CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceJohn Glaser Arena, Philadelphia, PA
Long Island
Efficiency #195
2025-26: 24-11 · 18-3 conf
@
La Salle
Efficiency #256
2025-26: 9-23 · 5-14 conf
Sat, Nov 7 · TBD
71.2
win 45%
Projected
72.6
win 55%
No line posted yet.
Model: LAS −1.3 · total 143.8 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one
Projected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: La Salle 67.3, Long Island 68.6 → 67.6 possessions
−1.6
La Salle offense vs Long Island defense
−2.7
Long Island offense vs La Salle defense
−0.1
Projected total
143.8
Axis starts at 142 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
La Salle offense vs Long Island defense
−2.7
Long Island offense vs La Salle defense
+0.1
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
La Salle by 1.3
1.3
Long Island side ◂▸ La Salle side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help La Salle.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 67.6, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Long Island is the faster team (68.2, #190 of 365) and La Salle the slower (66.4, #280). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
67.6
per team, 40 min
Projected total
143.8
model
Projected team totals
71.2 / 72.6
Long Island / La Salle
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.6#152
Long Island
67.3#269
La Salle

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet
AdvantageLa Salle
Where La Salle struggles: shooting
La Salle shoots an effective 45.4% (#357); Long Island allows 50.0% (#102). Expect about 47.2%, 4.0 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -5.7 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseLong Island
Long Island's shot-blocking
Long Island ranks #16 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 13.6% of La Salle's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
AdvantageLong Island
Where Long Island scores: shooting
Long Island shoots an effective 52.8% (#112); La Salle allows 55.0% (#329). Expect about 54.0%, 2.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.9 points per 100 possessions.
ClashLa Salle
Style match: 3-point volume
La Salle rarely shoots threes (31.5% of its shots); Long Island runs teams off the line (32.9% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 28.8% — both habits push the same way.
TurnoversLa Salle
La Salle turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.9% is worth roughly -2.6 points per 100 possessions against La Salle's offense.
GlassLa Salle
La Salle owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.0% is worth roughly +2.2 points per 100 possessions for La Salle's offense.
Long Island has the ball
OffenseLa Salle allowsvs D1 avg
52.8% #112
55.0% #329
+3.9 pt/100
18.9% #318
17.1% #137
-1.8 pt/100
33.9% #70
32.4% #274
+2.1 pt/100
34.0% #207
31.5% #97
-0.3 pt/100
66.7% #346
—
-0.5 pt/100
Long Island net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +3.4 pts/100
La Salle has the ball
OffenseLong Island allowsvs D1 avg
45.4% #357
50.0% #102
-5.7 pt/100
18.2% #284
18.8% #58
-2.6 pt/100
33.7% #75
33.0% #299
+2.2 pt/100
37.5% #113
34.7% #171
+0.1 pt/100
72.5% #189
—
+0.0 pt/100
La Salle net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -6.0 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers
Long Islandoffense vsLa Salledefense
Share of shots by zone
Long Island shoots
La Salle allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim59.7%#13361.1%#27158.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)37.8%#22442.0%#23139.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)38.7%#16240.1%#24638.0%
Three35.8%#6736.5%#32433.7%
La Salleoffense vsLong Islanddefense
Share of shots by zone
La Salle shoots
Long Island allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim52.4%#34655.3%#7058.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)33.9%#30549.1%#35039.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)36.7%#24240.4%#25638.0%
Three30.0%#34232.2%#7233.7%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers
Long Island
+0.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#172 of 365
Off reb %
33.9%
#70
Def reb %
67.0%
#299
Turnover %
18.9%
#318
Forced TO %
18.8%
#58
FT rate
34.0%
#207
FT allowed
34.7%
#171
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.1
Defensive rebounding−0.8
Ball security−1.5
Forcing turnovers+1.4
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.1
La Salle
+1.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#122 of 365
Off reb %
33.7%
#75
Def reb %
67.6%
#274
Turnover %
18.2%
#284
Forced TO %
17.1%
#137
FT rate
37.5%
#113
FT allowed
31.5%
#97
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.1
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−1.0
Forcing turnovers+0.3
Foul shots drawn+0.6
Foul shots allowed+1.0

La Salle has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.4 (#122 of 365) to Long Island’s +0.2 (#172).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Long Island2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Long Island's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
2Greg GordonGSr6'5"35-3534.114.05.52.91.957.2%20.7%0.840.7%25.1%
33Jamal FullerGSr6'5"34-3333.616.25.52.62.159.6%43.0%3.877.1%26.4%
0Malachi DavisGSr6'4"35-3430.914.03.53.42.846.1%31.4%4.062.1%32.9%
1Jomo GoingsGJr6'5"35-3430.89.84.52.22.246.5%36.3%2.984.2%21.9%
22Shadrak LasuFSo6'8"33-3322.95.25.40.40.856.9%42.9%0.663.8%13.6%
6Mason Porter-BrownFJr6'6"35-620.07.83.20.61.057.1%40.4%2.771.3%22.2%
3Faheim MeranGJr6'6"18-014.63.11.11.10.951.0%36.7%1.758.3%15.4%
15Caleb JohnsonFSr6'7"23-011.02.52.10.50.352.3%0.0%0.575.0%13.9%
4Tre'shawn SheppardGSo6'6"26-09.72.12.70.30.454.5%33.3%0.253.8%14.0%
10A.J. Neal Jr.GSr6'2"15-07.71.90.40.70.652.2%50.0%0.566.7%17.2%
7Isaiah MirandaFJr7'1"13-08.13.71.50.20.642.6%15.4%1.066.7%31.3%
5Max Ndlovu-FraserGFr6'5"7-07.90.70.60.60.635.7%33.3%0.4—11.7%
34Xinyi LiFJr6'9"8-03.60.60.80.00.535.7%33.3%0.4—23.4%
14Eddie MunyakGSo6'1"2-01.51.50.50.00.0150.0%100.0%0.5—17.8%
24Gavin PendergastGSo6'4"0-00.00.00.00.00.0——0.0——
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home
Long IslandLa Salle
Efficiency
106.8
105.2
107.8
110.0
68.6
67.3
—
—
Shooting
52.8%
45.4%
52.4%
45.6%
35.8%
30.0%
66.7%
72.5%
34.0%
37.5%
Ball control & glass
18.9%
18.2%
18.8%
17.1%
33.9%
33.7%
33.0%
32.4%
10.4%
10.1%
8.6%
12.2%
Style
29.3%
31.5%
51.9%
46.1%
19.4%
11.4%
50.2%
56.0%
24.1%
34.8%
Roster
3.38
2.85
6'5.5"
6'5.5"
—
96.7%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Long Island
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Long Island's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

La Salle
Returning minutes: 96.7%Returning production: 97.7%
Lost
  • Nas Hart 6.6 mpg, 1.4 ppg · transferred to Quinnipiac
Added
  • Josue Grullon no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 97% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Head-to-head

this season and last
DateSeasonResult
Sat, Dec 132025-26La Salle 60 – 70 Long Island

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.