CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Conference gameGervin GameAbove Center, Ypsilanti, MI
UMass
Efficiency #184
2025-26: 17-16 · 8-12 conf
@
E Michigan
Efficiency #247
2025-26: 10-21 · 4-14 conf
Wed, Dec 2 · TBD
72.9
win 44%
Projected
74.7
win 56%
No line posted yet.
Model: EMU −1.9 · total 147.6 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: E Michigan 67.8, UMass 70.2 → 69.6 possessions
+2.8
E Michigan offense vs UMass defense
−2.8
UMass offense vs E Michigan defense
−0.7
Projected total
147.6
Axis starts at 146 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
E Michigan offense vs UMass defense
−2.8
UMass offense vs E Michigan defense
+0.7
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
E Michigan by 1.9
1.9
UMass side ◂▸ E Michigan side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 147.5 against a projected 147.6. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help E Michigan.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, UMass is the faster team (71.0, #52 of 365) and E Michigan the slower (68.3, #184). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.6
per team, 40 min
Projected total
147.6
model
Projected team totals
72.9 / 74.7
UMass / E Michigan
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.2#36
UMass
67.8#226
E Michigan
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageE Michigan
Where E Michigan struggles: the offensive glass
E Michigan rebounds 27.8% of its own misses (#273); UMass lets opponents grab 26.1% of their own misses (#20). Expect about 26.5%, 3.9 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.4 points per 100 possessions.
ClashUMass
Style match: 3-point volume
UMass rarely shoots threes (35.4% of its shots); E Michigan runs teams off the line (35.6% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 33.7% — both habits push the same way.
ClashE Michigan
Style clash: 3-point volume
E Michigan rarely shoots threes (31.8% of its shots); UMass lets opponents take 42.7% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 35.4% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
ClashE Michigan
Style clash: ball movement
E Michigan creates off the dribble (assists on 47.9% of its baskets); UMass allows assists on 58.6% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 53.5% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
UMass has the ball
OffenseE Michigan allowsvs D1 avg
53.1% #99
50.3% #115
+0.7 pt/100
17.8% #263
15.6% #244
+0.2 pt/100
33.3% #80
29.1% #109
+0.8 pt/100
37.0% #130
35.5% #198
+0.2 pt/100
67.3% #339
—
-0.4 pt/100
UMass net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.5 pts/100
E Michigan has the ball
OffenseUMass allowsvs D1 avg
49.6% #264
52.9% #262
-0.2 pt/100
17.4% #229
16.8% #167
-0.5 pt/100
27.8% #273
26.1% #20
-2.4 pt/100
29.3% #325
44.6% #348
+0.4 pt/100
73.2% #162
—
+0.1 pt/100
E Michigan net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.6 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersUMassoffense vsE Michigandefense
Share of shots by zone
UMass shoots
39.4
8.9
16.3
35.4
E Michigan allows
39.3
10.6
14.3
35.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.7%#127 | 57.0%#112 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.8%#53 | 35.7%#82 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 41.6%#68 | 42.0%#304 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.2%#100 | 32.9%#111 | 33.7% |
E Michiganoffense vsUMassdefense
Share of shots by zone
E Michigan shoots
39.2
9.0
20.0
31.8
UMass allows
38.1
6.4
13.3
42.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.7%#129 | 63.2%#329 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.4%#259 | 45.5%#313 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 32.5%#338 | 37.6%#149 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.4%#258 | 33.0%#121 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersUMass
−0.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#184 of 365
Off reb %
33.3%
#80
Def reb %
73.9%
#20
Turnover %
17.8%
#263
Forced TO %
16.8%
#167
FT rate
37.0%
#130
FT allowed
44.6%
#348
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.9
Defensive rebounding+1.4
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn+0.5
Foul shots allowed−2.4
E Michigan
−3.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#305 of 365
Off reb %
27.8%
#273
Def reb %
70.9%
#109
Turnover %
17.4%
#229
Forced TO %
15.6%
#244
FT rate
29.3%
#325
FT allowed
35.5%
#198
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.8
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security−0.4
Forcing turnovers−0.8
Foul shots drawn−1.5
Foul shots allowed−0.1
UMass has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.2 (#184 of 365) to E Michigan’s −3.0 (#305).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
UMass2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Marcus Banks Jr. | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-33 | 33.0 | 16.7 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 54.1% | 37.8% | 9.0 | 83.3% | 27.3% | |
| 3 | Leonardo Bettiol | F | Sr | 6'9" | 33-33 | 28.7 | 18.1 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 61.2% | 33.3% | 0.1 | 70.3% | 33.0% | |
| 0 | Danny Carbuccia | G | Fr | 5'11" | 33-27 | 27.6 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 46.7% | 24.6% | 1.7 | 38.8% | 19.1% | |
| 11 | Jayden Ndjigue | G | Jr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 26.8 | 6.5 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 52.7% | 23.1% | 0.8 | 70.5% | 15.0% | |
| 1 | Daniel Hankins-Sanford | F | Sr | 6'8" | 30-30 | 28.6 | 11.3 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 48.4% | 25.5% | 1.7 | 62.2% | 24.4% | |
| 2 | Dwayne Wimbley Jr. | F | Fr | 6'6" | 33-2 | 14.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 34.5% | 18.4% | 1.2 | 56.3% | 16.2% | |
| 13 | Luka Damjanac | F | So | 6'10" | 29-0 | 10.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 62.2% | 27.3% | 0.4 | 64.7% | 13.7% | |
| 4 | Isaiah Placide | G | Sr | 6'4" | 27-0 | 9.2 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 53.5% | 41.7% | 2.2 | 69.2% | 24.1% | |
| 25 | Dimitri Clerc | F | Jr | 6'10" | 25-1 | 9.0 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 61.8% | — | 0.0 | 42.1% | 22.6% | |
| 10 | Donovan Brown | G | Sr | 6'2" | 16-0 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 29.5% | 25.0% | 0.8 | — | 17.5% | |
| 22 | Charles Outlaw | F | Jr | 6'9" | 8-0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 40.0% | 27.8% | |
| 44 | Rollie Castineyra | G | So | 6'2" | 4-0 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.3 | — | 14.4% | |
| 7 | Bilal Osman | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Josh Engel | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
E Michigan2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mohammad Habhab | F | So | 6'10" | 30-30 | 36.0 | 14.2 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 41.1% | 22.2% | 1.2 | 74.3% | 28.6% | |
| 3 | Jabri Fitzpatrickat New Haven | G | Jr | 6'2" | 31-30 | 34.5 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 50.0% | 29.8% | 3.9 | 74.5% | 28.7% | |
| 2 | Emanuel Richardsat Longwood | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-31 | 26.0 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 48.4% | 32.1% | 2.4 | 73.5% | 23.6% | |
| 14 | Kilian Brockhoffat William & Mary | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-31 | 21.7 | 10.7 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 54.1% | 32.3% | 4.0 | 75.0% | 28.7% | |
| 5 | Braelon Green | G | Sr | 6'3" | 28-14 | 20.4 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 49.2% | 36.4% | 1.6 | 56.5% | 15.9% | |
| 0 | Gregory Lawson II | G | So | 6'3" | 28-12 | 17.9 | 7.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 52.3% | 43.2% | 3.1 | 90.0% | 23.5% | |
| 8 | Sencire Harrisat Cincinnati | G | Sr | 6'4" | 31-8 | 16.9 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 40.5% | 18.2% | 1.1 | 62.5% | 24.1% | |
| 44 | Aviv Aronov | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | DaCory Porter | G | Sr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 30 | Jaiden Martin | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Jordan Wright | F | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Kaden Johnson | F | Sr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | Max Booher | G | So | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Omar Suleiman | F | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Kilian Brockhoff (from William & Mary), Jabri Fitzpatrick (from New Haven), Sencire Harris (from Cincinnati), Emanuel Richards (from Longwood)
UMass2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Marcus Banks Jr. | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-33 | 33.0 | 16.7 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 54.1% | 37.8% | 9.0 | 83.3% | 27.3% | |
| 3 | Leonardo Bettiol | F | Sr | 6'9" | 33-33 | 28.7 | 18.1 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 61.2% | 33.3% | 0.1 | 70.3% | 33.0% | |
| 0 | Danny Carbuccia | G | Fr | 5'11" | 33-27 | 27.6 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 46.7% | 24.6% | 1.7 | 38.8% | 19.1% | |
| 11 | Jayden Ndjigue | G | Jr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 26.8 | 6.5 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 52.7% | 23.1% | 0.8 | 70.5% | 15.0% | |
| 1 | Daniel Hankins-Sanford | F | Sr | 6'8" | 30-30 | 28.6 | 11.3 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 48.4% | 25.5% | 1.7 | 62.2% | 24.4% | |
| 2 | Dwayne Wimbley Jr. | F | Fr | 6'6" | 33-2 | 14.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 34.5% | 18.4% | 1.2 | 56.3% | 16.2% | |
| 13 | Luka Damjanac | F | So | 6'10" | 29-0 | 10.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 62.2% | 27.3% | 0.4 | 64.7% | 13.7% | |
| 4 | Isaiah Placide | G | Sr | 6'4" | 27-0 | 9.2 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 53.5% | 41.7% | 2.2 | 69.2% | 24.1% | |
| 25 | Dimitri Clerc | F | Jr | 6'10" | 25-1 | 9.0 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 61.8% | — | 0.0 | 42.1% | 22.6% | |
| 10 | Donovan Brown | G | Sr | 6'2" | 16-0 | 5.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 29.5% | 25.0% | 0.8 | — | 17.5% | |
| 22 | Charles Outlaw | F | Jr | 6'9" | 8-0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 40.0% | 27.8% | |
| 44 | Rollie Castineyra | G | So | 6'2" | 4-0 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.3 | — | 14.4% | |
| 7 | Bilal Osman | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Josh Engel | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26UMass
Against the spread
Season
13-19
Home
5-10
Road
4-6
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −2.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 1 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
20-12
Home
9-6
Road
7-3
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +11.7
Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | Toledo | N | L 67–77 | +3.0 | L−7.0 | 158.0 | U144 | 95.3 | 109.5 | 70.3 |
| Mar 12 | #20Miami OH | N | W 87–83 | +8.0 | W+12.0 | 163.5 | O170 | 126.0 | 120.2 | 69.0 |
| Mar 3 | Ohio | H | W 94–82 | −1.5 | W+10.5 | 156.5 | O176 | 122.6 | 106.9 | 76.7 |
| Feb 28 | Bowling Green | A | L 62–81 | +4.0 | L−15.0 | 151.5 | U143 | 94.5 | 123.5 | 65.6 |
| Feb 24 | Ball State | A | L 73–74 OT | −4.5 | L−5.5 | 143.5 | O147 | 99.3 | 100.6 | 73.5 |
| Feb 21 | Buffalo | H | L 82–86 OT | −7.5 | L−11.5 | 154.0 | O168 | 113.3 | 118.9 | 72.3 |
| Feb 17 | #22Miami OH | H | L 77–86 | +3.0 | L−6.0 | 163.5 | U163 | 109.0 | 121.7 | 70.6 |
| Feb 13 | Akron | A | L 92–99 | +13.0 | W+6.0 | 162.5 | O191 | 117.6 | 126.5 | 78.3 |
| Feb 7 | Coastal | A | L 91–94 3OT | −2.5 | L−5.5 | 148.5 | O185 | 108.6 | 112.2 | 83.8 |
| Feb 3 | C Michigan | H | W 95–89 | −11.5 | L−5.5 | 152.5 | O184 | 136.0 | 127.4 | 69.8 |
E Michigan
Against the spread
Season
20-10
Home
9-4
Road
11-6
Last 10
6-4
avg cover −0.3
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
10-20
Home
3-10
Road
7-10
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −2.2
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | Bowling Green | H | L 69–77 | +5.0 | L−3.0 | 143.0 | O146 | 96.9 | 108.2 | 71.2 |
| Mar 3 | Buffalo | A | L 67–72 | +5.5 | W+0.5 | 143.0 | U139 | 100.7 | 108.2 | 66.5 |
| Feb 24 | #21Miami OH | H | L 64–74 | +9.0 | L−1.0 | 152.5 | U138 | 89.5 | 103.5 | 71.5 |
| Feb 21 | Toledo | A | L 75–94 | +8.5 | L−10.5 | 147.0 | O169 | 105.2 | 131.9 | 71.3 |
| Feb 17 | C Michigan | H | W 66–54 | −5.0 | W+7.0 | 143.0 | U120 | 99.5 | 81.4 | 66.3 |
| Feb 14 | W Michigan | H | L 62–76 | −6.5 | L−20.5 | 144.0 | U138 | 96.0 | 117.6 | 64.6 |
| Feb 11 | Kent State | A | L 91–95 | +10.0 | W+6.0 | 144.5 | O186 | 129.6 | 135.3 | 70.2 |
| Feb 7 | App State | A | L 60–65 | +7.5 | W+2.5 | 131.0 | U125 | 92.9 | 100.7 | 64.6 |
| Feb 3 | Akron | H | L 64–66 | +12.5 | W+10.5 | 153.0 | U130 | 92.2 | 95.1 | 69.4 |
| Jan 31 | UMass | A | L 67–70 | +8.0 | W+5.0 | 149.0 | U137 | 102.9 | 107.5 | 65.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeUMassE Michigan
Efficiency
108.4
103.9
109.1
107.6
70.2
67.8
—
—
Shooting
53.1%
49.6%
53.2%
50.0%
35.2%
32.4%
67.3%
73.2%
37.0%
29.3%
Ball control & glass
17.8%
17.4%
16.8%
15.6%
33.3%
27.8%
26.1%
29.1%
10.2%
9.5%
7.6%
9.7%
Style
35.4%
31.8%
46.0%
49.7%
12.9%
13.1%
58.4%
47.9%
29.1%
30.3%
Roster
3.03
3.20
6'5.1"
6'5.1"
89.8%
34.4%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputUMass
Returning minutes: 89.8%Returning production: 88.2%
Lost
- K'Jei Parker 20.8 mpg, 10.7 ppg · transferred to Ball State
Added
- Bilal Osman no D1 minutes last season
- Josh Engel no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 90% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
E Michigan
Returning minutes: 34.4%Returning production: 32.0%
Lost
- Addison Patterson 29.7 mpg, 13.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Godslove Nwabude 18.7 mpg, 5.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Carlos Hart 18.7 mpg, 7.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jon Sanders II 14.9 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Mak Manciel 13.0 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Mehki Ellison 11.6 mpg, 3.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jabri Fitzpatrick from New Haven · 34.5 mpg, 15.0 ppg last season
- Emanuel Richards from Longwood · 26.0 mpg, 9.7 ppg last season
- Kilian Brockhoff from William & Mary · 21.7 mpg, 10.7 ppg last season
- Sencire Harris from Cincinnati · 15.9 mpg, 5.4 ppg last season
- Omar Suleiman no D1 minutes last season
- Aviv Aronov no D1 minutes last season
Returns 34% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jan 31 | 2025-26 | E Michigan 67 – 70 UMass |
| Tue, Dec 30 | 2025-26 | UMass 74 – 80 E Michigan |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.