Bradley Braves vs Davidson Wildcats basketball final score
Tue, Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET · John M. Belk Arena, Davidson, NC
Non-conferenceESPN+John M. Belk Arena, Davidson, NC
Bradley
1-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #169
@
Davidson
2-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #97
Final
4562
Final score
Projected 65.2 – 75.5
BRAD win 19%DAV win 81%
MarketClose
Spread
DAV −9.5
open DAV −11.5
Total
138.5
open 140.75
Our line
DAV −10.3
as of Tue, Nov 10 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
from the market's opening number| Line | Market open | Our adjustment | Our line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DAV −11.5 | 1.2 toward Bradley | DAV −10.3 |
Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 66.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Davidson is the faster team (66.3, #304 of 365) and Bradley the slower (63.3, #343). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
66.1
per team, 40 min
Market total
138.5
Market close · open 140.75
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.1#279
Bradley
67.5#342
Davidson
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
DAV −10.3
Four factors +14.4 · not in these stats −4.1
From the four factors
Davidson has the ball+4.1
Bradley has the ball−10.3
Davidson has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 61.0% #30 · BRAD allows 48.1% #128+4.8
✓Wins second chancesOR% 32.3% #162 · BRAD allows 39.4% #310+1.8
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 18.7% #348 · BRAD allows 34.6% #161 · FT 60.9% #302−1.4
✗Coughs it upTO% 14.3% #67 · BRAD forces 23.7% #44 · ~13 turnovers−1.0
Bradley has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 34.7% #355 · DAV allows 45.0% #81−11.0
✓Wins second chancesOR% 37.8% #72 · DAV allows 32.5% #207+2.0
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 25.4% #305 · DAV allows 20.0% #20 · FT 73.3% #127−1.1
✗Coughs it upTO% 23.7% #320 · DAV forces 13.6% #299 · ~12 turnovers−0.1
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootBradleyoffense vsDavidsondefense
Share of shots by zone
Bradley shoots
16.3
16.3
16.3
51.0
Davidson allows
35.0
10.6
17.9
36.6
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 62.5%#121 | 51.2%#91 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 12.5%#314 | 38.5%#187 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 12.5%#315 | 31.8%#154 | 34.7% |
| Three | 23.3%#322 | 30.6%#140 | 32.5% |
Davidsonoffense vsBradleydefense
Share of shots by zone
Davidson shoots
29.3
19.8
15.5
35.3
Bradley allows
17.6
21.6
25.5
35.3
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 67.6%#75 | 55.6%#137 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 47.8%#121 | 54.5%#289 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 55.6%#36 | 30.8%#138 | 34.7% |
| Three | 44.4%#21 | 33.3%#185 | 32.5% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineBradley
−2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#218 of 365
Off reb %
37.8%
#72
Def reb %
60.6%
#310
Turnover %
23.7%
#320
Forced TO %
23.7%
#44
FT rate
25.4%
#305
FT allowed
34.6%
#161
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.1
Defensive rebounding−2.6
Ball security−3.9
Forcing turnovers+4.0
Foul shots drawn−3.1
Foul shots allowed+0.9
Davidson
−0.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#184 of 365
Off reb %
32.3%
#162
Def reb %
67.5%
#207
Turnover %
14.3%
#67
Forced TO %
13.6%
#299
FT rate
18.7%
#348
FT allowed
20.0%
#20
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.3
Defensive rebounding−0.3
Ball security+2.8
Forcing turnovers−3.2
Foul shots drawn−4.9
Foul shots allowed+4.7
Davidson has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.6 (#184 of 365) to Bradley’s −2.6 (#218).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notBradley2026-27 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 2-2 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 43.2% | 33.3% | 7.5 | 90.0% | 32.7% | Active | |
| 19 | F | Jr | 6'10" | 2-2 | 28.0 | 11.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 73.3% | 57.1% | 3.5 | 33.3% | 21.4% | Active | |
| 0 | F | So | 6'8" | 2-2 | 25.0 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 46.9% | 33.3% | 4.5 | 100.0% | 24.5% | Active | |
| 3 | F | So | 6'8" | 2-2 | 24.5 | 8.5 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 53.6% | 50.0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 21.8% | Active | |
| 4 | F | Jr | 6'8" | 2-0 | 22.0 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 62.5% | 33.3% | 3.0 | 33.3% | 24.3% | Active | |
| 6 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 2-1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 15.0% | 12.5% | 4.0 | 50.0% | 20.5% | Active | |
| 2 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 16.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 2.0 | 75.0% | 20.9% | Active | |
| 1 | G | So | 6'7" | 1-1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 2.0 | — | 33.9% | Missed last | |
| 5 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 2-0 | 12.5 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 4.5 | 33.3% | 30.5% | Active | |
| 8 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 2-0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 16.9% | Active | |
| 17 | C | Fr | 6'11" | 1-0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 10.1% | Missed last | |
| 23 | G | Jr | 6'2" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 30.3% | Missed last |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten games, entering this gameBradley
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −10.0
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −25.5
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | Pacific | H | L 52–63 | +1.0 | L−10.0 | 140.5 | U115 | 82.1 | 99.5 | 63.3 |
| Nov 2 | Monmouth (IL) Fighting Scots | H | W 85–41 | — | — | — | — | 129.0 | 62.2 | 65.9 |
| Mar 18 | Dayton | H | L 66–80 | +2.5 | L−11.5 | 141.0 | O146 | 110.4 | 133.9 | 59.8 |
| Mar 7 | Northern Iowa | N | L 69–73 | +4.5 | W+0.5 | 126.5 | O142 | 108.9 | 115.3 | 63.3 |
| Mar 6 | Valparaiso | N | W 90–84 2OT | −5.0 | W+1.0 | 138.5 | O174 | 102.6 | 95.8 | 87.7 |
| Mar 1 | Murray St | H | W 87–78 | −4.0 | W+5.0 | 158.0 | O165 | 129.4 | 116.0 | 67.2 |
| Feb 24 | UIC | A | L 86–93 2OT | +2.0 | L−5.0 | 142.0 | O179 | 109.8 | 118.8 | 78.3 |
| Feb 21 | Illinois St | H | W 74–60 | −4.5 | W+9.5 | 144.5 | U134 | 115.3 | 93.5 | 64.2 |
| Feb 18 | Valparaiso | A | L 72–79 | −2.5 | L−9.5 | 142.5 | O151 | 108.5 | 119.0 | 66.4 |
| Feb 15 | S Illinois | A | W 70–60 | +2.5 | W+12.5 | 147.0 | U130 | 101.2 | 86.8 | 69.2 |
Davidson
Against the spread
Season
2-0
Home
1-0
Road
1-0
Last 10
2-0
avg cover +9.2
Covered 2 straight
Over / under
Season
1-1
Home
1-0
Road
0-1
Last 10
1-1
avg vs total +2.0
Over in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | Mercer | H | W 88–76 | −11.5 | W+0.5 | 148.0 | O164 | 133.0 | 114.8 | 66.2 |
| Nov 2 | Washington St | A | W 76–61 | +3.0 | W+18.0 | 149.0 | U137 | 114.4 | 91.8 | 66.5 |
| Mar 17 | Oklahoma St | A | L 80–84 | +6.5 | W+2.5 | 154.0 | O164 | 109.2 | 114.6 | 73.3 |
| Mar 13 | Saint Joseph's | N | L 58–70 | +2.0 | L−10.0 | 132.5 | U128 | 95.0 | 114.6 | 61.1 |
| Mar 12 | Loyola Chicago | N | W 64–59 OT | −5.5 | L−0.5 | 132.5 | U123 | 96.6 | 89.0 | 66.3 |
| Mar 7 | St Bonaventure | A | W 68–63 | +5.0 | W+10.0 | 142.0 | U131 | 106.0 | 98.2 | 64.2 |
| Mar 4 | Saint Joseph's | H | L 67–70 | −2.5 | L−5.5 | 137.0 | P137 | 102.1 | 106.7 | 65.6 |
| Mar 1 | La Salle | H | W 71–64 | −11.0 | L−4.0 | 133.5 | O135 | 105.3 | 95.0 | 67.4 |
| Feb 25 | Duquesne | A | W 67–56 | +3.5 | W+14.5 | 143.0 | U123 | 102.2 | 85.4 | 65.6 |
| Feb 21 | Fordham | A | L 59–63 | −1.0 | L−5.0 | 132.0 | U122 | 98.4 | 105.1 | 60.0 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeBradleyDavidson
Efficiency
104.4
109.2
104.7
102.8
69.1
67.5
5.3
-2.9
Shooting
34.7%
61.0%
34.5%
57.7%
23.3%
44.4%
73.3%
60.9%
25.4%
18.7%
Ball control & glass
23.7%
14.3%
23.7%
13.6%
37.8%
32.3%
39.4%
32.5%
11.1%
8.3%
3.4%
5.1%
Style
50.8%
36.6%
34.6%
41.5%
11.5%
5.5%
52.9%
47.7%
34.0%
22.3%
Roster
2.50
2.73
6'7.1"
6'5.7"
2.0%
44.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputBradley
Returning minutes: 13.0%Returning production: 8.7%
Lost
- Alex Huibregtse 31.2 mpg, 12.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jaquan Johnson 30.4 mpg, 16.9 ppg · transferred to Iowa State
- AJ Smith 25.7 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Ahmet Jonovic 24.7 mpg, 8.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Montana Wheeler 22.3 mpg, 8.5 ppg · transferred to Kansas St
- Corey Thomas 18.4 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Trevon Payton from AR-Pine Bluff · 33.8 mpg, 10.0 ppg last season
- Xander Alarie from Northeastern · 9.8 mpg, 3.6 ppg last season
- Josh Ibukunoluwa from High Point · 2.9 mpg, 1.3 ppg last season
- Gustavo Guimares no D1 minutes last season
- Noah Williams no D1 minutes last season
- Dimitrije Pavlovic no D1 minutes last season
Returns 13% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Davidson
Returning minutes: 45.0%Returning production: 43.3%
Lost
- Parker Friedrichsen 25.3 mpg, 10.8 ppg · transferred to Washington
- Devin Brown 23.4 mpg, 6.4 ppg · transferred to Notre Dame
- Roberts Blums 21.0 mpg, 11.7 ppg · transferred to Penn State
- Hunter Adam 15.2 mpg, 5.5 ppg · transferred to Portland
- Sean Logan 12.0 mpg, 2.9 ppg · transferred to Saint Joseph's
- Manie Joses 8.6 mpg, 1.7 ppg · transferred to Hawai'i
Added
- Nick Janowski from St Thomas · 31.5 mpg, 16.1 ppg last season
- Jackson Keith from Butler · 7.0 mpg, 1.6 ppg last season
- Honor Withers Carello no D1 minutes last season
- Eetu Heinonen no D1 minutes last season
- Quadri Bashiru no D1 minutes last season
- John Carter Jr. no D1 minutes last season
Returns 45% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (3 transferred).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -12.5→-9.5-115 | 140.5→138.5o-105 u-115 | -575 | +425 |
| FanDuel | -11.5→-9.5-114 | 141.5→137.5o-115 u-105 | -490 | +365 |
| BetMGM | -11.5→-9.5-115 | 140.5→137.5o-115 u-105 | -550 | +400 |
| BetRivers | -11.5→-9.5-112 | 139.5→138.5o-109 u-114 | -530 | +370 |
| Fanatics | -12→-9.5-115 | 141→138o-110 u-110 | -575 | +420 |
| BetOnline | -12→-9.5-110 | 140→138o-110 u-110 | -600 | +446 |
| Bovada | -11→-9.5-115 | 139→138.5o-105 u-115 | -600 | +425 |
| theScore Bet | -11.5→-9.5-115 | 140.5→138.5o-115 u-105 | -650 | +425 |
| Hard Rock | -11.5→-9.5-110 | 139.5→138.5o-110 u-110 | -525 | +375 |
| Kalshi | -8.5-122 | 137.5o-113 u+108 | -488 | +456 |
| Polymarket | -11.5→-10.5+113 | 141.5→138.5o-104 u-104 | -488 | +456 |
| Novig | -11.5→-9.5-102 | 138.5o+100 u-104 | -471 | +456 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.