CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceReed Green Coliseum, Hattiesburg, MS
Tulane
Efficiency #239
2025-26: 18-15 · 9-11 conf
@
Southern Miss
Efficiency #218
2025-26: 19-16 · 12-10 conf
Wed, Dec 2 · TBD
71.5
win 34%
Projected
76.4
win 66%
No line posted yet.
Model: USM −4.9 · total 148.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Southern Miss 69.4, Tulane 68.0 → 69.1 possessions
+1.6
Southern Miss offense vs Tulane defense
−0.5
Tulane offense vs Southern Miss defense
−1.4
Projected total
148.0
Axis starts at 147 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Southern Miss offense vs Tulane defense
−0.5
Tulane offense vs Southern Miss defense
+1.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Southern Miss by 4.9
4.9
Tulane side ◂▸ Southern Miss side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 147.9 against a projected 148.0. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Southern Miss.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Southern Miss is the faster team (69.6, #110 of 365) and Tulane the slower (67.9, #203). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
148.0
model
Projected team totals
71.5 / 76.4
Tulane / Southern Miss
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.0#212
Tulane
69.4#89
Southern Miss
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageTulane
Where Tulane struggles: the offensive glass
Tulane rebounds 22.8% of its own misses (#352); Southern Miss lets opponents grab 28.8% of their own misses (#97). Expect about 24.3%, 6.1 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.7 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseTulane
Tulane's shot-blocking
Tulane ranks #29 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.3% of Southern Miss's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
AdvantageSouthern Miss
Where Southern Miss scores: the offensive glass
Southern Miss rebounds 32.5% of its own misses (#103); Tulane lets opponents grab 35.8% of their own misses (#352). Expect about 34.5%, 4.1 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.5 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Southern Miss) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Tulane at about 43.8% of its shots from three, Southern Miss about 31.5%.
Tulane has the ball
OffenseSouthern Miss allowsvs D1 avg
49.4% #275
51.4% #177
-1.5 pt/100
15.4% #97
17.8% #109
+0.2 pt/100
22.8% #352
28.8% #97
-3.7 pt/100
43.5% #14
43.6% #343
+1.1 pt/100
76.7% #40
—
+0.4 pt/100
Tulane net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -3.5 pts/100
Southern Miss has the ball
OffenseTulane allowsvs D1 avg
49.0% #289
50.7% #140
-2.3 pt/100
18.4% #290
17.1% #140
-1.4 pt/100
32.5% #103
35.8% #352
+2.5 pt/100
43.2% #18
38.1% #262
+0.7 pt/100
73.6% #146
—
+0.1 pt/100
Southern Miss net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersTulaneoffense vsSouthern Missdefense
Share of shots by zone
Tulane shoots
37.2
4.0
14.5
44.4
Southern Miss allows
39.4
8.0
13.9
38.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.0%#162 | 57.8%#139 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 27.0%#362 | 37.7%#129 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 32.6%#335 | 35.6%#93 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.0%#279 | 34.5%#217 | 33.7% |
Southern Missoffense vsTulanedefense
Share of shots by zone
Southern Miss shoots
41.8
8.5
21.2
28.4
Tulane allows
40.6
6.9
12.8
39.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.5%#108 | 54.5%#49 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.9%#289 | 42.4%#236 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.0%#187 | 36.8%#124 | 38.0% |
| Three | 28.9%#355 | 34.5%#216 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersTulane
−1.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#255 of 365
Off reb %
22.8%
#352
Def reb %
64.2%
#352
Turnover %
15.4%
#97
Forced TO %
17.1%
#140
FT rate
43.5%
#14
FT allowed
38.1%
#262
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.5
Defensive rebounding−1.7
Ball security+0.9
Forcing turnovers+0.3
Foul shots drawn+2.2
Foul shots allowed−0.7
Southern Miss
+0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#142 of 365
Off reb %
32.5%
#103
Def reb %
71.2%
#97
Turnover %
18.4%
#290
Forced TO %
17.8%
#109
FT rate
43.2%
#18
FT allowed
43.6%
#343
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding+0.6
Ball security−1.1
Forcing turnovers+0.7
Foul shots drawn+2.1
Foul shots allowed−2.2
Southern Miss has more extra scoring chances per game: +0.9 (#142 of 365) to Tulane’s −1.5 (#255).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Tulane2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Tulane's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rowan Brumbaugh | G | Jr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 36.1 | 19.2 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 52.8% | 36.0% | 5.3 | 80.4% | 29.9% | |
| 99 | Curtis Williams Jr. | G | Jr | 6'6" | 33-32 | 32.1 | 12.4 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 49.4% | 33.5% | 6.2 | 82.5% | 24.4% | |
| 22 | Asher Woods | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-31 | 30.9 | 12.8 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 45.7% | 27.2% | 3.5 | 85.0% | 25.5% | |
| 5 | Scotty Middleton | F | Jr | 6'6" | 33-19 | 25.7 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 52.7% | 36.9% | 4.3 | 73.9% | 16.5% | |
| 0 | Tyler Ringgold | F | So | 6'8" | 32-32 | 24.8 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 49.3% | 29.9% | 2.4 | 62.8% | 24.4% | |
| 23 | Percy Daniels | C | Sr | 6'10" | 32-4 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 62.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 72.4% | 8.0% | |
| 9 | KJ Greene | G | So | 6'3" | 32-1 | 15.1 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 40.1% | 22.5% | 1.3 | 78.9% | 20.6% | |
| 1 | Josiah Moore | G | So | 6'4" | 32-2 | 12.6 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 48.4% | 15.8% | 0.6 | 67.5% | 19.3% | |
| 11 | Luke Rasmussen | G | So | 6'8" | 17-11 | 15.1 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 46.6% | 23.3% | 1.8 | 27.3% | 13.6% | |
| 55 | Davion Bradford | C | Sr | 7'0" | 11-0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 75.0% | 11.7% | |
| 15 | Robert Moore | G | Fr | 6'6" | 5-0 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.4% | 25.0% | 1.6 | — | 40.0% | |
| 34 | Jake Shapiro | G | Jr | 6'1" | 5-0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 112.5% | 75.0% | 0.8 | — | 38.9% | |
| 32 | Luke Cronin | F | Jr | 6'8" | 2-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 19.9% | |
| 77 | Vasilije Kuridza | F | Fr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 13 | Joseph Teich | G | So | 5'10" | 2-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Southern Miss2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Southern Miss's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tylik Weeks | F | Jr | 6'7" | 34-33 | 33.6 | 19.7 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 47.7% | 22.2% | 1.6 | 82.3% | 34.7% | |
| 13 | Dylan Brumfield | G | Sr | 6'5" | 35-35 | 31.2 | 8.4 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 44.3% | 16.7% | 0.7 | 73.3% | 18.5% | |
| 15 | Djahi Binet | F | Sr | 6'7" | 35-33 | 26.4 | 11.3 | 7.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 63.5% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 71.1% | 21.6% | |
| 1 | Curt Lewis | G | Sr | 6'5" | 35-19 | 23.2 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 52.1% | 36.9% | 4.0 | 59.1% | 14.2% | |
| 0 | Israel Hart | G | Sr | 6'3" | 34-16 | 21.6 | 7.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 42.9% | 31.2% | 4.1 | 83.6% | 24.6% | |
| 10 | Isaac Taveras | G | Jr | 6'6" | 22-20 | 25.9 | 15.3 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 52.5% | 17.2% | 1.3 | 58.8% | 38.5% | |
| 3 | Chiante' Tramble | G | So | 6'2" | 34-0 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 35.9% | 1.9 | 78.3% | 19.0% | |
| 22 | Tegra Izay | C | Sr | 7'0" | 35-2 | 11.1 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 60.4% | — | 0.0 | 59.3% | 14.1% | |
| 2 | Brewer Carruth | G | So | 6'4" | 27-9 | 12.3 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 40.8% | 22.9% | 1.3 | 88.2% | 15.5% | |
| 7 | Fallou Diagne | C | Sr | 6'11" | 24-2 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 45.7% | 28.6% | 1.5 | 75.0% | 18.4% | |
| 9 | Dalyn Brandon | G | Sr | 6'5" | 20-4 | 7.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 57.4% | 38.9% | 0.9 | 60.0% | 12.1% | |
| 12 | Felipe Patino | G | So | 6'4" | 18-0 | 6.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 43.8% | 29.6% | 1.5 | 66.7% | 17.8% | |
| 11 | EJ Paymon | F | Fr | 6'9" | 13-2 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 0.3 | 53.3% | 31.0% | |
| 21 | IJ Ezuma | F | Jr | 6'8" | 8-0 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 31.3% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 63.6% | 18.8% | |
| 6 | Robert Cowherd | G | Jr | 6'5" | 10-0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 30.0% | 15.4% | 1.3 | 50.0% | 23.2% | |
| 14 | Blake Lander | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Chandler Watts | G | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Jett Montgomery | G | So | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Tulane2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Tulane's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rowan Brumbaugh | G | Jr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 36.1 | 19.2 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 52.8% | 36.0% | 5.3 | 80.4% | 29.9% | |
| 99 | Curtis Williams Jr. | G | Jr | 6'6" | 33-32 | 32.1 | 12.4 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 49.4% | 33.5% | 6.2 | 82.5% | 24.4% | |
| 22 | Asher Woods | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-31 | 30.9 | 12.8 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 45.7% | 27.2% | 3.5 | 85.0% | 25.5% | |
| 5 | Scotty Middleton | F | Jr | 6'6" | 33-19 | 25.7 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 52.7% | 36.9% | 4.3 | 73.9% | 16.5% | |
| 0 | Tyler Ringgold | F | So | 6'8" | 32-32 | 24.8 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 49.3% | 29.9% | 2.4 | 62.8% | 24.4% | |
| 23 | Percy Daniels | C | Sr | 6'10" | 32-4 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 62.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 72.4% | 8.0% | |
| 9 | KJ Greene | G | So | 6'3" | 32-1 | 15.1 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 40.1% | 22.5% | 1.3 | 78.9% | 20.6% | |
| 1 | Josiah Moore | G | So | 6'4" | 32-2 | 12.6 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 48.4% | 15.8% | 0.6 | 67.5% | 19.3% | |
| 11 | Luke Rasmussen | G | So | 6'8" | 17-11 | 15.1 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 46.6% | 23.3% | 1.8 | 27.3% | 13.6% | |
| 55 | Davion Bradford | C | Sr | 7'0" | 11-0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 75.0% | 11.7% | |
| 15 | Robert Moore | G | Fr | 6'6" | 5-0 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.4% | 25.0% | 1.6 | — | 40.0% | |
| 34 | Jake Shapiro | G | Jr | 6'1" | 5-0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 112.5% | 75.0% | 0.8 | — | 38.9% | |
| 32 | Luke Cronin | F | Jr | 6'8" | 2-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 19.9% | |
| 77 | Vasilije Kuridza | F | Fr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 13 | Joseph Teich | G | So | 5'10" | 2-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Tulane
Against the spread
Season
15-17
Home
7-10
Road
6-4
Last 10
6-4
avg cover −3.0
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
14-18
Home
6-11
Road
5-5
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −0.9
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Charlotte | N | L 60–74 | +1.0 | L−13.0 | 144.5 | U134 | 98.3 | 121.3 | 61.0 |
| Mar 11 | Memphis | N | W 81–69 | +4.5 | W+16.5 | 150.5 | U150 | 114.8 | 97.8 | 70.5 |
| Mar 8 | Memphis | H | L 95–96 OT | +2.5 | W+1.5 | 154.0 | O191 | 122.9 | 124.2 | 77.3 |
| Mar 5 | Temple | A | L 60–89 | +5.0 | L−24.0 | 145.0 | O149 | 89.1 | 132.2 | 67.3 |
| Mar 1 | South Florida | A | L 62–90 | +15.0 | L−13.0 | 154.5 | U152 | 85.1 | 123.5 | 72.8 |
| Feb 25 | Tulsa | H | L 56–90 | +5.5 | L−28.5 | 156.5 | U146 | 84.4 | 135.6 | 66.4 |
| Feb 22 | Rice | H | W 81–75 | −5.0 | W+1.0 | 147.5 | O156 | 118.1 | 109.3 | 68.6 |
| Feb 19 | North Texas | A | W 77–71 | +6.5 | W+12.5 | 137.5 | O148 | 117.4 | 108.3 | 65.6 |
| Feb 15 | UAB | A | W 55–54 | +7.0 | W+8.0 | 152.5 | U109 | 87.7 | 86.1 | 62.7 |
| Feb 11 | Temple | H | W 77–66 | −2.0 | W+9.0 | 145.0 | U143 | 113.4 | 97.2 | 67.9 |
Southern Miss
Against the spread
Season
16-15-2
Home
4-5-2
Road
7-8
Last 10
7-2-1
avg cover +5.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 7 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
20-12-1
Home
4-7
Road
11-4
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +7.8
Over 4 straightOver in 5 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Troy | N | L 70–78 | +5.5 | L−2.5 | 143.0 | O148 | 98.2 | 109.4 | 71.3 |
| Mar 7 | App State | N | W 86–73 | +5.0 | W+18.0 | 137.5 | O159 | 125.4 | 106.5 | 68.6 |
| Mar 6 | Texas St | N | W 81–77 | +1.5 | W+5.5 | 140.0 | O158 | 117.3 | 111.5 | 69.0 |
| Mar 5 | James Madison | N | W 86–80 | +2.0 | W+8.0 | 143.5 | O166 | 119.4 | 111.1 | 72.0 |
| Feb 27 | South Alabama | A | W 68–55 | +4.0 | W+17.0 | 142.0 | U123 | 105.1 | 85.0 | 64.7 |
| Feb 24 | Arkansas St | A | L 84–89 | +9.0 | W+4.0 | 158.0 | O173 | 106.4 | 112.8 | 78.9 |
| Feb 21 | Old Dominion | H | W 86–81 | −5.0 | P0.0 | 148.0 | O167 | 106.1 | 100.0 | 81.0 |
| Feb 14 | Troy | H | W 69–65 | +5.0 | W+9.0 | 144.5 | U134 | 104.4 | 98.3 | 66.1 |
| Feb 12 | South Alabama | H | L 78–84 | −1.0 | L−7.0 | 136.0 | O162 | 104.1 | 112.1 | 74.9 |
| Feb 7 | Kent State | H | W 66–65 | +4.5 | W+5.5 | 150.0 | U131 | 101.6 | 100.0 | 65.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeTulaneSouthern Miss
Efficiency
106.8
106.0
110.2
108.1
68.0
69.4
—
—
Shooting
49.4%
49.0%
50.5%
51.3%
32.0%
28.9%
76.7%
73.6%
43.5%
43.2%
Ball control & glass
15.4%
18.4%
17.1%
17.8%
22.8%
32.5%
35.8%
28.8%
8.7%
10.0%
10.9%
10.7%
Style
45.0%
28.7%
37.1%
48.6%
10.8%
15.3%
54.8%
43.8%
26.0%
31.7%
Roster
2.94
3.46
6'5.5"
6'5.8"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputTulane
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Tulane's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Southern Miss
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Southern Miss's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.