CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceJack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center, Statesboro, GA
Mercer
Efficiency #161
2025-26: 19-13 · 11-8 conf
@
GA Southern
Efficiency #231
2025-26: 21-16 · 13-11 conf
Tue, Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET
80.0
win 45%
Projected
81.4
win 55%
No line posted yet.
Model: GASO −1.3 · total 161.4 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: GA Southern 70.1, Mercer 69.3 → 71.2 possessions
+6.2
GA Southern offense vs Mercer defense
+2.1
Mercer offense vs GA Southern defense
+4.9
Projected total
161.4
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
GA Southern offense vs Mercer defense
+2.1
Mercer offense vs GA Southern defense
−4.9
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.1
GA Southern by 1.3
1.3
Mercer side ◂▸ GA Southern side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help GA Southern.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 71.2, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, GA Southern is the faster team (71.0, #50 of 365) and Mercer the slower (69.5, #115). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
71.2
per team, 40 min
Projected total
161.4
model
Projected team totals
80.0 / 81.4
Mercer / GA Southern
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.3#96
Mercer
70.1#40
GA Southern
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetClashGA Southern
Style match: ball movement
GA Southern creates off the dribble (assists on 41.1% of its baskets); Mercer breaks up passing offenses (assists on 46.8% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 41.5% — both habits push the same way.
Pace
Track meet
GA Southern averages 71.0 possessions per 40, Mercer 69.5. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 71 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
ClashMercer
Style match: ball movement
Mercer creates off the dribble (assists on 46.2% of its baskets); GA Southern breaks up passing offenses (assists on 46.4% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 44.5% — both habits push the same way.
AdvantageMercer
Where Mercer scores: the offensive glass
Mercer rebounds 32.6% of its own misses (#102); GA Southern lets opponents grab 35.2% of their own misses (#342). Expect about 34.3%, 3.9 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.4 points per 100 possessions.
Mercer has the ball
OffenseGA Southern allowsvs D1 avg
53.1% #98
52.3% #230
+2.3 pt/100
15.0% #69
18.7% #61
-0.3 pt/100
32.6% #102
35.2% #342
+2.4 pt/100
39.2% #74
41.4% #316
+0.7 pt/100
73.0% #167
—
+0.1 pt/100
Mercer net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +5.1 pts/100
GA Southern has the ball
OffenseMercer allowsvs D1 avg
51.4% #176
52.5% #242
+1.0 pt/100
14.6% #48
17.0% #155
+1.3 pt/100
28.8% #238
33.2% #303
+0.1 pt/100
39.6% #62
29.7% #54
-0.1 pt/100
74.3% #111
—
+0.2 pt/100
GA Southern net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.5 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersMerceroffense vsGA Southerndefense
Share of shots by zone
Mercer shoots
38.1
4.8
18.6
38.4
GA Southern allows
42.5
4.5
13.9
39.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.6%#106 | 59.2%#201 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.4%#94 | 39.3%#167 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.8%#154 | 35.9%#103 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.6%#87 | 34.3%#208 | 33.7% |
GA Southernoffense vsMercerdefense
Share of shots by zone
GA Southern shoots
37.8
4.8
8.2
49.3
Mercer allows
37.9
4.9
15.2
42.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.2%#264 | 55.1%#59 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.7%#54 | 37.2%#115 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 40.4%#100 | 44.8%#348 | 38.0% |
| Three | 33.4%#207 | 36.2%#311 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersMercer
+3.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#41 of 365
Off reb %
32.6%
#102
Def reb %
66.8%
#303
Turnover %
15.0%
#69
Forced TO %
17.0%
#155
FT rate
39.2%
#74
FT allowed
29.7%
#54
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding−0.8
Ball security+1.2
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn+1.1
Foul shots allowed+1.4
GA Southern
+0.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#163 of 365
Off reb %
28.8%
#238
Def reb %
64.8%
#342
Turnover %
14.6%
#48
Forced TO %
18.7%
#61
FT rate
39.6%
#62
FT allowed
41.4%
#316
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.5
Defensive rebounding−1.5
Ball security+1.5
Forcing turnovers+1.4
Foul shots drawn+1.2
Foul shots allowed−1.6
Mercer has more extra scoring chances per game: +3.7 (#41 of 365) to GA Southern’s +0.5 (#163).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Mercer2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Mercer's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Baraka Okojie | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-31 | 34.1 | 19.7 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 47.7% | 32.5% | 3.9 | 81.8% | 33.4% | |
| 26 | Armani Mighty | C | Jr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 31.1 | 13.2 | 10.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 64.5% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 53.9% | 22.3% | |
| 1 | Zaire Williams | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-32 | 28.5 | 13.1 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 55.4% | 36.0% | 6.2 | 83.6% | 24.9% | |
| 11 | Brady Shoulders | G | So | 6'6" | 29-29 | 30.7 | 9.3 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 49.8% | 33.3% | 2.7 | 70.4% | 18.6% | |
| 3 | Quinton Perkins II | G | So | 6'1" | 28-16 | 23.5 | 8.9 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 55.4% | 40.8% | 4.5 | 85.7% | 21.2% | |
| 2 | Connor Serven | F | Sr | 6'8" | 28-5 | 21.1 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 32.0% | 0.9 | 69.2% | 16.8% | |
| 5 | Kyle Cuffe Jr. | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-14 | 16.5 | 7.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 48.5% | 33.6% | 3.7 | 75.0% | 27.0% | |
| 10 | Tristan Gross | G | Jr | 6'6" | 28-0 | 13.6 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 58.9% | 43.5% | 1.6 | 75.0% | 16.2% | |
| 8 | Bendji Pierre | F | Sr | 6'8" | 22-0 | 8.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 45.4% | 30.0% | 2.3 | 58.3% | 25.0% | |
| 14 | TJ Grant | G | Sr | 6'5" | 8-1 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 100.0% | 9.3% | |
| 23 | Braeden Carlsen | G | Fr | 6'4" | 8-0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 36.2% | 22.7% | 2.8 | 50.0% | 30.5% | |
| 22 | Jaydon Cole | G | Fr | 6'3" | 7-0 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 30.0% | 2.9 | 50.0% | 29.0% | |
| 18 | Pero Zubac | F | Fr | 6'10" | 7-0 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 71.4% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 16.9% | |
| 15 | Alex Koch | F | So | 6'8" | 5-0 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 17.8% | |
| 0 | NJ Nganga | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Petras Padegimas | F | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
GA Southern2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted GA Southern's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spudd Webb | G | Sr | 6'4" | 37-37 | 32.4 | 15.5 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 56.6% | 31.9% | 3.6 | 81.8% | 24.6% | |
| 13 | Alden Applewhite | F | Sr | 6'7" | 36-35 | 31.3 | 14.1 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 56.5% | 37.4% | 4.1 | 79.3% | 22.5% | |
| 12 | Tyren Moore | G | Sr | 5'11" | 37-37 | 29.4 | 16.1 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 56.1% | 38.7% | 8.4 | 83.0% | 29.6% | |
| 5 | Nakavieon White | F | Sr | 6'7" | 37-6 | 20.1 | 9.7 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 44.1% | 32.5% | 3.2 | 67.1% | 32.0% | |
| 3 | Khayri Dunn | G | So | 6'1" | 36-0 | 17.5 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 50.2% | 34.3% | 3.9 | 81.8% | 27.0% | |
| 11 | Shainen Carter | F | Sr | 6'9" | 34-22 | 17.5 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 53.5% | 16.7% | 0.2 | 64.3% | 13.9% | |
| 24 | Andres Burney | F | Sr | 6'9" | 35-15 | 15.7 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 66.1% | — | 0.0 | 54.5% | 15.4% | |
| 9 | Jefferson Koulibaly | G | Sr | 6'3" | 25-16 | 21.1 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 38.8% | 24.1% | 2.2 | 57.9% | 15.3% | |
| 1 | Dwayne Williams Jr | G | Fr | 6'6" | 34-3 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 46.0% | 30.2% | 2.8 | 93.8% | 21.0% | |
| 7 | Tsvet Sotirov | F | So | 6'9" | 35-3 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 43.0% | 25.3% | 2.3 | 60.0% | 16.5% | |
| 0 | Jayden Williams | G | Fr | 6'6" | 17-11 | 9.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 26.0% | 12.5% | 0.5 | 47.1% | 12.6% | |
| 10 | Sean Van Dorn Jr | G | Fr | 6'6" | 5-0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 40.0% | 1.0 | 75.0% | 30.1% | |
| 4 | Cade Lomas | G | Fr | 6'3" | 3-0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7 | — | 23.3% | |
| 6 | Amare Neal | G | Fr | 5'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 8 | Cullen Schreiner | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 2 | Dallas Gardner | G | Jr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 34 | Pavle Ridesic | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Mercer2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Mercer's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Baraka Okojie | G | Jr | 6'3" | 31-31 | 34.1 | 19.7 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 47.7% | 32.5% | 3.9 | 81.8% | 33.4% | |
| 26 | Armani Mighty | C | Jr | 6'10" | 32-32 | 31.1 | 13.2 | 10.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 64.5% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 53.9% | 22.3% | |
| 1 | Zaire Williams | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-32 | 28.5 | 13.1 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 55.4% | 36.0% | 6.2 | 83.6% | 24.9% | |
| 11 | Brady Shoulders | G | So | 6'6" | 29-29 | 30.7 | 9.3 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 49.8% | 33.3% | 2.7 | 70.4% | 18.6% | |
| 3 | Quinton Perkins II | G | So | 6'1" | 28-16 | 23.5 | 8.9 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 55.4% | 40.8% | 4.5 | 85.7% | 21.2% | |
| 2 | Connor Serven | F | Sr | 6'8" | 28-5 | 21.1 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 32.0% | 0.9 | 69.2% | 16.8% | |
| 5 | Kyle Cuffe Jr. | G | Sr | 6'2" | 31-14 | 16.5 | 7.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 48.5% | 33.6% | 3.7 | 75.0% | 27.0% | |
| 10 | Tristan Gross | G | Jr | 6'6" | 28-0 | 13.6 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 58.9% | 43.5% | 1.6 | 75.0% | 16.2% | |
| 8 | Bendji Pierre | F | Sr | 6'8" | 22-0 | 8.6 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 45.4% | 30.0% | 2.3 | 58.3% | 25.0% | |
| 14 | TJ Grant | G | Sr | 6'5" | 8-1 | 7.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 100.0% | 9.3% | |
| 23 | Braeden Carlsen | G | Fr | 6'4" | 8-0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 36.2% | 22.7% | 2.8 | 50.0% | 30.5% | |
| 22 | Jaydon Cole | G | Fr | 6'3" | 7-0 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 30.0% | 2.9 | 50.0% | 29.0% | |
| 18 | Pero Zubac | F | Fr | 6'10" | 7-0 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 71.4% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 16.9% | |
| 15 | Alex Koch | F | So | 6'8" | 5-0 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 17.8% | |
| 0 | NJ Nganga | G | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 12 | Petras Padegimas | F | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Mercer
Against the spread
Season
18-10-1
Home
8-3-1
Road
10-6
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −5.0
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 10 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
14-14-1
Home
9-3
Road
5-10-1
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −1.4
Under in the last gameOver in 4 of 10 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | W Carolina | N | L 73–77 | −2.0 | L−6.0 | 154.0 | U150 | 108.5 | 114.5 | 67.3 |
| Feb 28 | ETSU | H | W 82–76 | −1.5 | W+4.5 | 151.0 | O158 | 128.4 | 119.0 | 63.9 |
| Feb 25 | W Carolina | A | L 74–78 | −1.0 | L−5.0 | 157.0 | U152 | 107.8 | 113.6 | 68.6 |
| Feb 21 | Samford | H | W 89–86 | −3.5 | L−0.5 | 156.5 | O175 | 126.4 | 122.2 | 70.4 |
| Feb 19 | Chattanooga | H | L 90–94 | −10.0 | L−14.0 | 151.5 | O184 | 138.6 | 144.7 | 65.0 |
| Feb 14 | The Citadel | A | W 70–54 | −12.0 | W+4.0 | 147.5 | U124 | 113.6 | 87.6 | 61.6 |
| Feb 11 | Furman | H | W 69–64 | −3.5 | W+1.5 | 151.5 | U133 | 103.6 | 96.1 | 66.6 |
| Feb 7 | Samford | A | L 49–69 | −2.0 | L−22.0 | 161.0 | U118 | 74.5 | 104.9 | 65.8 |
| Feb 5 | Chattanooga | A | L 75–79 | −4.5 | L−8.5 | 155.0 | U154 | 104.0 | 109.5 | 72.2 |
| Jan 31 | VMI | H | W 95–81 | −18.0 | L−4.0 | 153.5 | O176 | 130.7 | 111.4 | 72.7 |
GA Southern
Against the spread
Season
17-16-1
Home
5-6-1
Road
7-7
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +5.1
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
18-16
Home
6-6
Road
9-5
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +3.1
Under 2 straightOver in 4 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9 | Troy | N | L 61–77 | +5.0 | L−11.0 | 152.5 | U138 | 96.7 | 122.0 | 63.1 |
| Mar 8 | Marshall | N | W 82–78 | +3.5 | W+7.5 | 166.5 | U160 | 113.3 | 107.7 | 72.4 |
| Mar 7 | Coastal | N | W 96–72 | +1.0 | W+25.0 | 150.5 | O168 | 140.9 | 105.7 | 68.1 |
| Mar 6 | South Alabama | N | W 94–85 | +4.5 | W+13.5 | 148.5 | O179 | 139.9 | 126.5 | 67.2 |
| Mar 5 | Arkansas St | N | W 80–77 | +7.5 | W+10.5 | 166.0 | U157 | 116.4 | 112.0 | 68.7 |
| Mar 4 | Old Dominion | N | W 88–84 | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 157.5 | O172 | 127.4 | 121.6 | 69.1 |
| Feb 27 | Marshall | A | W 99–82 | +7.5 | W+24.5 | 168.5 | O181 | 138.1 | 114.4 | 71.7 |
| Feb 25 | James Madison | A | L 66–82 | +5.5 | L−10.5 | 153.5 | U148 | 93.7 | 116.4 | 70.4 |
| Feb 21 | App State | A | L 74–89 | +7.5 | L−7.5 | 146.5 | O163 | 104.1 | 125.2 | 71.1 |
| Feb 19 | Georgia St | A | L 64–66 | −1.0 | L−3.0 | 155.0 | U130 | 93.3 | 96.2 | 68.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeMercerGA Southern
Efficiency
111.3
109.5
110.5
112.5
69.3
70.1
—
—
Shooting
53.1%
51.4%
53.0%
52.7%
35.6%
33.4%
73.0%
74.3%
39.2%
39.6%
Ball control & glass
15.0%
14.6%
17.0%
18.7%
32.6%
28.8%
33.2%
35.2%
8.8%
9.0%
8.1%
9.2%
Style
39.2%
48.9%
40.9%
38.2%
16.3%
12.4%
46.2%
41.1%
26.8%
36.5%
Roster
3.07
3.48
6'5.2"
6'4.9"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputMercer
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Mercer's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
GA Southern
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted GA Southern's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.