CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceCintas Center, Cincinnati, OH
Texas Southern
Efficiency #321
2025-26: 12-18 · 10-9 conf
@
Xavier
Efficiency #129
2025-26: 15-18 · 7-15 conf
Wed, Dec 2 · TBD
72.3
win 14%
Projected
84.6
win 86%
No line posted yet.
Model: XAV −12.3 · total 156.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Xavier 70.3, Texas Southern 69.2 → 71.2 possessions
+6.2
Xavier offense vs Texas Southern defense
+5.3
Texas Southern offense vs Xavier defense
−2.9
Projected total
156.9
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Xavier offense vs Texas Southern defense
+5.3
Texas Southern offense vs Xavier defense
+2.9
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Xavier by 12.3
12.3
Texas Southern side ◂▸ Xavier side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 156.8 against a projected 156.9. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Xavier.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Xavier is the faster team (71.2, #44 of 365) and Texas Southern the slower (70.6, #72). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.2
per team, 40 min
Projected total
156.9
model
Projected team totals
72.3 / 84.6
Texas Southern / Xavier
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.2#104
Texas Southern
70.3#33
Xavier
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Track meet
Xavier averages 71.2 possessions per 40, Texas Southern 70.6. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 72 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
AdvantageXavier
Where Xavier scores: ball control
Xavier turns it over on 13.9% of possessions (#21); Texas Southern forces turnovers on 16.5% of opponent possessions (#187). Expect about 15.0%, 1.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.2 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Xavier) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Texas Southern at about 32.2% of its shots from three, Xavier about 42.8%.
ClashXavier
Style match: paint scoring
Xavier gets only 38.8% of its points in the paint; Texas Southern protects the paint (38.9% of opponents' points) (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 40.5% — both habits push the same way.
ClashTexas Southern
Style clash: ball movement
Texas Southern creates off the dribble (assists on 43.2% of its baskets); Xavier allows assists on 63.3% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 53.5% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
Texas Southern has the ball
OffenseXavier allowsvs D1 avg
49.7% #251
54.1% #302
+0.8 pt/100
18.5% #299
15.5% #248
-0.2 pt/100
28.8% #237
29.5% #136
-0.9 pt/100
38.2% #96
32.6% #119
+0.0 pt/100
71.9% #211
—
-0.0 pt/100
Texas Southern net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.4 pts/100
Xavier has the ball
OffenseTexas Southern allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #155
52.5% #240
+1.3 pt/100
13.9% #21
16.5% #187
+2.2 pt/100
26.5% #311
31.2% #211
-1.4 pt/100
28.1% #341
44.0% #345
+0.2 pt/100
72.9% #174
—
+0.0 pt/100
Xavier net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.4 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersTexas Southernoffense vsXavierdefense
Share of shots by zone
Texas Southern shoots
43.1
6.9
18.7
31.3
Xavier allows
42.1
5.3
15.6
37.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.0%#196 | 62.0%#301 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 41.4%#135 | 36.5%#100 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.1%#260 | 40.6%#261 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.1%#224 | 34.8%#237 | 33.7% |
Xavieroffense vsTexas Southerndefense
Share of shots by zone
Xavier shoots
31.9
6.8
21.1
40.2
Texas Southern allows
37.5
4.8
14.7
43.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.2%#190 | 58.7%#175 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.2%#61 | 43.7%#261 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.6%#199 | 39.5%#222 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.5%#39 | 34.1%#190 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersTexas Southern
−3.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#314 of 365
Off reb %
28.8%
#237
Def reb %
68.8%
#211
Turnover %
18.5%
#299
Forced TO %
16.5%
#187
FT rate
38.2%
#96
FT allowed
44.0%
#345
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.5
Defensive rebounding−0.2
Ball security−1.2
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn+0.8
Foul shots allowed−2.3
Xavier
−0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#223 of 365
Off reb %
26.5%
#311
Def reb %
70.5%
#136
Turnover %
13.9%
#21
Forced TO %
15.5%
#248
FT rate
28.1%
#341
FT allowed
32.6%
#119
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.2
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security+1.9
Forcing turnovers−0.8
Foul shots drawn−1.8
Foul shots allowed+0.7
Xavier has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.9 (#223 of 365) to Texas Southern’s −3.5 (#314).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Texas Southern2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Texas Southern's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zaire Hayes | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-27 | 27.3 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 51.1% | 37.1% | 3.8 | 84.9% | 20.9% | |
| 2 | Troy Hupstead | F | Sr | 6'7" | 25-24 | 29.5 | 14.6 | 9.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 54.1% | 30.5% | 2.4 | 68.5% | 27.4% | |
| 6 | Bryce Roberts | G | Sr | 6'1" | 25-24 | 29.5 | 11.3 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 51.8% | 36.8% | 5.8 | 82.9% | 22.2% | |
| 8 | Alex Anderson | G | Sr | 6'6" | 28-7 | 23.5 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 52.4% | 20.0% | 0.5 | 71.9% | 23.6% | |
| 5 | Jaylen Wysinger | G | Sr | 6'0" | 28-14 | 22.5 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 48.7% | 34.0% | 3.7 | 80.3% | 28.1% | |
| 12 | Zytarious Mortle | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-9 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 45.3% | 25.0% | 2.4 | 68.3% | 28.4% | |
| 23 | Duane Posey | G | Sr | 6'7" | 26-7 | 20.5 | 8.7 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 51.3% | 25.0% | 0.2 | 75.9% | 23.9% | |
| 34 | Jordan Gorecki | C | Sr | 6'10" | 26-18 | 17.3 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 58.5% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 9.4% | |
| 8 | Anthony Andrews | F | Fr | 6'7" | 25-5 | 13.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 44.1% | 37.5% | 0.6 | 60.0% | 15.0% | |
| 35 | Josh Akpovwa | F | Jr | 6'9" | 24-9 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 46.2% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 51.7% | 18.7% | |
| 9 | Ahmed Nedal Abdelrahman | G | Fr | 6'8" | 12-0 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 54.2% | 34.6% | 2.2 | 53.8% | 16.6% | |
| 3 | Oumar Koureissi | F | Sr | 6'11" | 8-2 | 17.5 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 1.1 | 60.0% | 23.9% | |
| 11 | Cameron Patterson | G | Fr | 6'5" | 8-1 | 16.5 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 60.6% | 50.0% | 0.8 | 83.3% | 24.4% | |
| 14 | Kolby Granger | G | Sr | 6'5" | 4-3 | 14.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 31.3% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 100.0% | 16.4% | |
| 24 | Jordan Hamilton | G | Sr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 32.2% | |
| 4 | Josh Farmer | F | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Kehlin Farooq | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Xavier2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malik Messina-Moore | G | Sr | 6'5" | 33-33 | 33.2 | 10.9 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 46.7% | 31.8% | 4.8 | 80.0% | 20.4% | |
| 4 | Filip Borovicanin | F | Sr | 6'9" | 33-32 | 31.2 | 10.8 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 49.3% | 34.9% | 3.2 | 87.3% | 21.7% | |
| 24 | Jovan Milicevic | F | So | 6'10" | 33-31 | 26.1 | 12.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 54.9% | 42.9% | 4.7 | 72.8% | 26.0% | |
| 0 | Roddie Anderson III | G | Sr | 6'3" | 33-5 | 23.8 | 10.9 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 45.7% | 31.4% | 3.7 | 72.2% | 29.3% | |
| 3 | All Wright | G | So | 6'3" | 33-28 | 22.2 | 7.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 56.5% | 42.2% | 2.7 | 84.1% | 17.4% | |
| 7 | Isaiah Walker | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-1 | 17.0 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 57.6% | 41.1% | 1.8 | 80.0% | 14.0% | |
| 22 | Pape N'Diaye | F | So | 7'0" | 29-0 | 9.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 56.4% | 42.9% | 0.7 | 55.6% | 11.7% | |
| 21 | Anthony Robinson | F | So | 6'10" | 26-3 | 10.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 54.3% | — | 0.0 | 43.4% | 16.5% | |
| 9 | Mier Panoam | G | Jr | 6'2" | 7-0 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 40.0% | 18.8% | |
| 31 | Ian Sabourin | F | Sr | 6'4" | 6-0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 23.5% | |
| 20 | Henry Thole | F | So | 6'7" | 5-0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 17.8% | |
| 25 | Michael Wolf | G | Sr | 6'1" | 4-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 8.9% | |
| 2 | Gabriel Pozzato | F | So | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 15 | Kason Westphal | C | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Luke Naser | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Texas Southern2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Texas Southern's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zaire Hayes | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-27 | 27.3 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 51.1% | 37.1% | 3.8 | 84.9% | 20.9% | |
| 2 | Troy Hupstead | F | Sr | 6'7" | 25-24 | 29.5 | 14.6 | 9.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 54.1% | 30.5% | 2.4 | 68.5% | 27.4% | |
| 6 | Bryce Roberts | G | Sr | 6'1" | 25-24 | 29.5 | 11.3 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 51.8% | 36.8% | 5.8 | 82.9% | 22.2% | |
| 8 | Alex Anderson | G | Sr | 6'6" | 28-7 | 23.5 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 52.4% | 20.0% | 0.5 | 71.9% | 23.6% | |
| 5 | Jaylen Wysinger | G | Sr | 6'0" | 28-14 | 22.5 | 9.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 48.7% | 34.0% | 3.7 | 80.3% | 28.1% | |
| 12 | Zytarious Mortle | G | Sr | 6'2" | 28-9 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 45.3% | 25.0% | 2.4 | 68.3% | 28.4% | |
| 23 | Duane Posey | G | Sr | 6'7" | 26-7 | 20.5 | 8.7 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 51.3% | 25.0% | 0.2 | 75.9% | 23.9% | |
| 34 | Jordan Gorecki | C | Sr | 6'10" | 26-18 | 17.3 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 58.5% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 9.4% | |
| 8 | Anthony Andrews | F | Fr | 6'7" | 25-5 | 13.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 44.1% | 37.5% | 0.6 | 60.0% | 15.0% | |
| 35 | Josh Akpovwa | F | Jr | 6'9" | 24-9 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 46.2% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 51.7% | 18.7% | |
| 9 | Ahmed Nedal Abdelrahman | G | Fr | 6'8" | 12-0 | 12.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 54.2% | 34.6% | 2.2 | 53.8% | 16.6% | |
| 3 | Oumar Koureissi | F | Sr | 6'11" | 8-2 | 17.5 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 1.1 | 60.0% | 23.9% | |
| 11 | Cameron Patterson | G | Fr | 6'5" | 8-1 | 16.5 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 60.6% | 50.0% | 0.8 | 83.3% | 24.4% | |
| 14 | Kolby Granger | G | Sr | 6'5" | 4-3 | 14.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 31.3% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 100.0% | 16.4% | |
| 24 | Jordan Hamilton | G | Sr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 32.2% | |
| 4 | Josh Farmer | F | Sr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Kehlin Farooq | G | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Texas Southern
Against the spread
Season
9-19
Home
6-6
Road
3-12
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +1.6
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 2 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
14-14
Home
6-6
Road
7-8
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −0.8
Over in the last gameOver in 2 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Alabama A&M | N | L 74–85 OT | +1.5 | L−9.5 | 142.5 | O159 | 97.1 | 111.5 | 76.2 |
| Mar 5 | Prairie View | H | L 59–70 | −1.5 | L−12.5 | 153.0 | U129 | 88.0 | 104.4 | 67.0 |
| Feb 28 | Jackson St | H | W 82–57 | −6.0 | W+19.0 | 152.0 | U139 | 115.5 | 80.3 | 71.0 |
| Feb 26 | Alcorn St | H | W 92–87 OT | −6.5 | L−1.5 | 145.0 | O179 | 115.6 | 109.3 | 79.6 |
| Feb 21 | Miss Valley St | A | L 71–72 | −11.5 | L−12.5 | 143.5 | U143 | 103.8 | 105.3 | 68.4 |
| Feb 19 | AR-Pine Bluff | A | W 83–64 | +1.0 | W+20.0 | 152.5 | U147 | 121.5 | 93.7 | 68.3 |
| Feb 16 | Southern | H | W 74–73 | +5.0 | W+6.0 | 152.0 | U147 | 101.6 | 100.2 | 72.8 |
| Feb 14 | Grambling | H | W 82–79 | −1.0 | W+2.0 | 140.0 | O161 | 116.5 | 112.3 | 70.4 |
| Feb 9 | Bethune | A | L 69–79 OT | +8.5 | L−1.5 | 152.0 | U148 | 93.0 | 106.5 | 74.2 |
| Feb 7 | Florida A&M | A | W 62–57 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 146.5 | U119 | 97.1 | 89.3 | 63.9 |
Xavier
Against the spread
Season
18-15
Home
10-8
Road
5-6
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +0.7
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
25-7-1
Home
14-4
Road
8-2-1
Last 10
9-1
avg vs total +13.2
Over 6 straightOver in 7 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | #6UConn | N | L 68–93 | +16.5 | L−8.5 | 151.0 | O161 | 105.5 | 144.4 | 64.4 |
| Mar 11 | Marquette | N | W 89–87 | +4.0 | W+6.0 | 157.0 | O176 | 116.3 | 113.7 | 76.6 |
| Mar 7 | Villanova | A | L 78–91 | +13.5 | W+0.5 | 154.0 | O169 | 109.9 | 128.2 | 71.0 |
| Mar 3 | Seton Hall | H | L 68–77 | +2.0 | L−7.0 | 144.5 | O145 | 107.2 | 121.4 | 63.4 |
| Feb 28 | Georgetown | H | W 91–84 | −4.5 | W+2.5 | 154.0 | O175 | 127.4 | 117.6 | 71.4 |
| Feb 25 | Providence | A | L 84–94 | +5.5 | L−4.5 | 170.0 | O178 | 120.9 | 135.3 | 69.5 |
| Feb 21 | Butler | A | L 75–80 | +4.5 | L−0.5 | 159.5 | U155 | 110.4 | 117.7 | 67.9 |
| Feb 17 | Villanova | H | L 89–92 OT | +4.0 | W+1.0 | 153.5 | O181 | 112.9 | 116.7 | 78.8 |
| Feb 14 | Marquette | H | W 96–88 | −2.0 | W+6.0 | 157.5 | O184 | 133.1 | 122.1 | 72.1 |
| Feb 9 | #17St John's | A | L 82–87 OT | +16.5 | W+11.5 | 159.5 | O169 | 99.1 | 105.1 | 82.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeTexas SouthernXavier
Efficiency
103.4
111.7
112.7
109.4
69.2
70.3
—
—
Shooting
49.7%
51.8%
49.8%
49.8%
33.1%
36.5%
71.9%
72.9%
38.2%
28.1%
Ball control & glass
18.5%
13.9%
16.5%
15.5%
28.8%
26.5%
31.2%
29.5%
10.6%
8.2%
7.7%
10.2%
Style
32.5%
40.6%
44.5%
38.8%
17.7%
17.2%
43.2%
62.2%
37.5%
27.4%
Roster
3.66
3.23
6'4.7"
6'6.5"
—
84.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputTexas Southern
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Texas Southern's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Xavier
Returning minutes: 84.8%Returning production: 79.8%
Lost
- Tre Carroll 30.7 mpg, 17.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Gabriel Pozzato no D1 minutes last season
- Kason Westphal no D1 minutes last season
- Luke Naser no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 85% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.