CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceRamsey Center, Cullowhee, NC
Lipscomb
Efficiency #179
2025-26: 19-13 · 12-7 conf
@
W Carolina
Efficiency #217
2025-26: 15-16 · 11-9 conf
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
75.5
win 40%
Projected
78.4
win 60%
No line posted yet.
Model: WCU −2.8 · total 153.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: W Carolina 68.7, Lipscomb 69.7 → 70.1 possessions
+3.8
W Carolina offense vs Lipscomb defense
+0.3
Lipscomb offense vs W Carolina defense
+1.5
Projected total
153.9
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
W Carolina offense vs Lipscomb defense
+0.3
Lipscomb offense vs W Carolina defense
−1.5
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
W Carolina by 2.8
2.8
Lipscomb side ◂▸ W Carolina side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 153.8 against a projected 153.9. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help W Carolina.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 70.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Lipscomb is the faster team (70.5, #76 of 365) and W Carolina the slower (68.7, #164). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
70.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
153.9
model
Projected team totals
75.5 / 78.4
Lipscomb / W Carolina
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.7#69
Lipscomb
68.7#147
W Carolina
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageLipscomb
Where Lipscomb scores: shooting
Lipscomb shoots an effective 54.1% (#67); W Carolina allows 54.9% (#327). Expect about 54.8%, 3.5 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.9 points per 100 possessions.
GlassLipscomb
Lipscomb gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 25.2% is worth roughly -3.2 points per 100 possessions against Lipscomb's offense.
ClashLipscomb
Style match: 3-point volume
Lipscomb takes 47.9% of its shots from three; W Carolina lets opponents take 43.7% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 48.9% — both habits push the same way.
ClashW Carolina
Style match: ball movement
W Carolina creates off the dribble (assists on 44.3% of its baskets); Lipscomb breaks up passing offenses (assists on 46.2% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 43.2% — both habits push the same way.
TurnoversLipscomb
Lipscomb protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 14.9% is worth roughly +2.3 points per 100 possessions for Lipscomb's offense.
AdvantageW Carolina
Where W Carolina scores: the offensive glass
W Carolina rebounds 35.4% of its own misses (#36); Lipscomb lets opponents grab 30.2% of their own misses (#171). Expect about 33.8%, 3.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.1 points per 100 possessions.
Lipscomb has the ball
OffenseW Carolina allowsvs D1 avg
54.1% #67
54.9% #327
+4.9 pt/100
16.0% #142
14.5% #319
+2.3 pt/100
25.8% #327
26.3% #22
-3.2 pt/100
26.0% #357
37.8% #255
-0.3 pt/100
74.9% #85
—
+0.2 pt/100
Lipscomb net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.9 pts/100
W Carolina has the ball
OffenseLipscomb allowsvs D1 avg
50.4% #218
53.2% #273
+0.7 pt/100
16.8% #184
17.7% #112
-0.7 pt/100
35.4% #36
30.2% #171
+2.1 pt/100
31.3% #274
29.0% #45
-0.7 pt/100
71.4% #229
—
-0.1 pt/100
W Carolina net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersLipscomboffense vsW Carolinadefense
Share of shots by zone
Lipscomb shoots
39.4
5.7
7.1
47.8
W Carolina allows
36.6
4.8
15.6
43.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.2%#114 | 61.6%#291 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.8%#246 | 50.0%#354 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 29.1%#361 | 41.9%#296 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.7%#75 | 36.7%#337 | 33.7% |
W Carolinaoffense vsLipscombdefense
Share of shots by zone
W Carolina shoots
37.7
5.2
15.7
41.5
Lipscomb allows
36.4
9.7
13.7
40.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.4%#330 | 62.9%#322 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 42.5%#112 | 43.8%#264 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.2%#106 | 35.8%#102 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.5%#198 | 34.3%#207 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersLipscomb
−0.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#220 of 365
Off reb %
25.8%
#327
Def reb %
69.8%
#171
Turnover %
16.0%
#142
Forced TO %
17.7%
#112
FT rate
26.0%
#357
FT allowed
29.0%
#45
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.5
Defensive rebounding+0.1
Ball security+0.5
Forcing turnovers+0.7
Foul shots drawn−2.3
Foul shots allowed+1.6
W Carolina
−0.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#182 of 365
Off reb %
35.4%
#36
Def reb %
73.7%
#22
Turnover %
16.8%
#184
Forced TO %
14.5%
#319
FT rate
31.3%
#274
FT allowed
37.8%
#255
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.6
Defensive rebounding+1.4
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers−1.5
Foul shots drawn−1.0
Foul shots allowed−0.7
W Carolina has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.1 (#182 of 365) to Lipscomb’s −0.8 (#220).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Lipscomb2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Lipscomb's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateo Esmeraldo | G | Jr | 6'1" | 32-32 | 30.1 | 9.9 | 3.8 | 7.0 | 1.6 | 53.2% | 36.8% | 2.7 | 82.9% | 19.0% | |
| 35 | Grant Asman | F | Sr | 6'11" | 32-32 | 27.8 | 14.3 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 60.8% | 36.2% | 5.1 | 76.8% | 26.3% | |
| 26 | Titas Sargiunas | F | Jr | 6'4" | 32-20 | 23.7 | 9.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 51.8% | 34.0% | 4.4 | 73.3% | 24.6% | |
| 30 | Ross Candelino | G | Jr | 6'5" | 28-13 | 24.9 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 62.4% | 42.6% | 5.5 | 69.8% | 22.3% | |
| 33 | Charlie Williams | C | Sr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 21.3 | 10.1 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 53.2% | 33.7% | 3.2 | 79.2% | 28.9% | |
| 7 | Ethan Duncan | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-7 | 21.2 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 55.7% | 36.7% | 5.7 | 92.3% | 26.0% | |
| 6 | Or Ashkenazi | F | Fr | 6'5" | 31-24 | 19.5 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 50.7% | 39.4% | 1.1 | 75.0% | 9.4% | |
| 3 | Kennedy Okpara | F | Fr | 6'7" | 30-0 | 13.7 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 50.4% | 30.2% | 1.8 | 54.5% | 23.3% | |
| 23 | Kellan Boylan | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-0 | 12.2 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 47.0% | 6.3% | 0.5 | 67.3% | 17.2% | |
| 24 | Cole Middleton | F | Sr | 6'6" | 29-0 | 11.9 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 46.3% | 29.4% | 0.6 | 80.0% | 26.5% | |
| 12 | Luke Carter | G | Jr | 6'1" | 7-0 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.2% | 71.4% | 1.0 | — | 23.1% | |
| 2 | Devyn Martin | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Josh Scott | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Logan Suber | G | So | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Luke Jack | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Miles White | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
W Carolina2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Marcus Kell | F | Jr | 6'8" | 31-31 | 29.4 | 13.6 | 4.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 51.0% | 29.7% | 4.7 | 69.0% | 27.1% | |
| 3 | Julien Soumaoro | G | Sr | 5'11" | 27-23 | 26.1 | 11.6 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 54.4% | 39.8% | 6.0 | 76.9% | 26.4% | |
| 22 | Tidjiane Dioumassi | G | Sr | 6'4" | 29-24 | 24.2 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 49.3% | 36.4% | 2.3 | 72.5% | 25.0% | |
| 8 | Tahlan Pettway | G | Fr | 6'2" | 30-10 | 22.0 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 55.4% | 39.4% | 4.2 | 76.2% | 22.9% | |
| 12 | Samuel Dada | F | Fr | 6'9" | 31-12 | 20.3 | 6.6 | 7.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 69.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 78.9% | 15.4% | |
| 7 | Abdulai Fanta Kabba | C | So | 7'0" | 29-19 | 17.3 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 67.4% | — | 0.0 | 32.4% | 15.7% | |
| 4 | Justin Johnson | G | So | 6'8" | 30-3 | 15.6 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 44.0% | 22.7% | 1.5 | 63.5% | 29.2% | |
| 2 | CJ Hyland | G | So | 6'1" | 20-4 | 14.6 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 49.5% | 42.1% | 1.9 | 81.6% | 26.2% | |
| 21 | Tayeshaun Smith | F | Fr | 6'7" | 30-0 | 9.7 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 43.6% | 16.7% | 0.4 | 78.6% | 11.4% | |
| 20 | Fischer Brown | G | So | 6'4" | 10-0 | 9.6 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 45.8% | 13.3% | 1.5 | — | 15.1% | |
| 1 | Chase McKey | F | Sr | 6'10" | 4-0 | 9.3 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 10.0% | |
| 33 | Vernon Collins | F | Sr | 6'10" | 5-0 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 13.0% | |
| 11 | Drew Hollifield | G | Fr | 5'11" | 6-0 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 28.6% | 1.2 | 50.0% | 55.4% | |
| 17 | Max Williams | G | Fr | 6'6" | 6-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 9.6% | |
| 5 | Titian DeRosa | G | Fr | 5'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Lipscomb2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Lipscomb's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateo Esmeraldo | G | Jr | 6'1" | 32-32 | 30.1 | 9.9 | 3.8 | 7.0 | 1.6 | 53.2% | 36.8% | 2.7 | 82.9% | 19.0% | |
| 35 | Grant Asman | F | Sr | 6'11" | 32-32 | 27.8 | 14.3 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 60.8% | 36.2% | 5.1 | 76.8% | 26.3% | |
| 26 | Titas Sargiunas | F | Jr | 6'4" | 32-20 | 23.7 | 9.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 51.8% | 34.0% | 4.4 | 73.3% | 24.6% | |
| 30 | Ross Candelino | G | Jr | 6'5" | 28-13 | 24.9 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 62.4% | 42.6% | 5.5 | 69.8% | 22.3% | |
| 33 | Charlie Williams | C | Sr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 21.3 | 10.1 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 53.2% | 33.7% | 3.2 | 79.2% | 28.9% | |
| 7 | Ethan Duncan | G | Jr | 6'0" | 31-7 | 21.2 | 10.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 55.7% | 36.7% | 5.7 | 92.3% | 26.0% | |
| 6 | Or Ashkenazi | F | Fr | 6'5" | 31-24 | 19.5 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 50.7% | 39.4% | 1.1 | 75.0% | 9.4% | |
| 3 | Kennedy Okpara | F | Fr | 6'7" | 30-0 | 13.7 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 50.4% | 30.2% | 1.8 | 54.5% | 23.3% | |
| 23 | Kellan Boylan | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-0 | 12.2 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 47.0% | 6.3% | 0.5 | 67.3% | 17.2% | |
| 24 | Cole Middleton | F | Sr | 6'6" | 29-0 | 11.9 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 46.3% | 29.4% | 0.6 | 80.0% | 26.5% | |
| 12 | Luke Carter | G | Jr | 6'1" | 7-0 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 79.2% | 71.4% | 1.0 | — | 23.1% | |
| 2 | Devyn Martin | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Josh Scott | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Logan Suber | G | So | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Luke Jack | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Miles White | G | Sr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Lipscomb
Against the spread
Season
15-15
Home
8-4
Road
7-10
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −4.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
16-14
Home
5-7
Road
11-6
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −2.8
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | FGCU | N | L 53–77 | −4.5 | L−28.5 | 150.0 | U130 | 84.1 | 122.2 | 63.0 |
| Feb 28 | E Kentucky | A | W 80–77 | −2.5 | W+0.5 | 159.0 | U157 | 122.3 | 117.7 | 65.4 |
| Feb 25 | West Georgia | A | L 78–84 | −5.5 | L−11.5 | 153.0 | O162 | 110.6 | 119.1 | 70.5 |
| Feb 21 | North Alabama | H | W 73–51 | −12.0 | W+10.0 | 149.5 | U124 | 116.8 | 81.6 | 62.5 |
| Feb 18 | Bellarmine | A | W 75–72 | −3.5 | L−0.5 | 155.5 | U147 | 117.2 | 112.5 | 64.0 |
| Feb 14 | Queens | A | L 81–87 | +3.0 | L−3.0 | 165.5 | O168 | 103.2 | 110.9 | 78.5 |
| Feb 11 | E Kentucky | H | W 75–61 | −6.0 | W+8.0 | 161.0 | U136 | 114.6 | 93.2 | 65.5 |
| Feb 7 | C Arkansas | H | L 78–86 | −4.0 | L−12.0 | 155.5 | O164 | 107.3 | 118.3 | 72.7 |
| Feb 4 | Austin Peay | A | L 76–87 | +4.5 | L−6.5 | 157.0 | O163 | 105.6 | 120.9 | 71.9 |
| Jan 31 | North Florida | A | W 100–94 | −11.0 | L−5.0 | 166.5 | O194 | 137.2 | 129.0 | 72.9 |
W Carolina
Against the spread
Season
15-14
Home
7-4
Road
6-10
Last 10
8-2
avg cover +7.5
Covered 8 straightCovered 3 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 5 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-13
Home
5-6
Road
11-5
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −2.5
Under 2 straightOver in 2 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | ETSU | N | L 67–69 | +3.0 | W+1.0 | 146.0 | U136 | 102.4 | 105.5 | 65.4 |
| Mar 7 | Mercer | N | W 77–73 | +2.0 | W+6.0 | 154.0 | U150 | 114.5 | 108.5 | 67.3 |
| Feb 28 | Furman | H | W 86–67 | +2.0 | W+21.0 | 148.0 | O153 | 135.3 | 105.4 | 63.6 |
| Feb 25 | Mercer | H | W 78–74 | +1.0 | W+5.0 | 157.0 | U152 | 113.6 | 107.8 | 68.6 |
| Feb 21 | VMI | A | W 81–62 | −9.0 | W+10.0 | 155.0 | U143 | 128.3 | 98.2 | 63.2 |
| Feb 18 | UNC Greensboro | H | W 91–77 | −6.0 | W+8.0 | 155.0 | O168 | 129.1 | 109.3 | 70.5 |
| Feb 14 | Chattanooga | A | W 81–76 | +2.0 | W+7.0 | 151.5 | O157 | 117.6 | 110.4 | 68.9 |
| Feb 11 | The Citadel | H | W 87–49 | −9.5 | W+28.5 | 146.5 | U136 | 139.3 | 78.5 | 62.4 |
| Feb 7 | Wofford | A | L 66–77 | +4.0 | L−7.0 | 154.0 | U143 | 96.0 | 112.0 | 68.7 |
| Feb 4 | UNC Greensboro | A | L 78–81 | −1.5 | L−4.5 | 154.5 | O159 | 116.6 | 121.1 | 66.9 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeLipscombW Carolina
Efficiency
107.8
109.3
108.1
111.3
69.7
68.7
—
—
Shooting
54.1%
50.4%
54.5%
50.6%
35.7%
33.5%
74.9%
71.4%
26.0%
31.3%
Ball control & glass
16.0%
16.8%
17.7%
14.5%
25.8%
35.4%
30.2%
26.3%
9.3%
8.9%
10.1%
7.7%
Style
47.9%
40.9%
42.5%
41.2%
16.2%
9.6%
62.3%
44.3%
36.9%
33.4%
Roster
3.04
2.42
6'5.4"
6'5.5"
—
85.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputLipscomb
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Lipscomb's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
W Carolina
Returning minutes: 85.6%Returning production: 86.9%
Lost
- Cord Stansberry 29.1 mpg, 13.7 ppg · transferred to Missouri
Added
- Titian DeRosa no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 86% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 22 | 2025-26 | W Carolina 62 – 83 Lipscomb |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.