North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs Winthrop Eagles basketball final score
Sat, Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET · Winthrop Coliseum, Rock Hill, SC
Non-conferenceESPN+Winthrop Coliseum, Rock Hill, SC
North Dakota
0-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #310
@
Winthrop
0-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #151
Final
9390
Final score
Projected 73.6 – 85.9
UND win 15%WIN win 85%
MarketClose
Spread
WIN −8.5
open WIN −9.5
Total
160.0
open 159.5
Our line
WIN −12.3
as of Sat, Nov 7 · 11:51 AM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Winthroprated 1.9 below average
−1.9
North Dakotarated 9.8 below average
+9.8
Home court
+4.3
Our line
WIN −12.3
◂ North Dakota sideWinthrop side ▸
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the line by 0.1. The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Winthrop. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 74.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Winthrop is the faster team (79.8, #20 of 365) and North Dakota the slower (68.6, #228). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
74.2
per team, 40 min
Market total
160.0
Market close · open 159.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
71.3#145
North Dakota
73.6#34
Winthrop
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
WIN −12.3
Four factors +19.1 · not in these stats −6.8
From the four factors
Winthrop has the ball+15.1
North Dakota has the ball−4.0
Winthrop has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 63.9% #21 · UND allows 62.9% #304+15.2
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 17.5% #149 · UND forces 13.1% #288 · ~11 turnovers+3.4
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 15.3% #322 · UND allows 21.0% #26 · FT 54.5% #301−2.8
✗Few second chancesOR% 32.4% #142 · UND allows 27.3% #111−0.7
North Dakota has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 31.4% #326 · WIN allows 63.2% #306−4.5
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 19.0% #198 · WIN forces 11.3% #311 · ~11 turnovers+3.7
✗Few second chancesOR% 26.1% #249 · WIN allows 25.7% #78−3.0
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 32.2% #195 · WIN allows 38.2% #183 · FT 68.4% #184−0.2
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootNorth Dakotaoffense vsWinthropdefense
Share of shots by zone
North Dakota shoots
34.2
5.3
10.5
50.0
Winthrop allows
51.5
5.9
2.9
39.7
D-I average
37.9
7.9
12.7
41.5
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 46.2%#270 | 68.6%#262 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 0.0%#271 | 75.0%#295 | 37.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 50.0%#50 | 50.0%#243 | 35.4% |
| Three | 10.7%#330 | 37.0%#249 | 32.3% |
Winthropoffense vsNorth Dakotadefense
Share of shots by zone
Winthrop shoots
45.6
5.9
1.5
47.1
North Dakota allows
50.0
2.5
0.0
47.5
D-I average
37.9
7.9
12.7
41.5
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.3%#137 | 65.0%#227 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 0.0%#271 | 0.0%#1 | 37.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 100.0%#1 | — | 35.4% |
| Three | 47.1%#17 | 40.0%#275 | 32.3% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineNorth Dakota
−1.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#183 of 365
Off reb %
26.1%
#249
Def reb %
72.7%
#111
Turnover %
19.0%
#198
Forced TO %
13.1%
#288
FT rate
32.2%
#195
FT allowed
21.0%
#26
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.9
Defensive rebounding+1.6
Ball security−0.4
Forcing turnovers−3.7
Foul shots drawn−1.2
Foul shots allowed+4.4
Winthrop
−8.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#253 of 365
Off reb %
32.4%
#142
Def reb %
74.3%
#78
Turnover %
17.5%
#149
Forced TO %
11.3%
#311
FT rate
15.3%
#322
FT allowed
38.2%
#183
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.2
Defensive rebounding+2.1
Ball security+0.6
Forcing turnovers−5.0
Foul shots drawn−5.7
Foul shots allowed−0.2
North Dakota has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.3 (#183 of 365) to Winthrop’s −8.0 (#253).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
North Dakota2026-27 numbers through Mon, Nov 9
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | G | Fr | 6'3" | 3-2 | 29.3 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 40.0% | 3.3 | 100.0% | 12.1% | |
| 12 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 3-3 | 27.7 | 17.0 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 62.1% | 31.3% | 5.3 | 76.9% | 29.1% | |
| 1 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 3-3 | 26.0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 43.2% | 26.3% | 6.3 | — | 18.8% | |
| 14 | G | Jr | 6'0" | 3-3 | 23.3 | 12.0 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 40.4% | 33.3% | 3.0 | 88.2% | 32.2% | |
| 23 | G | So | 6'6" | 3-0 | 19.3 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 40.6% | 16.7% | 2.0 | 60.0% | 22.5% | |
| 2 | G | Fr | 6'0" | 3-0 | 16.7 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 34.6% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 33.3% | 40.3% | |
| 22 | C | Sr | 6'9" | 3-3 | 16.7 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 75.0% | 13.7% | |
| 15 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 12.7 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 52.6% | 0.0% | 1.3 | 100.0% | 38.3% | |
| 8 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 3-0 | 12.3 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 44.4% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 66.7% | 20.1% | |
| 52 | F | Jr | 6'8" | 3-0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 4.3% | |
| 5 | G | So | 6'6" | 1-1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 100.0% | 45.5% | |
| 32 | G | Fr | 6'9" | 1-0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0% | 50.0% | 2.0 | 0.0% | 28.5% | |
| 3 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameNorth Dakota
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −9.0
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −14.0
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Minnesota | A | L 50–85 | +26.0 | L−9.0 | 149.0 | U135 | 72.9 | 123.9 | 68.6 |
| Mar 8 | N Dakota St | N | L 62–70 | +11.0 | W+3.0 | 148.0 | U132 | 96.0 | 108.4 | 64.6 |
| Mar 7 | St Thomas | N | W 67–66 | +11.5 | W+12.5 | 153.5 | U133 | 104.0 | 102.4 | 64.4 |
| Mar 6 | Denver | N | W 83–67 | +3.5 | W+19.5 | 161.0 | U150 | 121.9 | 98.4 | 68.1 |
| Feb 28 | N Dakota St | A | L 63–96 | +12.0 | L−21.0 | 152.5 | O159 | 86.1 | 131.1 | 73.2 |
| Feb 21 | S Dakota St | A | L 83–91 | +8.0 | P0.0 | 151.5 | O174 | 126.2 | 138.3 | 65.8 |
| Feb 19 | Kansas City | H | W 85–70 | −9.5 | W+5.5 | 150.5 | O155 | 110.2 | 90.7 | 77.1 |
| Feb 14 | N Dakota St | H | L 66–83 | +5.5 | L−11.5 | 150.5 | U149 | 101.9 | 128.1 | 64.8 |
| Feb 11 | South Dakota | A | W 72–71 | +1.5 | W+2.5 | 156.5 | U143 | 107.7 | 106.2 | 66.8 |
| Feb 7 | Denver | H | L 79–98 | −3.5 | L−22.5 | 161.0 | O177 | 117.7 | 146.0 | 67.1 |
Winthrop
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −1.5
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
1-0
Home
0-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-0
avg vs total +33.5
Over in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Queens | N | L 98–103 | +3.5 | L−1.5 | 167.5 | O201 | 122.8 | 129.1 | 79.8 |
| Mar 8 | High Point | N | L 76–91 | +7.0 | L−8.0 | 157.5 | O167 | 96.9 | 116.0 | 78.5 |
| Mar 7 | Presbyterian | N | W 73–71 | −6.5 | L−4.5 | 145.0 | U144 | 106.4 | 103.4 | 68.6 |
| Mar 6 | Charleston So | N | W 86–81 | −5.5 | L−0.5 | 163.5 | O167 | 111.2 | 104.8 | 77.3 |
| Feb 28 | Presbyterian | H | W 74–70 | −9.0 | L−5.0 | 150.5 | U144 | 105.3 | 99.6 | 70.3 |
| Feb 26 | Charleston So | A | L 84–86 | −8.0 | L−10.0 | 164.0 | O170 | 104.9 | 107.4 | 80.1 |
| Feb 21 | High Point | A | L 87–89 | +9.5 | W+7.5 | 166.5 | O176 | 117.8 | 120.5 | 73.9 |
| Feb 19 | SC Upstate | H | W 68–64 | −13.0 | L−9.0 | 155.0 | U132 | 101.2 | 95.3 | 67.2 |
| Feb 12 | Gardner-Webb | A | W 103–85 | −20.5 | L−2.5 | 155.0 | O188 | 134.4 | 110.9 | 76.7 |
| Feb 7 | Longwood | H | W 79–74 | −10.0 | L−5.0 | 152.5 | O153 | 102.2 | 95.7 | 77.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeNorth DakotaWinthrop
Efficiency
100.4
109.0
111.2
108.2
71.3
73.6
10.2
-4.1
Shooting
31.4%
63.9%
45.2%
57.9%
10.7%
47.1%
68.4%
54.5%
32.2%
15.3%
Ball control & glass
19.0%
17.5%
13.1%
11.3%
26.1%
32.4%
27.3%
25.7%
7.3%
12.5%
22.6%
7.9%
Style
47.5%
47.2%
44.0%
40.8%
14.0%
12.2%
47.1%
57.9%
53.0%
21.0%
Roster
2.65
2.73
6'4.6"
6'5.2"
19.3%
10.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputNorth Dakota
Returning minutes: 20.5%Returning production: 14.1%
Lost
- Eli King 31.7 mpg, 11.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Greyson Uelmen 27.8 mpg, 16.8 ppg · transferred to Northern Iowa
- Garrett Anderson 26.7 mpg, 9.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- George Natsvlishvili 18.7 mpg, 7.8 ppg · transferred to Winthrop
- Anthony Smith III 17.2 mpg, 7.6 ppg · transferred to Winthrop
- Marley Curtis 14.3 mpg, 5.1 ppg · transferred to James Madison
Added
- Samuel Hincapie from Le Moyne · 14.6 mpg, 4.6 ppg last season
- Tyler Wagner from Austin Peay · 5.3 mpg, 1.9 ppg last season
- Sage Hanson no D1 minutes last season
- Carter Evanson no D1 minutes last season
- Luke Winkel no D1 minutes last season
- Zack Parks no D1 minutes last season
Returns 20% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Winthrop
Returning minutes: 11.1%Returning production: 9.8%
Lost
- Kody Clouet 29.0 mpg, 13.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kareem Rozier 28.8 mpg, 12.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Logan Duncomb 22.9 mpg, 17.2 ppg · transferred to Notre Dame
- Daylen Berry 20.2 mpg, 8.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Isaiah Wilson 19.8 mpg, 3.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Josh Meo 18.3 mpg, 5.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Micah Davis from IU Indy · 25.4 mpg, 9.4 ppg last season
- Spence Sims from Gardner-Webb · 23.8 mpg, 9.6 ppg last season
- George Natsvlishvili from North Dakota · 18.7 mpg, 7.8 ppg last season
- Anthony Smith III from North Dakota · 17.2 mpg, 7.6 ppg last season
- Keshawn Fisher from Detroit Mercy · 7.1 mpg, 3.4 ppg last season
- Eesher Singh Sarai no D1 minutes last season
Returns 11% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -9.5-105 | 159.5o-110 u-110 | -440 | +340 |
| FanDuel | -9.5-110 | 159.5o-110 u-110 | -480 | +360 |
| BetMGM | -8.5→-9.5-105 | 160.5→159.5o-115 u-105 | -450 | +340 |
| BetRivers | -9.5-113 | 159.5o-114 u-109 | -500 | +360 |
| Caesars | -9.5→-9-110 | 159.5o-110 u-110 | -455 | +345 |
| Fanatics | -9.5→-9-110 | 159.5→— | -425 | +325 |
| BetOnline | -8.5→-9-115 | 159.5→160o-105 u-115 | — | — |
| Bovada | -9.5→-9-105 | 159.5o-110 u-110 | -435 | +325 |
| theScore Bet | -9.5-110 | 159.5o-105 u-115 | -500 | +360 |
| Hard Rock | -9.5-110 | 159.5o-110 u-110 | -475 | +350 |
| Kalshi | -3.5→-7.5-133 | 157.5o-122 u+117 | -400 | +376 |
| Polymarket | -9.5+108 | 159.5o+100 u-104 | -400 | +376 |
| Novig | -9.5+104 | 159.5→158.5o-104 u-102 | -388 | +376 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Thu, Dec 18 | 2025-26 | Winthrop 88 – 90 North Dakota |
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.