CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceSanford Coyote Sports Center, Vermillion, SD
Hou Christian
Efficiency #297
2025-26: 12-20 · 8-15 conf
@
South Dakota
Efficiency #292
2025-26: 16-16 · 8-9 conf
Tue, Nov 10 · TBD
71.9
win 36%
Projected
76.1
win 64%
No line posted yet.
Model: SDAK −4.2 · total 147.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: South Dakota 70.0, Hou Christian 66.2 → 67.9 possessions
−0.9
South Dakota offense vs Hou Christian defense
+0.4
Hou Christian offense vs South Dakota defense
+0.2
Projected total
147.9
Axis starts at 147 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
South Dakota offense vs Hou Christian defense
+0.4
Hou Christian offense vs South Dakota defense
−0.2
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
South Dakota by 4.2
4.2
Hou Christian side ◂▸ South Dakota side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +4.1 against +4.2. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help South Dakota.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, South Dakota is the faster team (71.4, #36 of 365) and Hou Christian the slower (64.4, #344). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.9
per team, 40 min
Projected total
147.9
model
Projected team totals
71.9 / 76.1
Hou Christian / South Dakota
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
66.2#335
Hou Christian
70.0#47
South Dakota
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Tempo tug-of-war
South Dakota averages 71.4 possessions per 40, Hou Christian 64.4. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 67 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
ClashHou Christian
Style match: paint scoring
Hou Christian scores 46.6% of its points in the paint; South Dakota gives up 52.9% of opponents' points in the paint (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 47.1% — both habits push the same way.
ClashHou Christian
Style clash: ball movement
Hou Christian assists on 58.7% of its made baskets; South Dakota breaks up passing offenses (assists on 42.8% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 50.3% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
Hou Christian has the ball
OffenseSouth Dakota allowsvs D1 avg
49.7% #252
54.5% #318
+1.1 pt/100
18.9% #315
15.9% #227
-0.7 pt/100
29.9% #205
30.3% #172
-0.3 pt/100
36.0% #151
31.0% #83
-0.2 pt/100
69.4% #288
—
-0.3 pt/100
Hou Christian net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.4 pts/100
South Dakota has the ball
OffenseHou Christian allowsvs D1 avg
49.9% #239
54.2% #304
+1.0 pt/100
16.6% #172
17.6% #117
-0.5 pt/100
28.7% #242
32.5% #279
-0.1 pt/100
45.2% #4
30.7% #79
+0.3 pt/100
74.2% #123
—
+0.2 pt/100
South Dakota net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.9 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersHou Christianoffense vsSouth Dakotadefense
Share of shots by zone
Hou Christian shoots
41.9
6.4
15.0
36.7
South Dakota allows
48.5
6.5
14.9
30.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.2%#265 | 61.5%#286 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.7%#202 | 44.8%#290 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.2%#283 | 40.2%#252 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.7%#291 | 34.5%#219 | 33.7% |
South Dakotaoffense vsHou Christiandefense
Share of shots by zone
South Dakota shoots
44.5
4.7
14.6
36.2
Hou Christian allows
44.0
6.1
12.8
37.1
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.5%#212 | 63.2%#330 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 32.4%#324 | 33.0%#30 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.8%#236 | 39.5%#219 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.3%#264 | 35.0%#248 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersHou Christian
−0.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#187 of 365
Off reb %
29.9%
#205
Def reb %
67.5%
#279
Turnover %
18.9%
#315
Forced TO %
17.6%
#117
FT rate
36.0%
#151
FT allowed
30.7%
#79
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.2
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−1.4
Forcing turnovers+0.6
Foul shots drawn+0.2
Foul shots allowed+1.2
South Dakota
+2.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#60 of 365
Off reb %
28.7%
#242
Def reb %
69.7%
#172
Turnover %
16.6%
#172
Forced TO %
15.9%
#227
FT rate
45.2%
#4
FT allowed
31.0%
#83
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.6
Defensive rebounding+0.1
Ball security+0.1
Forcing turnovers−0.6
Foul shots drawn+2.6
Foul shots allowed+1.1
South Dakota has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.8 (#60 of 365) to Hou Christian’s −0.2 (#187).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Hou Christian2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Hou Christian's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kylin Green | G | Sr | 6'0" | 32-30 | 31.1 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 40.5% | 27.4% | 2.6 | 73.7% | 26.4% | |
| 8 | Trent Johnson | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-27 | 30.8 | 8.2 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 59.6% | 40.3% | 4.0 | 81.7% | 15.3% | |
| 1 | Ryan Bartley | G | Sr | 6'6" | 32-22 | 29.4 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 49.8% | 32.3% | 4.2 | 77.8% | 20.4% | |
| 23 | Demarco Bethea | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-28 | 25.8 | 10.0 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 57.3% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 57.5% | 24.6% | |
| 5 | D'Aundre Samuels | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-13 | 22.4 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 47.8% | 33.1% | 3.9 | 77.8% | 28.2% | |
| 0 | Demari Williams | G | Jr | 6'5" | 29-15 | 22.0 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 51.3% | 30.9% | 1.9 | 79.4% | 27.1% | |
| 21 | Mambourou Mara | F | Jr | 6'6" | 31-14 | 19.3 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 46.4% | 21.3% | 2.0 | 55.6% | 21.5% | |
| 4 | Elijah Brooks | G | Sr | 6'3" | 8-8 | 30.4 | 12.3 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 44.5% | 20.0% | 1.9 | 58.1% | 32.3% | |
| 7 | Nehikhare Igiehon | F | Sr | 6'7" | 19-2 | 10.4 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 56.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 21.9% | |
| 10 | Caleb Gaston | F | Jr | 6'7" | 23-0 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 50.0% | 15.0% | |
| 13 | Ahjany Lee | F | Jr | 6'8" | 18-0 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 81.8% | — | 0.0 | 62.5% | 11.8% | |
| 24 | Bryson Monroe | G | Sr | 6'1" | 12-1 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 9.0% | |
| 9 | Obadiah Curtis | G | Sr | 6'4" | 4-0 | 9.0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 36.4% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 75.0% | 24.2% | |
| 2 | Will Wilson | G | Sr | 6'3" | 1-0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 17.3% | |
| 32 | Brennen Byrd | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
South Dakota2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uzziah Buntyn | G | Fr | 6'1" | 31-25 | 30.3 | 12.1 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 44.6% | 27.7% | 3.6 | 84.4% | 24.5% | |
| 12 | Isaac Bruns | G | Jr | 6'5" | 20-20 | 30.9 | 20.8 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 49.5% | 39.2% | 3.7 | 84.3% | 36.2% | |
| 4 | Vince Buzelis | G | Fr | 6'4" | 25-9 | 22.7 | 7.1 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 55.7% | 28.6% | 1.1 | 75.8% | 18.7% | |
| 21 | Ethan Kizer | F | So | 6'5" | 32-3 | 15.2 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 51.4% | 33.7% | 3.2 | 50.0% | 15.6% | |
| 13 | Silas Bennion | G | Sr | 6'1" | 16-10 | 28.9 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 41.2% | 27.5% | 2.5 | 80.0% | 12.7% | |
| 10 | Evan Anderson | G | Fr | 6'4" | 27-21 | 15.5 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 58.8% | 38.1% | 0.8 | 75.0% | 10.4% | |
| 11 | Jesse McIntosh | G | Fr | 6'7" | 20-1 | 17.6 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 48.4% | 29.8% | 2.9 | 82.4% | 25.1% | |
| 34 | Jake Brack | F | Jr | 6'9" | 25-1 | 13.6 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 57.1% | — | 0.0 | 56.0% | 9.6% | |
| 2 | Shey Eberwein | G | So | 6'5" | 13-6 | 18.8 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 48.5% | 26.7% | 1.2 | 70.6% | 24.6% | |
| 2 | Trent Hudgens | G | Sr | 6'0" | 14-0 | 11.9 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 38.4% | 21.4% | 1.0 | 90.0% | 21.2% | |
| 35 | Caleb Kizer | F | Sr | 6'7" | 9-0 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 45.5% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 18.3% | |
| 32 | Ashton Smith | F | Sr | 6'9" | 6-0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 13.6% | |
| 23 | Porter Ihnen | G | Fr | 6'6" | 4-0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 105.6% | 100.0% | 0.3 | 50.0% | 24.1% | |
| 25 | Jalen Hayes | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 14 | Jonah Funk | F | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 13 | Josiah Dotzler | G | So | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 5 | Luke Bruns | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Hou Christian2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Hou Christian's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kylin Green | G | Sr | 6'0" | 32-30 | 31.1 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 40.5% | 27.4% | 2.6 | 73.7% | 26.4% | |
| 8 | Trent Johnson | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-27 | 30.8 | 8.2 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 59.6% | 40.3% | 4.0 | 81.7% | 15.3% | |
| 1 | Ryan Bartley | G | Sr | 6'6" | 32-22 | 29.4 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 49.8% | 32.3% | 4.2 | 77.8% | 20.4% | |
| 23 | Demarco Bethea | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-28 | 25.8 | 10.0 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 57.3% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 57.5% | 24.6% | |
| 5 | D'Aundre Samuels | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-13 | 22.4 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 47.8% | 33.1% | 3.9 | 77.8% | 28.2% | |
| 0 | Demari Williams | G | Jr | 6'5" | 29-15 | 22.0 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 51.3% | 30.9% | 1.9 | 79.4% | 27.1% | |
| 21 | Mambourou Mara | F | Jr | 6'6" | 31-14 | 19.3 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 46.4% | 21.3% | 2.0 | 55.6% | 21.5% | |
| 4 | Elijah Brooks | G | Sr | 6'3" | 8-8 | 30.4 | 12.3 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 44.5% | 20.0% | 1.9 | 58.1% | 32.3% | |
| 7 | Nehikhare Igiehon | F | Sr | 6'7" | 19-2 | 10.4 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 56.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 21.9% | |
| 10 | Caleb Gaston | F | Jr | 6'7" | 23-0 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.4 | 50.0% | 15.0% | |
| 13 | Ahjany Lee | F | Jr | 6'8" | 18-0 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 81.8% | — | 0.0 | 62.5% | 11.8% | |
| 24 | Bryson Monroe | G | Sr | 6'1" | 12-1 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | — | 9.0% | |
| 9 | Obadiah Curtis | G | Sr | 6'4" | 4-0 | 9.0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 36.4% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 75.0% | 24.2% | |
| 2 | Will Wilson | G | Sr | 6'3" | 1-0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 17.3% | |
| 32 | Brennen Byrd | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Hou Christian
Against the spread
Season
13-16-1
Home
6-5-1
Road
7-10
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover −0.2
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 8 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
14-15-1
Home
7-5
Road
7-9-1
Last 10
2-8
avg vs total −9.6
Under 5 straightOver in 1 of 8 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8 | LSU N Orleans | N | L 60–73 | +4.0 | L−9.0 | 143.0 | U133 | 84.9 | 103.3 | 70.7 |
| Mar 2 | Lamar | H | W 75–53 | +2.5 | W+24.5 | 134.0 | U128 | 112.3 | 79.4 | 66.8 |
| Feb 28 | SF Austin | H | L 56–77 | +8.5 | L−12.5 | 137.5 | U133 | 89.4 | 122.9 | 62.6 |
| Feb 23 | East Texas A&M | A | W 69–68 | +2.0 | W+3.0 | 139.5 | U137 | 107.6 | 106.1 | 64.1 |
| Feb 21 | N'Western St | A | L 53–71 | +2.5 | L−15.5 | 133.5 | U124 | 83.6 | 112.1 | 63.4 |
| Feb 16 | Nicholls | H | W 72–68 | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 138.5 | O140 | 106.9 | 100.9 | 67.4 |
| Feb 14 | LSU N Orleans | H | W 61–60 | −1.0 | P0.0 | 149.0 | U121 | 98.2 | 96.6 | 62.1 |
| Feb 9 | McNeese | A | L 69–73 | +20.5 | W+16.5 | 137.0 | O142 | 102.1 | 108.1 | 67.6 |
| Feb 7 | SE Louisiana | A | L 47–55 | +4.5 | L−3.5 | 133.5 | U102 | 83.2 | 97.4 | 56.5 |
| Feb 2 | UT Rio Grande | A | L 57–74 | +9.0 | L−8.0 | 141.5 | U131 | 92.1 | 119.6 | 61.9 |
South Dakota
Against the spread
Season
16-13
Home
9-5
Road
6-7
Last 10
6-4
avg cover +1.9
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 2 of 4 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 6 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
12-17
Home
6-8
Road
6-7
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −6.0
Under 2 straightOver in 1 of 4 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 6 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | Omaha | N | L 62–76 | +2.0 | L−12.0 | 151.5 | U138 | 95.8 | 117.4 | 64.7 |
| Feb 28 | S Dakota St | H | W 75–70 | +3.0 | W+8.0 | 151.0 | U145 | 108.0 | 100.8 | 69.4 |
| Feb 25 | Omaha | H | W 89–72 | +1.5 | W+18.5 | 153.5 | O161 | 121.5 | 98.3 | 73.3 |
| Feb 21 | Oral Roberts | A | L 62–67 | −1.0 | L−6.0 | 151.5 | U129 | 85.4 | 92.2 | 72.6 |
| Feb 19 | Denver | A | L 70–90 | +6.0 | L−14.0 | 162.5 | U160 | 107.3 | 137.9 | 65.3 |
| Feb 11 | North Dakota | H | L 71–72 | −1.5 | L−2.5 | 156.5 | U143 | 106.2 | 107.7 | 66.8 |
| Feb 7 | S Dakota St | A | W 68–67 | +11.5 | W+12.5 | 157.5 | U135 | 97.6 | 96.1 | 69.7 |
| Feb 4 | Kansas City | A | W 82–75 OT | −2.0 | W+5.0 | 156.0 | O157 | 102.0 | 93.3 | 80.4 |
| Jan 31 | N Dakota St | H | L 84–89 OT | +9.0 | W+4.0 | 152.5 | O173 | 113.4 | 120.1 | 74.1 |
| Jan 29 | Oral Roberts | H | W 77–69 | −3.0 | W+5.0 | 154.5 | U146 | 108.7 | 97.4 | 70.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeHou ChristianSouth Dakota
Efficiency
104.6
105.9
111.7
112.6
66.2
70.0
—
—
Shooting
49.7%
49.9%
50.9%
50.7%
31.7%
32.3%
69.4%
74.2%
36.0%
45.2%
Ball control & glass
18.9%
16.6%
17.6%
15.9%
29.9%
28.7%
32.5%
30.3%
10.6%
9.9%
9.9%
9.4%
Style
36.5%
35.9%
46.6%
43.6%
12.1%
9.8%
58.7%
46.1%
27.5%
31.4%
Roster
3.66
2.01
6'4.6"
6'3.9"
—
72.2%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputHou Christian
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Hou Christian's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
South Dakota
Returning minutes: 72.2%Returning production: 64.9%
Lost
- Jordan Crawford 31.2 mpg, 14.4 ppg · transferred to Missouri
- Cameron Fens 25.3 mpg, 14.4 ppg · transferred to North Carolina
Added
- Josiah Dotzler no D1 minutes last season
- Luke Bruns no D1 minutes last season
- Jalen Hayes no D1 minutes last season
- Jonah Funk no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 72% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.