CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceLawlor Events Center, Reno, NV
Pacific
Efficiency #126
2025-26: 18-15 · 9-11 conf
@
Nevada
Efficiency #71
2025-26: 24-13 · 14-9 conf
Wed, Dec 2 · TBD
67.3
win 28%
Projected
74.0
win 72%
No line posted yet.
Model: NEV −6.7 · total 141.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Nevada 67.4, Pacific 66.4 → 65.4 possessions
−6.2
Nevada offense vs Pacific defense
+1.1
Pacific offense vs Nevada defense
−1.8
Projected total
141.3
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Nevada offense vs Pacific defense
+1.1
Pacific offense vs Nevada defense
+1.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Nevada by 6.7
6.7
Pacific side ◂▸ Nevada side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Nevada.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Nevada is the faster team (66.8, #253 of 365) and Pacific the slower (65.8, #300). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
141.3
model
Projected team totals
67.3 / 74.0
Pacific / Nevada
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.4#325
Pacific
67.4#263
Nevada
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Half-court grind
Nevada averages 66.8 possessions per 40, Pacific 65.8. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageNevada
Where Nevada scores: ball control
Nevada turns it over on 14.8% of possessions (#55); Pacific forces turnovers on 15.1% of opponent possessions (#273). Expect about 14.6%, 2.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.7 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantagePacific
Where Pacific struggles: ball control
Pacific turns it over on 20.1% of possessions (#349); Nevada forces turnovers on 17.0% of opponent possessions (#150). Expect about 18.8%, 2.0 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.5 points per 100 possessions.
ClashNevada
Style clash: 3-point volume
Nevada rarely shoots threes (32.3% of its shots); Pacific lets opponents take 42.8% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 35.9% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
ClashPacific
Strength vs strength: offensive rebounding
Pacific (#42 in offensive rebounding) against Nevada (#33 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 32.1%. Historically Pacific's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.70 vs 0.49).
Pacific has the ball
OffenseNevada allowsvs D1 avg
52.2% #140
51.1% #166
+0.6 pt/100
20.1% #349
17.0% #150
-2.5 pt/100
35.3% #42
26.9% #33
+1.0 pt/100
30.5% #297
38.9% #282
+0.0 pt/100
75.5% #66
—
+0.3 pt/100
Pacific net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.6 pts/100
Nevada has the ball
OffensePacific allowsvs D1 avg
50.0% #234
50.0% #101
-2.0 pt/100
14.8% #55
15.1% #273
+2.7 pt/100
32.2% #119
25.0% #8
-0.8 pt/100
44.8% #6
36.3% #219
+0.7 pt/100
75.7% #61
—
+0.3 pt/100
Nevada net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.8 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersPacificoffense vsNevadadefense
Share of shots by zone
Pacific shoots
41.8
8.8
14.6
34.7
Nevada allows
38.7
5.9
12.9
42.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 54.6%#311 | 53.7%#36 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.4%#57 | 37.8%#132 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 44.9%#16 | 46.9%#359 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.8%#65 | 33.7%#168 | 33.7% |
Nevadaoffense vsPacificdefense
Share of shots by zone
Nevada shoots
39.2
6.2
22.1
32.5
Pacific allows
30.2
8.3
19.3
42.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.4%#335 | 57.0%#113 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 37.5%#236 | 39.7%#183 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.7%#123 | 37.7%#151 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.8%#70 | 34.7%#233 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersPacific
−1.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#252 of 365
Off reb %
35.3%
#42
Def reb %
75.0%
#8
Turnover %
20.1%
#349
Forced TO %
15.1%
#273
FT rate
30.5%
#297
FT allowed
36.3%
#219
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.6
Defensive rebounding+1.8
Ball security−2.2
Forcing turnovers−1.1
Foul shots drawn−1.2
Foul shots allowed−0.3
Nevada
+4.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#26 of 365
Off reb %
32.2%
#119
Def reb %
73.1%
#33
Turnover %
14.8%
#55
Forced TO %
17.0%
#150
FT rate
44.8%
#6
FT allowed
38.9%
#282
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.6
Defensive rebounding+1.2
Ball security+1.3
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn+2.5
Foul shots allowed−0.9
Nevada has more extra scoring chances per game: +4.9 (#26 of 365) to Pacific’s −1.4 (#252).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Pacific2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | TJ Wainwright | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-33 | 31.9 | 13.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 52.0% | 38.8% | 5.5 | 92.0% | 24.9% | |
| 6 | Jaden Clayton | G | Sr | 6'1" | 33-24 | 30.4 | 7.9 | 3.3 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 44.0% | 30.2% | 3.5 | 75.0% | 21.7% | |
| 1 | Justin Rochelin | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 27.2 | 9.1 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 52.3% | 38.1% | 2.5 | 79.8% | 22.0% | |
| 14 | Isaac Jack | F | Sr | 6'11" | 33-33 | 21.6 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 67.4% | — | 0.0 | 59.7% | 21.5% | |
| 9 | Kajus Kublickas | G | Jr | 6'2" | 33-9 | 20.2 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 42.1% | 27.8% | 2.4 | 71.4% | 23.7% | |
| 15 | Jaion Pitt | F | Fr | 6'7" | 33-0 | 17.3 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 68.8% | 66.7% | 0.2 | 63.4% | 13.0% | |
| 24 | KC Ibekwe | C | Sr | 6'11" | 32-0 | 9.3 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 59.6% | — | 0.0 | 29.6% | 26.9% | |
| 0 | Alexis Marmolejos | G | Sr | 6'2" | 24-0 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 45.1% | 30.2% | 2.2 | 84.2% | 26.8% | |
| 11 | Emmanuel Manyuon | G | Jr | 6'2" | 13-0 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 58.3% | 33.3% | 0.2 | — | 11.6% | |
| 17 | Eyal Harel | G | Fr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.7 | — | 11.4% | |
| 3 | Carlsheon Young | G | Fr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 40.8% | |
| 13 | Kellen Hampton | F | Fr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 7 | Augustas Brazdeikis | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Clayton Mpiana | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Dominic Capriotti | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Kris Keinys | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Noah Budu | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Nevada2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elijah Price | F | So | 6'9" | 37-37 | 30.0 | 12.8 | 8.5 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 46.3% | 35.5% | 0.8 | 73.3% | 26.5% | |
| 12 | Tayshawn Comer | G | Sr | 6'1" | 37-36 | 25.2 | 11.0 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 44.2% | 35.1% | 3.1 | 79.7% | 30.7% | |
| 7 | Vaughn Weems | G | Jr | 6'5" | 34-25 | 25.0 | 10.1 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 60.4% | 38.2% | 2.0 | 76.8% | 21.8% | |
| 6 | Kaleb Lowery | F | Sr | 6'8" | 36-27 | 18.3 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 56.9% | 33.9% | 1.7 | 75.8% | 14.4% | |
| 0 | Chuck Bailey III | G | Jr | 6'4" | 33-14 | 18.0 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 45.9% | 39.4% | 2.2 | 74.4% | 23.3% | |
| 3 | Tyler Rolison | G | Jr | 6'0" | 34-4 | 17.2 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 41.1% | 22.0% | 1.2 | 76.0% | 23.0% | |
| 17 | Peyton White | G | Fr | 6'6" | 36-0 | 13.9 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 48.1% | 32.7% | 1.4 | 79.2% | 20.2% | |
| 21 | Joel Armotrading | C | Sr | 6'10" | 21-10 | 16.9 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 50.7% | — | 0.0 | 77.4% | 18.3% | |
| 5 | Amire Robinson | G | So | 6'3" | 36-0 | 9.4 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 56.0% | 33.3% | 1.3 | 70.6% | 16.0% | |
| 2 | Myles Walker | G | Fr | 5'10" | 32-0 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 46.3% | 33.3% | 0.6 | 100.0% | 13.7% | |
| 10 | Jeriah Coleman | C | Sr | 7'1" | 29-0 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 70.6% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 9.6% | |
| 50 | Ethan Croley | F | Fr | 6'9" | 16-0 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 57.1% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 46.2% | 22.5% | |
| 24 | Christopher Baudreau | F | Fr | 6'9" | 4-0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 37.9% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Pacific2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | TJ Wainwright | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-33 | 31.9 | 13.0 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 52.0% | 38.8% | 5.5 | 92.0% | 24.9% | |
| 6 | Jaden Clayton | G | Sr | 6'1" | 33-24 | 30.4 | 7.9 | 3.3 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 44.0% | 30.2% | 3.5 | 75.0% | 21.7% | |
| 1 | Justin Rochelin | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 27.2 | 9.1 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 52.3% | 38.1% | 2.5 | 79.8% | 22.0% | |
| 14 | Isaac Jack | F | Sr | 6'11" | 33-33 | 21.6 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 67.4% | — | 0.0 | 59.7% | 21.5% | |
| 9 | Kajus Kublickas | G | Jr | 6'2" | 33-9 | 20.2 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 42.1% | 27.8% | 2.4 | 71.4% | 23.7% | |
| 15 | Jaion Pitt | F | Fr | 6'7" | 33-0 | 17.3 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 68.8% | 66.7% | 0.2 | 63.4% | 13.0% | |
| 24 | KC Ibekwe | C | Sr | 6'11" | 32-0 | 9.3 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 59.6% | — | 0.0 | 29.6% | 26.9% | |
| 0 | Alexis Marmolejos | G | Sr | 6'2" | 24-0 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 45.1% | 30.2% | 2.2 | 84.2% | 26.8% | |
| 11 | Emmanuel Manyuon | G | Jr | 6'2" | 13-0 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 58.3% | 33.3% | 0.2 | — | 11.6% | |
| 17 | Eyal Harel | G | Fr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.7 | — | 11.4% | |
| 3 | Carlsheon Young | G | Fr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 40.8% | |
| 13 | Kellen Hampton | F | Fr | 6'7" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 7 | Augustas Brazdeikis | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 21 | Clayton Mpiana | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Dominic Capriotti | G | Jr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Kris Keinys | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Noah Budu | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Pacific
Against the spread
Season
15-14-2
Home
4-6-2
Road
7-8
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover −0.2
Covered 2 straightCovered 2 of 4 as a favorite, 1 pushCovered 2 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-20
Home
2-10
Road
9-6
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −2.7
Under 4 straightOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | Santa Clara | N | L 68–76 | +9.5 | W+1.5 | 148.0 | U144 | 114.9 | 128.4 | 59.2 |
| Mar 7 | Seattle U | N | W 61–58 | −1.0 | W+2.0 | 129.5 | U119 | 94.5 | 89.9 | 64.6 |
| Feb 28 | San Francisco | H | L 61–72 | −4.5 | L−15.5 | 143.5 | U133 | 94.6 | 111.7 | 64.5 |
| Feb 21 | #11Gonzaga | A | L 62–71 | +21.5 | W+12.5 | 143.5 | U133 | 101.3 | 116.0 | 61.2 |
| Feb 18 | Washington St | A | L 70–87 | +2.5 | L−14.5 | 143.5 | O157 | 106.8 | 132.8 | 65.5 |
| Feb 14 | Saint Mary's | H | L 61–72 | +7.0 | L−4.0 | 135.5 | U133 | 96.2 | 113.5 | 63.4 |
| Feb 11 | LMU | H | W 65–59 | −6.0 | P0.0 | 141.5 | U124 | 103.2 | 93.7 | 63.0 |
| Feb 7 | Pepperdine | A | W 92–59 | −7.5 | W+25.5 | 142.5 | O151 | 126.8 | 81.3 | 72.5 |
| Feb 4 | Santa Clara | H | L 56–71 | +6.0 | L−9.0 | 151.5 | U127 | 87.4 | 110.9 | 64.1 |
| Jan 31 | San Francisco | A | L 82–87 | +4.0 | L−1.0 | 138.0 | O169 | 121.1 | 128.4 | 67.7 |
Nevada
Against the spread
Season
21-15-1
Home
12-7
Road
6-6-1
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +1.0
Covered 3 straightCovered 3 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
21-16
Home
10-9
Road
7-6
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −1.2
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25 | Auburn | A | L 69–75 | +8.0 | W+2.0 | 153.0 | U144 | 107.2 | 116.5 | 64.4 |
| Mar 21 | Liberty | H | W 73–63 | −7.0 | W+3.0 | 147.5 | U136 | 117.6 | 101.5 | 62.0 |
| Mar 18 | Murray St | H | W 89–75 | −9.0 | W+5.0 | 160.0 | O164 | 123.2 | 103.8 | 72.2 |
| Mar 13 | Utah State | N | L 66–79 | +6.5 | L−6.5 | 144.5 | O145 | 90.3 | 108.1 | 73.1 |
| Mar 12 | Grand Canyon | N | W 84–80 | +3.5 | W+7.5 | 137.5 | O164 | 119.3 | 113.6 | 70.4 |
| Mar 11 | Air Force | N | W 80–45 | −19.0 | W+16.0 | 141.0 | U125 | 112.3 | 63.2 | 71.2 |
| Mar 7 | Air Force | H | W 74–59 | −25.5 | L−10.5 | 145.0 | U133 | 114.2 | 91.1 | 64.8 |
| Mar 3 | Wyoming | A | L 73–83 | −1.5 | L−11.5 | 144.0 | O156 | 110.1 | 125.2 | 66.3 |
| Feb 28 | UNLV | A | L 83–85 OT | −1.0 | L−3.0 | 151.5 | O168 | 110.0 | 112.7 | 75.4 |
| Feb 24 | New Mexico | H | W 67–60 | +1.0 | W+8.0 | 150.0 | U127 | 94.7 | 84.9 | 70.7 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homePacificNevada
Efficiency
108.8
112.3
106.4
105.3
66.4
67.4
—
—
Shooting
52.2%
50.0%
51.3%
48.2%
35.8%
35.8%
75.5%
75.7%
30.5%
44.8%
Ball control & glass
20.1%
14.8%
15.1%
17.0%
35.3%
32.2%
25.0%
26.9%
9.9%
8.7%
10.6%
9.5%
Style
35.3%
32.3%
45.9%
39.9%
9.7%
15.7%
58.0%
57.6%
27.8%
34.5%
Roster
3.55
2.84
6'4.7"
6'5.1"
82.8%
85.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputPacific
Returning minutes: 82.8%Returning production: 78.1%
Lost
- Elias Ralph 34.6 mpg, 16.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Kris Keinys no D1 minutes last season
- Noah Budu no D1 minutes last season
- Dominic Capriotti no D1 minutes last season
- Augustas Brazdeikis no D1 minutes last season
- Clayton Mpiana no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 83% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Nevada
Returning minutes: 85.8%Returning production: 81.9%
Lost
- Corey Camper Jr. 28.8 mpg, 14.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
Nobody of note.
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 86% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 8 | 2025-26 | Pacific 77 – 78 Nevada |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.