Wright State Raiders vs Toledo Rockets basketball final score
Tue, Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET · Savage Arena, Toledo, OH
Non-conferenceESPN+Savage Arena, Toledo, OH
Wright St
2-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #77
@
Toledo
1-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #124
Final
7668
Final score
Projected 80.3 – 79.2
WRST win 54%TOL win 46%
MarketClose
Spread
WRST −1.5
open WRST −1.5
Total
157.5
open 159.5
Our line
WRST −1.0
as of Tue, Nov 10 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
from the market's opening number| Line | Market open | Our adjustment | Our line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WRST −1.5 | 0.5 toward Toledo | WRST −1.0 |
Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Toledo is the faster team (75.1, #62 of 365) and Wright St the slower (72.1, #130). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.1
per team, 40 min
Market total
157.5
Market close · open 159.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.1#216
Wright St
71.6#116
Toledo
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
WRST −1.0
Four factors +23.5 · not in these stats −22.5
From the four factors
Toledo has the ball−7.5
Wright St has the ball+16.1
Toledo has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 42.9% #292 · WRST allows 42.2% #46−8.5
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 14.6% #75 · WRST forces 18.7% #142 · ~12 turnovers+1.5
✗Few second chancesOR% 26.3% #268 · WRST allows 37.1% #282−0.4
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 36.7% #178 · WRST allows 47.5% #284 · FT 61.1% #3010.0
Wright St has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 65.2% #10 · TOL allows 50.0% #163+8.6
✓Wins second chancesOR% 45.3% #13 · TOL allows 38.0% #293+5.5
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 16.6% #137 · TOL forces 17.7% #188 · ~12 turnovers+1.0
✓Gets to the lineFTR 39.3% #144 · TOL allows 37.1% #186 · FT 83.3% #21+0.9
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootWright Stoffense vsToledodefense
Share of shots by zone
Wright St shoots
36.7
11.4
17.7
34.2
Toledo allows
34.9
5.7
15.4
44.0
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 82.8%#3 | 57.4%#165 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.4%#131 | 50.0%#243 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 42.9%#94 | 25.9%#101 | 34.7% |
| Three | 39.5%#65 | 34.8%#226 | 32.5% |
Toledooffense vsWright Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Toledo shoots
31.8
14.0
21.2
33.0
Wright St allows
40.5
16.2
8.1
35.1
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 52.6%#243 | 43.3%#29 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.0%#153 | 33.3%#125 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.5%#131 | 33.3%#155 | 34.7% |
| Three | 22.2%#333 | 33.3%#185 | 32.5% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineWright St
+2.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#144 of 365
Off reb %
45.3%
#13
Def reb %
62.9%
#282
Turnover %
16.6%
#137
Forced TO %
18.7%
#142
FT rate
39.3%
#144
FT allowed
47.5%
#284
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+4.6
Defensive rebounding−1.8
Ball security+1.1
Forcing turnovers+0.5
Foul shots drawn+0.5
Foul shots allowed−2.5
Toledo
−1.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#196 of 365
Off reb %
26.3%
#268
Def reb %
62.0%
#293
Turnover %
14.6%
#75
Forced TO %
17.7%
#188
FT rate
36.7%
#178
FT allowed
37.1%
#186
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.7
Defensive rebounding−2.1
Ball security+2.6
Forcing turnovers−0.2
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+0.2
Wright St has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.4 (#144 of 365) to Toledo’s −1.5 (#196).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notWright St2026-27 numbers · last game: FAU, Nov 6
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | G | Jr | 6'7" | 2-2 | 31.0 | 34 | — | Started last | 21.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 113.3% | 80.0% | 5.0 | 80.0% | 19.3% | |
| 1 | G | So | 6'3" | 2-2 | 30.5 | 34 | — | Started last | 13.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 57.1% | 28.6% | 3.5 | 100.0% | 25.2% | |
| 10 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 2-2 | 26.0 | 23 | — | Started last | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 45.2% | 12.5% | 4.0 | 91.7% | 30.4% | |
| 4 | F | So | 6'9" | 2-2 | 24.5 | 21 | — | Started last | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 63.3% | 25.0% | 2.0 | 100.0% | 21.7% | |
| 20 | G | Jr | 6'6" | 2-2 | 21.5 | 31 | — | Started last | 19.5 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 71.1% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 85.7% | 36.9% | |
| 6 | G | Jr | 6'2" | 2-0 | 21.5 | 21 | — | Bench | 4.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 37.5% | 30.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 19.8% | |
| 5 | F | Fr | 6'7" | 2-0 | 21.0 | 15 | — | Bench | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 73.1% | 100.0% | 0.5 | 75.0% | 20.8% | |
| 15 | G | Fr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 12.0 | 9 | — | Bench | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 75.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 13.6% | |
| 23 | C | Sr | 6'11" | 2-0 | 10.0 | 11 | — | Bench | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 10.9% | |
| 12 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0 | — | Missed last game | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 26.4% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameWright St
Against the spread
Season
2-0
Home
2-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
2-0
avg cover +20.2
Covered 2 straight
Over / under
Season
2-0
Home
2-0
Road
0-0
Last 10
2-0
avg vs total +10.8
Over 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | FAU | H | W 97–71 | −3.5 | W+22.5 | 156.0 | O168 | 138.4 | 101.3 | 70.1 |
| Nov 2 | Air Force | H | W 102–71 | −13.0 | W+18.0 | 163.5 | O173 | 137.7 | 95.8 | 74.1 |
| Mar 20 | #3Virginia | N | L 73–82 | +18.0 | W+9.0 | 146.5 | O155 | 112.4 | 126.3 | 64.9 |
| Mar 10 | Detroit Mercy | N | W 66–63 | −5.0 | L−2.0 | 153.5 | U129 | 96.8 | 92.4 | 68.2 |
| Mar 9 | N Kentucky | N | W 103–90 | −1.0 | W+12.0 | 158.0 | O193 | 131.3 | 114.7 | 78.5 |
| Mar 4 | Cleveland St | H | W 90–61 | −14.5 | W+14.5 | 161.5 | U151 | 130.0 | 88.1 | 69.2 |
| Feb 28 | N Kentucky | A | W 92–91 | +3.0 | W+4.0 | 152.5 | O183 | 131.4 | 130.0 | 70.0 |
| Feb 25 | Purdue FW | A | W 74–70 | −1.0 | W+3.0 | 152.0 | U144 | 104.3 | 98.7 | 70.9 |
| Feb 22 | Robert Morris | H | L 68–81 | −4.0 | L−17.0 | 146.5 | O149 | 100.6 | 119.9 | 67.6 |
| Feb 19 | IU Indy | H | W 85–73 | −12.0 | P0.0 | 160.5 | U158 | 119.3 | 102.5 | 71.2 |
Toledo
Against the spread
Season
2-1
Home
0-0
Road
2-1
Last 10
2-1
avg cover +1.8
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
0-3
Home
0-0
Road
0-3
Last 10
0-3
avg vs total −9.7
Under 3 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | Marshall | A | W 81–76 | +2.0 | W+7.0 | 158.0 | U157 | 105.7 | 99.1 | 76.7 |
| Nov 5 | #6Michigan St | A | L 61–91 | +26.0 | L−4.0 | 155.0 | U152 | 83.1 | 124.0 | 73.4 |
| Nov 2 | Arkansas St | A | L 70–71 | +3.5 | W+2.5 | 166.0 | U141 | 92.9 | 94.2 | 75.4 |
| Mar 14 | Akron | N | L 76–79 | +8.0 | W+5.0 | 157.5 | U155 | 111.4 | 115.8 | 68.2 |
| Mar 13 | UMass | N | W 77–67 | −3.0 | W+7.0 | 158.0 | U144 | 109.5 | 95.3 | 70.3 |
| Mar 12 | Bowling Green | N | W 77–76 | −1.5 | L−0.5 | 152.0 | O153 | 113.1 | 111.6 | 68.1 |
| Mar 6 | Buffalo | H | W 99–78 | −5.5 | W+15.5 | 156.5 | O177 | 151.8 | 119.6 | 65.2 |
| Mar 3 | #19Miami OH | A | L 72–74 | +8.0 | W+6.0 | 162.5 | U146 | 104.7 | 107.6 | 68.8 |
| Feb 28 | Ohio | A | W 79–67 | +2.5 | W+14.5 | 159.0 | U146 | 119.4 | 101.2 | 66.2 |
| Feb 24 | N Illinois | H | W 79–69 | −12.5 | L−2.5 | 150.0 | U148 | 119.5 | 104.3 | 66.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeWright StToledo
Efficiency
114.5
107.3
106.2
104.5
70.1
71.6
-8.4
9.3
Shooting
65.2%
42.9%
68.4%
47.4%
39.5%
22.2%
83.3%
61.1%
39.3%
36.7%
Ball control & glass
16.6%
14.6%
18.7%
17.7%
45.3%
26.3%
37.1%
38.0%
10.4%
10.2%
2.5%
6.8%
Style
35.2%
32.1%
47.2%
44.3%
19.6%
18.4%
49.3%
61.0%
32.9%
32.8%
Roster
2.43
2.98
6'5.5"
6'4.5"
31.6%
36.0%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputWright St
Returning minutes: 31.6%Returning production: 31.7%
Lost
- Solomon Callaghan 26.5 mpg, 9.6 ppg · transferred to Utah State
- TJ Burch 24.0 mpg, 12.1 ppg · transferred to Utah
- Michael Imariagbe 23.5 mpg, 11.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Michael Cooper 23.4 mpg, 11.9 ppg · transferred to California
- Logan Woods 18.4 mpg, 5.3 ppg · transferred to Niagara
- Sam Alamutu 11.6 mpg, 2.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- C.J. O'Hara from Green Bay · 32.6 mpg, 14.1 ppg last season
- Chadlyn Traylor from Charleston · 17.3 mpg, 3.8 ppg last season
- Nikola Djapa from Colorado St · 5.2 mpg, 1.3 ppg last season
- Tahj Martin no D1 minutes last season
- Terrence Hayes Jr. no D1 minutes last season
- Sam Johnson no D1 minutes last season
Returns 32% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Toledo
Returning minutes: 36.0%Returning production: 34.0%
Lost
- Sonny Wilson 36.2 mpg, 17.0 ppg · transferred to South Florida
- Leroy Blyden Jr. 33.4 mpg, 16.4 ppg · transferred to Kansas
- Sean Craig 31.6 mpg, 11.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kyler Vanderjagt 22.1 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- London Praytor 2.1 mpg, 1.1 ppg · transferred to Montana St
- Tyler Ode 1.3 mpg, 0.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Angel Montas Jr. from UMass Lowell · 26.5 mpg, 14.3 ppg last season
- Sean Jones from Marquette · 5.3 mpg, 1.6 ppg last season
- Rich Barron no D1 minutes last season
- Jaylohn Allen no D1 minutes last season
- Rashaun Porter no D1 minutes last season
- Marco Mattucci no D1 minutes last season
Returns 36% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +2.5→+1.5-122 | 159.5→156.5o-115 u-105 | -105 | -115 |
| FanDuel | +1.5-110 | 159.5→157.5o-110 u-110 | +104 | -125 |
| BetMGM | +1.5-118 | 159.5→157.5o-105 u-115 | -102 | -118 |
| BetRivers | -1.5→+1.5-117 | 160.5→157.5o-112 u-112 | +100 | -125 |
| Caesars | +1.5→0-110 | 159.5→156.5o-110 u-110 | -110 | -110 |
| Fanatics | +1.5→+1-110 | 159.5→157o-110 u-110 | -105 | -115 |
| BetOnline | +2→+1-110 | 159→157o-110 u-110 | -105 | -115 |
| Bovada | +1.5→+1-110 | 159.5→157o-110 u-110 | -105 | -115 |
| theScore Bet | +1.5-125 | 158.5→157.5o-110 u-110 | -105 | -115 |
| Hard Rock | +1.5-115 | 160.5→157.5o-110 u-110 | +100 | -125 |
| Kalshi | +1.5-117 | 157.5o+104 u-108 | +104 | -108 |
| Polymarket | +1.5-113 | 157.5o+100 u-108 | +100 | -104 |
| Novig | +1.5-117 | 156.5o-104 u+100 | +104 | -106 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 11 | 2025-26 | Toledo 81 – 71 Wright St |
More games on Tue, Nov 10
- Florida at Florida St · 6:00 PM ET
- Delaware St at Georgetown · 6:30 PM ET
- NJIT at Rutgers · 6:30 PM ET
- Bryant at Providence · 7:00 PM ET
- Detroit Mercy at Xavier · 7:00 PM ET
- MD Eastern at Boston College · 7:00 PM ET
- Michigan St vs Duke · 7:00 PM ET
- Charleston So at Wake Forest · 7:00 PM ET
- Youngstown St at C Michigan · 7:00 PM ET
- Siena at Dayton · 7:00 PM ET
- Iona at Fordham · 7:00 PM ET
- Elon at G Washington · 7:00 PM ET
- Army at New Haven · 7:00 PM ET
- Wyoming at North Carolina · 7:00 PM ET
- LMU at Troy · 7:00 PM ET
- Presbyterian at NC State · 7:00 PM ET
- Maine at Rhode Island · 7:00 PM ET
- E Kentucky at Georgia Tech · 7:00 PM ET
- Harvard at Northeastern · 7:00 PM ET
- Virginia Tech vs Iowa · 7:00 PM ET
- Mercer at GA Southern · 7:00 PM ET
- South Alabama at UCF · 7:00 PM ET
- La Salle at Villanova · 7:00 PM ET
- Winthrop at Kennesaw St · 7:00 PM ET
- Bradley at Davidson · 7:00 PM ET
- Washington St at Duquesne · 7:00 PM ET
- Memphis at Vanderbilt · 7:15 PM ET
- Nicholls at Tulane · 7:30 PM ET
- Texas St at UT Rio Grande · 7:30 PM ET
- Evansville at MTSU · 7:30 PM ET
- Yale at Baylor · 8:00 PM ET
- Southern at Iowa State · 8:00 PM ET
- N Kentucky at Saint Louis · 8:00 PM ET
- Illinois at Texas Tech · 8:00 PM ET
- Prairie View at SMU · 8:00 PM ET
- Belmont at Lipscomb · 8:00 PM ET
- Hou Christian at South Dakota · 8:00 PM ET
- Alcorn St at Murray St · 8:00 PM ET
- UT Martin at Arkansas St · 8:00 PM ET
- Green Bay at Northern Iowa · 8:00 PM ET
- SE Louisiana at Ole Miss · 8:30 PM ET
- Fairfield at Wisconsin · 8:30 PM ET
- Creighton at Kansas St · 9:00 PM ET
- N Arizona at Arizona · 9:00 PM ET
- San Diego at Colorado · 9:00 PM ET
- UL Monroe at TCU · 9:00 PM ET
- Bucknell at Virginia · 9:00 PM ET
- Weber St at Utah · 9:00 PM ET
- Hofstra at Arizona St · 9:00 PM ET
- Queens at BYU · 9:00 PM ET
- Little Rock at New Mexico · 9:00 PM ET
- Utah Tech at Utah State · 9:00 PM ET
- Georgia St at Fresno St · 9:00 PM ET
- Kansas vs Kentucky · 9:30 PM ET
- Montana at San Francisco · 10:00 PM ET
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.