CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceTruist Arena, Highland Heights, KY
C Michigan
Efficiency #283
2025-26: 10-21 · 6-12 conf
@
N Kentucky
Efficiency #164
2025-26: 20-14 · 12-11 conf
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
72.3
win 23%
Projected
81.1
win 77%
No line posted yet.
Model: NKU −8.7 · total 153.4 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: N Kentucky 70.0, C Michigan 68.1 → 69.8 possessions
+3.3
N Kentucky offense vs C Michigan defense
+3.3
C Michigan offense vs N Kentucky defense
−1.5
Projected total
153.4
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
N Kentucky offense vs C Michigan defense
+3.3
C Michigan offense vs N Kentucky defense
+1.5
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
N Kentucky by 8.7
8.7
C Michigan side ◂▸ N Kentucky side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 153.3 against a projected 153.4, and the margin steps add to +8.8 against +8.7. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help N Kentucky.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, N Kentucky is the faster team (70.9, #58 of 365) and C Michigan the slower (68.3, #185). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
153.4
model
Projected team totals
72.3 / 81.1
C Michigan / N Kentucky
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.1#198
C Michigan
70.0#49
N Kentucky
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageN Kentucky
Where N Kentucky scores: shooting
N Kentucky shoots an effective 53.2% (#93); C Michigan allows 54.0% (#299). Expect about 53.8%, 2.5 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.5 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageC Michigan
Where C Michigan scores: shooting
C Michigan shoots an effective 51.8% (#158); N Kentucky allows 54.2% (#305). Expect about 53.1%, 1.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.5 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversC Michigan
C Michigan turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.7% is worth roughly -2.4 points per 100 possessions against C Michigan's offense.
DefenseN Kentucky
N Kentucky's ball-hawking
N Kentucky ranks #30 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.6% of C Michigan's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (N Kentucky's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect C Michigan at about 34.2% of its shots from three, N Kentucky about 43.1%.
GlassN Kentucky
N Kentucky owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 33.6% is worth roughly +1.9 points per 100 possessions for N Kentucky's offense.
C Michigan has the ball
OffenseN Kentucky allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #158
54.2% #305
+2.5 pt/100
18.1% #276
18.6% #68
-2.4 pt/100
29.2% #230
31.6% #236
-0.1 pt/100
31.4% #269
37.2% #245
-0.1 pt/100
69.7% #277
—
-0.2 pt/100
C Michigan net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.3 pts/100
N Kentucky has the ball
OffenseC Michigan allowsvs D1 avg
53.2% #93
54.0% #299
+3.5 pt/100
16.3% #156
17.0% #156
+0.2 pt/100
32.2% #117
34.3% #323
+1.9 pt/100
35.9% #158
39.0% #284
+0.3 pt/100
72.1% #208
—
-0.0 pt/100
N Kentucky net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +6.0 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersC Michiganoffense vsN Kentuckydefense
Share of shots by zone
C Michigan shoots
38.2
10.0
18.5
33.3
N Kentucky allows
42.4
7.5
12.3
37.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.3%#154 | 58.4%#159 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 46.8%#41 | 45.6%#317 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.4%#99 | 38.8%#196 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.9%#181 | 36.6%#333 | 33.7% |
N Kentuckyoffense vsC Michigandefense
Share of shots by zone
N Kentucky shoots
41.8
5.2
8.3
44.6
C Michigan allows
44.8
6.0
10.8
38.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.6%#102 | 61.1%#270 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.0%#104 | 44.2%#270 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.8%#264 | 31.6%#14 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.6%#193 | 35.5%#282 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersC Michigan
−4.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#330 of 365
Off reb %
29.2%
#230
Def reb %
65.7%
#323
Turnover %
18.1%
#276
Forced TO %
17.0%
#156
FT rate
31.4%
#269
FT allowed
39.0%
#284
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.4
Defensive rebounding−1.2
Ball security−0.9
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.9
Foul shots allowed−1.0
N Kentucky
+1.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#116 of 365
Off reb %
32.2%
#117
Def reb %
68.4%
#236
Turnover %
16.3%
#156
Forced TO %
18.6%
#68
FT rate
35.9%
#158
FT allowed
37.2%
#245
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.6
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security+0.3
Forcing turnovers+1.3
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed−0.5
N Kentucky has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.6 (#116 of 365) to C Michigan’s −4.2 (#330).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
C Michigan2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jayson Pettyat Kansas City | G | Sr | 6'3" | 31-31 | 31.1 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 49.0% | 33.5% | 5.3 | 83.3% | 22.2% | |
| 10 | Phat Phat Brooks | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-27 | 28.1 | 11.0 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 43.2% | 17.6% | 1.1 | 73.3% | 27.3% | |
| 13 | Keenan Garner | F | Jr | 6'7" | 31-18 | 24.2 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 56.1% | 47.1% | 0.5 | 59.2% | 19.9% | |
| 3 | Jaxson Whitaker | G | Jr | 6'4" | 31-6 | 18.2 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 52.3% | 34.5% | 3.7 | 83.3% | 17.8% | |
| 2 | Jalen Kampen | G | So | 6'4" | 20-0 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 49.3% | 31.3% | 1.6 | 68.8% | 18.3% | |
| 4 | Kareem Aburashed | C | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Nsikan Usen | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Uchenna Amene | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Brock Mendoza | C | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 55 | Conrad Luczynski | C | Sr | 7'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 23 | Jacob Wrencher | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Jake Bascom | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | Jayden Hackett | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 40 | Travis Ambrose | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Tyre Acuff | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Jayson Petty (from Kansas City)
N Kentucky2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Dan Gherezgher | G | Sr | 6'4" | 34-29 | 29.5 | 15.9 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 53.4% | 37.4% | 7.7 | 73.4% | 31.4% | |
| 8 | Donovan Oday | G | Sr | 6'2" | 34-16 | 29.0 | 18.6 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 56.9% | 33.0% | 5.3 | 81.0% | 32.7% | |
| 11 | Tae Dozier | G | Sr | 6'5" | 34-29 | 28.9 | 8.6 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 58.2% | 33.3% | 3.5 | 66.7% | 15.9% | |
| 6 | Ethan Elliott | G | Fr | 6'3" | 32-31 | 28.5 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 39.2% | 25.6% | 2.6 | 48.6% | 15.1% | |
| 24 | Kael Robinson | F | Sr | 6'7" | 31-29 | 26.3 | 14.4 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 56.0% | 39.2% | 5.8 | 82.0% | 28.8% | |
| 10 | Donovan Rakotonanahary | G | Fr | 6'6" | 32-0 | 12.3 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 71.1% | 33.3% | 0.1 | 55.6% | 11.3% | |
| 3 | Shawn Nelson | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-2 | 11.4 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 38.8% | 17.6% | 1.3 | 53.3% | 20.9% | |
| 4 | Bryce Darbyshire | G | So | 6'4" | 25-0 | 6.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 58.3% | 38.9% | 0.7 | 33.3% | 13.0% | |
| 1 | Ryan Tolliver | G | Fr | 6'7" | 22-1 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 47.1% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 77.8% | 10.7% | |
| 12 | Addison Archer | F | Jr | 6'9" | 20-0 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 43.3% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 70.0% | 11.4% | |
| 26 | Mitchel Minor | G | Sr | 5'10" | 4-0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 116.7% | 100.0% | 0.3 | — | 33.1% | |
| 22 | JJ Apathjang | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 17 | Juanma Ruiz | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
C Michigan2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jayson Pettyat Kansas City | G | Sr | 6'3" | 31-31 | 31.1 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 49.0% | 33.5% | 5.3 | 83.3% | 22.2% | |
| 10 | Phat Phat Brooks | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-27 | 28.1 | 11.0 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 43.2% | 17.6% | 1.1 | 73.3% | 27.3% | |
| 13 | Keenan Garner | F | Jr | 6'7" | 31-18 | 24.2 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 56.1% | 47.1% | 0.5 | 59.2% | 19.9% | |
| 3 | Jaxson Whitaker | G | Jr | 6'4" | 31-6 | 18.2 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 52.3% | 34.5% | 3.7 | 83.3% | 17.8% | |
| 2 | Jalen Kampen | G | So | 6'4" | 20-0 | 13.9 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 49.3% | 31.3% | 1.6 | 68.8% | 18.3% | |
| 4 | Kareem Aburashed | C | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Nsikan Usen | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Uchenna Amene | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Brock Mendoza | C | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 55 | Conrad Luczynski | C | Sr | 7'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 23 | Jacob Wrencher | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Jake Bascom | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | Jayden Hackett | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 40 | Travis Ambrose | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Tyre Acuff | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Jayson Petty (from Kansas City)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26C Michigan
Against the spread
Season
15-13-1
Home
7-3-1
Road
6-10
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +6.0
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 4 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
13-16
Home
5-6
Road
8-8
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.5
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | Ball State | A | L 69–85 | +2.0 | L−14.0 | 135.0 | O154 | 102.1 | 125.8 | 67.6 |
| Mar 3 | Akron | H | L 64–77 | +11.5 | L−1.5 | 158.5 | U141 | 94.1 | 113.2 | 68.0 |
| Feb 28 | Buffalo | A | W 75–70 | +6.0 | W+11.0 | 149.5 | U145 | 117.8 | 109.9 | 63.7 |
| Feb 24 | Kent State | A | L 81–83 | +12.0 | W+10.0 | 157.0 | O164 | 121.1 | 124.1 | 66.9 |
| Feb 21 | W Michigan | H | W 83–70 | −3.5 | W+9.5 | 151.5 | O153 | 111.5 | 94.0 | 74.5 |
| Feb 17 | E Michigan | A | L 54–66 | +5.0 | L−7.0 | 143.0 | U120 | 81.4 | 99.5 | 66.3 |
| Feb 14 | N Illinois | H | W 88–46 | −4.5 | W+37.5 | 146.0 | U134 | 128.9 | 67.4 | 68.3 |
| Feb 7 | Louisiana | A | L 80–85 | +2.5 | L−2.5 | 134.0 | O165 | 125.0 | 132.8 | 64.0 |
| Feb 3 | UMass | A | L 89–95 | +11.5 | W+5.5 | 152.5 | O184 | 127.4 | 136.0 | 69.8 |
| Jan 31 | Bowling Green | H | W 62–59 | +9.0 | W+12.0 | 149.0 | U121 | 88.1 | 83.8 | 70.4 |
N Kentucky
Against the spread
Season
13-18
Home
7-7
Road
5-10
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.4
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
21-10
Home
9-5
Road
10-5
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +4.9
Over 4 straightOver in 5 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9 | Wright St | N | L 90–103 | +1.0 | L−12.0 | 158.0 | O193 | 114.7 | 131.3 | 78.5 |
| Mar 8 | Green Bay | N | W 96–76 | −4.0 | W+16.0 | 147.5 | O172 | 145.5 | 115.2 | 66.0 |
| Mar 4 | Oakland | A | W 85–84 | +2.0 | W+3.0 | 162.5 | O169 | 116.5 | 115.1 | 73.0 |
| Feb 28 | Wright St | H | L 91–92 | −3.0 | L−4.0 | 152.5 | O183 | 130.0 | 131.4 | 70.0 |
| Feb 25 | Cleveland St | A | W 81–70 | −8.0 | W+3.0 | 165.5 | U151 | 112.2 | 97.0 | 72.2 |
| Feb 22 | Youngstown St | A | L 58–64 | +2.0 | L−4.0 | 152.5 | U122 | 78.4 | 86.5 | 73.9 |
| Feb 18 | Purdue FW | H | W 87–71 | −6.0 | W+10.0 | 154.0 | O158 | 122.1 | 99.7 | 71.2 |
| Feb 12 | IU Indy | A | W 84–81 | −6.0 | L−3.0 | 164.5 | O165 | 118.8 | 114.6 | 70.7 |
| Feb 7 | Milwaukee | H | W 67–62 | −7.0 | L−2.0 | 156.5 | U129 | 107.1 | 99.1 | 62.6 |
| Feb 4 | Green Bay | H | L 84–87 OT | −8.0 | L−11.0 | 150.5 | O171 | 111.3 | 115.3 | 75.5 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeC MichiganN Kentucky
Efficiency
106.1
109.4
112.3
108.8
68.1
70.0
—
—
Shooting
51.8%
53.2%
52.2%
55.5%
33.9%
33.6%
69.7%
72.1%
31.4%
35.9%
Ball control & glass
18.1%
16.3%
17.0%
18.6%
29.2%
32.2%
34.3%
31.6%
11.1%
8.8%
8.8%
7.7%
Style
34.0%
44.9%
47.8%
44.6%
15.0%
20.1%
54.9%
55.5%
31.5%
27.3%
Roster
3.20
3.18
6'4.1"
6'4.3"
39.7%
85.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputC Michigan
Returning minutes: 39.7%Returning production: 34.3%
Lost
- Nathan Claerbaut 29.1 mpg, 12.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tamario Adley 29.0 mpg, 12.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Logan McIntire 23.8 mpg, 10.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Nick Mullen 19.0 mpg, 5.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Will Ashford 9.9 mpg, 2.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Rodney Johnson Jr. 5.0 mpg, 2.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jayson Petty from Kansas City · 31.1 mpg, 11.1 ppg last season
- Conrad Luczynski no D1 minutes last season
- Uchenna Amene no D1 minutes last season
- Tyre Acuff no D1 minutes last season
- Jacob Wrencher no D1 minutes last season
- Kareem Aburashed no D1 minutes last season
Returns 40% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
N Kentucky
Returning minutes: 85.4%Returning production: 81.3%
Lost
- LJ Wells 29.4 mpg, 14.5 ppg · transferred to Louisville
Added
- Juanma Ruiz no D1 minutes last season
- JJ Apathjang no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 85% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 20 | 2025-26 | N Kentucky 90 – 66 C Michigan |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.