Northern Iowa Panthers vs Furman Paladins basketball final score
Sat, Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ET · Timmons Arena, Greenville, SC
Non-conferenceESPN+Timmons Arena, Greenville, SC
Northern Iowa
2025-26: 23-13 · 15-9 conf
Efficiency #86
@
Furman
2-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #142
Final
8398
Final score
Projected 75.2 – 73.6
UNI win 55%FUR win 45%
MarketClose
Spread
FUR −5.5
open FUR −4.5
Total
150.5
open 148.75
Our line
UNI −1.6
as of Sat, Nov 7 · 4:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Furmanrated 0.5 below average
−0.5
Northern Iowarated 5.4 above average
−5.4
Home court
+4.3
Our line
UNI −1.6
◂ Northern Iowa sideFurman side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Furman. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Furman is the faster team (67.4, #260 of 365) and Northern Iowa the slower (63.4, #362). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.4
per team, 40 min
Market total
150.5
Market close · open 148.75
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.2#353
Northern Iowa
68.8#303
Furman
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
UNI −1.6
Four factors −1.2 · not in these stats +2.8
From the four factors
Furman has the ball+1.8
Northern Iowa has the ball+0.6
Furman has the ball
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 16.3% #117 · UNI forces 18.0% #96 · ~11 turnovers+1.0
✓Gets to the lineFTR 57.7% #22 · UNI allows 29.6% #53 · FT 76.7% #75+0.9
✗Few second chancesOR% 32.3% #145 · UNI allows 26.5% #24−0.8
✓Shoots it welleFG% 53.8% #120 · UNI allows 47.5% #31+0.7
Northern Iowa has the ball
✗Few second chancesOR% 21.8% #357 · FUR allows 25.8% #82−3.9
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 14.4% #41 · FUR forces 14.8% #249 · ~9 turnovers+3.5
✓Shoots it welleFG% 53.8% #73 · FUR allows 50.0% #153+1.8
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 25.6% #362 · FUR allows 27.6% #82 · FT 69.2% #294−0.9
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootNorthern Iowaoffense vsFurmandefense
Share of shots by zone
Northern Iowa shoots
39.9
7.0
14.4
38.7
Furman allows
31.0
8.6
27.6
32.8
D-I average
37.9
7.9
12.7
41.5
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.1%#90 | 55.6%#126 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.9%#82 | 60.0%#264 | 37.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.5%#44 | 25.0%#86 | 35.4% |
| Three | 34.7%#136 | 42.1%#287 | 32.3% |
Furmanoffense vsNorthern Iowadefense
Share of shots by zone
Furman shoots
26.9
7.7
5.8
59.6
Northern Iowa allows
37.3
7.5
14.2
41.0
D-I average
37.9
7.9
12.7
41.5
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.3%#112 | 56.5%#99 | 58.1% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 0.0%#271 | 43.4%#257 | 37.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.3%#151 | 38.1%#164 | 35.4% |
| Three | 38.7%#75 | 29.1%#3 | 32.3% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineNorthern Iowa
0.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#179 of 365
Off reb %
21.8%
#357
Def reb %
73.5%
#24
Turnover %
14.4%
#41
Forced TO %
18.0%
#96
FT rate
25.6%
#362
FT allowed
29.6%
#53
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.8
Defensive rebounding+1.3
Ball security+1.6
Forcing turnovers+0.9
Foul shots drawn−2.4
Foul shots allowed+1.4
Furman
+9.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#67 of 365
Off reb %
32.3%
#145
Def reb %
74.2%
#82
Turnover %
16.3%
#117
Forced TO %
14.8%
#249
FT rate
57.7%
#22
FT allowed
27.6%
#82
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.1
Defensive rebounding+2.0
Ball security+1.5
Forcing turnovers−2.5
Foul shots drawn+5.4
Foul shots allowed+2.6
Furman has more extra scoring chances per game: +9.2 (#67 of 365) to Northern Iowa’s 0.0 (#179).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Northern Iowa2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 2-2 | 28.0 | 16.0 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 40.4% | 16.7% | 3.0 | 84.6% | 30.0% | |
| 3 | G | Jr | 6'8" | 2-2 | 27.0 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 61.8% | 35.7% | 7.0 | 0.0% | 16.9% | |
| 8 | G | So | 6'4" | 2-0 | 25.5 | 17.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 65.9% | 41.7% | 6.0 | 66.7% | 30.2% | |
| 31 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 2-1 | 19.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 68.8% | 33.3% | 3.0 | 90.9% | 28.9% | |
| 9 | G | So | 6'3" | 2-0 | 17.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 45.0% | 25.0% | 2.0 | 0.0% | 15.0% | |
| 2 | G | So | 6'4" | 2-2 | 15.5 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 40.6% | 16.7% | 3.0 | 75.0% | 28.3% | |
| 35 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 2-2 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 44.4% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.1% | |
| 0 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 80.0% | 18.6% | |
| 32 | F | Fr | 6'8" | 2-0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 27.9% | |
| 22 | F | Sr | 6'6" | 2-1 | 10.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.0 | 50.0% | 16.8% | |
| 7 | F | So | 6'5" | 2-0 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 10.2% | |
| 24 | F | So | 6'8" | 1-0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 62.5% | 33.3% | 3.0 | 50.0% | 20.7% | |
| 5 | G | Fr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.5% | 33.3% | 1.5 | — | 26.9% | |
| 15 | G | Jr | 6'8" | 1-0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 18.1% |
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameNorthern Iowa
Against the spread
Season
18-17
Home
7-9
Road
8-4
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +4.4
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 9 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
14-21
Home
7-9
Road
5-7
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +3.2
Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 9 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | Cornell (IA) Rams | H | W 106–70 | — | — | — | — | 118.8 | 78.4 | 89.3 |
| Mar 20 | #5St John's | N | L 53–79 | +10.5 | L−15.5 | 133.5 | U132 | 84.0 | 125.2 | 63.1 |
| Mar 8 | UIC | N | W 84–69 | −3.0 | W+12.0 | 124.5 | O153 | 141.8 | 116.5 | 59.2 |
| Mar 7 | Bradley | N | W 73–69 | −4.5 | L−0.5 | 126.5 | O142 | 115.3 | 108.9 | 63.3 |
| Mar 6 | Illinois St | N | W 74–52 | −2.0 | W+20.0 | 129.5 | U126 | 118.9 | 83.5 | 62.3 |
| Mar 5 | Evansville | N | W 68–59 | −15.0 | L−6.0 | 128.5 | U127 | 108.3 | 94.0 | 62.8 |
| Mar 1 | Drake | A | W 75–53 | −4.0 | W+18.0 | 137.5 | U128 | 119.1 | 84.2 | 63.0 |
| Feb 25 | Illinois St | H | L 69–71 | −5.0 | L−7.0 | 132.0 | O140 | 111.1 | 114.3 | 62.1 |
| Feb 21 | S Illinois | H | L 57–59 | −6.5 | L−8.5 | 134.5 | U116 | 92.9 | 96.2 | 61.3 |
| Feb 18 | Indiana St | A | W 81–60 | −5.0 | W+16.0 | 135.5 | O141 | 124.6 | 92.3 | 65.0 |
Furman
Against the spread
Season
1-0
Home
0-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
1-0
avg cover +4.5
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −5.0
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | Bob Jones Bruins | H | W 121–52 | — | — | — | — | 158.0 | 67.9 | 76.6 |
| Nov 2 | Bethune | N | W 79–70 | −4.5 | W+4.5 | 154.0 | U149 | 117.2 | 103.8 | 67.4 |
| Mar 20 | #2UConn | N | L 71–82 | +21.0 | W+10.0 | 135.0 | O153 | 108.5 | 125.3 | 65.4 |
| Mar 9 | ETSU | N | W 76–61 | +1.0 | W+16.0 | 138.0 | U137 | 122.9 | 98.6 | 61.8 |
| Mar 8 | UNC Greensboro | N | W 81–75 | −6.0 | P0.0 | 148.5 | O156 | 123.4 | 114.3 | 65.6 |
| Mar 7 | Samford | N | W 86–81 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 145.5 | O167 | 124.6 | 117.4 | 69.0 |
| Feb 28 | W Carolina | A | L 67–86 | −2.0 | L−21.0 | 148.0 | O153 | 105.4 | 135.3 | 63.6 |
| Feb 25 | The Citadel | H | W 72–51 | −15.5 | W+5.5 | 143.5 | U123 | 120.3 | 85.2 | 59.8 |
| Feb 21 | Wofford | A | W 76–67 | −1.5 | W+7.5 | 152.5 | U143 | 118.7 | 104.6 | 64.1 |
| Feb 18 | ETSU | H | L 69–78 | −1.5 | L−10.5 | 141.0 | O147 | 101.2 | 114.4 | 68.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeNorthern IowaFurman
Efficiency
105.8
107.2
98.3
105.6
67.2
68.8
—
-5.7
Shooting
53.8%
53.8%
54.9%
47.6%
34.7%
38.7%
69.2%
76.7%
25.6%
57.7%
Ball control & glass
14.4%
16.3%
18.0%
14.8%
21.8%
32.3%
26.5%
25.8%
8.8%
13.3%
8.3%
19.0%
Style
39.1%
59.6%
47.2%
22.8%
8.9%
8.9%
56.6%
77.3%
27.0%
43.5%
Roster
2.93
2.81
6'5.9"
6'5.9"
9.6%
32.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputNorthern Iowa
Returning minutes: 9.6%Returning production: 5.7%
Lost
- Trey Campbell 33.5 mpg, 13.7 ppg · transferred to Utah
- Leon Bond III 32.8 mpg, 11.9 ppg · transferred to Iowa State
- Ben Schwieger 27.8 mpg, 9.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Will Hornseth 25.5 mpg, 10.8 ppg · transferred to Utah State
- Max Weisbrod 24.7 mpg, 5.7 ppg · transferred to N Illinois
- Tristan Smith 16.5 mpg, 7.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Tate McCubbin from Austin Peay · 29.5 mpg, 9.7 ppg last season
- Greyson Uelmen from North Dakota · 27.8 mpg, 16.8 ppg last season
- Isaiah Johnson-Arigu from St Thomas · 20.7 mpg, 10.2 ppg last season
- Carson Vis from W Michigan · 14.8 mpg, 5.8 ppg last season
- Ian Smikle from Tulsa · 13.8 mpg, 3.1 ppg last season
- Will Gerdes no D1 minutes last season
Returns 10% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (4 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Furman
Returning minutes: 29.5%Returning production: 27.8%
Lost
- Alex Wilkins 29.7 mpg, 17.8 ppg · transferred to Kentucky
- Ben Vander Wal 27.1 mpg, 7.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tom House 23.7 mpg, 8.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Asa Thomas 21.9 mpg, 9.5 ppg · transferred to UIC
- Cooper Bowser 21.1 mpg, 9.8 ppg · transferred to Arkansas
- Eddrin Bronson 18.7 mpg, 5.3 ppg · transferred to The Citadel
Added
- Marcus Kell from W Carolina · 29.4 mpg, 13.6 ppg last season
- Jaxson Bell from Army · 23.7 mpg, 11.4 ppg last season
- Luka Toews from Boston College · 20.1 mpg, 5.9 ppg last season
- Jordan Butler from South Carolina · 6.9 mpg, 2.2 ppg last season
- Nate Wilbourne no D1 minutes last season
- Nikos Koulisianis no D1 minutes last season
Returns 30% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -4.5→-5.5-105 | 148.5→149.5o-112 u-108 | -205 | +170 |
| FanDuel | -3.5→-4.5-120 | 148.5→149.5o-115 u-105 | -215 | +176 |
| BetMGM | -4.5→-5.5-110 | 151.5→149.5o-115 u-105 | -210 | +170 |
| BetRivers | -3.5→-4.5-117 | 151.5→149.5o-114 u-108 | -225 | +175 |
| Caesars | -4.5→-5-110 | 148.5→149.5o-110 u-110 | -205 | +170 |
| Fanatics | -4→-5.5-105 | 149→150o-110 u-110 | -215 | +175 |
| BetOnline | -3.5→-5-118 | 149o-115 u-105 | -215 | +183 |
| Bovada | -4.5→-5-110 | 150.5o-110 u-110 | -195 | +165 |
| theScore Bet | -3.5→-5.5-105 | 149.5o-110 u-110 | -210 | +175 |
| Hard Rock | -3.5→-5.5-105 | 151.5→149.5o-110 u-105 | -240 | +190 |
| Kalshi | -3.5-133 | 149.5o-113 u+108 | -194 | +186 |
| Polymarket | -3.5→-5.5+104 | 148.5→149.5o-108 u+104 | -194 | +186 |
| Novig | -4.5→-5.5+106 | 148.5→— | -190 | +182 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Fri, Nov 14 | 2025-26 | Furman 54 – 70 Northern Iowa |
More games on Sat, Nov 7
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.