CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceXFINITY Center, College Park, MD
American
Efficiency #234
2025-26: 16-16 · 9-10 conf
@
Maryland
Efficiency #198
2025-26: 12-21 · 5-17 conf
Wed, Dec 2 · TBD
70.4
win 33%
Projected
75.6
win 67%
No line posted yet.
Model: MD −5.2 · total 146.0 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Maryland 67.7, American 67.9 → 67.2 possessions
−2.3
Maryland offense vs American defense
+0.7
American offense vs Maryland defense
−0.6
Projected total
146.0
Axis starts at 144 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Maryland offense vs American defense
+0.7
American offense vs Maryland defense
+0.6
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
Maryland by 5.2
5.2
American side ◂▸ Maryland side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Maryland.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Maryland is the faster team (66.7, #257 of 365) and American the slower (66.7, #258). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.2
per team, 40 min
Projected total
146.0
model
Projected team totals
70.4 / 75.6
American / Maryland
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.9#217
American
67.7#239
Maryland
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageMaryland
Where Maryland struggles: ball control
Maryland turns it over on 18.6% of possessions (#304); American forces turnovers on 19.2% of opponent possessions (#40). Expect about 19.3%, 2.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.1 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageAmerican
Where American scores: shooting
American shoots an effective 51.5% (#169); Maryland allows 54.4% (#312). Expect about 53.0%, 1.7 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.5 points per 100 possessions.
ClashAmerican
Style match: 3-point volume
American takes 46.5% of its shots from three; Maryland lets opponents take 43.1% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 47.4% — both habits push the same way.
TurnoversAmerican
American protects the ball
Projected turnover rate of 15.0% is worth roughly +2.2 points per 100 possessions for American's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Maryland's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect American at about 47.4% of its shots from three, Maryland about 43.8%.
GlassAmerican
American gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 27.3% is worth roughly -1.9 points per 100 possessions against American's offense.
American has the ball
OffenseMaryland allowsvs D1 avg
51.5% #169
54.4% #312
+2.5 pt/100
15.6% #114
14.9% #296
+2.2 pt/100
26.9% #299
29.1% #111
-1.9 pt/100
28.7% #335
35.8% #205
-0.3 pt/100
75.8% #57
—
+0.3 pt/100
American net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.8 pts/100
Maryland has the ball
OffenseAmerican allowsvs D1 avg
48.1% #311
54.4% #313
-0.3 pt/100
18.6% #304
19.2% #40
-3.1 pt/100
33.8% #73
29.4% #127
+1.2 pt/100
36.4% #142
42.1% #324
+0.6 pt/100
72.2% #202
—
-0.0 pt/100
Maryland net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersAmericanoffense vsMarylanddefense
Share of shots by zone
American shoots
35.9
7.3
10.4
46.4
Maryland allows
37.3
4.4
14.6
43.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.0%#161 | 59.6%#211 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.5%#92 | 31.9%#22 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.6%#127 | 41.3%#283 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.0%#235 | 36.3%#317 | 33.7% |
Marylandoffense vsAmericandefense
Share of shots by zone
Maryland shoots
32.6
5.0
15.9
46.5
American allows
40.6
6.8
15.4
37.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.8%#279 | 62.5%#311 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.1%#328 | 48.0%#339 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.6%#129 | 37.6%#145 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.7%#293 | 35.5%#283 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersAmerican
−1.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#259 of 365
Off reb %
26.9%
#299
Def reb %
70.6%
#127
Turnover %
15.6%
#114
Forced TO %
19.2%
#40
FT rate
28.7%
#335
FT allowed
42.1%
#324
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.1
Defensive rebounding+0.4
Ball security+0.8
Forcing turnovers+1.7
Foul shots drawn−1.6
Foul shots allowed−1.8
Maryland
−0.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#204 of 365
Off reb %
33.8%
#73
Def reb %
70.9%
#111
Turnover %
18.6%
#304
Forced TO %
14.9%
#296
FT rate
36.4%
#142
FT allowed
35.8%
#205
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.1
Defensive rebounding+0.5
Ball security−1.2
Forcing turnovers−1.2
Foul shots drawn+0.3
Foul shots allowed−0.1
Maryland has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.6 (#204 of 365) to American’s −1.6 (#259).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
American2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted American's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Greg Jones | F | Jr | 6'6" | 32-31 | 30.3 | 12.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 45.4% | 27.0% | 3.5 | 80.7% | 26.1% | |
| 33 | Matt Mayock | F | Jr | 6'7" | 31-31 | 28.8 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 54.5% | 34.4% | 3.0 | 82.7% | 17.2% | |
| 12 | Geoff Sprouse | G | Sr | 6'1" | 32-32 | 26.8 | 9.2 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 57.0% | 39.0% | 6.1 | 75.0% | 19.6% | |
| 32 | Julen Iturbe | F | So | 6'7" | 32-32 | 25.8 | 10.5 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 56.5% | 35.2% | 3.9 | 67.2% | 24.9% | |
| 7 | Wyatt Nausadis | G | So | 6'4" | 32-18 | 22.8 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 52.0% | 35.5% | 3.4 | 70.4% | 22.1% | |
| 2 | Madden Collins | G | Fr | 6'5" | 32-0 | 21.8 | 13.4 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 54.0% | 22.6% | 2.9 | 70.3% | 36.2% | |
| 4 | Kade Sebastian | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-16 | 21.7 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 57.1% | 37.9% | 2.7 | 80.4% | 14.7% | |
| 35 | Chris Eagan | F | Fr | 6'8" | 32-0 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 44.8% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 79.3% | 25.3% | |
| 3 | Dean Hogans | G | Fr | 6'4" | 22-0 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 56.7% | 35.5% | 1.4 | 42.9% | 18.8% | |
| 16 | Luke Brown | F | Fr | 6'9" | 19-0 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 38.1% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 83.3% | 14.3% | |
| 13 | Carson McDonald | F | Fr | 6'9" | 4-0 | 14.3 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 68.8% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 63.6% | 22.1% | |
| 9 | Matthew Casey | G | Fr | 6'4" | 7-0 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 15.0% | 12.5% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 30.4% | |
| 8 | Jack Anderson | G | Fr | 6'4" | 6-0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 7.5% | |
| 10 | Adrian Samuels | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Eric Michaels | F | So | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Gibraltar Coleman | F | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Kamran Prince | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Noah Jones | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Shane O'Reilly | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Maryland2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Elijah Saunders | F | Sr | 6'8" | 33-32 | 30.7 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 56.4% | 41.1% | 4.3 | 80.0% | 17.2% | |
| 7 | Andre Mills | G | Fr | 6'4" | 33-25 | 26.7 | 12.2 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 49.2% | 34.6% | 4.8 | 76.7% | 29.7% | |
| 8 | David Coit | G | Sr | 5'11" | 33-16 | 26.7 | 13.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 51.0% | 32.4% | 6.6 | 85.6% | 31.4% | |
| 1 | Darius Adams | G | Fr | 6'5" | 33-28 | 25.6 | 10.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 40.6% | 24.8% | 4.0 | 71.4% | 31.5% | |
| 12 | Isaiah Watts | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-8 | 17.0 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 44.5% | 29.3% | 3.1 | 64.3% | 18.8% | |
| 45 | Collin Metcalf | C | Sr | 6'9" | 31-13 | 13.5 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.5% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 38.5% | 8.2% | |
| 2 | Myles Rice | G | Jr | 6'3" | 17-4 | 16.5 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 43.3% | 34.4% | 1.9 | 92.6% | 24.4% | |
| 21 | Pharrel Payne | F | Sr | 6'9" | 10-10 | 26.8 | 17.5 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 62.4% | — | 0.0 | 71.9% | 32.8% | |
| 11 | George Turkson Jr. | G | Fr | 6'7" | 23-5 | 11.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 10.3% | |
| 18 | Guillermo Del Pino | G | Fr | 6'5" | 23-2 | 9.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 37.0% | 27.6% | 1.3 | 50.0% | 17.5% | |
| 24 | Aleks Alston | F | Fr | 6'10" | 25-0 | 8.4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 40.3% | 20.8% | 1.0 | 55.6% | 13.8% | |
| 15 | Jaziah Harper | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 30 | Lukas Sotell | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Nick Blake | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Rakease Passmore | G | So | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
American2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted American's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Greg Jones | F | Jr | 6'6" | 32-31 | 30.3 | 12.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 45.4% | 27.0% | 3.5 | 80.7% | 26.1% | |
| 33 | Matt Mayock | F | Jr | 6'7" | 31-31 | 28.8 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 54.5% | 34.4% | 3.0 | 82.7% | 17.2% | |
| 12 | Geoff Sprouse | G | Sr | 6'1" | 32-32 | 26.8 | 9.2 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 57.0% | 39.0% | 6.1 | 75.0% | 19.6% | |
| 32 | Julen Iturbe | F | So | 6'7" | 32-32 | 25.8 | 10.5 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 56.5% | 35.2% | 3.9 | 67.2% | 24.9% | |
| 7 | Wyatt Nausadis | G | So | 6'4" | 32-18 | 22.8 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 52.0% | 35.5% | 3.4 | 70.4% | 22.1% | |
| 2 | Madden Collins | G | Fr | 6'5" | 32-0 | 21.8 | 13.4 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 54.0% | 22.6% | 2.9 | 70.3% | 36.2% | |
| 4 | Kade Sebastian | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-16 | 21.7 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 57.1% | 37.9% | 2.7 | 80.4% | 14.7% | |
| 35 | Chris Eagan | F | Fr | 6'8" | 32-0 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 44.8% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 79.3% | 25.3% | |
| 3 | Dean Hogans | G | Fr | 6'4" | 22-0 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 56.7% | 35.5% | 1.4 | 42.9% | 18.8% | |
| 16 | Luke Brown | F | Fr | 6'9" | 19-0 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 38.1% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 83.3% | 14.3% | |
| 13 | Carson McDonald | F | Fr | 6'9" | 4-0 | 14.3 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 68.8% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 63.6% | 22.1% | |
| 9 | Matthew Casey | G | Fr | 6'4" | 7-0 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 15.0% | 12.5% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 30.4% | |
| 8 | Jack Anderson | G | Fr | 6'4" | 6-0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 7.5% | |
| 10 | Adrian Samuels | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 25 | Eric Michaels | F | So | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Gibraltar Coleman | F | Jr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Kamran Prince | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Noah Jones | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Shane O'Reilly | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26American
Against the spread
Season
16-13-1
Home
8-7
Road
8-6-1
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover −2.1
Covered 3 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
15-15
Home
7-8
Road
8-7
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +0.6
Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5 | Boston U | A | L 73–75 | +2.0 | P0.0 | 142.5 | O148 | 121.4 | 124.8 | 60.1 |
| Feb 28 | Boston U | H | L 65–68 | −3.5 | L−6.5 | 142.0 | U133 | 101.0 | 105.7 | 64.3 |
| Feb 25 | Lehigh | H | L 73–78 | −7.0 | L−12.0 | 140.0 | O151 | 110.0 | 117.5 | 66.4 |
| Feb 22 | Lafayette | A | W 75–61 | −3.5 | W+10.5 | 141.0 | U136 | 127.3 | 103.5 | 58.9 |
| Feb 18 | Bucknell | A | W 75–57 | −3.0 | W+15.0 | 140.5 | U132 | 115.9 | 88.1 | 64.7 |
| Feb 14 | Army | H | W 75–63 | −9.5 | W+2.5 | 145.5 | U138 | 114.0 | 95.8 | 65.8 |
| Feb 11 | Lehigh | A | L 82–90 | −1.5 | L−9.5 | 140.0 | O172 | 110.6 | 121.4 | 74.2 |
| Feb 7 | Navy | A | L 73–82 | +4.5 | L−4.5 | 134.0 | O155 | 113.2 | 127.1 | 64.5 |
| Feb 4 | Bucknell | H | L 59–60 | −8.0 | L−9.0 | 142.0 | U119 | 99.7 | 101.4 | 59.2 |
| Jan 31 | Lafayette | H | L 65–67 | −5.5 | L−7.5 | 143.0 | U132 | 102.2 | 105.4 | 63.6 |
Maryland
Against the spread
Season
15-16-2
Home
6-8-1
Road
6-5-1
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +1.9
Covered 3 straightCovered 7 of 9 as an underdogCovered 4 of 5 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
18-15
Home
9-6
Road
5-7
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −6.5
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 9 as an underdogOver in 3 of 5 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Iowa | N | L 64–75 | +12.0 | W+1.0 | 134.5 | O139 | 97.4 | 114.1 | 65.7 |
| Mar 10 | Oregon | N | W 70–60 | +4.0 | W+14.0 | 139.0 | U130 | 111.5 | 95.6 | 62.8 |
| Mar 8 | #11Illinois | H | L 72–78 | +14.0 | W+8.0 | 145.0 | O150 | 117.6 | 127.4 | 61.2 |
| Mar 4 | Wisconsin | A | L 45–78 | +14.5 | L−18.5 | 153.5 | U123 | 77.9 | 135.0 | 57.8 |
| Mar 1 | Rutgers | H | L 65–69 | −5.0 | L−9.0 | 143.5 | U134 | 92.5 | 98.2 | 70.3 |
| Feb 25 | #12Nebraska | A | L 61–74 | +16.5 | W+3.5 | 141.0 | U135 | 95.9 | 116.4 | 63.6 |
| Feb 21 | Washington | H | W 64–60 | +3.0 | W+7.0 | 143.5 | U124 | 112.7 | 105.7 | 56.8 |
| Feb 18 | Northwestern | A | L 74–78 | +8.0 | W+4.0 | 142.5 | O152 | 112.2 | 118.3 | 65.9 |
| Feb 15 | Rutgers | A | L 57–68 | +3.0 | L−8.0 | 142.5 | U125 | 88.0 | 105.0 | 64.8 |
| Feb 11 | Iowa | H | W 77–70 | +10.0 | W+17.0 | 139.0 | O147 | 123.8 | 112.6 | 62.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeAmericanMaryland
Efficiency
106.9
107.9
110.1
109.1
67.9
67.7
—
—
Shooting
51.5%
48.1%
53.3%
48.6%
33.0%
31.7%
75.8%
72.2%
28.7%
36.4%
Ball control & glass
15.6%
18.6%
19.2%
14.9%
26.9%
33.8%
29.4%
29.1%
8.9%
9.5%
10.0%
11.6%
Style
46.5%
46.9%
42.6%
34.4%
13.8%
8.7%
49.5%
45.2%
33.2%
31.4%
Roster
2.23
2.61
6'5.2"
6'4.9"
—
87.9%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputAmerican
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted American's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Maryland
Returning minutes: 87.9%Returning production: 86.1%
Lost
- Solomon Washington 24.3 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Nick Blake no D1 minutes last season
- Rakease Passmore no D1 minutes last season
- Lukas Sotell no D1 minutes last season
- Jaziah Harper no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 88% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.