Denver Pioneers vs UC Riverside Highlanders basketball final score
Sat, Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET · SRC Arena, Riverside, CA
Non-conferenceESPN+SRC Arena, Riverside, CA
Denver
0-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #202
@
UC Riverside
2025-26: 10-22 · 5-15 conf
Efficiency #268
Final
6064
Final score
Projected 76.4 – 78.1
DEN win 44%UCR win 56%
MarketClose
Spread
UCR −1.5
open UCR −2.0
Total
156.0
open 154.5
Our line
UCR −1.7
as of Sat, Nov 7 · 7:21 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
UC Riversiderated 7.7 below average
−7.7
Denverrated 5.1 below average
+5.1
Home court
+4.3
Our line
UCR −1.7
◂ Denver sideUC Riverside side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward UC Riverside. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Denver is the faster team (71.3, #158 of 365) and UC Riverside the slower (71.1, #49). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.8
per team, 40 min
Market total
156.0
Market close · open 154.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
71.0#163
Denver
71.4#128
UC Riverside
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
UCR −1.7
Four factors +2.7 · not in these stats −1.0
From the four factors
UC Riverside has the ball+1.0
Denver has the ball−1.7
UC Riverside has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 19.0% #322 · DEN forces 14.0% #269 · ~11 turnovers+2.0
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 48.9% #291 · DEN allows 50.7% #170−0.5
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 35.0% #177 · DEN allows 26.9% #74 · FT 74.2% #120−0.3
✗Few second chancesOR% 27.8% #275 · DEN allows 35.9% #240−0.3
Denver has the ball
✗Few second chancesOR% 24.1% #268 · UCR allows 30.0% #159−2.6
✓Gets to the lineFTR 40.4% #122 · UCR allows 40.9% #312 · FT 85.7% #18+1.4
✗Coughs it upTO% 22.5% #261 · UCR forces 15.5% #250 · ~14 turnovers−0.5
✓Shoots it welleFG% 48.1% #194 · UCR allows 52.7% #2520.0
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersDenveroffense vsUC Riversidedefense
Share of shots by zone
Denver shoots
19.6
7.8
35.3
37.3
UC Riverside allows
44.5
7.3
16.0
32.2
D-I average
37.9
7.9
12.7
41.5
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 70.0%#53 | 59.1%#194 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 25.0%#217 | 35.6%#76 | 37.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 55.6%#44 | 44.0%#340 | 35.4% |
| Three | 21.1%#302 | 33.5%#159 | 32.3% |
UC Riversideoffense vsDenverdefense
Share of shots by zone
UC Riverside shoots
42.9
5.5
13.4
38.2
Denver allows
51.5
7.6
3.0
37.9
D-I average
37.9
7.9
12.7
41.5
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.1%#234 | 58.8%#164 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.6%#274 | 80.0%#305 | 37.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.0%#224 | 50.0%#243 | 35.4% |
| Three | 31.6%#301 | 23.1%#40 | 32.3% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersDenver
−6.1extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#241 of 365
Off reb %
24.1%
#268
Def reb %
64.1%
#240
Turnover %
22.5%
#261
Forced TO %
14.0%
#269
FT rate
40.4%
#122
FT allowed
26.9%
#74
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.6
Defensive rebounding−1.3
Ball security−2.9
Forcing turnovers−3.1
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed+2.8
UC Riverside
−4.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#339 of 365
Off reb %
27.8%
#275
Def reb %
70.0%
#159
Turnover %
19.0%
#322
Forced TO %
15.5%
#250
FT rate
35.0%
#177
FT allowed
40.9%
#312
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.8
Defensive rebounding+0.2
Ball security−1.6
Forcing turnovers−0.8
Foul shots drawn0.0
Foul shots allowed−1.5
UC Riverside has more extra scoring chances per game: −4.5 (#339 of 365) to Denver’s −6.1 (#241).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Denver2026-27 numbers through Sat, Nov 7
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | G | Jr | 6'1" | 2-2 | 37.0 | 19.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 50.0% | 25.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 29.4% | |
| 1 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 2-2 | 31.0 | 9.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 53.3% | 0.0% | 2.5 | 50.0% | 19.1% | |
| 8 | F | So | 6'8" | 2-2 | 26.5 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.5 | 100.0% | 13.8% | |
| 2 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 2-2 | 23.5 | 11.5 | 6.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 3.0 | 62.5% | 31.0% | |
| 10 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 19.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 35.7% | 20.0% | 2.5 | 50.0% | 20.7% | |
| 0 | F | So | 6'9" | 2-2 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 33.3% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 23.2% | |
| 4 | F | Sr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 16.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 100.0% | 15.4% | |
| 3 | F | Jr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 15.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 50.0% | 20.0% | 2.5 | — | 26.4% | |
| 11 | G | Jr | 5'11" | 2-0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 90.0% | 100.0% | 0.5 | 100.0% | 19.4% | |
| 12 | F | Sr | 6'8" | 2-0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 12.5% | |
| 21 | C | Sr | 7'0" | 1-0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 28.0% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameDenver
Against the spread
Season
1-0
Home
0-0
Road
1-0
Last 10
1-0
avg cover +18.0
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −19.5
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Wisconsin | A | L 68–75 | +25.0 | W+18.0 | 162.5 | U143 | 95.4 | 105.2 | 71.3 |
| Mar 6 | North Dakota | N | L 67–83 | −3.5 | L−19.5 | 161.0 | U150 | 98.4 | 121.9 | 68.1 |
| Feb 26 | Oral Roberts | A | L 80–102 | −2.5 | L−24.5 | 156.5 | O182 | 111.9 | 142.7 | 71.5 |
| Feb 21 | St Thomas | H | W 82–80 | +4.0 | W+6.0 | 168.5 | U162 | 119.7 | 116.8 | 68.5 |
| Feb 19 | South Dakota | H | W 90–70 | −6.0 | W+14.0 | 162.5 | U160 | 137.9 | 107.3 | 65.3 |
| Feb 15 | Omaha | A | L 76–83 | +2.5 | L−4.5 | 160.5 | U159 | 115.1 | 125.7 | 66.0 |
| Feb 12 | S Dakota St | H | W 79–61 | +2.0 | W+20.0 | 160.5 | U140 | 124.5 | 96.2 | 63.4 |
| Feb 7 | North Dakota | A | W 98–79 | +3.5 | W+22.5 | 161.0 | O177 | 146.0 | 117.7 | 67.1 |
| Feb 5 | N Dakota St | A | W 78–71 | +13.0 | W+20.0 | 156.0 | U149 | 110.3 | 100.4 | 70.7 |
| Jan 31 | Omaha | H | L 82–84 | −2.5 | L−4.5 | 157.5 | O166 | 114.2 | 117.0 | 71.8 |
UC Riverside
Against the spread
Season
15-14-1
Home
6-6
Road
9-8-1
Last 10
3-6-1
avg cover +2.0
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 8 as an underdog, 1 pushCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+, 1 push
Over / under
Season
16-14
Home
7-5
Road
9-9
Last 10
6-4
avg vs total +3.4
Over 2 straightOver in 4 of 8 as an underdogOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | La Verne Leopards | H | W 110–47 | — | — | — | — | 139.9 | 59.8 | 78.6 |
| Mar 5 | Hawai'i | A | L 74–93 | +12.5 | L−6.5 | 149.0 | O167 | 103.1 | 129.5 | 71.8 |
| Feb 28 | CSU Northridge | H | W 95–84 | +5.5 | W+16.5 | 158.0 | O179 | 119.6 | 105.8 | 79.4 |
| Feb 26 | Santa Barbara | A | L 59–70 | +11.0 | P0.0 | 145.5 | U129 | 86.6 | 102.7 | 68.1 |
| Feb 21 | UC Davis | H | L 73–78 | +3.0 | L−2.0 | 150.0 | O151 | 98.2 | 104.9 | 74.4 |
| Feb 19 | Bakersfield | H | W 93–65 | −7.0 | W+21.0 | 151.5 | O158 | 120.6 | 84.3 | 77.1 |
| Feb 14 | UC San Diego | A | L 66–72 | +11.0 | W+5.0 | 147.5 | U138 | 92.9 | 101.3 | 71.0 |
| Feb 12 | Santa Barbara | H | L 68–76 | +7.0 | L−1.0 | 145.0 | U144 | 105.7 | 118.1 | 64.3 |
| Feb 7 | CSU Northridge | A | L 74–88 | +10.5 | L−3.5 | 159.5 | O162 | 101.6 | 120.9 | 72.8 |
| Feb 5 | Fullerton | A | L 72–78 | +5.5 | L−0.5 | 156.0 | U150 | 95.5 | 103.4 | 75.4 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeDenverUC Riverside
Efficiency
109.2
101.4
111.4
107.9
71.0
71.4
10.1
—
Shooting
48.1%
48.9%
57.6%
49.9%
21.1%
31.6%
85.7%
74.2%
40.4%
35.0%
Ball control & glass
22.5%
19.0%
14.0%
15.5%
24.1%
27.8%
35.9%
30.0%
11.2%
10.1%
9.1%
8.6%
Style
36.5%
38.3%
26.5%
44.0%
10.3%
11.2%
30.4%
49.7%
34.2%
25.0%
Roster
3.02
2.72
6'5.3"
6'5.8"
27.0%
17.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputDenver
Returning minutes: 27.0%Returning production: 30.5%
Lost
- Jeremiah Burke 32.0 mpg, 14.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Logan Kinsey 29.3 mpg, 11.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Gabe Oldham 25.6 mpg, 5.6 ppg · transferred to Drake
- Zane Nelson 23.2 mpg, 12.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Julius Rollins 18.6 mpg, 7.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Josh Lee 8.1 mpg, 2.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jordan Rogers from NJIT · 26.6 mpg, 5.8 ppg last season
- Kam Martin from Samford · 16.6 mpg, 5.7 ppg last season
- Trey Cady from North Florida · 10.8 mpg, 5.5 ppg last season
- CJ Hyland from W Carolina · 9.4 mpg, 4.0 ppg last season
- Baba Mbengue from Kansas City · 6.4 mpg, 0.9 ppg last season
- Spencer Mahoney from Temple · 2.1 mpg, 0.1 ppg last season
Returns 27% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
UC Riverside
Returning minutes: 17.6%Returning production: 16.5%
Lost
- Marqui Worthy Jr. 35.0 mpg, 16.4 ppg · transferred to San Diego
- Andrew Henderson 33.3 mpg, 18.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Osiris Grady 30.9 mpg, 10.2 ppg · transferred to Sacramento St
- BJ Kolly 23.0 mpg, 8.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jailen Daniel-Dalton 18.9 mpg, 4.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tyler Jones 12.5 mpg, 2.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- James Evans Jr. from CSU Northridge · 15.2 mpg, 6.0 ppg last season
- Devon Malcolm from CA Baptist · 13.2 mpg, 5.6 ppg last season
- Dallas Washington from Long Beach St · 7.9 mpg, 2.0 ppg last season
- Tony Duckett from Saint Mary's · 4.4 mpg, 2.1 ppg last season
- Abraham Oyeadier from West Virginia · 0.1 mpg, 0.0 ppg last season
- Parker Strauss no D1 minutes last season
Returns 18% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -1.5→-2.5-105 | 154.5→156.5o-108 u-112 | -130 | +110 |
| FanDuel | -1.5-120 | 154.5→156.5o-105 u-115 | -134 | +112 |
| BetMGM | -1.5→-2.5-105 | 154.5→156.5o-105 u-115 | -135 | +110 |
| BetRivers | -1.5-118 | 154.5→155.5o-113 u-109 | -137 | +110 |
| Caesars | -2-110 | 154.5→156o-110 u-110 | -130 | +110 |
| Fanatics | -2→-1.5-115 | 154.5→156o-110 u-110 | -130 | +110 |
| BetOnline | -2→-2.5-110 | 154→156o-115 u-105 | -140 | +120 |
| Bovada | -1.5→-2-105 | 154.5→156o-110 u-110 | -125 | +105 |
| theScore Bet | -1.5-120 | 154.5→156.5o-110 u-110 | -125 | +105 |
| Hard Rock | -1.5-120 | 154.5→155.5o-110 u-110 | -135 | +110 |
| Kalshi | -1.5-113 | 157.5o+113 u-117 | -127 | +122 |
| Polymarket | -2.5+108 | 156.5o+100 u-104 | -127 | +122 |
| Novig | -1.5→-2.5+106 | 154.5→156.5o-102 u-104 | -127 | +122 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Sat, Nov 7
- Morehead St at Louisville · 12:00 PM ET
- North Dakota at Winthrop · 12:00 PM ET
- NC A&T at Ohio · 1:00 PM ET
- Lamar at Abilene Chrstn · 2:00 PM ET
- UNC Wilmington at East Carolina · 2:00 PM ET
- Fullerton at South Dakota · 2:00 PM ET
- Colgate at Drexel · 2:00 PM ET
- Toledo at Marshall · 2:00 PM ET
- VCU at Memphis · 3:00 PM ET
- NC Central at Longwood · 3:00 PM ET
- Long Beach St at Montana St · 3:00 PM ET
- San Diego St vs Colorado · 3:30 PM ET
- Long Island at La Salle · 3:30 PM ET
- Monmouth vs Rhode Island · 4:00 PM ET
- Lafayette at Saint Joseph's · 4:00 PM ET
- Samford at UNLV · 4:00 PM ET
- Oakland at Santa Barbara · 4:00 PM ET
- Omaha at Utah State · 4:00 PM ET
- Bellarmine at Miami OH · 5:00 PM ET
- Washington St at High Point · 5:00 PM ET
- SIUE at Lipscomb · 5:00 PM ET
- UT Martin at IU Indy · 5:00 PM ET
- Old Dominion at Bucknell · 5:00 PM ET
- Northern Iowa at Furman · 5:00 PM ET
- VMI at UTSA · 5:00 PM ET
- New Mexico St at Gonzaga · 5:00 PM ET
- W Carolina at UNC Asheville · 5:30 PM ET
- Prairie View at UT Rio Grande · 5:30 PM ET
- N Arizona at New Mexico · 6:00 PM ET
- Hampton at G Washington · 6:00 PM ET
- Morgan St at Niagara · 6:30 PM ET
- Providence vs Nebraska · 7:00 PM ET
- N Illinois at Dayton · 7:00 PM ET
- St Bonaventure at Canisius · 7:00 PM ET
- Hou Christian vs W Illinois · 7:00 PM ET
- Mercer at Davidson · 7:00 PM ET
- Maryland at Georgetown · 7:30 PM ET
- Bethune at Grand Canyon · 8:00 PM ET
- Pacific at Bradley · 8:00 PM ET
- SE Louisiana at Little Rock · 8:00 PM ET
- S Indiana at Evansville · 8:00 PM ET
- N'Western St at Murray St · 8:00 PM ET
- Utah Valley at Weber St · 9:00 PM ET
- San José St at UC Irvine · 10:00 PM ET
- Portland St at Seattle U · 10:00 PM ET
- Sacramento St at Santa Clara · 10:00 PM ET
- Fresno St at UC San Diego · 10:00 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.