CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceArena-Auditorium, Laramie, WY
Austin Peay
Efficiency #141
2025-26: 22-9 · 16-4 conf
@
Wyoming
Efficiency #98
2025-26: 18-15 · 9-12 conf
Wed, Dec 2 · TBD
72.3
win 31%
Projected
78.0
win 69%
No line posted yet.
Model: WYO −5.7 · total 150.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Wyoming 67.7, Austin Peay 69.5 → 68.9 possessions
+1.2
Wyoming offense vs Austin Peay defense
+1.3
Austin Peay offense vs Wyoming defense
−0.4
Projected total
150.3
Axis starts at 147 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Wyoming offense vs Austin Peay defense
+1.3
Austin Peay offense vs Wyoming defense
+0.4
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Wyoming by 5.7
5.7
Austin Peay side ◂▸ Wyoming side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Wyoming.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Austin Peay is the faster team (70.1, #90 of 365) and Wyoming the slower (67.6, #221). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.9
per team, 40 min
Projected total
150.3
model
Projected team totals
72.3 / 78.0
Austin Peay / Wyoming
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.5#82
Austin Peay
67.7#237
Wyoming
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageAustin Peay
Where Austin Peay scores: shooting
Austin Peay shoots an effective 53.0% (#105); Wyoming allows 52.0% (#211). Expect about 52.6%, 1.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.9 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseAustin Peay
Austin Peay's ball-hawking
Austin Peay ranks #24 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 10.6% of Wyoming's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
Austin Peay has the ball
OffenseWyoming allowsvs D1 avg
53.0% #105
52.0% #211
+1.9 pt/100
15.4% #93
16.8% #171
+1.0 pt/100
29.7% #214
28.0% #66
-1.0 pt/100
37.6% #110
47.9% #360
+1.1 pt/100
73.4% #158
—
+0.1 pt/100
Austin Peay net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.1 pts/100
Wyoming has the ball
OffenseAustin Peay allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #154
52.2% #227
+1.1 pt/100
16.3% #155
17.9% #104
-0.5 pt/100
34.1% #66
28.9% #100
+1.1 pt/100
35.4% #166
32.8% #127
-0.1 pt/100
74.3% #115
—
+0.2 pt/100
Wyoming net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersAustin Peayoffense vsWyomingdefense
Share of shots by zone
Austin Peay shoots
43.8
7.7
10.7
37.8
Wyoming allows
41.4
6.9
16.1
35.6
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.5%#178 | 61.7%#292 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.0%#79 | 44.2%#273 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.7%#318 | 36.1%#111 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.3%#99 | 32.8%#108 | 33.7% |
Wyomingoffense vsAustin Peaydefense
Share of shots by zone
Wyoming shoots
41.6
3.7
11.6
43.1
Austin Peay allows
41.7
5.2
12.2
40.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.9%#242 | 60.5%#254 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.4%#72 | 32.5%#24 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.3%#102 | 40.2%#249 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#234 | 33.2%#137 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersAustin Peay
+3.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#48 of 365
Off reb %
29.7%
#214
Def reb %
71.1%
#100
Turnover %
15.4%
#93
Forced TO %
17.9%
#104
FT rate
37.6%
#110
FT allowed
32.8%
#127
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.2
Defensive rebounding+0.6
Ball security+0.9
Forcing turnovers+0.8
Foul shots drawn+0.7
Foul shots allowed+0.6
Wyoming
−0.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#213 of 365
Off reb %
34.1%
#66
Def reb %
72.0%
#66
Turnover %
16.3%
#155
Forced TO %
16.8%
#171
FT rate
35.4%
#166
FT allowed
47.9%
#360
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.8
Ball security+0.3
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed−3.3
Austin Peay has more extra scoring chances per game: +3.4 (#48 of 365) to Wyoming’s −0.7 (#213).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Austin Peay2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Austin Peay's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Collin Parker | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-31 | 30.6 | 17.6 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 54.5% | 40.0% | 4.5 | 81.5% | 30.8% | |
| 0 | Tate McCubbin | G | So | 6'8" | 31-31 | 29.5 | 9.7 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 49.8% | 34.6% | 6.0 | 79.2% | 19.1% | |
| 1 | Zyree Collins | PG | Fr | 6'0" | 31-30 | 29.3 | 13.5 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 47.8% | 31.3% | 3.2 | 74.8% | 29.5% | |
| 5 | Rashaud Marshall | F | Jr | 6'8" | 31-28 | 29.2 | 16.3 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 65.5% | — | 0.0 | 67.3% | 25.7% | |
| 12 | Anton Brookshire | PG | Sr | 6'2" | 31-20 | 24.8 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 54.8% | 37.7% | 4.7 | 80.0% | 19.4% | |
| 23 | Ja'Corey Robinson | PG | Fr | 6'6" | 30-0 | 17.2 | 6.6 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 53.4% | 40.0% | 0.3 | 75.4% | 22.9% | |
| 3 | Matt Enright | PG | Sr | 6'2" | 25-12 | 15.4 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 52.6% | 37.3% | 3.0 | 75.0% | 16.5% | |
| 7 | Creighton Morisch | F | Sr | 6'10" | 30-3 | 9.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 48.7% | 28.6% | 0.2 | 18.2% | 12.8% | |
| 22 | Travis Torain | G | So | 6'8" | 21-0 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 54.7% | 33.3% | 0.1 | 100.0% | 12.2% | |
| 2 | Tyler Wagner | G | Fr | 6'5" | 21-0 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 59.4% | 38.6% | 2.1 | 75.0% | 17.0% | |
| 20 | Quan Lax | PG | Sr | 6'2" | 9-0 | 13.8 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 34.1% | 10.0% | 1.1 | 77.8% | 14.6% | |
| 24 | Hansel Enmanuel | PG | Sr | 6'6" | 11-0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 36.4% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 72.7% | 16.3% | |
| 10 | Terrell Gaines | PG | So | 5'8" | 5-0 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 31.3% | 20.0% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 27.1% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Wyoming2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Wyoming's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leland Walker | G | Sr | 6'1" | 33-32 | 28.7 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 45.4% | 28.6% | 3.6 | 82.7% | 31.7% | |
| 3 | Khaden Bennett | G | Jr | 6'4" | 33-32 | 28.3 | 10.2 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 50.0% | 35.7% | 3.8 | 80.2% | 22.0% | |
| 2 | Nasir Meyer | G | Fr | 6'7" | 31-23 | 27.6 | 12.9 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 54.7% | 35.2% | 4.6 | 75.5% | 27.7% | |
| 1 | Damarion Dennis | G | So | 6'1" | 32-19 | 23.9 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 58.7% | 34.0% | 3.1 | 86.1% | 23.7% | |
| 13 | Adam Harakow | G | Jr | 6'7" | 33-7 | 18.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 57.1% | 38.1% | 2.5 | 68.0% | 18.1% | |
| 0 | Uriyah Rojas | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-2 | 16.6 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 47.3% | 31.3% | 2.9 | 76.3% | 23.9% | |
| 11 | Gavin Gores | F | Fr | 6'10" | 28-8 | 18.0 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 62.3% | 22.2% | 0.6 | 68.8% | 21.9% | |
| 8 | Kiani Saxon | F | Sr | 6'8" | 33-16 | 14.9 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 51.8% | 37.5% | 0.5 | 32.1% | 10.9% | |
| 10 | Abou Magassa | F | So | 6'7" | 29-11 | 10.3 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 57.6% | — | 0.0 | 51.2% | 18.2% | |
| 35 | Simm-Marten Saadi | F | Fr | 6'9" | 32-3 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 46.6% | 30.8% | 2.4 | 100.0% | 26.2% | |
| 7 | Matija Belic | F | Sr | 6'7" | 13-12 | 17.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 50.0% | 21.1% | 1.5 | 55.6% | 23.4% | |
| 9 | Jared Harris | G | So | 6'2" | 12-0 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 43.2% | 30.0% | 1.7 | 80.0% | 23.7% | |
| 14 | Garrett Spielman | G | Fr | 6'7" | 8-0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.4 | — | 24.8% | |
| 32 | Talan Taylor | G | Fr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 0.7 | — | 15.7% | |
| 45 | Neil Summers | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Austin Peay2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Austin Peay's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Collin Parker | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-31 | 30.6 | 17.6 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 54.5% | 40.0% | 4.5 | 81.5% | 30.8% | |
| 0 | Tate McCubbin | G | So | 6'8" | 31-31 | 29.5 | 9.7 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 49.8% | 34.6% | 6.0 | 79.2% | 19.1% | |
| 1 | Zyree Collins | PG | Fr | 6'0" | 31-30 | 29.3 | 13.5 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 47.8% | 31.3% | 3.2 | 74.8% | 29.5% | |
| 5 | Rashaud Marshall | F | Jr | 6'8" | 31-28 | 29.2 | 16.3 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 65.5% | — | 0.0 | 67.3% | 25.7% | |
| 12 | Anton Brookshire | PG | Sr | 6'2" | 31-20 | 24.8 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 54.8% | 37.7% | 4.7 | 80.0% | 19.4% | |
| 23 | Ja'Corey Robinson | PG | Fr | 6'6" | 30-0 | 17.2 | 6.6 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 53.4% | 40.0% | 0.3 | 75.4% | 22.9% | |
| 3 | Matt Enright | PG | Sr | 6'2" | 25-12 | 15.4 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 52.6% | 37.3% | 3.0 | 75.0% | 16.5% | |
| 7 | Creighton Morisch | F | Sr | 6'10" | 30-3 | 9.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 48.7% | 28.6% | 0.2 | 18.2% | 12.8% | |
| 22 | Travis Torain | G | So | 6'8" | 21-0 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 54.7% | 33.3% | 0.1 | 100.0% | 12.2% | |
| 2 | Tyler Wagner | G | Fr | 6'5" | 21-0 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 59.4% | 38.6% | 2.1 | 75.0% | 17.0% | |
| 20 | Quan Lax | PG | Sr | 6'2" | 9-0 | 13.8 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 34.1% | 10.0% | 1.1 | 77.8% | 14.6% | |
| 24 | Hansel Enmanuel | PG | Sr | 6'6" | 11-0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 36.4% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 72.7% | 16.3% | |
| 10 | Terrell Gaines | PG | So | 5'8" | 5-0 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 31.3% | 20.0% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 27.1% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Austin Peay
Against the spread
Season
14-14-1
Home
7-4
Road
7-8-1
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.9
Missed the spread 6 straightCovered 3 of 9 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
14-15
Home
6-5
Road
7-9
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +8.2
Over in the last gameOver in 6 of 9 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Queens | N | L 83–90 | −2.0 | L−9.0 | 161.5 | O173 | 114.1 | 123.8 | 72.7 |
| Mar 6 | Stetson | N | W 69–60 | −12.5 | L−3.5 | 153.0 | U129 | 109.7 | 95.4 | 62.9 |
| Feb 28 | Bellarmine | A | L 97–111 | −5.5 | L−19.5 | 155.0 | O208 | 117.3 | 134.2 | 82.7 |
| Feb 25 | C Arkansas | H | L 88–93 | −5.0 | L−10.0 | 151.5 | O181 | 129.9 | 137.2 | 67.8 |
| Feb 21 | Jacksonville | A | W 65–61 | −5.5 | L−1.5 | 142.5 | U126 | 107.6 | 101.0 | 60.4 |
| Feb 19 | North Florida | A | W 77–76 | −11.0 | L−10.0 | 165.5 | U153 | 98.7 | 97.5 | 78.0 |
| Feb 14 | Bellarmine | H | W 90–70 | −9.5 | W+10.5 | 153.0 | O160 | 148.8 | 115.7 | 60.5 |
| Feb 11 | Queens | A | W 95–87 | +2.5 | W+10.5 | 161.0 | O182 | 128.9 | 118.1 | 73.7 |
| Feb 7 | North Alabama | H | W 91–62 | −12.5 | W+16.5 | 145.5 | O153 | 147.3 | 100.4 | 61.8 |
| Feb 4 | Lipscomb | H | W 87–76 | −4.5 | W+6.5 | 157.0 | O163 | 120.9 | 105.6 | 71.9 |
Wyoming
Against the spread
Season
16-16
Home
9-8
Road
5-8
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +1.2
Covered 4 straightCovered 5 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
16-16
Home
11-6
Road
4-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +3.3
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17 | Wichita St | A | L 70–74 | +5.5 | W+1.5 | 148.0 | U144 | 93.7 | 99.0 | 74.7 |
| Mar 11 | UNLV | N | L 70–73 | +3.5 | W+0.5 | 153.0 | U143 | 106.7 | 111.3 | 65.6 |
| Mar 7 | San José St | A | W 88–78 | −5.5 | W+4.5 | 148.0 | O166 | 146.0 | 129.4 | 60.3 |
| Mar 3 | Nevada | H | W 83–73 | +1.5 | W+11.5 | 144.0 | O156 | 125.2 | 110.1 | 66.3 |
| Feb 28 | Air Force | H | W 66–62 | −21.5 | L−17.5 | 146.5 | U128 | 101.1 | 95.0 | 65.3 |
| Feb 24 | Boise St | A | L 62–72 | +8.5 | L−1.5 | 146.0 | U134 | 97.4 | 113.1 | 63.7 |
| Feb 21 | Grand Canyon | A | W 70–65 | +8.5 | W+13.5 | 144.5 | U135 | 103.7 | 96.3 | 67.5 |
| Feb 17 | Fresno St | H | W 92–82 | −9.5 | W+0.5 | 147.5 | O174 | 140.9 | 125.6 | 65.3 |
| Feb 14 | Colorado St | A | L 68–79 | +3.5 | L−7.5 | 138.5 | O147 | 110.5 | 128.4 | 61.5 |
| Feb 7 | Utah State | H | L 83–85 | +8.5 | W+6.5 | 146.0 | O168 | 122.6 | 125.6 | 67.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeAustin PeayWyoming
Efficiency
108.7
111.8
107.1
107.6
69.5
67.7
—
—
Shooting
53.0%
51.8%
53.0%
53.6%
35.3%
33.0%
73.4%
74.3%
37.6%
35.4%
Ball control & glass
15.4%
16.3%
17.9%
16.8%
29.7%
34.1%
28.9%
28.0%
9.3%
8.3%
8.7%
10.9%
Style
38.0%
43.0%
46.1%
43.0%
15.2%
9.6%
56.0%
53.8%
29.5%
37.3%
Roster
2.72
2.57
6'5.4"
6'5"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputAustin Peay
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Austin Peay's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Wyoming
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Wyoming's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 11 | 2025-26 | Austin Peay 65 – 79 Wyoming |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.