CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferenceCharles Koch Arena, Wichita, KS

Austin Peay

Efficiency #141

2025-26: 22-9 · 16-4 conf

Wichita St

Efficiency #60

2025-26: 24-12 · 14-6 conf

Sat, Nov 14 · TBD

69.6

win 24%

Projected

77.8

win 76%

No line posted yet.

Model: WICH −8.2 · total 147.4 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: Wichita St 67.9, Austin Peay 69.5 → 69.1 possessions

+1.7

Wichita St offense vs Austin Peay defense

+0.8

Austin Peay offense vs Wichita St defense

−3.4

Projected total

147.4

Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

Wichita St offense vs Austin Peay defense

+0.8

Austin Peay offense vs Wichita St defense

+3.4

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+4.0

Wichita St by 8.2

8.2

Austin Peay side ◂▸ Wichita St side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 147.3 against a projected 147.4. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Wichita St.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 69.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Austin Peay is the faster team (70.1, #90 of 365) and Wichita St the slower (67.8, #211). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

69.1

per team, 40 min

Projected total

147.4

model

Projected team totals

69.6 / 77.8

Austin Peay / Wichita St

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

69.5#82

Austin Peay

67.9#218

Wichita St

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

AdvantageWichita St

Where Wichita St scores: the offensive glass

Wichita St rebounds 38.0% of its own misses (#8); Austin Peay lets opponents grab 28.9% of their own misses (#100). Expect about 35.0%, 4.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.8 points per 100 possessions.

Watch for noise

3-point caution

A notable season 3-point number here (Wichita St's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Austin Peay at about 35.0% of its shots from three, Wichita St about 35.8%.

AdvantageAustin Peay

Where Austin Peay scores: ball control

Austin Peay turns it over on 15.4% of possessions (#93); Wichita St forces turnovers on 15.7% of opponent possessions (#235). Expect about 15.3%, 1.5 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.8 points per 100 possessions.

DefenseAustin Peay

Austin Peay's ball-hawking

Austin Peay ranks #24 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 10.8% of Wichita St's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.

Austin Peay has the ball

OffenseWichita St allowsvs D1 avg

53.0% #105

47.2% #24

-1.5 pt/100

15.4% #93

15.7% #235

+1.8 pt/100

29.7% #214

28.8% #93

-0.8 pt/100

37.6% #110

34.3% #158

+0.1 pt/100

73.4% #158

—

+0.1 pt/100

Austin Peay net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.3 pts/100

Wichita St has the ball

OffenseAustin Peay allowsvs D1 avg

49.4% #274

52.2% #227

-0.8 pt/100

14.9% #60

17.9% #104

+0.4 pt/100

38.0% #8

28.9% #100

+2.8 pt/100

36.0% #149

32.8% #127

-0.1 pt/100

69.2% #291

—

-0.3 pt/100

Wichita St net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.0 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

Austin Peayoffense vsWichita Stdefense

Share of shots by zone

Austin Peay shoots

43.8

7.7

10.7

37.8

Wichita St allows

35.7

9.5

20.8

34.0

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	58.5%#178	53.9%#39	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	44.0%#79	35.5%#73	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	33.7%#318	39.8%#235	38.0%
Three	35.3%#99	31.5%#44	33.7%

Wichita Stoffense vsAustin Peaydefense

Share of shots by zone

Wichita St shoots

39.0

11.0

16.9

33.1

Austin Peay allows

41.7

5.2

12.2

40.8

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	55.4%#288	60.5%#254	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	39.9%#177	32.5%#24	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	38.4%#174	40.2%#249	38.0%
Three	33.5%#195	33.2%#137	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

Austin Peay

+3.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#48 of 365

Off reb %

29.7%

#214

Def reb %

71.1%

#100

Turnover %

15.4%

#93

Forced TO %

17.9%

#104

FT rate

37.6%

#110

FT allowed

32.8%

#127

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−0.2

Defensive rebounding+0.6

Ball security+0.9

Forcing turnovers+0.8

Foul shots drawn+0.7

Foul shots allowed+0.6

Wichita St

+4.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#34 of 365

Off reb %

38.0%

Def reb %

71.2%

#93

Turnover %

14.9%

#60

Forced TO %

15.7%

#235

FT rate

36.0%

#149

FT allowed

34.3%

#158

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+2.5

Defensive rebounding+0.6

Ball security+1.3

Forcing turnovers−0.7

Foul shots drawn+0.2

Foul shots allowed+0.2

Wichita St has more extra scoring chances per game: +4.1 (#34 of 365) to Austin Peay’s +3.4 (#48).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Austin Peay2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Austin Peay's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
32	Collin Parker	F	Sr	6'8"	31-31	30.6	17.6	6.2	3.2	1.6	54.5%	40.0%	4.5	81.5%	30.8%
0	Tate McCubbin	G	So	6'8"	31-31	29.5	9.7	4.8	1.4	0.8	49.8%	34.6%	6.0	79.2%	19.1%
1	Zyree Collins	PG	Fr	6'0"	31-30	29.3	13.5	3.1	4.3	2.5	47.8%	31.3%	3.2	74.8%	29.5%
5	Rashaud Marshall	F	Jr	6'8"	31-28	29.2	16.3	6.8	1.2	1.2	65.5%	—	0.0	67.3%	25.7%
12	Anton Brookshire	PG	Sr	6'2"	31-20	24.8	8.4	2.2	2.7	1.4	54.8%	37.7%	4.7	80.0%	19.4%
23	Ja'Corey Robinson	PG	Fr	6'6"	30-0	17.2	6.6	2.9	2.0	1.3	53.4%	40.0%	0.3	75.4%	22.9%
3	Matt Enright	PG	Sr	6'2"	25-12	15.4	4.7	1.1	1.0	0.3	52.6%	37.3%	3.0	75.0%	16.5%
7	Creighton Morisch	F	Sr	6'10"	30-3	9.2	1.3	2.0	0.4	0.6	48.7%	28.6%	0.2	18.2%	12.8%
22	Travis Torain	G	So	6'8"	21-0	9.2	2.0	2.4	0.0	0.4	54.7%	33.3%	0.1	100.0%	12.2%
2	Tyler Wagner	G	Fr	6'5"	21-0	7.8	2.9	1.3	0.1	0.1	59.4%	38.6%	2.1	75.0%	17.0%
20	Quan Lax	PG	Sr	6'2"	9-0	13.8	2.4	1.6	0.9	0.7	34.1%	10.0%	1.1	77.8%	14.6%
24	Hansel Enmanuel	PG	Sr	6'6"	11-0	6.5	1.5	1.5	0.0	0.5	36.4%	0.0%	0.1	72.7%	16.3%
10	Terrell Gaines	PG	So	5'8"	5-0	5.0	1.8	0.2	0.0	0.8	31.3%	20.0%	1.0	100.0%	27.1%

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Wichita St2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Wichita St's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
1	Kenyon Giles	G	Sr	5'10"	36-36	36.3	19.1	2.6	1.4	1.3	51.2%	37.8%	9.2	83.1%	31.5%
0	Karon Boyd	F	Sr	6'6"	36-36	33.8	10.9	5.8	1.6	1.6	49.2%	35.1%	3.6	63.8%	21.2%
9	Michael Gray Jr.	G	Sr	6'1"	36-36	26.9	8.2	3.3	2.3	1.3	43.0%	31.1%	4.6	85.9%	21.8%
4	TJ Williams	G	Fr	6'5"	35-16	22.0	8.7	5.0	1.5	1.3	46.8%	8.3%	0.3	68.3%	26.4%
44	Will Berg	C	Jr	7'2"	35-10	21.9	8.8	8.1	0.7	1.1	55.9%	0.0%	0.1	69.0%	22.5%
3	Dre Kindell	G	Jr	5'11"	36-0	17.3	5.9	1.6	2.3	1.1	49.4%	34.3%	1.0	80.0%	21.8%
20	Emmanuel Okorafor	F	Sr	6'10"	36-26	16.9	6.3	5.2	0.4	1.1	57.0%	—	0.0	67.2%	22.6%
8	Dillon Battie	F	So	6'8"	31-20	17.4	7.6	4.7	0.7	0.9	56.9%	18.8%	0.5	61.4%	24.4%
5	Brian Amuneke	G	So	6'5"	36-0	7.9	2.4	0.7	0.3	0.2	43.8%	33.3%	1.6	50.0%	21.7%
2	Jaret Valencia	F	Jr	6'8"	11-0	13.2	2.8	1.8	0.6	0.4	33.9%	27.3%	1.0	58.8%	18.5%
22	Noah Hill	F	Fr	6'7"	19-0	5.1	1.7	2.6	0.1	0.3	66.7%	—	0.0	28.6%	19.9%
21	Henry Thengvall	F	Jr	6'6"	11-0	2.5	0.3	0.1	0.3	0.2	12.5%	0.0%	0.5	50.0%	23.2%
12	Joy Ighovodja	G	Jr	6'4"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
11	Pierre Couisnard	G	Fr	6'1"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
10	Tyrus Rathan-Mayes	G	Fr	6'5"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Austin Peay2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted Austin Peay's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
32	Collin Parker	F	Sr	6'8"	31-31	30.6	17.6	6.2	3.2	1.6	54.5%	40.0%	4.5	81.5%	30.8%
0	Tate McCubbin	G	So	6'8"	31-31	29.5	9.7	4.8	1.4	0.8	49.8%	34.6%	6.0	79.2%	19.1%
1	Zyree Collins	PG	Fr	6'0"	31-30	29.3	13.5	3.1	4.3	2.5	47.8%	31.3%	3.2	74.8%	29.5%
5	Rashaud Marshall	F	Jr	6'8"	31-28	29.2	16.3	6.8	1.2	1.2	65.5%	—	0.0	67.3%	25.7%
12	Anton Brookshire	PG	Sr	6'2"	31-20	24.8	8.4	2.2	2.7	1.4	54.8%	37.7%	4.7	80.0%	19.4%
23	Ja'Corey Robinson	PG	Fr	6'6"	30-0	17.2	6.6	2.9	2.0	1.3	53.4%	40.0%	0.3	75.4%	22.9%
3	Matt Enright	PG	Sr	6'2"	25-12	15.4	4.7	1.1	1.0	0.3	52.6%	37.3%	3.0	75.0%	16.5%
7	Creighton Morisch	F	Sr	6'10"	30-3	9.2	1.3	2.0	0.4	0.6	48.7%	28.6%	0.2	18.2%	12.8%
22	Travis Torain	G	So	6'8"	21-0	9.2	2.0	2.4	0.0	0.4	54.7%	33.3%	0.1	100.0%	12.2%
2	Tyler Wagner	G	Fr	6'5"	21-0	7.8	2.9	1.3	0.1	0.1	59.4%	38.6%	2.1	75.0%	17.0%
20	Quan Lax	PG	Sr	6'2"	9-0	13.8	2.4	1.6	0.9	0.7	34.1%	10.0%	1.1	77.8%	14.6%
24	Hansel Enmanuel	PG	Sr	6'6"	11-0	6.5	1.5	1.5	0.0	0.5	36.4%	0.0%	0.1	72.7%	16.3%
10	Terrell Gaines	PG	So	5'8"	5-0	5.0	1.8	0.2	0.0	0.8	31.3%	20.0%	1.0	100.0%	27.1%

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

Austin Peay

Against the spread

Season

14-14-1

Home

7-4

Road

7-8-1

Last 10

4-6

avg cover −0.9

Missed the spread 6 straightCovered 3 of 9 as a favorite

Over / under

Season

14-15

Home

6-5

Road

7-9

Last 10

7-3

avg vs total +8.2

Over in the last gameOver in 6 of 9 as a favorite

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 7	QueensAdjEM #191	N	L 83–90	−2.0	L−9.0	161.5	O173	114.1	123.8	72.7
Mar 6	StetsonAdjEM #322	N	W 69–60	−12.5	L−3.5	153.0	U129	109.7	95.4	62.9
Feb 28	BellarmineAdjEM #281	A	L 97–111	−5.5	L−19.5	155.0	O208	117.3	134.2	82.7
Feb 25	C ArkansasAdjEM #139	H	L 88–93	−5.0	L−10.0	151.5	O181	129.9	137.2	67.8
Feb 21	JacksonvilleAdjEM #294	A	W 65–61	−5.5	L−1.5	142.5	U126	107.6	101.0	60.4
Feb 19	North FloridaAdjEM #338	A	W 77–76	−11.0	L−10.0	165.5	U153	98.7	97.5	78.0
Feb 14	BellarmineAdjEM #281	H	W 90–70	−9.5	W+10.5	153.0	O160	148.8	115.7	60.5
Feb 11	QueensAdjEM #191	A	W 95–87	+2.5	W+10.5	161.0	O182	128.9	118.1	73.7
Feb 7	North AlabamaAdjEM #343	H	W 91–62	−12.5	W+16.5	145.5	O153	147.3	100.4	61.8
Feb 4	LipscombAdjEM #179	H	W 87–76	−4.5	W+6.5	157.0	O163	120.9	105.6	71.9

Wichita St

Against the spread

Season

23-12

Home

12-5

Road

9-4

Last 10

7-3

avg cover +5.0

Covered 2 straightCovered 3 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 5 as an underdog

Over / under

Season

16-19

Home

6-11

Road

9-4

Last 10

6-4

avg vs total +2.2

Over 2 straightOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 5 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 24	TulsaAdjEM #46	A	L 79–83	+4.5	W+0.5	154.0	O162	105.2	110.6	75.1
Mar 22	Oklahoma StAdjEM #89	A	W 96–70	+2.5	W+28.5	163.0	O166	130.5	95.1	73.6
Mar 17	WyomingAdjEM #98	H	W 74–70	−5.5	L−1.5	148.0	U144	99.0	93.7	74.7
Mar 15	South FloridaAdjEM #36	N	L 55–70	+6.0	L−9.0	150.5	U125	80.6	102.6	68.2
Mar 14	TulsaAdjEM #46	N	W 81–68	+1.5	W+14.5	152.0	U149	124.9	104.9	64.8
Mar 7	FAUAdjEM #122	H	W 88–70	−8.0	W+10.0	149.0	O158	125.5	99.9	70.1
Mar 1	UTSAAdjEM #350	A	W 84–67	−15.5	W+1.5	150.5	O151	120.5	96.1	69.7
Feb 26	MemphisAdjEM #152	A	W 88–82	+1.0	W+7.0	149.5	O170	122.4	114.1	71.9
Feb 21	TempleAdjEM #168	H	W 69–57	−8.5	W+3.5	143.5	U126	112.4	92.8	61.4
Feb 18	East CarolinaAdjEM #272	A	W 92–89 2OT	−8.0	L−5.0	149.5	O181	104.4	101.0	88.1

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

Austin PeayWichita St

Efficiency

108.7

111.1

107.1

103.4

69.5

67.9

—

Shooting

53.0%

49.4%

53.0%

49.0%

35.3%

33.5%

73.4%

69.2%

37.6%

36.0%

Ball control & glass

15.4%

14.9%

17.9%

15.7%

29.7%

38.0%

28.9%

28.8%

9.3%

8.7%

8.3%

Style

38.0%

33.8%

46.1%

45.1%

15.2%

9.5%

56.0%

41.3%

29.5%

32.4%

Roster

2.72

3.21

6'5.4"

6'4.5"

—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

Austin Peay

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted Austin Peay's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Wichita St

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted Wichita St's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.