CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceBuccaneer Fieldhouse, Charleston, SC
Wofford
Efficiency #235
2025-26: 19-13 · 11-8 conf
@
Charleston So
Efficiency #220
2025-26: 15-17 · 6-11 conf
Wed, Nov 18 · 7:00 PM ET
76.4
win 34%
Projected
81.2
win 66%
No line posted yet.
Model: CHSO −4.8 · total 157.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Charleston So 71.1, Wofford 68.6 → 71.4 possessions
+6.7
Charleston So offense vs Wofford defense
+1.7
Wofford offense vs Charleston So defense
+0.9
Projected total
157.5
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Charleston So offense vs Wofford defense
+1.7
Wofford offense vs Charleston So defense
−0.9
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Charleston So by 4.8
4.8
Wofford side ◂▸ Charleston So side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +4.9 against +4.8. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Charleston So.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Charleston So is the faster team (73.2, #10 of 365) and Wofford the slower (68.4, #178). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
157.5
model
Projected team totals
76.4 / 81.2
Wofford / Charleston So
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.6#156
Wofford
71.1#13
Charleston So
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageWofford
Where Wofford scores: ball control
Wofford turns it over on 13.4% of possessions (#13); Charleston So forces turnovers on 12.8% of opponent possessions (#361). Expect about 12.3%, 4.5 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +5.5 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageCharleston So
Where Charleston So scores: shooting
Charleston So shoots an effective 54.1% (#66); Wofford allows 53.8% (#294). Expect about 54.2%, 2.9 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.2 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Track meet
Charleston So averages 73.2 possessions per 40, Wofford 68.4. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 72 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Wofford's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Wofford at about 37.1% of its shots from three, Charleston So about 46.6%.
ClashWofford
Style clash: 3-point volume
Wofford takes 43.1% of its shots from three; Charleston So runs teams off the line (31.3% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 37.1% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
Wofford has the ball
OffenseCharleston So allowsvs D1 avg
52.5% #127
46.9% #21
-2.1 pt/100
13.4% #13
12.8% #361
+5.5 pt/100
29.8% #212
30.3% #174
-0.3 pt/100
36.2% #144
43.3% #341
+0.7 pt/100
70.9% #243
—
-0.1 pt/100
Wofford net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.6 pts/100
Charleston So has the ball
OffenseWofford allowsvs D1 avg
54.1% #66
53.8% #294
+4.2 pt/100
18.5% #298
14.9% #293
+0.2 pt/100
29.4% #223
29.0% #101
-0.8 pt/100
30.5% #296
36.8% #232
-0.1 pt/100
64.8% #360
—
-0.7 pt/100
Charleston So net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersWoffordoffense vsCharleston Sodefense
Share of shots by zone
Wofford shoots
42.3
3.4
10.8
43.4
Charleston So allows
39.3
9.6
20.4
30.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.1%#233 | 51.7%#14 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 42.1%#118 | 44.2%#275 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.8%#266 | 36.6%#122 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.0%#119 | 31.9%#58 | 33.7% |
Charleston Sooffense vsWofforddefense
Share of shots by zone
Charleston So shoots
40.6
3.6
6.5
49.3
Wofford allows
45.8
3.6
12.9
37.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.1%#193 | 56.2%#91 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 49.2%#13 | 48.3%#342 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.4%#256 | 40.8%#271 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.6%#78 | 36.4%#321 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersWofford
+1.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#124 of 365
Off reb %
29.8%
#212
Def reb %
71.0%
#101
Turnover %
13.4%
#13
Forced TO %
14.9%
#293
FT rate
36.2%
#144
FT allowed
36.8%
#232
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.2
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security+2.3
Forcing turnovers−1.2
Foul shots drawn+0.3
Foul shots allowed−0.4
Charleston So
−7.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#360 of 365
Off reb %
29.4%
#223
Def reb %
69.7%
#174
Turnover %
18.5%
#298
Forced TO %
12.8%
#361
FT rate
30.5%
#296
FT allowed
43.3%
#341
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.3
Defensive rebounding+0.1
Ball security−1.2
Forcing turnovers−2.7
Foul shots drawn−1.2
Foul shots allowed−2.1
Wofford has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.4 (#124 of 365) to Charleston So’s −7.3 (#360).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Wofford2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Wofford's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nils Machowski | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-32 | 33.7 | 17.2 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 54.2% | 38.2% | 7.4 | 79.0% | 28.9% | |
| 0 | Cayden Vasko | G | Jr | 6'6" | 32-32 | 31.9 | 10.4 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 49.3% | 32.1% | 5.3 | 80.0% | 20.1% | |
| 11 | Kahmare Holmes | G | So | 6'3" | 26-26 | 31.9 | 19.5 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 54.6% | 35.2% | 4.9 | 65.5% | 34.8% | |
| 4 | Chace Watley | G | Fr | 6'2" | 32-15 | 24.8 | 9.7 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 45.8% | 30.6% | 3.1 | 76.7% | 24.8% | |
| 1 | Brian Sumpter | F | Fr | 6'8" | 31-21 | 22.7 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 60.6% | 16.7% | 0.4 | 61.5% | 16.3% | |
| 2 | Luke Flynn | G | So | 6'1" | 21-18 | 26.0 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 45.6% | 33.8% | 3.7 | 75.8% | 13.6% | |
| 25 | Rex Stirling | F | Jr | 6'8" | 30-9 | 14.5 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 57.3% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 61.4% | 21.6% | |
| 5 | Brendan Rigsbee | G | Jr | 6'2" | 25-5 | 15.8 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 54.3% | 22.2% | 1.4 | 69.2% | 15.9% | |
| 8 | Jayden Tyler | G | Fr | 5'10" | 25-0 | 13.2 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 60.6% | 47.5% | 2.4 | 53.7% | 22.0% | |
| 10 | Maximo Ortega | G | Fr | 6'2" | 22-0 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 59.0% | 41.2% | 0.8 | 65.4% | 20.9% | |
| 32 | Callum Richard | C | Jr | 6'10" | 7-1 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 72.7% | — | 0.0 | — | 19.8% | |
| 7 | Cannon Richards | F | So | 6'7" | 2-1 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 37.5% | 50.0% | 1.0 | 75.0% | 27.8% | |
| 12 | Grayson Collins | G | So | 5'11" | 8-0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 12.5% | |
| 14 | Davis Miller | G | Jr | 6'3" | 6-0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 0.2 | — | 12.0% | |
| 9 | Alessandro Perotti | F | Jr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Charleston So2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Charleston So's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A'lahn Sumler | G | Jr | 6'4" | 28-18 | 30.4 | 18.9 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 55.4% | 39.6% | 5.3 | 65.4% | 34.0% | |
| 12 | Jesse Hafemeister | F | Sr | 6'5" | 32-30 | 26.3 | 12.7 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 58.5% | 39.0% | 5.8 | 66.7% | 24.9% | |
| 11 | Brycen Blaine | G | Jr | 6'5" | 25-7 | 28.0 | 17.2 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 51.0% | 34.6% | 8.7 | 78.3% | 36.6% | |
| 5 | Jacob Taylor | G | Fr | 6'3" | 30-24 | 20.9 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 53.3% | 36.1% | 2.0 | 74.4% | 14.7% | |
| 8 | Luke Williams | G | Sr | 6'0" | 20-18 | 31.1 | 10.6 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 56.8% | 39.6% | 5.0 | 64.5% | 18.0% | |
| 7 | Nate Brafford | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-12 | 19.3 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 54.3% | 36.0% | 3.1 | 60.7% | 15.4% | |
| 23 | Reis Jones | F | Sr | 6'10" | 32-15 | 18.4 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 58.9% | — | 0.0 | 54.1% | 20.6% | |
| 34 | Lase Olalere | F | So | 6'10" | 32-17 | 15.6 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 66.3% | — | 0.0 | 44.4% | 17.1% | |
| 0 | Armari Carraway | G | Jr | 6'0" | 24-14 | 17.0 | 6.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 48.0% | 32.8% | 5.7 | 69.0% | 23.8% | |
| 2 | Jaquias Franklin | G | Sr | 6'1" | 24-3 | 14.6 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 48.8% | 29.6% | 2.3 | 81.8% | 18.5% | |
| 4 | Trent Coleman | F | Sr | 6'7" | 24-1 | 10.9 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 60.7% | 40.0% | 1.3 | 71.9% | 15.1% | |
| 22 | Devin Brafford | F | So | 7'1" | 19-1 | 7.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 52.9% | 20.0% | 0.8 | 52.6% | 22.4% | |
| 24 | Easton Hupp | G | Fr | 6'4" | 4-0 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 42.9% | 22.2% | 2.3 | 100.0% | 42.7% | |
| 10 | AJ Gladieux | G | Fr | 6'2" | 4-0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 16.3% | |
| 6 | Anthony Gause | G | So | 6'3" | 1-0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 19.9% | |
| 13 | Kaleb Lofton | G | Jr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Wofford2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Wofford's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nils Machowski | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-32 | 33.7 | 17.2 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 54.2% | 38.2% | 7.4 | 79.0% | 28.9% | |
| 0 | Cayden Vasko | G | Jr | 6'6" | 32-32 | 31.9 | 10.4 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 49.3% | 32.1% | 5.3 | 80.0% | 20.1% | |
| 11 | Kahmare Holmes | G | So | 6'3" | 26-26 | 31.9 | 19.5 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 54.6% | 35.2% | 4.9 | 65.5% | 34.8% | |
| 4 | Chace Watley | G | Fr | 6'2" | 32-15 | 24.8 | 9.7 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 45.8% | 30.6% | 3.1 | 76.7% | 24.8% | |
| 1 | Brian Sumpter | F | Fr | 6'8" | 31-21 | 22.7 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 60.6% | 16.7% | 0.4 | 61.5% | 16.3% | |
| 2 | Luke Flynn | G | So | 6'1" | 21-18 | 26.0 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 45.6% | 33.8% | 3.7 | 75.8% | 13.6% | |
| 25 | Rex Stirling | F | Jr | 6'8" | 30-9 | 14.5 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 57.3% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 61.4% | 21.6% | |
| 5 | Brendan Rigsbee | G | Jr | 6'2" | 25-5 | 15.8 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 54.3% | 22.2% | 1.4 | 69.2% | 15.9% | |
| 8 | Jayden Tyler | G | Fr | 5'10" | 25-0 | 13.2 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 60.6% | 47.5% | 2.4 | 53.7% | 22.0% | |
| 10 | Maximo Ortega | G | Fr | 6'2" | 22-0 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 59.0% | 41.2% | 0.8 | 65.4% | 20.9% | |
| 32 | Callum Richard | C | Jr | 6'10" | 7-1 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 72.7% | — | 0.0 | — | 19.8% | |
| 7 | Cannon Richards | F | So | 6'7" | 2-1 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 37.5% | 50.0% | 1.0 | 75.0% | 27.8% | |
| 12 | Grayson Collins | G | So | 5'11" | 8-0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 12.5% | |
| 14 | Davis Miller | G | Jr | 6'3" | 6-0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 100.0% | 0.2 | — | 12.0% | |
| 9 | Alessandro Perotti | F | Jr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Wofford
Against the spread
Season
15-15
Home
6-7
Road
9-7
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −5.2
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 2 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
15-15
Home
6-7
Road
9-7
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +6.3
Under in the last gameOver in 2 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | UNC Greensboro | N | L 72–75 | −5.5 | L−8.5 | 156.5 | U147 | 109.7 | 114.3 | 65.6 |
| Feb 28 | The Citadel | H | L 90–93 OT | −12.0 | L−15.0 | 148.0 | O183 | 122.1 | 126.1 | 73.7 |
| Feb 25 | ETSU | A | W 72–69 | +7.0 | W+10.0 | 150.0 | U141 | 108.3 | 103.8 | 66.5 |
| Feb 21 | Furman | H | L 67–76 | +1.5 | L−7.5 | 152.5 | U143 | 104.6 | 118.7 | 64.1 |
| Feb 18 | VMI | H | W 82–76 | −13.5 | L−7.5 | 158.5 | U158 | 119.0 | 110.3 | 68.9 |
| Feb 14 | UNC Greensboro | A | L 89–99 | −2.0 | L−12.0 | 155.5 | O188 | 126.8 | 141.1 | 70.2 |
| Feb 11 | Samford | A | L 80–97 | +6.0 | L−11.0 | 151.0 | O177 | 109.7 | 133.0 | 72.9 |
| Feb 7 | W Carolina | H | W 77–66 | −4.0 | W+7.0 | 154.0 | U143 | 112.0 | 96.0 | 68.7 |
| Feb 4 | VMI | A | W 81–67 | −9.0 | W+5.0 | 150.0 | U148 | 119.6 | 98.9 | 67.7 |
| Feb 1 | ETSU | H | L 72–86 | +1.5 | L−12.5 | 147.0 | O158 | 110.9 | 132.4 | 64.9 |
Charleston So
Against the spread
Season
14-15
Home
6-5
Road
7-9
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.8
Covered 3 straightCovered 1 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
19-10
Home
8-3
Road
9-7
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +8.1
Over 4 straightOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | Winthrop | N | L 81–86 | +5.5 | W+0.5 | 163.5 | O167 | 104.8 | 111.2 | 77.3 |
| Feb 28 | UNC Asheville | A | W 92–75 | +4.0 | W+21.0 | 149.5 | O167 | 129.9 | 105.9 | 70.8 |
| Feb 26 | Winthrop | H | W 86–84 | +8.0 | W+10.0 | 164.0 | O170 | 107.4 | 104.9 | 80.1 |
| Feb 21 | Longwood | H | L 96–107 2OT | −2.5 | L−13.5 | 154.0 | O203 | 112.9 | 125.8 | 85.0 |
| Feb 17 | Gardner-Webb | H | W 75–66 | −17.5 | L−8.5 | 160.5 | U141 | 100.9 | 88.8 | 74.4 |
| Feb 14 | Radford | A | L 80–90 | +4.5 | L−5.5 | 162.0 | O170 | 103.8 | 116.7 | 77.1 |
| Feb 12 | Presbyterian | H | W 84–67 | −1.5 | W+15.5 | 146.5 | O151 | 124.5 | 99.3 | 67.5 |
| Feb 7 | SC Upstate | A | L 94–100 OT | −1.0 | L−7.0 | 151.5 | O194 | 122.1 | 129.9 | 77.0 |
| Feb 4 | High Point | A | L 55–80 | +14.0 | L−11.0 | 162.5 | U135 | 78.1 | 113.6 | 70.4 |
| Jan 29 | Radford | H | L 75–84 | −1.0 | L−10.0 | 162.5 | U159 | 95.7 | 107.2 | 78.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeWoffordCharleston So
Efficiency
109.2
106.9
112.4
109.1
68.6
71.1
—
—
Shooting
52.5%
54.1%
52.5%
54.6%
35.0%
35.6%
70.9%
64.8%
36.2%
30.5%
Ball control & glass
13.4%
18.5%
14.9%
12.8%
29.8%
29.4%
29.0%
30.3%
8.1%
10.6%
9.5%
10.0%
Style
43.1%
49.5%
42.9%
40.6%
10.7%
11.0%
51.2%
54.9%
26.7%
39.5%
Roster
2.15
3.20
6'3.8"
6'5.1"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputWofford
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Wofford's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Charleston So
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Charleston So's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.