Omaha Mavericks vs Utah State Aggies basketball final score
Sat, Nov 7 · 4:00 PM ET · Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, Logan, UT
Non-conferenceYouTubeDee Glen Smith Spectrum, Logan, UT
Omaha
1-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #296
@
Utah State
1-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #23
Final
5690
Final score
Projected 61.5 – 88.3
OMA win 1%USU win 99%
MarketClose
Spread
USU −29.0
open USU −25.0
Total
153.5
open 149.75
Our line
USU −26.8
as of Sat, Nov 7 · 3:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Utah Staterated 17.0 above average
+17.0
Omaharated 5.5 below average
+5.5
Home court
+4.3
Our line
USU −26.8
◂ Omaha sideUtah State side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Utah State. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Utah State is the faster team (71.9, #138 of 365) and Omaha the slower (71.4, #157). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.2
per team, 40 min
Market total
153.5
Market close · open 149.75
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.6#197
Omaha
71.3#142
Utah State
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
USU −26.8
Four factors +41.6 · not in these stats −14.8
From the four factors
Utah State has the ball+27.7
Omaha has the ball−13.9
Utah State has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 62.1% #32 · OMA allows 67.1% #318+15.8
✓Wins second chancesOR% 51.7% #3 · OMA allows 44.1% #304+8.7
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 19.5% #209 · OMA forces 11.2% #312 · ~10 turnovers+3.3
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 35.5% #162 · OMA allows 25.7% #63 · FT 77.3% #70−0.1
Omaha has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 49.2% #178 · USU allows 37.7% #26−7.1
✗Few second chancesOR% 20.5% #302 · USU allows 25.0% #65−4.8
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 21.3% #303 · USU allows 42.1% #226 · FT 53.8% #306−1.4
✗Coughs it upTO% 16.8% #132 · USU forces 20.9% #93 · ~14 turnovers−0.7
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootOmahaoffense vsUtah Statedefense
Share of shots by zone
Omaha shoots
15.8
18.4
15.8
50.0
Utah State allows
43.2
9.1
9.1
38.6
D-I average
37.9
7.9
12.7
41.5
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 83.3%#6 | 57.9%#153 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 28.6%#210 | 0.0%#1 | 37.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.3%#151 | 50.0%#243 | 35.4% |
| Three | 34.8%#125 | 12.0%#2 | 32.3% |
Utah Stateoffense vsOmahadefense
Share of shots by zone
Utah State shoots
66.0
6.4
4.3
23.4
Omaha allows
30.2
18.6
4.7
46.5
D-I average
37.9
7.9
12.7
41.5
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 67.7%#78 | 84.6%#323 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.3%#157 | 37.5%#171 | 37.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 50.0%#50 | 50.0%#243 | 35.4% |
| Three | 29.4%#195 | 45.7%#309 | 32.3% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineOmaha
−12.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#290 of 365
Off reb %
20.5%
#302
Def reb %
55.9%
#304
Turnover %
16.8%
#132
Forced TO %
11.2%
#312
FT rate
21.3%
#303
FT allowed
25.7%
#63
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−3.8
Defensive rebounding−4.1
Ball security+1.1
Forcing turnovers−5.1
Foul shots drawn−4.1
Foul shots allowed+3.1
Utah State
+8.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#72 of 365
Off reb %
51.7%
#3
Def reb %
75.0%
#65
Turnover %
19.5%
#209
Forced TO %
20.9%
#93
FT rate
35.5%
#162
FT allowed
42.1%
#226
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+6.7
Defensive rebounding+2.3
Ball security−0.8
Forcing turnovers+1.8
Foul shots drawn−0.4
Foul shots allowed−1.2
Utah State has more extra scoring chances per game: +8.5 (#72 of 365) to Omaha’s −12.8 (#290).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Omaha2026-27 numbers through Sat, Nov 7
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 3-3 | 30.0 | 13.7 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 51.4% | 35.3% | 5.7 | 100.0% | 24.6% | |
| 3 | G | Sr | 6'1" | 3-3 | 25.7 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 57.5% | 20.0% | 1.7 | 33.3% | 21.5% | |
| 21 | G | So | 6'5" | 3-3 | 25.0 | 14.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 48.5% | 37.5% | 8.0 | 62.5% | 33.5% | |
| 11 | G | Fr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 22.3 | 10.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 40.0% | 3.3 | 100.0% | 25.1% | |
| 24 | C | Sr | 6'8" | 3-3 | 21.7 | 3.7 | 6.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | 83.3% | 12.0% | |
| 7 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 3-3 | 18.7 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 31.8% | 25.0% | 1.3 | 40.0% | 19.5% | |
| 5 | F | Jr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 15.3 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 36.4% | 20.0% | 3.3 | 37.5% | 26.7% | |
| 32 | C | So | 6'11" | 3-0 | 10.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 14.0% | |
| 44 | F | So | 6'8" | 3-0 | 9.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 31.3% | 20.0% | 1.7 | — | 22.1% | |
| 0 | F | Sr | 6'6" | 3-0 | 8.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0.7 | 0.0% | 25.7% | |
| 1 | G | Sr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | 100.0% | 25.8% | |
| 12 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 3-0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 15.3% | |
| 8 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 2-0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 27.3% | |
| 42 | F | Fr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 42.3% | |
| 13 | G | Sr | 6'0" | 3-0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameOmaha
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −8.0
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
1-0
Home
0-0
Road
1-0
Last 10
1-0
avg vs total +13.5
Over in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | #25BYU | A | L 67–108 | +33.0 | L−8.0 | 161.5 | O175 | 93.9 | 151.3 | 71.4 |
| Nov 2 | Mid America Christian Evangels | H | W 73–65 | — | — | — | — | 107.9 | 96.1 | 67.6 |
| Mar 7 | N Dakota St | N | L 50–74 | +8.0 | L−16.0 | 147.0 | U124 | 73.8 | 109.2 | 67.8 |
| Mar 6 | South Dakota | N | W 76–62 | −2.0 | W+12.0 | 151.5 | U138 | 117.4 | 95.8 | 64.7 |
| Feb 28 | St Thomas | A | L 53–68 | +11.5 | L−3.5 | 159.5 | U121 | 81.3 | 104.3 | 65.2 |
| Feb 25 | South Dakota | A | L 72–89 | −1.5 | L−18.5 | 153.5 | O161 | 98.3 | 121.5 | 73.3 |
| Feb 18 | Oral Roberts | H | W 80–71 | −6.5 | W+2.5 | 152.0 | U151 | 121.2 | 107.6 | 66.0 |
| Feb 15 | Denver | H | W 83–76 | −2.5 | W+4.5 | 160.5 | U159 | 125.7 | 115.1 | 66.0 |
| Feb 12 | St Thomas | H | W 98–94 | +4.5 | W+8.5 | 156.5 | O192 | 132.5 | 127.1 | 74.0 |
| Feb 7 | N Dakota St | A | L 84–92 | +9.5 | W+1.5 | 144.5 | O176 | 125.2 | 137.2 | 67.1 |
Utah State
Against the spread
Season
1-0
Home
1-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-0
avg cover +9.0
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
1-0
Home
1-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-0
avg vs total +2.0
Over in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Idaho St | H | W 94–58 | −27.0 | W+9.0 | 150.0 | O152 | 130.7 | 80.6 | 71.9 |
| Mar 22 | #1Arizona | N | L 66–78 | +11.5 | L−0.5 | 154.0 | U144 | 102.5 | 121.2 | 64.4 |
| Mar 20 | #8Villanova | N | W 86–76 | −2.0 | W+8.0 | 147.5 | O162 | 126.2 | 111.5 | 68.1 |
| Mar 14 | San Diego St | N | W 73–62 | −2.5 | W+8.5 | 146.0 | U135 | 111.8 | 95.0 | 65.3 |
| Mar 13 | Nevada | N | W 79–66 | −6.5 | W+6.5 | 144.5 | O145 | 108.1 | 90.3 | 73.1 |
| Mar 12 | UNLV | N | W 80–60 | −8.5 | W+11.5 | 156.5 | U140 | 114.6 | 86.0 | 69.8 |
| Mar 7 | New Mexico | H | W 94–90 | −7.5 | L−3.5 | 156.5 | O184 | 135.8 | 130.0 | 69.2 |
| Mar 3 | UNLV | A | L 65–92 | −7.5 | L−34.5 | 156.5 | O157 | 92.5 | 130.9 | 70.3 |
| Feb 28 | Grand Canyon | H | W 74–69 | −9.5 | L−4.5 | 148.0 | U143 | 116.4 | 108.5 | 63.6 |
| Feb 25 | San Diego St | A | L 72–89 | −1.0 | L−18.0 | 147.0 | O161 | 103.5 | 128.0 | 69.5 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOmahaUtah State
Efficiency
103.2
115.7
112.1
98.9
70.6
71.3
19.3
-10.7
Shooting
49.2%
62.1%
47.4%
68.9%
34.8%
29.4%
53.8%
77.3%
21.3%
35.5%
Ball control & glass
16.8%
19.5%
11.2%
20.9%
20.5%
51.7%
44.1%
25.0%
8.4%
11.1%
15.8%
11.1%
Style
37.7%
27.4%
35.8%
63.8%
0.0%
22.3%
53.8%
72.2%
38.4%
34.0%
Roster
3.08
3.12
6'5.2"
6'5.5"
19.8%
25.5%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputOmaha
Returning minutes: 19.8%Returning production: 19.4%
Lost
- Lance Waddles 29.4 mpg, 12.8 ppg · transferred to Campbell
- Tony Osburn 28.8 mpg, 10.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ja'Sean Glover 24.3 mpg, 10.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Paul Djobet 18.1 mpg, 10.6 ppg · transferred to Texas St
- Kamryn Thomas 17.6 mpg, 4.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Christian Richardson 12.8 mpg, 6.1 ppg · transferred to Alcorn St
Added
- Chris Dockery from Kansas City · 20.7 mpg, 6.8 ppg last season
- Cahmai Crosby from North Texas · 9.4 mpg, 2.7 ppg last season
- Justin Bolis from Nebraska · 0.7 mpg, 0.1 ppg last season
- Deke Thompson from Texas St · 0.3 mpg, 0.2 ppg last season
- Heri Bukinga no D1 minutes last season
- Gavin Baker no D1 minutes last season
Returns 20% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Utah State
Returning minutes: 25.5%Returning production: 30.2%
Lost
- MJ Collins Jr. 30.8 mpg, 17.5 ppg · transferred to Cincinnati
- Drake Allen 24.8 mpg, 7.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kolby King 19.3 mpg, 7.5 ppg · transferred to Auburn
- Adlan Elamin 18.9 mpg, 6.5 ppg · transferred to Cincinnati
- Garry Clark 16.6 mpg, 6.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Elijah Perryman 13.9 mpg, 4.4 ppg · transferred to Cincinnati
Added
- AJ Bates from Louisiana Tech · 33.4 mpg, 12.1 ppg last season
- Dallin Hall from Virginia · 28.4 mpg, 5.9 ppg last season
- Solomon Callaghan from Wright St · 26.5 mpg, 9.6 ppg last season
- Will Hornseth from Northern Iowa · 25.5 mpg, 10.8 ppg last season
- Collin Mulholland from Chattanooga · 12.4 mpg, 5.4 ppg last season
- Connor Turnbull from Evansville · 10.0 mpg, 5.8 ppg last season
Returns 25% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -26.5→-29.5-108 | 152.5→154.5o-105 u-115 | — | +3500 |
| FanDuel | -23.5→-29.5-110 | 150.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| BetMGM | -26.5→-29.5-115 | 153.5o-115 u-105 | — | +3300 |
| BetRivers | -26.5→-29.5-109 | 153.5o-109 u-113 | — | — |
| Caesars | -26.5→-29.5-110 | 150.5→153.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | -24.5→-29.5-110 | 150→154o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| BetOnline | -25→-29-123 | 148.5→154.5o-108 u-112 | — | — |
| Bovada | -26.5→-29.5-105 | 152.5→154o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| theScore Bet | -25.5→-29.5-110 | 147.5→154.5o-105 u-115 | — | — |
| Hard Rock | -26.5→-29.5-110 | 153.5o-120 u+100 | — | — |
| Kalshi | — | 154.5o+104 u-113 | — | +4900 |
| Polymarket | -23.5→-29.5+100 | 150.5→153.5o-108 u+100 | — | — |
| Novig | -27.5→-29.5-104 | 150.5→— | — | — |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Sat, Nov 7
- Morehead St at Louisville · 12:00 PM ET
- North Dakota at Winthrop · 12:00 PM ET
- NC A&T at Ohio · 1:00 PM ET
- Lamar at Abilene Chrstn · 2:00 PM ET
- UNC Wilmington at East Carolina · 2:00 PM ET
- Fullerton at South Dakota · 2:00 PM ET
- Colgate at Drexel · 2:00 PM ET
- Toledo at Marshall · 2:00 PM ET
- VCU at Memphis · 3:00 PM ET
- NC Central at Longwood · 3:00 PM ET
- Long Beach St at Montana St · 3:00 PM ET
- San Diego St vs Colorado · 3:30 PM ET
- Long Island at La Salle · 3:30 PM ET
- Monmouth vs Rhode Island · 4:00 PM ET
- Lafayette at Saint Joseph's · 4:00 PM ET
- Samford at UNLV · 4:00 PM ET
- Oakland at Santa Barbara · 4:00 PM ET
- Bellarmine at Miami OH · 5:00 PM ET
- Washington St at High Point · 5:00 PM ET
- SIUE at Lipscomb · 5:00 PM ET
- UT Martin at IU Indy · 5:00 PM ET
- Old Dominion at Bucknell · 5:00 PM ET
- Northern Iowa at Furman · 5:00 PM ET
- VMI at UTSA · 5:00 PM ET
- New Mexico St at Gonzaga · 5:00 PM ET
- W Carolina at UNC Asheville · 5:30 PM ET
- Prairie View at UT Rio Grande · 5:30 PM ET
- N Arizona at New Mexico · 6:00 PM ET
- Hampton at G Washington · 6:00 PM ET
- Morgan St at Niagara · 6:30 PM ET
- Providence vs Nebraska · 7:00 PM ET
- N Illinois at Dayton · 7:00 PM ET
- St Bonaventure at Canisius · 7:00 PM ET
- Hou Christian vs W Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
- Mercer at Davidson · 7:00 PM ET
- Maryland at Georgetown · 7:30 PM ET
- Denver at UC Riverside · 7:30 PM ET
- Bethune at Grand Canyon · 8:00 PM ET
- Pacific at Bradley · 8:00 PM ET
- SE Louisiana at Little Rock · 8:00 PM ET
- S Indiana at Evansville · 8:00 PM ET
- N'Western St at Murray St · 8:00 PM ET
- Utah Valley at Weber St · 9:00 PM ET
- San José St at UC Irvine · 10:00 PM ET
- Portland St at Seattle U · 10:00 PM ET
- Sacramento St at Santa Clara · 10:00 PM ET
- Fresno St at UC San Diego · 10:00 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.