CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceEllis T. Johnson Arena, Morehead, KY
IU Indy
Efficiency #315
2025-26: 7-25 · 3-18 conf
@
Morehead St
Efficiency #266
2025-26: 20-13 · 16-6 conf
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
76.7
win 29%
Projected
83.1
win 71%
No line posted yet.
Model: MORE −6.4 · total 159.8 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Morehead St 67.0, IU Indy 72.5 → 71.2 possessions
+6.2
Morehead St offense vs IU Indy defense
+3.9
IU Indy offense vs Morehead St defense
+1.5
Projected total
159.8
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Morehead St offense vs IU Indy defense
+3.9
IU Indy offense vs Morehead St defense
−1.5
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Morehead St by 6.4
6.4
IU Indy side ◂▸ Morehead St side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +6.5 against +6.4. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Morehead St.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, IU Indy is the faster team (74.9, #4 of 365) and Morehead St the slower (66.8, #251). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.2
per team, 40 min
Projected total
159.8
model
Projected team totals
76.7 / 83.1
IU Indy / Morehead St
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
72.5#2
IU Indy
67.0#288
Morehead St
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Tempo tug-of-war
Morehead St averages 66.8 possessions per 40, IU Indy 74.9. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 71 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageMorehead St
Where Morehead St scores: the offensive glass
Morehead St rebounds 35.8% of its own misses (#27); IU Indy lets opponents grab 35.6% of their own misses (#348). Expect about 36.7%, 6.3 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.8 points per 100 possessions.
ClashMorehead St
Style match: 3-point volume
Morehead St rarely shoots threes (30.5% of its shots); IU Indy runs teams off the line (35.7% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 29.9% — both habits push the same way.
TurnoversMorehead St
Morehead St turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 19.0% is worth roughly -2.8 points per 100 possessions against Morehead St's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (IU Indy's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect IU Indy at about 41.3% of its shots from three, Morehead St about 29.9%.
AdvantageIU Indy
Where IU Indy scores: ball control
IU Indy turns it over on 15.9% of possessions (#127); Morehead St forces turnovers on 15.4% of opponent possessions (#258). Expect about 15.4%, 1.4 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.7 points per 100 possessions.
IU Indy has the ball
OffenseMorehead St allowsvs D1 avg
52.2% #136
50.2% #109
-0.0 pt/100
15.9% #127
15.4% #258
+1.7 pt/100
28.7% #243
35.8% #351
+0.9 pt/100
21.7% #365
35.6% #201
-0.8 pt/100
72.1% #204
—
-0.0 pt/100
IU Indy net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.7 pts/100
Morehead St has the ball
OffenseIU Indy allowsvs D1 avg
49.2% #285
58.2% #362
+3.3 pt/100
18.0% #272
19.2% #41
-2.8 pt/100
35.8% #27
35.6% #348
+3.8 pt/100
37.7% #109
46.6% #356
+1.0 pt/100
74.1% #125
—
+0.2 pt/100
Morehead St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +5.5 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersIU Indyoffense vsMorehead Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
IU Indy shoots
34.6
8.1
15.3
42.0
Morehead St allows
39.7
6.2
15.3
38.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.5%#62 | 54.7%#55 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 50.3%#11 | 34.3%#49 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.0%#223 | 34.9%#74 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.4%#258 | 34.5%#221 | 33.7% |
Morehead Stoffense vsIU Indydefense
Share of shots by zone
Morehead St shoots
39.8
8.7
21.1
30.4
IU Indy allows
48.7
4.0
11.4
35.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.1%#270 | 64.3%#343 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 42.0%#122 | 41.8%#228 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.7%#86 | 38.4%#173 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.0%#281 | 38.5%#361 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersIU Indy
−6.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#358 of 365
Off reb %
28.7%
#243
Def reb %
64.4%
#348
Turnover %
15.9%
#127
Forced TO %
19.2%
#41
FT rate
21.7%
#365
FT allowed
46.6%
#356
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.6
Defensive rebounding−1.6
Ball security+0.6
Forcing turnovers+1.7
Foul shots drawn−3.4
Foul shots allowed−2.9
Morehead St
−1.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#234 of 365
Off reb %
35.8%
#27
Def reb %
64.2%
#351
Turnover %
18.0%
#272
Forced TO %
15.4%
#258
FT rate
37.7%
#109
FT allowed
35.6%
#201
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.7
Defensive rebounding−1.7
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers−0.9
Foul shots drawn+0.7
Foul shots allowed−0.1
Morehead St has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.0 (#234 of 365) to IU Indy’s −6.2 (#358).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
IU Indy2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted IU Indy's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Finley Woodward | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-32 | 30.8 | 8.8 | 5.3 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 51.5% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 68.6% | 18.0% | |
| 12 | Kyler D'Augustino | G | Jr | 6'1" | 30-30 | 32.3 | 18.5 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 58.0% | 39.4% | 3.5 | 79.3% | 27.9% | |
| 13 | Maguire Mitchell | G | Fr | 6'5" | 32-31 | 26.3 | 11.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 54.5% | 34.9% | 7.4 | 78.4% | 22.9% | |
| 4 | Micah Davis | G | So | 6'2" | 32-6 | 25.4 | 9.4 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 49.6% | 31.3% | 5.2 | 70.0% | 22.9% | |
| 0 | Jaxon Edwards | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-14 | 23.0 | 11.6 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 55.1% | 21.3% | 1.6 | 73.6% | 27.3% | |
| 20 | Kameron Tinsley | F | So | 6'6" | 29-5 | 17.5 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 52.0% | 34.6% | 4.7 | 83.9% | 23.1% | |
| 23 | Aiden Miller | F | So | 6'8" | 29-9 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 49.2% | 31.6% | 3.4 | 64.5% | 20.5% | |
| 15 | Matt Compas | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-5 | 13.5 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 51.9% | 20.6% | 1.1 | 68.4% | 28.5% | |
| 1 | Reece Hagy | F | Fr | 6'8" | 31-23 | 11.0 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 46.9% | 21.2% | 1.1 | 56.5% | 12.8% | |
| 5 | JP Dragas | G | So | 6'1" | 15-0 | 16.3 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 51.9% | 34.8% | 4.4 | 71.4% | 20.2% | |
| 24 | Gabe Stewart | F | Fr | 6'9" | 12-5 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 28.1% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 17.1% | |
| 10 | Lav Cvetkovic | F | Sr | 6'7" | 12-0 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 57.7% | 37.5% | 0.7 | 40.0% | 17.6% | |
| 22 | Ajay Holubar | G | Sr | 6'3" | 9-0 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 18.9% | |
| 2 | Corey Boston | G | Sr | 5'10" | 6-0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 44.4% | 33.3% | 1.0 | 75.0% | 32.6% | |
| 11 | Garrett Sever | G | Fr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 1.0 | — | 11.9% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Morehead St2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Morehead St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | George Marshall | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 30.4 | 13.8 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 51.8% | 37.7% | 5.1 | 83.4% | 26.5% | |
| 2 | Davion Cunningham | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-9 | 27.0 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 45.2% | 30.0% | 2.2 | 73.1% | 29.3% | |
| 10 | Chase Dawson | G | So | 6'0" | 33-25 | 25.7 | 8.3 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 47.1% | 32.9% | 2.6 | 79.7% | 21.4% | |
| 8 | Anouar Mellouk | F | Sr | 6'8" | 33-24 | 24.9 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 53.3% | 25.7% | 1.1 | 58.6% | 20.7% | |
| 4 | Jon Carroll | F | Jr | 6'7" | 33-23 | 24.6 | 11.2 | 7.9 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 58.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 71.4% | 24.6% | |
| 0 | Josiah LeGree | G | So | 6'0" | 33-9 | 17.6 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 51.8% | 36.9% | 2.5 | 81.5% | 28.4% | |
| 5 | Vince Dawson III | G | Fr | 6'6" | 33-10 | 16.3 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 53.8% | 38.0% | 2.4 | 75.0% | 13.0% | |
| 24 | Tamaury Releford | C | Sr | 6'9" | 33-10 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 64.1% | — | 0.0 | 57.9% | 22.5% | |
| 22 | Tyonne Farrell | F | So | 6'6" | 27-14 | 13.1 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 50.0% | 22.2% | 0.7 | 52.5% | 22.1% | |
| 33 | Clayton Parker | F | Fr | 6'8" | 21-8 | 16.1 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 37.1% | 18.9% | 1.8 | 75.0% | 19.2% | |
| 12 | Jace Winkleman | G | Fr | 6'3" | 5-0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 55.6% | 33.3% | 1.2 | — | 35.3% | |
| 1 | Jacob Wilson | G | Sr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.3 | — | 24.7% | |
| 15 | Jaden Priester | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Jarvis Wright | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Kameren Wright | G | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
IU Indy2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted IU Indy's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Finley Woodward | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-32 | 30.8 | 8.8 | 5.3 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 51.5% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 68.6% | 18.0% | |
| 12 | Kyler D'Augustino | G | Jr | 6'1" | 30-30 | 32.3 | 18.5 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 58.0% | 39.4% | 3.5 | 79.3% | 27.9% | |
| 13 | Maguire Mitchell | G | Fr | 6'5" | 32-31 | 26.3 | 11.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 54.5% | 34.9% | 7.4 | 78.4% | 22.9% | |
| 4 | Micah Davis | G | So | 6'2" | 32-6 | 25.4 | 9.4 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 49.6% | 31.3% | 5.2 | 70.0% | 22.9% | |
| 0 | Jaxon Edwards | G | Sr | 6'5" | 30-14 | 23.0 | 11.6 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 55.1% | 21.3% | 1.6 | 73.6% | 27.3% | |
| 20 | Kameron Tinsley | F | So | 6'6" | 29-5 | 17.5 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 52.0% | 34.6% | 4.7 | 83.9% | 23.1% | |
| 23 | Aiden Miller | F | So | 6'8" | 29-9 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 49.2% | 31.6% | 3.4 | 64.5% | 20.5% | |
| 15 | Matt Compas | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-5 | 13.5 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 51.9% | 20.6% | 1.1 | 68.4% | 28.5% | |
| 1 | Reece Hagy | F | Fr | 6'8" | 31-23 | 11.0 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 46.9% | 21.2% | 1.1 | 56.5% | 12.8% | |
| 5 | JP Dragas | G | So | 6'1" | 15-0 | 16.3 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 51.9% | 34.8% | 4.4 | 71.4% | 20.2% | |
| 24 | Gabe Stewart | F | Fr | 6'9" | 12-5 | 5.6 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 28.1% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 17.1% | |
| 10 | Lav Cvetkovic | F | Sr | 6'7" | 12-0 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 57.7% | 37.5% | 0.7 | 40.0% | 17.6% | |
| 22 | Ajay Holubar | G | Sr | 6'3" | 9-0 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 18.9% | |
| 2 | Corey Boston | G | Sr | 5'10" | 6-0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 44.4% | 33.3% | 1.0 | 75.0% | 32.6% | |
| 11 | Garrett Sever | G | Fr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 1.0 | — | 11.9% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26IU Indy
Against the spread
Season
12-17-1
Home
5-7
Road
7-9-1
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover −1.6
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 3 of 9 as an underdog, 1 push
Over / under
Season
13-16-1
Home
4-8
Road
9-7-1
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +1.4
Over 2 straightOver in 6 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2 | Cleveland St | A | L 93–101 | +1.0 | L−7.0 | 169.5 | O194 | 112.1 | 121.7 | 83.0 |
| Feb 28 | Purdue FW | H | L 81–87 | +1.0 | L−5.0 | 160.5 | O168 | 116.4 | 125.0 | 69.6 |
| Feb 25 | Oakland | H | L 74–86 | +5.5 | L−6.5 | 167.5 | U160 | 101.9 | 118.5 | 72.6 |
| Feb 19 | Wright St | A | L 73–85 | +12.0 | P0.0 | 160.5 | U158 | 102.5 | 119.3 | 71.2 |
| Feb 15 | Purdue FW | A | L 78–83 | +6.5 | W+1.5 | 158.5 | O161 | 104.1 | 110.7 | 75.0 |
| Feb 12 | N Kentucky | H | L 81–84 | +6.0 | W+3.0 | 164.5 | O165 | 114.6 | 118.8 | 70.7 |
| Feb 10 | Milwaukee | H | L 88–92 | +2.0 | L−2.0 | 158.0 | O180 | 113.6 | 118.7 | 77.5 |
| Feb 7 | Cleveland St | H | W 82–74 | −2.5 | W+5.5 | 168.5 | U156 | 109.3 | 98.7 | 75.0 |
| Jan 30 | Youngstown St | A | L 76–85 | +10.5 | W+1.5 | 154.0 | O161 | 103.7 | 116.0 | 73.3 |
| Jan 28 | Robert Morris | A | L 58–74 | +8.5 | L−7.5 | 159.5 | U132 | 97.3 | 124.2 | 59.6 |
Morehead St
Against the spread
Season
18-12
Home
7-3
Road
10-7
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +2.9
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-14
Home
6-4
Road
8-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.9
Over in the last gameOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 4 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Tennessee St | N | L 67–93 | +5.0 | L−21.0 | 144.0 | O160 | 96.0 | 133.2 | 69.8 |
| Mar 6 | SE Missouri | N | W 66–61 | +4.0 | W+9.0 | 139.5 | U127 | 102.1 | 94.4 | 64.6 |
| Feb 26 | Little Rock | A | W 76–70 | +2.5 | W+8.5 | 139.0 | O146 | 117.8 | 108.5 | 64.5 |
| Feb 24 | S Indiana | H | W 64–63 | −7.5 | L−6.5 | 142.5 | U127 | 105.7 | 104.0 | 60.5 |
| Feb 21 | W Illinois | A | W 81–59 | −8.0 | W+14.0 | 144.0 | U140 | 127.6 | 92.9 | 63.5 |
| Feb 19 | E Illinois | A | W 73–70 | −1.0 | W+2.0 | 136.5 | O143 | 110.0 | 105.5 | 66.3 |
| Feb 14 | Tennessee St | H | W 94–86 | +1.5 | W+9.5 | 151.0 | O180 | 135.8 | 124.3 | 69.2 |
| Feb 12 | Tennessee Tech | H | W 73–66 | −4.0 | W+3.0 | 144.0 | U139 | 117.1 | 105.9 | 62.3 |
| Feb 7 | UT Martin | A | W 61–55 | +9.0 | W+15.0 | 136.0 | U116 | 101.3 | 91.3 | 60.2 |
| Feb 5 | SE Missouri | A | L 70–82 | +7.5 | L−4.5 | 144.0 | O152 | 99.9 | 117.1 | 70.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeIU IndyMorehead St
Efficiency
106.3
107.5
114.9
112.8
72.5
67.0
—
—
Shooting
52.2%
49.2%
54.8%
49.7%
32.4%
32.0%
72.1%
74.1%
21.7%
37.7%
Ball control & glass
15.9%
18.0%
19.2%
15.4%
28.7%
35.8%
35.6%
35.8%
10.1%
10.6%
7.9%
9.2%
Style
42.1%
30.5%
48.0%
45.0%
15.6%
12.1%
61.9%
47.4%
38.0%
38.1%
Roster
2.64
2.81
6'4.6"
6'4.7"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputIU Indy
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted IU Indy's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Morehead St
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Morehead St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 29 | 2025-26 | Morehead St 80 – 85 IU Indy |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.