CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceChaifetz Arena, St. Louis, MO
AR-Pine Bluff
Efficiency #323
2025-26: 13-19 · 10-9 conf
@
Saint Louis
Efficiency #20
2025-26: 29-6 · 16-4 conf
Wed, Dec 2 · TBD
69.0
win 3%
Projected
90.5
win 97%
No line posted yet.
Model: SLU −21.5 · total 159.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Saint Louis 70.7, AR-Pine Bluff 69.7 → 72.1 possessions
+8.1
Saint Louis offense vs AR-Pine Bluff defense
+10.2
AR-Pine Bluff offense vs Saint Louis defense
−7.1
Projected total
159.5
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Saint Louis offense vs AR-Pine Bluff defense
+10.2
AR-Pine Bluff offense vs Saint Louis defense
+7.1
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
Saint Louis by 21.5
21.5
AR-Pine Bluff side ◂▸ Saint Louis side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 159.4 against a projected 159.5, and the margin steps add to +21.4 against +21.5. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Saint Louis.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 72.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Saint Louis is the faster team (72.1, #22 of 365) and AR-Pine Bluff the slower (71.2, #43). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
72.1
per team, 40 min
Projected total
159.5
model
Projected team totals
69.0 / 90.5
AR-Pine Bluff / Saint Louis
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.7#73
AR-Pine Bluff
70.7#21
Saint Louis
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageSaint Louis
Where Saint Louis scores: shooting
Saint Louis shoots an effective 59.7% (#2); AR-Pine Bluff allows 52.6% (#249). Expect about 56.9%, 5.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +7.9 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageAR-Pine Bluff
Where AR-Pine Bluff struggles: shooting
AR-Pine Bluff shoots an effective 50.0% (#233); Saint Louis allows 45.2% (#3). Expect about 47.5%, 3.8 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -5.4 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Track meet
Saint Louis averages 72.1 possessions per 40, AR-Pine Bluff 71.2. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 73 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
GlassAR-Pine Bluff
AR-Pine Bluff gets out-rebounded
Projected offensive rebound rate of 27.1% is worth roughly -2.0 points per 100 possessions against AR-Pine Bluff's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Saint Louis, Saint Louis's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect AR-Pine Bluff at about 39.2% of its shots from three, Saint Louis about 42.6%.
AR-Pine Bluff has the ball
OffenseSaint Louis allowsvs D1 avg
50.0% #233
45.2% #3
-5.4 pt/100
18.7% #309
15.9% #224
-0.7 pt/100
27.9% #271
27.2% #43
-2.0 pt/100
38.4% #91
37.1% #242
+0.4 pt/100
75.5% #65
—
+0.3 pt/100
AR-Pine Bluff net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -7.5 pts/100
Saint Louis has the ball
OffenseAR-Pine Bluff allowsvs D1 avg
59.7% #2
52.6% #249
+7.9 pt/100
17.2% #217
16.5% #188
-0.0 pt/100
30.7% #173
34.2% #321
+1.3 pt/100
33.7% #221
43.6% #342
+0.6 pt/100
74.1% #128
—
+0.1 pt/100
Saint Louis net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +9.9 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersAR-Pine Bluffoffense vsSaint Louisdefense
Share of shots by zone
AR-Pine Bluff shoots
38.1
4.9
20.4
36.6
Saint Louis allows
38.4
7.1
12.5
42.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.3%#153 | 48.0%#2 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 39.7%#180 | 35.0%#57 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 34.5%#299 | 37.0%#132 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.6%#190 | 30.3%#14 | 33.7% |
Saint Louisoffense vsAR-Pine Bluffdefense
Share of shots by zone
Saint Louis shoots
46.6
4.8
3.8
44.8
AR-Pine Bluff allows
41.3
4.5
17.0
37.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.9%#76 | 61.3%#276 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.2%#99 | 52.9%#360 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.8%#317 | 35.5%#89 | 38.0% |
| Three | 39.9%#2 | 33.2%#136 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersAR-Pine Bluff
−4.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#345 of 365
Off reb %
27.9%
#271
Def reb %
65.8%
#321
Turnover %
18.7%
#309
Forced TO %
16.5%
#188
FT rate
38.4%
#91
FT allowed
43.6%
#342
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.8
Defensive rebounding−1.2
Ball security−1.3
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed−2.1
Saint Louis
−0.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#196 of 365
Off reb %
30.7%
#173
Def reb %
72.8%
#43
Turnover %
17.2%
#217
Forced TO %
15.9%
#224
FT rate
33.7%
#221
FT allowed
37.1%
#242
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.1
Defensive rebounding+1.1
Ball security−0.3
Forcing turnovers−0.5
Foul shots drawn−0.3
Foul shots allowed−0.5
Saint Louis has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.4 (#196 of 365) to AR-Pine Bluff’s −4.7 (#345).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
AR-Pine Bluff2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted AR-Pine Bluff's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Quion Williams | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-32 | 36.1 | 17.7 | 8.2 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 49.8% | 32.2% | 2.8 | 73.6% | 30.0% | |
| 20 | Trevon Payton | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-32 | 33.8 | 10.0 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 67.1% | 47.1% | 4.4 | 76.3% | 15.0% | |
| 1 | Alex Mirhosseini | G | Sr | 5'10" | 31-31 | 31.9 | 11.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 47.3% | 33.2% | 7.7 | 71.2% | 23.3% | |
| 9 | Milhan Charles | G | Fr | 6'7" | 30-30 | 30.1 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 55.7% | 23.1% | 0.9 | 72.4% | 19.6% | |
| 4 | Jaquan Scott | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-30 | 28.5 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 50.0% | 31.1% | 1.5 | 85.1% | 32.1% | |
| 22 | Ramel Lloyd Jr. | G | Jr | 6'6" | 20-0 | 21.1 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 45.7% | 26.5% | 2.5 | 64.6% | 21.6% | |
| 10 | Ahmad Johnson | G | Sr | 6'4" | 29-2 | 12.2 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 47.5% | 31.5% | 2.5 | 73.3% | 19.0% | |
| 24 | Kyle Brown | F | Sr | 6'9" | 23-1 | 7.7 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 34.2% | 28.6% | 0.3 | 70.0% | 14.9% | |
| 2 | Jai'chaunn Hayes | G | Fr | 6'7" | 10-1 | 17.4 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 47.2% | 23.1% | 2.6 | 84.6% | 18.3% | |
| 15 | Dennis Asoro | F | Sr | 6'8" | 30-1 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 59.3% | — | 0.0 | 28.6% | 15.5% | |
| 3 | Anthony Sellars | G | Jr | 6'7" | 14-0 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 60.7% | 33.3% | 0.9 | 100.0% | 19.1% | |
| 0 | Trejon Ware | G | Sr | 5'9" | 1-0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 9.2% | |
| 33 | Travis Pourciau | F | Sr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 23 | Harrison Pickett | G | Fr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 8 | Jahmari Hamilton-Brown | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Saint Louis2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quentin Jones | G | Jr | 6'5" | 35-33 | 26.5 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 52.3% | 36.2% | 2.7 | 80.0% | 20.8% | |
| 3 | Trey Green | G | So | 6'0" | 34-30 | 23.6 | 10.7 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 64.0% | 44.2% | 6.1 | 86.1% | 20.7% | |
| 9 | Ishan Sharma | F | So | 6'5" | 35-2 | 22.2 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 61.6% | 41.7% | 5.5 | 86.0% | 19.0% | |
| 4 | Amari McCottry | G | So | 6'6" | 34-31 | 22.9 | 10.5 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 55.1% | 29.0% | 1.8 | 58.2% | 28.7% | |
| 0 | Kellen Thames | G | Jr | 6'6" | 33-2 | 17.1 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 65.8% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 62.8% | 28.3% | |
| 25 | Paul Otieno | F | Sr | 6'9" | 35-4 | 15.3 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 60.0% | 66.7% | 0.1 | 77.5% | 17.2% | |
| 15 | Jax Kerr | F | Fr | 6'11" | 17-0 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 43.0% | 18.5% | 1.6 | 63.6% | 28.8% | |
| 24 | Cam Hutson | G | Fr | 6'5" | 18-0 | 5.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 39.3% | 12.5% | 0.9 | 71.4% | 26.8% | |
| 5 | Jaden Schertz | G | Jr | 5'11" | 12-1 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 15.5% | |
| 12 | Isaac Holmes | G | Jr | 6'4" | 13-0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 41.7% | 22.2% | 0.7 | 50.0% | 18.7% | |
| 2 | Badara Diakite | F | Fr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Dylan Warlick | F | So | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 6 | Kalu Anya | F | Sr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Luke Laczkowski | G | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
AR-Pine Bluff2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted AR-Pine Bluff's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Quion Williams | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-32 | 36.1 | 17.7 | 8.2 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 49.8% | 32.2% | 2.8 | 73.6% | 30.0% | |
| 20 | Trevon Payton | G | Jr | 6'5" | 32-32 | 33.8 | 10.0 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 67.1% | 47.1% | 4.4 | 76.3% | 15.0% | |
| 1 | Alex Mirhosseini | G | Sr | 5'10" | 31-31 | 31.9 | 11.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 47.3% | 33.2% | 7.7 | 71.2% | 23.3% | |
| 9 | Milhan Charles | G | Fr | 6'7" | 30-30 | 30.1 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 55.7% | 23.1% | 0.9 | 72.4% | 19.6% | |
| 4 | Jaquan Scott | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-30 | 28.5 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 50.0% | 31.1% | 1.5 | 85.1% | 32.1% | |
| 22 | Ramel Lloyd Jr. | G | Jr | 6'6" | 20-0 | 21.1 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 45.7% | 26.5% | 2.5 | 64.6% | 21.6% | |
| 10 | Ahmad Johnson | G | Sr | 6'4" | 29-2 | 12.2 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 47.5% | 31.5% | 2.5 | 73.3% | 19.0% | |
| 24 | Kyle Brown | F | Sr | 6'9" | 23-1 | 7.7 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 34.2% | 28.6% | 0.3 | 70.0% | 14.9% | |
| 2 | Jai'chaunn Hayes | G | Fr | 6'7" | 10-1 | 17.4 | 6.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 47.2% | 23.1% | 2.6 | 84.6% | 18.3% | |
| 15 | Dennis Asoro | F | Sr | 6'8" | 30-1 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 59.3% | — | 0.0 | 28.6% | 15.5% | |
| 3 | Anthony Sellars | G | Jr | 6'7" | 14-0 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 60.7% | 33.3% | 0.9 | 100.0% | 19.1% | |
| 0 | Trejon Ware | G | Sr | 5'9" | 1-0 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 9.2% | |
| 33 | Travis Pourciau | F | Sr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 23 | Harrison Pickett | G | Fr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 8 | Jahmari Hamilton-Brown | G | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26AR-Pine Bluff
Against the spread
Season
13-16-1
Home
3-5-1
Road
9-11
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover −1.3
Covered 2 straightCovered 2 of 7 as a favorite, 1 push
Over / under
Season
14-16
Home
5-4
Road
8-12
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.6
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Southern | N | L 81–84 | +5.0 | W+2.0 | 150.5 | O165 | 123.9 | 128.4 | 65.4 |
| Mar 5 | Alcorn St | A | W 83–48 | −1.0 | W+34.0 | 144.0 | U131 | 111.6 | 64.5 | 74.4 |
| Mar 3 | Jackson St | A | L 78–81 | −1.0 | L−4.0 | 153.0 | O159 | 112.5 | 116.8 | 69.3 |
| Feb 28 | Miss Valley St | H | L 69–70 | −14.0 | L−15.0 | 147.5 | U139 | 99.0 | 100.4 | 69.7 |
| Feb 21 | Prairie View | H | W 84–82 | −3.5 | L−1.5 | 158.0 | O166 | 123.7 | 120.8 | 67.9 |
| Feb 19 | Texas Southern | H | L 64–83 | −1.0 | L−20.0 | 152.5 | U147 | 93.7 | 121.5 | 68.3 |
| Feb 16 | Alabama A&M | A | L 70–82 | +3.5 | L−8.5 | 144.0 | O152 | 110.4 | 129.3 | 63.4 |
| Feb 14 | Alabama St | A | L 61–79 | +3.5 | L−14.5 | 150.0 | U140 | 84.2 | 109.1 | 72.4 |
| Feb 9 | Jackson St | H | W 84–63 | −6.5 | W+14.5 | 156.5 | U147 | 128.1 | 96.1 | 65.5 |
| Feb 7 | Alcorn St | H | W 84–77 | −7.0 | P0.0 | 145.5 | O161 | 126.7 | 116.2 | 66.3 |
Saint Louis
Against the spread
Season
19-14-1
Home
13-5
Road
4-6
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −6.0
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
17-16-1
Home
10-8
Road
4-5-1
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −0.5
Over 2 straightOver in 3 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21 | #1Michigan | N | L 72–95 | +12.0 | L−11.0 | 160.5 | O167 | 102.1 | 134.7 | 70.5 |
| Mar 19 | #8Georgia | N | W 102–77 | +1.5 | W+26.5 | 167.5 | O179 | 127.8 | 96.5 | 79.8 |
| Mar 14 | Dayton | N | L 69–70 | −5.0 | L−6.0 | 145.5 | U139 | 100.8 | 102.3 | 68.4 |
| Mar 13 | G Washington | N | W 88–81 | −6.5 | W+0.5 | 162.5 | O169 | 118.2 | 108.8 | 74.4 |
| Mar 7 | George Mason | A | L 57–86 | −7.0 | L−36.0 | 147.0 | U143 | 90.6 | 136.6 | 62.9 |
| Mar 4 | Loyola Chicago | H | W 79–65 | −21.5 | L−7.5 | 155.0 | U144 | 132.9 | 109.4 | 59.4 |
| Feb 28 | Duquesne | H | W 91–76 | −13.5 | W+1.5 | 160.0 | O167 | 138.6 | 115.7 | 65.7 |
| Feb 24 | Dayton | A | L 62–77 | −3.5 | L−18.5 | 157.5 | U139 | 89.3 | 110.9 | 69.4 |
| Feb 20 | VCU | H | W 88–75 | −7.5 | W+5.5 | 164.5 | U163 | 114.1 | 97.3 | 77.1 |
| Feb 17 | Rhode Island | A | L 76–81 | −9.5 | L−14.5 | 152.0 | O157 | 101.9 | 108.6 | 74.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeAR-Pine BluffSaint Louis
Efficiency
104.6
117.2
114.0
102.5
69.7
70.7
—
—
Shooting
50.0%
59.7%
49.8%
59.5%
33.6%
39.9%
75.5%
74.1%
38.4%
33.7%
Ball control & glass
18.7%
17.2%
16.5%
15.9%
27.9%
30.7%
34.2%
27.2%
10.7%
10.1%
8.7%
11.2%
Style
37.2%
45.1%
42.7%
44.4%
13.1%
18.7%
56.3%
60.4%
20.7%
39.3%
Roster
3.25
2.52
6'4.9"
6'5"
—
66.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputAR-Pine Bluff
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.1%
ESPN hasn't posted AR-Pine Bluff's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Saint Louis
Returning minutes: 66.8%Returning production: 64.6%
Lost
- Robbie Avila 26.4 mpg, 12.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Dion Brown 23.7 mpg, 11.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Brady Dunlap 16.4 mpg, 6.8 ppg · transferred to Georgia
Added
- Dylan Warlick no D1 minutes last season
- Luke Laczkowski no D1 minutes last season
- Kalu Anya no D1 minutes last season
- Badara Diakite no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 67% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.