Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos basketball final score
Sat, Nov 7 · 4:00 PM ET · The Thunderdome, Santa Barbara, CA
Non-conferenceESPN+The Thunderdome, Santa Barbara, CA
Oakland
0-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #174
@
Santa Barbara
2025-26: 18-14 · 11-10 conf
Efficiency #143
Final
6790
Final score
Projected 73.6 – 77.2
OAK win 38%UCSB win 62%
MarketClose
Spread
UCSB −13.5
open UCSB −11.5
Total
149.0
open 150.75
Our line
UCSB −3.6
as of Sat, Nov 7 · 3:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Santa Barbararated 1.4 above average
+1.4
Oaklandrated 2.1 above average
−2.1
Home court
+4.3
Our line
UCSB −3.6
◂ Oakland sideSanta Barbara side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Santa Barbara. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Oakland is the faster team (70.9, #169 of 365) and Santa Barbara the slower (67.1, #240). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.6
per team, 40 min
Market total
149.0
Market close · open 150.75
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
71.5#117
Oakland
68.7#311
Santa Barbara
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
UCSB −3.6
Four factors +9.5 · not in these stats −5.9
From the four factors
Santa Barbara has the ball+5.8
Oakland has the ball−3.7
Santa Barbara has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 54.7% #47 · OAK allows 51.1% #178+3.0
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 18.7% #311 · OAK forces 14.1% #267 · ~11 turnovers+2.1
✓Wins second chancesOR% 31.0% #165 · OAK allows 36.1% #242+0.7
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 36.8% #134 · OAK allows 26.3% #68 · FT 77.5% #230.0
Oakland has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 41.5% #278 · UCSB allows 52.6% #244−3.8
✓Gets to the lineFTR 49.1% #61 · UCSB allows 42.4% #330 · FT 69.1% #173+0.8
✗Few second chancesOR% 34.2% #117 · UCSB allows 25.5% #14−0.5
✗Coughs it upTO% 20.4% #230 · UCSB forces 16.8% #166 · ~13 turnovers−0.3
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersOaklandoffense vsSanta Barbaradefense
Share of shots by zone
Oakland shoots
40.2
8.8
15.7
35.3
Santa Barbara allows
40.4
6.2
17.5
35.8
D-I average
37.9
7.9
12.7
41.5
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.5%#168 | 60.8%#261 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.3%#157 | 37.2%#120 | 37.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 31.3%#193 | 39.0%#203 | 35.4% |
| Three | 20.9%#303 | 33.9%#177 | 32.3% |
Santa Barbaraoffense vsOaklanddefense
Share of shots by zone
Santa Barbara shoots
38.5
6.2
11.4
43.9
Oakland allows
36.8
9.4
7.7
46.2
D-I average
37.9
7.9
12.7
41.5
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.9%#164 | 74.4%#298 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.4%#297 | 36.4%#170 | 37.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.9%#37 | 33.3%#144 | 35.4% |
| Three | 37.4%#23 | 26.2%#82 | 32.3% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersOakland
+1.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#150 of 365
Off reb %
34.2%
#117
Def reb %
63.9%
#242
Turnover %
20.4%
#230
Forced TO %
14.1%
#267
FT rate
49.1%
#61
FT allowed
26.3%
#68
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.8
Defensive rebounding−1.4
Ball security−1.5
Forcing turnovers−3.0
Foul shots drawn+3.2
Foul shots allowed+3.0
Santa Barbara
−0.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#215 of 365
Off reb %
31.0%
#165
Def reb %
74.5%
#14
Turnover %
18.7%
#311
Forced TO %
16.8%
#166
FT rate
36.8%
#134
FT allowed
42.4%
#330
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.2
Defensive rebounding+1.6
Ball security−1.3
Forcing turnovers+0.1
Foul shots drawn+0.5
Foul shots allowed−1.8
Oakland has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.1 (#150 of 365) to Santa Barbara’s −0.8 (#215).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notOakland2026-27 numbers through Mon, Nov 9 · last game: Stanford, Nov 6
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 4-4 | 33.3 | 35 | — | Started last | 17.3 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 49.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | 71.4% | 32.2% | |
| 0 | G | Jr | 6'6" | 4-4 | 32.0 | 30 | — | Started last | 15.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 44.1% | 29.0% | 7.8 | 94.4% | 32.7% | |
| 3 | G | So | 6'3" | 4-0 | 21.5 | 28 | — | Bench | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 54.3% | 27.3% | 2.8 | 50.0% | 22.0% | |
| 13 | G | Jr | 6'6" | 4-4 | 21.5 | 16 | — | Started last | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 1.8 | 83.3% | 18.6% | |
| 10 | G | Sr | 6'0" | 4-2 | 20.3 | 31 | — | Started last | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 58.3% | 44.4% | 2.3 | — | 12.9% | |
| 24 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 4-4 | 17.8 | 20 | — | Started last | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 31.6% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 61.5% | 23.6% | |
| 4 | G | Sr | 6'10" | 4-2 | 13.5 | 21 | — | Bench | 4.3 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 34.4% | 20.0% | 1.3 | 54.5% | 29.1% | |
| 1 | G | So | 6'4" | 4-0 | 12.8 | 8 | — | Bench | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 44.4% | 25.0% | 2.0 | — | 12.5% | |
| 6 | F | So | 6'7" | 4-0 | 10.5 | 6 | — | Bench | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 42.9% | — | 0.0 | 81.8% | 16.8% | |
| 5 | G | So | 6'8" | 4-0 | 6.0 | 3 | — | Bench | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 1.0 | — | 22.3% | |
| 22 | F | Jr | 6'8" | 4-0 | 4.0 | 2 | — | Bench | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 25.8% | |
| 11 | G | Fr | 6'6" | 4-0 | 3.5 | — | — | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 8.4% | ||
| 21 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 4-0 | 3.3 | — | — | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 15.5% | ||
| 7 | G | Fr | 6'6" | 1-0 | 1.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 56.1% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameOakland
Against the spread
Season
1-1
Home
0-0
Road
1-1
Last 10
1-1
avg cover +3.8
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-2
Home
0-0
Road
0-2
Last 10
0-2
avg vs total −4.0
Under 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | Stanford | A | L 63–81 | +15.0 | L−3.0 | 146.5 | U144 | 90.6 | 116.5 | 69.5 |
| Nov 2 | #16Michigan | A | L 68–84 | +26.5 | W+10.5 | 157.5 | U152 | 94.0 | 116.1 | 72.4 |
| Mar 4 | N Kentucky | H | L 84–85 | −2.0 | L−3.0 | 162.5 | O169 | 115.1 | 116.5 | 73.0 |
| Feb 28 | Detroit Mercy | H | L 89–95 | −8.0 | L−14.0 | 161.5 | O184 | 123.4 | 131.7 | 72.1 |
| Feb 25 | IU Indy | A | W 86–74 | −5.5 | W+6.5 | 167.5 | U160 | 118.5 | 101.9 | 72.6 |
| Feb 22 | Milwaukee | H | W 81–70 | −6.5 | W+4.5 | 160.0 | U151 | 123.9 | 107.1 | 65.4 |
| Feb 20 | Green Bay | H | L 68–73 | −6.5 | L−11.5 | 153.5 | U141 | 107.8 | 115.7 | 63.1 |
| Feb 15 | Robert Morris | A | L 69–93 | +1.5 | L−22.5 | 156.0 | O162 | 104.4 | 140.7 | 66.1 |
| Feb 12 | Youngstown St | H | L 82–86 | −4.0 | L−8.0 | 156.0 | O168 | 117.4 | 123.1 | 69.8 |
| Feb 4 | Cleveland St | A | L 78–91 | −8.0 | L−21.0 | 169.5 | U169 | 109.5 | 127.7 | 71.3 |
Santa Barbara
Against the spread
Season
11-18-1
Home
7-5-1
Road
3-10
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover −4.0
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 1 of 7 as a favorite, 1 push
Over / under
Season
16-14
Home
8-5
Road
6-7
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +3.0
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | San Francisco State Gators | H | W 85–55 | — | — | — | — | 123.3 | 79.8 | 68.9 |
| Mar 11 | UC Davis | N | L 73–79 | −4.5 | L−10.5 | 139.5 | O152 | 99.1 | 107.2 | 73.7 |
| Mar 7 | UC San Diego | H | L 63–64 | −2.0 | L−3.0 | 142.0 | U127 | 100.9 | 102.5 | 62.4 |
| Feb 28 | UC Irvine | A | L 60–64 | +3.5 | L−0.5 | 138.5 | U124 | 90.8 | 96.9 | 66.1 |
| Feb 26 | UC Riverside | H | W 70–59 | −11.0 | P0.0 | 145.5 | U129 | 102.7 | 86.6 | 68.1 |
| Feb 21 | Hawai'i | A | L 75–78 OT | +5.0 | W+2.0 | 145.5 | O153 | 101.3 | 105.4 | 74.0 |
| Feb 19 | CSU Northridge | H | L 83–85 OT | −5.5 | L−7.5 | 156.5 | O168 | 99.7 | 102.1 | 83.2 |
| Feb 14 | Cal Poly | A | L 79–89 | −4.5 | L−14.5 | 159.0 | O168 | 118.5 | 133.5 | 66.7 |
| Feb 12 | UC Riverside | A | W 76–68 | −7.0 | W+1.0 | 145.0 | U144 | 118.1 | 105.7 | 64.3 |
| Feb 7 | UC Irvine | H | W 84–79 | +1.0 | W+6.0 | 138.5 | O163 | 118.3 | 111.2 | 71.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOaklandSanta Barbara
Efficiency
108.1
108.7
108.7
107.0
71.5
68.7
15.1
—
Shooting
41.5%
54.7%
47.8%
53.6%
20.9%
37.4%
69.1%
77.5%
49.1%
36.8%
Ball control & glass
20.4%
18.7%
14.1%
16.8%
34.2%
31.0%
36.1%
25.5%
12.7%
10.7%
13.0%
9.9%
Style
38.4%
44.1%
44.3%
38.4%
3.8%
11.1%
21.4%
54.6%
34.8%
30.9%
Roster
3.23
3.25
6'5.8"
6'6.5"
9.9%
54.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputOakland
Returning minutes: 9.9%Returning production: 7.7%
Lost
- Brody Robinson 35.8 mpg, 17.6 ppg · transferred to Creighton
- Tuburu Naivalurua 31.9 mpg, 14.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ziare Wells 26.8 mpg, 9.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Isaac Garrett 25.3 mpg, 12.0 ppg · transferred to High Point
- Brett White II 24.0 mpg, 9.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Michael Houge 22.5 mpg, 10.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Belal El Shakery from New Hampshire · 25.7 mpg, 11.0 ppg last season
- Brady Swartz from W Michigan · 16.6 mpg, 6.2 ppg last season
- Chris Fields Jr. from Campbell · 14.8 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
- Josh Hill from Robert Morris · 11.3 mpg, 5.0 ppg last season
- RJ Taylor from Northern Iowa · 9.1 mpg, 2.2 ppg last season
- Nate Ahner no D1 minutes last season
Returns 10% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Santa Barbara
Returning minutes: 38.7%Returning production: 40.7%
Lost
- Aidan Mahaney 33.6 mpg, 14.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Colin Smith 28.4 mpg, 11.5 ppg · transferred to Northwestern
- Zion Sensley 25.2 mpg, 10.9 ppg · transferred to LMU
- Hosana Kitenge 20.8 mpg, 7.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Evans Kipruto 7.9 mpg, 2.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- ZZ Clark 4.4 mpg, 1.5 ppg · transferred to William & Mary
Added
- RJ Smith from DePaul · 27.7 mpg, 6.6 ppg last season
- Eric Dibami from FIU · 27.2 mpg, 8.7 ppg last season
- Viljami Vartiainen from Weber St · 24.3 mpg, 10.4 ppg last season
- Antonio Chol from New Mexico · 24.2 mpg, 7.7 ppg last season
- Declan Duru Jr. from Texas · 2.3 mpg, 0.4 ppg last season
- Marco John Wuol no D1 minutes last season
Returns 39% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -12.5→-13.5-115 | 150.5→149.5o-105 u-115 | -1050 | +675 |
| FanDuel | -11.5→-13.5-120 | 151.5→148.5o-110 u-110 | -1450 | +810 |
| BetMGM | -12.5→-13.5-118 | 150.5→148.5o-115 u-105 | -1100 | +700 |
| BetRivers | -11.5→-13.5-117 | 151.5→148.5o-113 u-110 | -1115 | +650 |
| Caesars | -11.5→-13.5-110 | 150.5→149o-110 u-110 | -1000 | +650 |
| Fanatics | -11.5→-13.5-110 | 151.5→149o-110 u-110 | -1100 | +700 |
| BetOnline | -10→-13.5-117 | 150→149o-110 u-110 | -1000 | +661 |
| Bovada | -12.5→-13.5-115 | 150.5→148.5o-115 u-105 | -1200 | +700 |
| theScore Bet | -10.5→-13.5-115 | 149.5o-105 u-115 | -1400 | +750 |
| Hard Rock | -11.5→-13.5-115 | 151.5→148.5o-110 u-110 | -1100 | +650 |
| Kalshi | -11.5→-14.5+113 | 149.5o+108 u-113 | -900 | +809 |
| Polymarket | -11.5→-13.5-104 | 151.5→148.5o+104 u-108 | -809 | +733 |
| Novig | -13.5-102 | — | -809 | +770 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Sat, Nov 7
- Morehead St at Louisville · 12:00 PM ET
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- UNC Wilmington at East Carolina · 2:00 PM ET
- Fullerton at South Dakota · 2:00 PM ET
- Colgate at Drexel · 2:00 PM ET
- Toledo at Marshall · 2:00 PM ET
- VCU at Memphis · 3:00 PM ET
- NC Central at Longwood · 3:00 PM ET
- Long Beach St at Montana St · 3:00 PM ET
- San Diego St vs Colorado · 3:30 PM ET
- Long Island at La Salle · 3:30 PM ET
- Monmouth vs Rhode Island · 4:00 PM ET
- Lafayette at Saint Joseph's · 4:00 PM ET
- Samford at UNLV · 4:00 PM ET
- Omaha at Utah State · 4:00 PM ET
- Bellarmine at Miami OH · 5:00 PM ET
- Washington St at High Point · 5:00 PM ET
- SIUE at Lipscomb · 5:00 PM ET
- UT Martin at IU Indy · 5:00 PM ET
- Old Dominion at Bucknell · 5:00 PM ET
- Northern Iowa at Furman · 5:00 PM ET
- VMI at UTSA · 5:00 PM ET
- New Mexico St at Gonzaga · 5:00 PM ET
- W Carolina at UNC Asheville · 5:30 PM ET
- Prairie View at UT Rio Grande · 5:30 PM ET
- N Arizona at New Mexico · 6:00 PM ET
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- Providence vs Nebraska · 7:00 PM ET
- N Illinois at Dayton · 7:00 PM ET
- St Bonaventure at Canisius · 7:00 PM ET
- Hou Christian vs W Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
- Mercer at Davidson · 7:00 PM ET
- Maryland at Georgetown · 7:30 PM ET
- Denver at UC Riverside · 7:30 PM ET
- Bethune at Grand Canyon · 8:00 PM ET
- Pacific at Bradley · 8:00 PM ET
- SE Louisiana at Little Rock · 8:00 PM ET
- S Indiana at Evansville · 8:00 PM ET
- N'Western St at Murray St · 8:00 PM ET
- Utah Valley at Weber St · 9:00 PM ET
- San José St at UC Irvine · 10:00 PM ET
- Portland St at Seattle U · 10:00 PM ET
- Sacramento St at Santa Clara · 10:00 PM ET
- Fresno St at UC San Diego · 10:00 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.