CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceFinneran Pavilion, Villanova, PA
La Salle
Efficiency #256
2025-26: 9-23 · 5-14 conf
@
Villanova
Efficiency #40
2025-26: 24-9 · 15-6 conf
Tue, Nov 10 · TBD
64.4
win 11%
Projected
78.5
win 89%
No line posted yet.
Model: VILL −14.1 · total 142.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Villanova 66.8, La Salle 67.3 → 65.8 possessions
−5.5
Villanova offense vs La Salle defense
+5.3
La Salle offense vs Villanova defense
−5.1
Projected total
142.9
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Villanova offense vs La Salle defense
+5.3
La Salle offense vs Villanova defense
+5.1
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
Villanova by 14.1
14.1
La Salle side ◂▸ Villanova side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +14.2 against +14.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Villanova.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Villanova is the faster team (66.5, #269 of 365) and La Salle the slower (66.4, #280). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.8
per team, 40 min
Projected total
142.9
model
Projected team totals
64.4 / 78.5
La Salle / Villanova
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.3#269
La Salle
66.8#302
Villanova
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageLa Salle
Where La Salle struggles: shooting
La Salle shoots an effective 45.4% (#357); Villanova allows 51.4% (#181). Expect about 47.9%, 3.3 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.7 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageVillanova
Where Villanova scores: shooting
Villanova shoots an effective 53.8% (#74); La Salle allows 55.0% (#329). Expect about 54.6%, 3.3 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +4.7 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Half-court grind
Villanova averages 66.5 possessions per 40, La Salle 66.4. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 66 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
ClashVillanova
Style match: ball movement
Villanova assists on 56.8% of its made baskets; La Salle allows assists on 60.7% of opponents' baskets (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 60.7% — both habits push the same way.
TurnoversLa Salle
La Salle turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.7% is worth roughly -2.4 points per 100 possessions against La Salle's offense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (La Salle, La Salle's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect La Salle at about 31.3% of its shots from three, Villanova about 46.2%.
La Salle has the ball
OffenseVillanova allowsvs D1 avg
45.4% #357
51.4% #181
-4.7 pt/100
18.2% #284
18.6% #69
-2.4 pt/100
33.7% #75
31.8% #246
+1.8 pt/100
37.5% #113
30.0% #59
-0.2 pt/100
72.5% #189
—
+0.0 pt/100
La Salle net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -5.6 pts/100
Villanova has the ball
OffenseLa Salle allowsvs D1 avg
53.8% #74
55.0% #329
+4.7 pt/100
15.0% #66
17.1% #137
+0.9 pt/100
32.2% #118
32.4% #274
+1.4 pt/100
30.9% #284
31.5% #97
-0.5 pt/100
68.9% #302
—
-0.3 pt/100
Villanova net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +6.2 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersLa Salleoffense vsVillanovadefense
Share of shots by zone
La Salle shoots
40.6
7.5
20.5
31.4
Villanova allows
37.3
6.9
19.3
36.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 52.4%#346 | 60.9%#267 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.9%#305 | 38.8%#155 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.7%#242 | 40.0%#243 | 38.0% |
| Three | 30.0%#342 | 33.4%#148 | 33.7% |
Villanovaoffense vsLa Salledefense
Share of shots by zone
Villanova shoots
34.9
6.0
13.6
45.6
La Salle allows
38.6
5.5
13.5
42.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 61.6%#81 | 61.1%#271 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 43.5%#91 | 42.0%#231 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.4%#280 | 40.1%#246 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.7%#77 | 36.5%#324 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersLa Salle
+1.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#122 of 365
Off reb %
33.7%
#75
Def reb %
67.6%
#274
Turnover %
18.2%
#284
Forced TO %
17.1%
#137
FT rate
37.5%
#113
FT allowed
31.5%
#97
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.1
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−1.0
Forcing turnovers+0.3
Foul shots drawn+0.6
Foul shots allowed+1.0
Villanova
+3.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#53 of 365
Off reb %
32.2%
#118
Def reb %
68.2%
#246
Turnover %
15.0%
#66
Forced TO %
18.6%
#69
FT rate
30.9%
#284
FT allowed
30.0%
#59
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.6
Defensive rebounding−0.4
Ball security+1.2
Forcing turnovers+1.3
Foul shots drawn−1.0
Foul shots allowed+1.3
Villanova has more extra scoring chances per game: +3.0 (#53 of 365) to La Salle’s +1.4 (#122).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
La Salle2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashton Walker | G | Fr | 6'5" | 32-21 | 27.6 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 44.4% | 31.6% | 2.4 | 65.3% | 22.1% | |
| 99 | Rob Dockery | G | So | 6'6" | 32-24 | 27.3 | 12.5 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 51.7% | 25.0% | 1.8 | 77.2% | 29.9% | |
| 2 | Jaeden Marshall | G | Sr | 6'5" | 25-18 | 27.7 | 12.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 46.3% | 33.8% | 5.4 | 86.2% | 27.2% | |
| 10 | Jaden Johnson | G | So | 6'2" | 19-19 | 29.9 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 32.1% | 21.7% | 1.2 | 65.0% | 19.1% | |
| 4 | Truth Harris | G | Sr | 6'2" | 23-13 | 23.9 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 40.7% | 27.5% | 4.7 | 90.3% | 20.4% | |
| 5 | Josiah Harris | F | Sr | 6'9" | 27-20 | 19.8 | 8.4 | 5.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 45.5% | — | 0.0 | 70.1% | 30.3% | |
| 24 | Jerome Brewer Jr. | F | Jr | 6'9" | 19-15 | 26.7 | 11.2 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 53.2% | 30.6% | 3.3 | 75.7% | 25.1% | |
| 3 | Eric Acker | G | Jr | 6'2" | 26-10 | 19.0 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 47.8% | 36.4% | 2.1 | 69.0% | 23.0% | |
| 27 | Edwin Daniel | F | Jr | 6'9" | 31-4 | 14.4 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 49.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 20.0% | |
| 0 | Justin Archer | F | Sr | 6'7" | 12-4 | 19.7 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.5% | — | 0.0 | 65.9% | 17.7% | |
| 12 | Damon Strand | G | Sr | 6'3" | 22-3 | 10.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 40.2% | 27.7% | 2.1 | 90.9% | 19.6% | |
| 25 | Bowyn Beatty | F | Jr | 7'0" | 10-3 | 11.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 23.5% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 0.0% | 14.4% | |
| 7 | Noah Collier | F | Sr | 6'9" | 3-3 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 41.7% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.6% | |
| 13 | Max Lipacis | F | Jr | 6'7" | 6-0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 6.1% | |
| 28 | Arlan Masharaliyev | G | Fr | 6'0" | 5-0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 28.0% | |
| 11 | Josue Grullon | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Villanova2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tyler Perkins | G | Jr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 29.8 | 13.7 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 53.2% | 36.9% | 5.4 | 74.5% | 26.3% | |
| 2 | Bryce Lindsay | G | So | 6'3" | 33-31 | 28.5 | 12.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 49.6% | 35.6% | 6.6 | 77.1% | 27.1% | |
| 33 | Matt Hodge | F | Fr | 6'8" | 29-29 | 27.6 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 57.2% | 36.8% | 4.7 | 65.2% | 18.9% | |
| 7 | Malachi Palmer | G | So | 6'6" | 33-4 | 18.3 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 58.6% | 35.9% | 2.4 | 76.2% | 14.0% | |
| 17 | Braden Pierce | C | So | 7'0" | 30-1 | 6.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 60.0% | 11.0% | |
| 0 | Chris Jeffrey | G | Fr | 6'3" | 22-0 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 54.3% | 35.7% | 0.6 | 80.0% | 20.2% | |
| 6 | Tafara Gapare | F | Sr | 6'9" | 9-0 | 16.3 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 31.5% | 21.4% | 1.6 | 81.8% | 15.8% | |
| 1 | Zion Stanford | G | Jr | 6'6" | 10-0 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 75.0% | 23.4% | |
| 14 | Wade Chiddick | G | Sr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 75.0% | 38.5% | |
| 15 | Malcolm Flaggs | G | So | 6'6" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 30.2% | |
| 21 | Nico Onyekwere | C | Fr | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
La Salle2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashton Walker | G | Fr | 6'5" | 32-21 | 27.6 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 44.4% | 31.6% | 2.4 | 65.3% | 22.1% | |
| 99 | Rob Dockery | G | So | 6'6" | 32-24 | 27.3 | 12.5 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 51.7% | 25.0% | 1.8 | 77.2% | 29.9% | |
| 2 | Jaeden Marshall | G | Sr | 6'5" | 25-18 | 27.7 | 12.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 46.3% | 33.8% | 5.4 | 86.2% | 27.2% | |
| 10 | Jaden Johnson | G | So | 6'2" | 19-19 | 29.9 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 32.1% | 21.7% | 1.2 | 65.0% | 19.1% | |
| 4 | Truth Harris | G | Sr | 6'2" | 23-13 | 23.9 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 40.7% | 27.5% | 4.7 | 90.3% | 20.4% | |
| 5 | Josiah Harris | F | Sr | 6'9" | 27-20 | 19.8 | 8.4 | 5.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 45.5% | — | 0.0 | 70.1% | 30.3% | |
| 24 | Jerome Brewer Jr. | F | Jr | 6'9" | 19-15 | 26.7 | 11.2 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 53.2% | 30.6% | 3.3 | 75.7% | 25.1% | |
| 3 | Eric Acker | G | Jr | 6'2" | 26-10 | 19.0 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 47.8% | 36.4% | 2.1 | 69.0% | 23.0% | |
| 27 | Edwin Daniel | F | Jr | 6'9" | 31-4 | 14.4 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 49.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 20.0% | |
| 0 | Justin Archer | F | Sr | 6'7" | 12-4 | 19.7 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 54.5% | — | 0.0 | 65.9% | 17.7% | |
| 12 | Damon Strand | G | Sr | 6'3" | 22-3 | 10.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 40.2% | 27.7% | 2.1 | 90.9% | 19.6% | |
| 25 | Bowyn Beatty | F | Jr | 7'0" | 10-3 | 11.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 23.5% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 0.0% | 14.4% | |
| 7 | Noah Collier | F | Sr | 6'9" | 3-3 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 41.7% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.6% | |
| 13 | Max Lipacis | F | Jr | 6'7" | 6-0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 6.1% | |
| 28 | Arlan Masharaliyev | G | Fr | 6'0" | 5-0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 28.0% | |
| 11 | Josue Grullon | G | Sr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26La Salle
Against the spread
Season
15-16
Home
10-3
Road
5-9
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −0.2
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 5 of 10 as an underdogCovered 3 of 5 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
14-17
Home
7-6
Road
5-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +5.1
Over 5 straightOver in 5 of 10 as an underdogOver in 2 of 5 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | St Bonaventure | N | L 80–99 | +5.5 | L−13.5 | 145.5 | O179 | 112.3 | 138.9 | 71.3 |
| Mar 7 | Saint Joseph's | A | L 76–88 | +10.5 | L−1.5 | 142.5 | O164 | 110.5 | 128.0 | 68.8 |
| Mar 4 | Fordham | H | W 87–84 | +2.5 | W+5.5 | 131.5 | O171 | 128.7 | 124.3 | 67.6 |
| Mar 1 | Davidson | A | L 64–71 | +11.0 | W+4.0 | 133.5 | O135 | 95.0 | 105.3 | 67.4 |
| Feb 24 | G Washington | H | L 77–104 | +7.5 | L−19.5 | 148.0 | O181 | 106.3 | 143.5 | 72.5 |
| Feb 21 | Rhode Island | H | W 59–46 | +4.0 | W+17.0 | 137.0 | U105 | 95.8 | 74.7 | 61.6 |
| Feb 18 | Duquesne | A | L 61–62 | +11.0 | W+10.0 | 146.0 | U123 | 88.1 | 89.5 | 69.2 |
| Feb 11 | VCU | H | L 68–77 | +13.0 | W+4.0 | 147.0 | U145 | 103.0 | 116.7 | 66.0 |
| Feb 7 | #19Saint Louis | A | L 58–82 | +23.5 | L−0.5 | 154.0 | U140 | 82.0 | 115.9 | 70.8 |
| Feb 3 | Loyola Chicago | A | L 61–71 | +2.5 | L−7.5 | 139.0 | U132 | 89.8 | 104.5 | 68.0 |
Villanova
Against the spread
Season
18-14-1
Home
8-9
Road
8-3-1
Last 10
2-8
avg cover −4.4
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 2 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
20-13
Home
11-6
Road
7-5
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +6.5
Over 3 straightOver in 6 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20 | #9Utah State | N | L 76–86 | +2.0 | L−8.0 | 147.5 | O162 | 111.5 | 126.2 | 68.1 |
| Mar 12 | Georgetown | N | L 64–78 | −6.5 | L−20.5 | 141.0 | O142 | 99.4 | 121.1 | 64.4 |
| Mar 7 | Xavier | H | W 91–78 | −13.5 | L−0.5 | 154.0 | O169 | 128.2 | 109.9 | 71.0 |
| Mar 4 | DePaul | A | W 76–57 | −2.0 | W+17.0 | 136.5 | U133 | 108.2 | 81.1 | 70.3 |
| Feb 28 | #15St John's | A | L 57–89 | +7.5 | L−24.5 | 148.0 | U146 | 78.6 | 122.8 | 72.5 |
| Feb 25 | Butler | H | W 82–73 | −10.5 | L−1.5 | 147.0 | O155 | 116.7 | 103.9 | 70.2 |
| Feb 21 | #5UConn | H | L 63–73 | +3.0 | L−7.0 | 141.0 | U136 | 100.1 | 116.0 | 62.9 |
| Feb 17 | Xavier | A | W 92–89 OT | −4.0 | L−1.0 | 153.5 | O181 | 116.7 | 112.9 | 78.8 |
| Feb 14 | Creighton | A | W 80–69 | −2.5 | W+8.5 | 146.0 | O149 | 115.3 | 99.5 | 69.4 |
| Feb 10 | Marquette | H | W 77–74 | −9.5 | L−6.5 | 145.0 | O151 | 109.8 | 105.5 | 70.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeLa SalleVillanova
Efficiency
105.2
115.0
110.0
104.1
67.3
66.8
—
—
Shooting
45.4%
53.8%
45.6%
54.0%
30.0%
35.7%
72.5%
68.9%
37.5%
30.9%
Ball control & glass
18.2%
15.0%
17.1%
18.6%
33.7%
32.2%
32.4%
31.8%
10.1%
7.6%
12.2%
7.3%
Style
31.5%
45.7%
46.1%
40.3%
11.4%
11.7%
56.0%
56.8%
34.8%
27.3%
Roster
2.85
2.09
6'5.5"
6'5.5"
96.7%
58.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputLa Salle
Returning minutes: 96.7%Returning production: 97.7%
Lost
- Nas Hart 6.6 mpg, 1.4 ppg · transferred to Quinnipiac
Added
- Josue Grullon no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 97% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Villanova
Returning minutes: 58.6%Returning production: 51.4%
Lost
- Acaden Lewis 30.5 mpg, 12.2 ppg · transferred to Miami
- Duke Brennan 30.1 mpg, 12.1 ppg · transferred to Oklahoma
- Devin Askew 23.1 mpg, 9.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Nico Onyekwere no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 59% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (2 transferred).
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Wed, Nov 19 | 2025-26 | Villanova 70 – 55 La Salle |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.