CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Conference gameM.A.C. Center, Kent, OH
Bowling Green
Efficiency #114
2025-26: 18-14 · 9-10 conf
@
Kent State
Efficiency #157
2025-26: 24-10 · 15-5 conf
Wed, Dec 2 · TBD
74.8
win 41%
Projected
77.6
win 59%
No line posted yet.
Model: KENT −2.8 · total 152.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Kent State 70.4, Bowling Green 68.9 → 71.0 possessions
+5.9
Kent State offense vs Bowling Green defense
−1.5
Bowling Green offense vs Kent State defense
−0.2
Projected total
152.5
Axis starts at 145 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Kent State offense vs Bowling Green defense
−1.5
Bowling Green offense vs Kent State defense
+0.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Kent State by 2.8
2.8
Bowling Green side ◂▸ Kent State side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 152.4 against a projected 152.5. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Kent State.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Kent State is the faster team (71.9, #25 of 365) and Bowling Green the slower (70.2, #86). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
152.5
model
Projected team totals
74.8 / 77.6
Bowling Green / Kent State
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.9#128
Bowling Green
70.4#30
Kent State
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Track meet
Kent State averages 71.9 possessions per 40, Bowling Green 70.2. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 72 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageKent State
Where Kent State struggles: ball control
Kent State turns it over on 18.0% of possessions (#269); Bowling Green forces turnovers on 18.4% of opponent possessions (#80). Expect about 18.5%, 1.7 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.1 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseBowling Green
Bowling Green's ball-hawking
Bowling Green ranks #31 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.0% of Kent State's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
ClashKent State
Strength vs strength: offensive rebounding
Kent State (#39 in offensive rebounding) against Bowling Green (#31 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 32.1%. Historically Kent State's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.70 vs 0.49).
ClashBowling Green
Style clash: 3-point volume
Bowling Green rarely shoots threes (34.2% of its shots); Kent State lets opponents take 43.1% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 37.6% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
ClashBowling Green
Style clash: paint scoring
Bowling Green scores 48.7% of its points in the paint; Kent State protects the paint (38.4% of opponents' points) (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 42.8% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.25 vs 0.34).
Bowling Green has the ball
OffenseKent State allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #153
52.1% #219
+1.0 pt/100
16.5% #166
16.1% #220
+0.7 pt/100
28.7% #244
29.3% #124
-1.1 pt/100
37.0% #129
39.5% #294
+0.4 pt/100
72.3% #196
—
-0.0 pt/100
Bowling Green net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.1 pts/100
Kent State has the ball
OffenseBowling Green allowsvs D1 avg
51.4% #175
51.0% #163
-0.1 pt/100
18.0% #269
18.4% #80
-2.1 pt/100
35.3% #39
26.9% #31
+1.1 pt/100
43.5% #15
37.2% #243
+0.7 pt/100
74.4% #105
—
+0.2 pt/100
Kent State net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersBowling Greenoffense vsKent Statedefense
Share of shots by zone
Bowling Green shoots
49.9
8.9
8.1
33.1
Kent State allows
37.0
6.3
13.8
42.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.4%#214 | 58.7%#172 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.8%#306 | 40.0%#191 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.5%#274 | 38.2%#167 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.4%#148 | 35.0%#246 | 33.7% |
Kent Stateoffense vsBowling Greendefense
Share of shots by zone
Kent State shoots
36.6
6.0
12.4
45.0
Bowling Green allows
36.2
10.8
11.8
41.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.6%#210 | 55.8%#81 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.7%#250 | 46.3%#323 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.4%#206 | 40.2%#251 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.0%#118 | 33.5%#161 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersBowling Green
+2.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#98 of 365
Off reb %
28.7%
#244
Def reb %
73.1%
#31
Turnover %
16.5%
#166
Forced TO %
18.4%
#80
FT rate
37.0%
#129
FT allowed
37.2%
#243
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.6
Defensive rebounding+1.2
Ball security+0.2
Forcing turnovers+1.2
Foul shots drawn+0.5
Foul shots allowed−0.5
Kent State
+1.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#109 of 365
Off reb %
35.3%
#39
Def reb %
70.7%
#124
Turnover %
18.0%
#269
Forced TO %
16.1%
#220
FT rate
43.5%
#15
FT allowed
39.5%
#294
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.6
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers−0.4
Foul shots drawn+2.2
Foul shots allowed−1.1
Bowling Green has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.0 (#98 of 365) to Kent State’s +1.9 (#109).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Bowling Green2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jayden Johnsonat SC State | G | Jr | 6'1" | 32-29 | 27.4 | 13.4 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 48.8% | 37.0% | 3.1 | 72.6% | 31.5% | |
| 8 | Juan Cranford Jr.at E Kentucky | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-29 | 25.9 | 12.1 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 53.3% | 36.3% | 7.0 | 79.6% | 27.2% | |
| 4 | Josiah Shackelford | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-14 | 22.8 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 52.0% | 35.3% | 3.6 | 74.7% | 27.2% | |
| 3 | Makhi Leach | G | So | 6'2" | 25-0 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 47.5% | 11.1% | 0.7 | 75.0% | 21.9% | |
| 34 | Aiden Goins | F | Sr | 6'9" | 25-0 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 48.3% | 25.0% | 0.8 | 87.9% | 29.6% | |
| 22 | Christ Essandokoat South Carolina | F | Sr | 7'1" | 21-4 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 38.6% | 37.5% | 0.8 | 50.0% | 23.1% | |
| 0 | Tristan Beckfordat South Florida | G | So | 6'7" | 19-1 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 52.7% | 23.1% | 0.7 | 72.7% | 19.2% | |
| 15 | Camden Karel | F | So | 6'9" | 19-0 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 64.6% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 18.0% | |
| 13 | Preston Squire | F | Jr | 6'11" | 4-0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 10.0% | |
| 5 | Christian Dedivanaj | G | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 4.0% | |
| 2 | KJ Torbert | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Leek Ateny | F | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Talan Staley | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Trey Simmons | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Zach Howell | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Tristan Beckford (from South Florida), Juan Cranford Jr. (from E Kentucky), Christ Essandoko (from South Carolina), Jayden Johnson (from SC State)
Kent State2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Kent State's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cian Medley | G | Jr | 5'11" | 33-32 | 33.4 | 10.5 | 2.3 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 43.9% | 32.1% | 5.1 | 74.4% | 22.7% | |
| 23 | Delrecco Gillespie | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-34 | 32.2 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 52.9% | 27.0% | 1.9 | 78.9% | 30.6% | |
| 8 | Morgan Safford | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-32 | 31.2 | 14.3 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 51.3% | 34.9% | 6.1 | 80.1% | 25.1% | |
| 25 | Jahari Williamson | G | Jr | 6'1" | 34-34 | 25.1 | 10.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 61.8% | 44.5% | 5.4 | 82.6% | 18.3% | |
| 2 | Rob Whaley Jr. | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-27 | 23.7 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 52.9% | 28.6% | 0.9 | 62.3% | 29.5% | |
| 6 | Quinn Woidke | G | Fr | 6'0" | 34-0 | 19.4 | 9.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 40.4% | 4.9 | 80.0% | 23.2% | |
| 0 | Rayvon Griffith | F | So | 6'8" | 33-2 | 13.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 50.0% | 29.0% | 1.9 | 53.6% | 18.7% | |
| 14 | Magnus Entenmann | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-5 | 12.0 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 28.0% | 0.8 | 83.8% | 13.2% | |
| 11 | Dezmon Briscoe | F | Fr | 6'8" | 30-2 | 8.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.9% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 56.7% | 17.4% | |
| 54 | Omer Hamama | G | Fr | 6'2" | 23-2 | 7.5 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 40.0% | 15.4% | 0.6 | 83.3% | 18.9% | |
| 5 | Brenden Moss | G | Jr | 6'4" | 14-0 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 40.0% | 23.5% | 1.2 | 100.0% | 23.6% | |
| 7 | Landon Vanderwarker | F | Fr | 6'8" | 10-0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 55.0% | 36.4% | 1.1 | 37.5% | 23.4% | |
| 21 | Deandre Jones | F | Fr | 6'11" | 7-0 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 26.6% | |
| 51 | Drew Huffman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 26.4% | |
| 22 | Jaymen Townsend | F | Fr | 6'5" | 1-0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 15.5% | |
| 32 | Dylan Lakatos | G | Fr | 5'11" | 2-0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 2.0 | — | 33.8% | |
| 4 | Jamal Sumlin | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Bowling Green2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jayden Johnsonat SC State | G | Jr | 6'1" | 32-29 | 27.4 | 13.4 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 48.8% | 37.0% | 3.1 | 72.6% | 31.5% | |
| 8 | Juan Cranford Jr.at E Kentucky | G | Jr | 6'4" | 32-29 | 25.9 | 12.1 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 53.3% | 36.3% | 7.0 | 79.6% | 27.2% | |
| 4 | Josiah Shackelford | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-14 | 22.8 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 52.0% | 35.3% | 3.6 | 74.7% | 27.2% | |
| 3 | Makhi Leach | G | So | 6'2" | 25-0 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 47.5% | 11.1% | 0.7 | 75.0% | 21.9% | |
| 34 | Aiden Goins | F | Sr | 6'9" | 25-0 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 48.3% | 25.0% | 0.8 | 87.9% | 29.6% | |
| 22 | Christ Essandokoat South Carolina | F | Sr | 7'1" | 21-4 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 38.6% | 37.5% | 0.8 | 50.0% | 23.1% | |
| 0 | Tristan Beckfordat South Florida | G | So | 6'7" | 19-1 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 52.7% | 23.1% | 0.7 | 72.7% | 19.2% | |
| 15 | Camden Karel | F | So | 6'9" | 19-0 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 64.6% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 18.0% | |
| 13 | Preston Squire | F | Jr | 6'11" | 4-0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 10.0% | |
| 5 | Christian Dedivanaj | G | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 4.0% | |
| 2 | KJ Torbert | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Leek Ateny | F | Fr | 6'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 11 | Talan Staley | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Trey Simmons | G | Jr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Zach Howell | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Tristan Beckford (from South Florida), Juan Cranford Jr. (from E Kentucky), Christ Essandoko (from South Carolina), Jayden Johnson (from SC State)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Bowling Green
Against the spread
Season
14-14-1
Home
5-8-1
Road
7-5
Last 10
6-4
avg cover −2.3
Covered 3 straightCovered 5 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
11-17-1
Home
5-8-1
Road
5-7
Last 10
4-5-1
avg vs total −1.9
Over 2 straightOver in 2 of 7 as a favorite, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Toledo | N | L 76–77 | +1.5 | W+0.5 | 152.0 | O153 | 111.6 | 113.1 | 68.1 |
| Mar 6 | E Michigan | A | W 77–69 | −5.0 | W+3.0 | 143.0 | O146 | 108.2 | 96.9 | 71.2 |
| Feb 28 | UMass | H | W 81–62 | −4.0 | W+15.0 | 151.5 | U143 | 123.5 | 94.5 | 65.6 |
| Feb 24 | W Michigan | H | L 79–88 | −12.0 | L−21.0 | 149.0 | O167 | 108.3 | 120.6 | 73.0 |
| Feb 20 | #22Miami OH | A | L 77–91 | +8.0 | L−6.0 | 154.0 | O168 | 104.1 | 123.0 | 74.0 |
| Feb 17 | Kent State | H | L 71–78 | −2.5 | L−9.5 | 151.5 | U149 | 97.9 | 107.5 | 72.5 |
| Feb 14 | Toledo | H | W 80–70 | −4.0 | W+6.0 | 150.0 | P150 | 122.0 | 106.7 | 65.6 |
| Feb 11 | N Illinois | A | W 68–52 | −7.5 | W+8.5 | 145.0 | U120 | 97.6 | 74.6 | 69.7 |
| Feb 7 | Arkansas St | A | L 54–91 | +3.5 | L−33.5 | 155.0 | U145 | 71.8 | 121.0 | 75.2 |
| Feb 3 | Ball State | H | W 77–52 | −11.0 | W+14.0 | 138.0 | U129 | 123.0 | 83.1 | 62.6 |
Kent State
Against the spread
Season
12-19-1
Home
6-9
Road
5-8
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −2.5
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 2 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 1 of 4 as an underdogCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
18-13-1
Home
11-4
Road
5-7-1
Last 10
5-4-1
avg vs total +4.1
Under 2 straightOver in 5 of 6 as a favorite, 1 pushOver in 0 of 4 as an underdogOver in 4 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18 | Illinois St | A | L 58–79 | +4.5 | L−16.5 | 154.5 | U137 | 83.9 | 114.3 | 69.1 |
| Mar 13 | Akron | N | L 68–75 | +6.5 | L−0.5 | 163.0 | U143 | 99.5 | 109.7 | 68.3 |
| Mar 12 | Ohio | N | W 86–75 | −3.5 | W+7.5 | 160.5 | O161 | 121.1 | 105.7 | 71.0 |
| Mar 6 | W Michigan | H | W 86–78 | −13.5 | L−5.5 | 157.5 | O164 | 122.5 | 111.1 | 70.2 |
| Mar 3 | N Illinois | A | W 102–76 | −10.0 | W+16.0 | 149.5 | O178 | 134.5 | 100.2 | 75.9 |
| Feb 27 | Akron | H | L 70–92 | +3.5 | L−18.5 | 165.0 | U162 | 99.4 | 130.7 | 70.4 |
| Feb 24 | C Michigan | H | W 83–81 | −12.0 | L−10.0 | 157.0 | O164 | 124.1 | 121.1 | 66.9 |
| Feb 17 | Bowling Green | A | W 78–71 | +2.5 | W+9.5 | 151.5 | U149 | 107.5 | 97.9 | 72.5 |
| Feb 14 | Ball State | A | W 75–68 | −8.0 | L−1.0 | 143.0 | P143 | 103.3 | 93.7 | 72.6 |
| Feb 11 | E Michigan | H | W 95–91 | −10.0 | L−6.0 | 144.5 | O186 | 135.3 | 129.6 | 70.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeBowling GreenKent State
Efficiency
107.8
109.8
105.1
108.9
68.9
70.4
—
—
Shooting
51.8%
51.4%
51.9%
50.6%
34.4%
35.0%
72.3%
74.4%
37.0%
43.5%
Ball control & glass
16.5%
18.0%
18.4%
16.1%
28.7%
35.3%
26.9%
29.3%
9.0%
9.8%
9.8%
9.6%
Style
34.2%
44.9%
48.7%
36.6%
19.8%
13.1%
48.5%
57.1%
28.7%
29.8%
Roster
2.96
3.05
6'4.4"
6'4.1"
20.3%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputBowling Green
Returning minutes: 20.3%Returning production: 18.4%
Lost
- Javontae Campbell 34.1 mpg, 18.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Sam Towns 32.0 mpg, 11.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Justin Thomas 24.3 mpg, 5.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Troy Glover II 22.9 mpg, 7.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Javon Ruffin 22.8 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Mayar Wol 20.0 mpg, 10.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jayden Johnson from SC State · 27.4 mpg, 13.4 ppg last season
- Juan Cranford Jr. from E Kentucky · 25.9 mpg, 12.1 ppg last season
- Christ Essandoko from South Carolina · 4.9 mpg, 1.3 ppg last season
- Tristan Beckford from South Florida · 4.4 mpg, 1.6 ppg last season
- Zach Howell no D1 minutes last season
- Talan Staley no D1 minutes last season
Returns 20% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5. Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Kent State
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Kent State's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Tue, Feb 17 | 2025-26 | Kent State 78 – 71 Bowling Green |
| Tue, Jan 6 | 2025-26 | Bowling Green 93 – 96 Kent State |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.