | Sam Krist | G | Sr | 6'5" | 15-1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 64.3% | 40.0% | 0.7 | — | 20.9% | |
| 42 | Cooper Jackson | F | So | 6'7" | 17-0 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 62.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.0% | 18.2% | |
| 0 | Nyles Howard | G | Jr | 6'4" | 11-0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 75.0% | 25.6% | |
| 14 | Cam Cormany | G | Sr | 6'0" | 14-1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 63.6% | 44.4% | 0.6 | 100.0% | 23.3% | |
| 25 | Jerry Ashley Jr. | F | Fr | 6'8" | 9-0 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.1% | |
| 3 | Julian Gabbidon | G | Jr | 6'3" | 7-0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 33.2% | |
| 20 | Matt Gaffney | G | Fr | 5'11" | 4-0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 23.2% | |
| 77 | Owen Gray | F | So | 6'9" | 4-0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 7.4% | |
| 33 | Tobi Raji | F | So | 6'7" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 40 | C.J. Kearns | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Colin Pollock | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 18 | Davyn de Jongh | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Jordan McConnell | C | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 16 | Julien King | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Luke Morgan | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Reiss Whitaker | F | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Steven McLeod | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Georgetown2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Georgetown's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Malik Mack | G | Jr | 6'2" | 34-34 | 32.2 | 13.6 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 45.0% | 29.8% | 5.5 | 81.8% | 28.8% | |
| 4 | Caleb Williams | F | So | 6'7" | 33-33 | 30.0 | 8.8 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 54.2% | 37.7% | 3.5 | 75.4% | 17.1% | |
| 5 | KJ Lewis | G | Jr | 6'4" | 28-27 | 30.0 | 14.9 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 45.6% | 30.5% | 3.8 | 75.2% | 33.1% | |
| 25 | Jeremiah Williams | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-7 | 20.3 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 43.1% | 37.1% | 1.0 | 67.9% | 22.7% | |
| 7 | Isaiah Abraham | F | So | 6'7" | 33-31 | 19.9 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 47.2% | 32.5% | 2.3 | 69.4% | 15.9% | |
| 11 | Julius Halaifonua | C | So | 7'0" | 32-28 | 19.8 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 62.4% | 27.3% | 0.7 | 74.7% | 24.1% | |
| 3 | Vince Iwuchukwu | C | Sr | 7'1" | 24-6 | 23.2 | 11.6 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 56.6% | 37.5% | 0.7 | 75.5% | 28.5% | |
| 45 | Kayvaun Mulready | G | So | 6'4" | 32-2 | 16.8 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 52.8% | 34.1% | 2.8 | 72.4% | 20.5% | |
| 0 | Jayden Fort | F | So | 6'9" | 34-1 | 13.6 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.6% | 10.0% | 0.3 | 60.0% | 15.7% | |
| 13 | Langston Love | G | Sr | 6'5" | 22-1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 45.6% | 25.0% | 1.5 | 80.0% | 16.5% | |
| 1 | DeShawn Harris-Smith | G | Jr | 6'5" | 6-0 | 16.7 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 70.0% | 16.7% | |
| 14 | Seal Diouf | C | So | 6'9" | 10-0 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 22.2% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 24.1% | |
| 22 | Mason Moses | G | So | 6'6" | 3-0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 27.4% | |
| 30 | Michael Van Raaphorst | G | So | 6'2" | 3-0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 14.5% | |
| 12 | Austin Montgomery | F | Jr | 6'6" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 8 | Gabriel Landeira | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Hashem Asadallah | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Navy2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Navy's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Benigni | G | Sr | 5'11" | 34-34 | 36.1 | 18.0 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 49.2% | 44.1% | 4.0 | 88.0% | 31.6% | |
| 99 | Aidan Kehoe | C | Sr | 6'11" | 34-34 | 33.6 | 15.2 | 10.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 73.1% | — | 0.0 | 47.0% | 23.6% | |
| 10 | Jinwoo Kim | G | Jr | 6'3" | 34-33 | 30.5 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 50.0% | 40.6% | 4.1 | 83.6% | 20.1% | |
| 11 | Donovan Draper | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-16 | 26.9 | 8.7 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 46.6% | 11.6% | 1.3 | 79.3% | 22.8% | |
| 21 | Jordan Pennick | G | Jr | 6'0" | 34-20 | 24.6 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 46.3% | 31.2% | 4.1 | 74.6% | 21.1% | |
| 30 | Mike Woods | F | Sr | 6'4" | 34-31 | 22.4 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 49.5% | 28.9% | 1.3 | 78.4% | 19.3% | |
| 2 | Cam Cole | G | Jr | 6'2" | 34-0 | 19.1 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 55.7% | 38.5% | 2.8 | 75.9% | 19.8% | |
| 7 | David Burnett | G | So | 6'4" | 18-0 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 54.3% | 25.0% | 0.2 | 45.5% | 17.3% | |
| 8 | Sam Krist | G | Sr | 6'5" | 15-1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 64.3% | 40.0% | 0.7 | — | 20.9% | |
| 42 | Cooper Jackson | F | So | 6'7" | 17-0 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 62.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.0% | 18.2% | |
| 0 | Nyles Howard | G | Jr | 6'4" | 11-0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 75.0% | 25.6% | |
| 14 | Cam Cormany | G | Sr | 6'0" | 14-1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 63.6% | 44.4% | 0.6 | 100.0% | 23.3% | |
| 25 | Jerry Ashley Jr. | F | Fr | 6'8" | 9-0 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.1% | |
| 3 | Julian Gabbidon | G | Jr | 6'3" | 7-0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 33.2% | |
| 20 | Matt Gaffney | G | Fr | 5'11" | 4-0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 23.2% | |
| 77 | Owen Gray | F | So | 6'9" | 4-0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 7.4% | |
| 33 | Tobi Raji | F | So | 6'7" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 40 | C.J. Kearns | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Colin Pollock | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 18 | Davyn de Jongh | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Jordan McConnell | C | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 16 | Julien King | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Luke Morgan | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Reiss Whitaker | F | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Steven McLeod | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Navy
Against the spread
Season
20-11-1
Home
9-6
Road
10-4-1
Last 10
7-2-1
avg cover +5.2
Covered 7 of 9 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
14-17-1
Home
9-6
Road
5-9-1
Last 10
7-2-1
avg vs total +5.4
Over 4 straightOver in 6 of 9 as a favorite, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18 | Wake Forest | A | L 72–82 | +10.0 | P0.0 | 147.5 | O154 | 109.0 | 124.1 | 66.1 |
| Mar 8 | Boston U | H | L 72–73 | −7.0 | L−8.0 | 136.5 | O145 | 117.4 | 119.1 | 61.3 |
| Mar 5 | Bucknell | H | W 74–69 | −14.5 | L−9.5 | 132.5 | O143 | 118.1 | 110.1 | 62.7 |
| Feb 28 | Colgate | H | W 85–69 | −6.5 | W+9.5 | 142.0 | O154 | 127.8 | 103.7 | 66.5 |
| Feb 25 | Loyola MD | A | W 78–51 | −6.5 | W+20.5 | 146.5 | U129 | 128.1 | 83.8 | 60.9 |
| Feb 21 | Army | A | W 81–63 | −7.5 | W+10.5 | 137.5 | O144 | 126.5 | 98.4 | 64.0 |
| Feb 18 | Lehigh | H | W 72–49 | −10.0 | W+13.0 | 139.5 | U121 | 111.7 | 76.0 | 64.5 |
| Feb 14 | Colgate | A | W 84–80 OT | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 139.0 | O164 | 117.4 | 111.8 | 71.6 |
| Feb 9 | Bucknell | A | W 76–60 | −6.5 | W+9.5 | 136.0 | P136 | 109.9 | 86.7 | 69.2 |
| Feb 7 | American | H | W 82–73 | −4.5 | W+4.5 | 134.0 | O155 | 127.1 | 113.2 | 64.5 |
Georgetown
Against the spread
Season
14-19-1
Home
4-12-1
Road
8-4
Last 10
5-4-1
avg cover +2.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
18-16
Home
13-4
Road
3-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −1.7
Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | #6UConn | N | L 51–67 | +14.0 | L−2.0 | 139.0 | U118 | 85.7 | 112.6 | 59.5 |
| Mar 12 | Villanova | N | W 78–64 | +6.5 | W+20.5 | 141.0 | O142 | 121.1 | 99.4 | 64.4 |
| Mar 11 | DePaul | N | W 63–56 | +5.0 | W+12.0 | 130.0 | U119 | 100.2 | 89.0 | 62.9 |
| Mar 7 | Providence | H | W 80–79 | −1.0 | P0.0 | 157.0 | O159 | 109.8 | 108.5 | 72.8 |
| Mar 3 | #18St John's | A | L 69–72 | +15.5 | W+12.5 | 148.0 | U141 | 99.2 | 103.5 | 69.6 |
| Feb 28 | Xavier | A | L 84–91 | +4.5 | L−2.5 | 154.0 | O175 | 117.6 | 127.4 | 71.4 |
| Feb 24 | Marquette | H | L 60–76 | −2.5 | L−18.5 | 150.5 | U136 | 92.0 | 116.6 | 65.2 |
| Feb 21 | Seton Hall | A | L 47–51 | +5.5 | W+1.5 | 136.0 | U98 | 74.4 | 80.8 | 63.1 |
| Feb 18 | Butler | H | L 89–93 | −6.0 | L−10.0 | 147.0 | O182 | 130.5 | 136.4 | 68.2 |
| Feb 14 | #6UConn | A | L 75–79 | +17.0 | W+13.0 | 138.5 | O154 | 114.7 | 120.8 | 65.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeNavyGeorgetown
Efficiency
108.5
110.7
104.9
106.3
66.8
67.6
—
—
Shooting
53.1%
49.6%
52.7%
50.7%
35.8%
31.8%
73.6%
74.0%
38.8%
37.3%
Ball control & glass
16.8%
15.8%
18.3%
16.2%
31.9%
32.5%
27.4%
31.5%
9.2%
9.2%
7.8%
9.1%
Style
33.1%
35.2%
44.8%
44.1%
11.6%
16.0%
61.2%
57.8%
25.5%
33.5%
Roster
3.56
2.74
6'3.7"
6'6.3"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputNavy
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Navy's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Georgetown
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Georgetown's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.