CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceNeutral siteUnited Center, Chicago, ILChampions Classic
Kentucky
Efficiency #27
2025-26: 22-14 · 12-9 conf
vs
Kansas
Efficiency #25
2025-26: 24-11 · 13-7 conf
Tue, Nov 10 · TBD
73.2
win 48%
Projected
73.8
win 52%
No line posted yet.
Model: KU −0.6 · total 146.9 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Kansas 68.5, Kentucky 68.9 → 69.0 possessions
+1.5
Kansas offense vs Kentucky defense
−1.1
Kentucky offense vs Kansas defense
−1.7
Projected total
146.9
Axis starts at 144 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Kansas offense vs Kentucky defense
−1.1
Kentucky offense vs Kansas defense
+1.7
Kansas by 0.6
0.6
Kentucky side ◂▸ Kansas side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Kansas.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Kentucky is the faster team (69.7, #106 of 365) and Kansas the slower (68.3, #181). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
146.9
model
Projected team totals
73.2 / 73.8
Kentucky / Kansas
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.9#130
Kentucky
68.5#170
Kansas
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetDefenseKansas
Kansas's shot-blocking
Kansas ranks #6 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 13.3% of Kentucky's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
AdvantageKentucky
Where Kentucky scores: ball control
Kentucky turns it over on 15.4% of possessions (#96); Kansas forces turnovers on 13.8% of opponent possessions (#339). Expect about 14.1%, 2.6 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +3.3 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Kansas's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Kentucky at about 41.2% of its shots from three, Kansas about 36.3%.
AdvantageKansas
Where Kansas scores: ball control
Kansas turns it over on 15.6% of possessions (#109); Kentucky forces turnovers on 15.5% of opponent possessions (#249). Expect about 15.3%, 1.5 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.8 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseKentucky
Kentucky's shot-blocking
Kentucky ranks #34 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.1% of Kansas's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
ClashKentucky
Style clash: ball movement
Kentucky assists on 56.9% of its made baskets; Kansas breaks up passing offenses (assists on 47.3% allowed) (D1 average 52.4%). Expect about 52.1% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.65 vs 0.65).
Kentucky has the ball
OffenseKansas allowsvs D1 avg
53.3% #87
45.0% #2
-2.8 pt/100
15.4% #96
13.8% #339
+3.3 pt/100
33.2% #84
29.9% #152
+1.0 pt/100
37.4% #119
27.4% #26
-0.4 pt/100
72.7% #179
—
+0.0 pt/100
Kentucky net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.1 pts/100
Kansas has the ball
OffenseKentucky allowsvs D1 avg
51.2% #186
48.9% #63
-1.8 pt/100
15.6% #109
15.5% #249
+1.8 pt/100
29.2% #227
30.0% #158
-0.6 pt/100
32.2% #255
36.4% #223
-0.1 pt/100
76.7% #37
—
+0.4 pt/100
Kansas net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -0.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersKentuckyoffense vsKansasdefense
Share of shots by zone
Kentucky shoots
37.5
6.8
17.0
38.7
Kansas allows
32.7
10.4
15.6
41.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 64.1%#35 | 51.3%#10 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 45.4%#58 | 37.6%#127 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.5%#322 | 31.9%#16 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.2%#158 | 30.6%#24 | 33.7% |
Kansasoffense vsKentuckydefense
Share of shots by zone
Kansas shoots
35.9
9.4
20.3
34.4
Kentucky allows
33.9
7.6
18.8
39.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 63.0%#51 | 57.3%#124 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.3%#283 | 42.8%#246 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.2%#259 | 39.3%#211 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.6%#139 | 31.8%#55 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersKentucky
+1.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#119 of 365
Off reb %
33.2%
#84
Def reb %
70.0%
#158
Turnover %
15.4%
#96
Forced TO %
15.5%
#249
FT rate
37.4%
#119
FT allowed
36.4%
#223
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.9
Defensive rebounding+0.2
Ball security+0.9
Forcing turnovers−0.8
Foul shots drawn+0.6
Foul shots allowed−0.3
Kansas
0.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#180 of 365
Off reb %
29.2%
#227
Def reb %
70.1%
#152
Turnover %
15.6%
#109
Forced TO %
13.8%
#339
FT rate
32.2%
#255
FT allowed
27.4%
#26
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.4
Defensive rebounding+0.2
Ball security+0.8
Forcing turnovers−2.0
Foul shots drawn−0.7
Foul shots allowed+2.0
Kentucky has more extra scoring chances per game: +1.5 (#119 of 365) to Kansas’s 0.0 (#180).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Kentucky2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Milan Momcilovicat Iowa State | F | Sr | 6'9" | 37-37 | 30.4 | 16.9 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 67.2% | 48.7% | 7.5 | 87.8% | 25.0% | |
| 10 | Alex Wilkinsat Furman | G | So | 6'6" | 35-35 | 29.7 | 17.8 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 52.8% | 32.8% | 5.7 | 82.4% | 39.2% | |
| 5 | Zoom Dialloat Washington | G | Jr | 6'6" | 33-29 | 29.6 | 15.7 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 51.7% | 31.5% | 2.2 | 82.5% | 33.0% | |
| 21 | Justin McBrideat James Madison | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-30 | 27.1 | 15.3 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 54.9% | 40.0% | 3.1 | 78.2% | 32.4% | |
| 1 | Jerone Mortonat Washington St | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-29 | 24.9 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 51.8% | 38.8% | 2.5 | 82.0% | 18.8% | |
| 24 | Malachi Moreno | C | So | 7'0" | 36-30 | 22.6 | 7.8 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 58.2% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 69.8% | 19.1% | |
| 11 | Franck Kepnangat Washington | C | Sr | 7'0" | 27-25 | 22.9 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 51.5% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 68.9% | 17.2% | |
| 3 | Kam Williams | G | Jr | 6'7" | 24-7 | 18.5 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 57.9% | 35.9% | 3.3 | 95.5% | 17.0% | |
| 9 | Trent Noah | F | Jr | 6'6" | 26-3 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 49.2% | 33.3% | 2.0 | 82.6% | 16.2% | |
| 2 | Braydon Hawthorne | F | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Reece Potter | F | Sr | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Mason Williams | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 19 | Ousmane N'Diaye | F | — | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Zyon Hawthorne | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Zoom Diallo (from Washington), Franck Kepnang (from Washington), Justin McBride (from James Madison), Milan Momcilovic (from Iowa State), Jerone Morton (from Washington St), Alex Wilkins (from Furman)
Kansas2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jamari McDowell | G | So | 6'5" | 35-7 | 17.3 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 51.0% | 34.9% | 2.5 | 62.5% | 12.5% | |
| 13 | Elmarko Jackson | G | So | 6'3" | 34-1 | 17.7 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 44.4% | 37.2% | 1.3 | 82.5% | 18.4% | |
| 7 | Kohl Rosario | G | Fr | 6'6" | 29-6 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 52.9% | 28.6% | 2.2 | 75.0% | 17.9% | |
| 1 | Jayden Dawson | G | Sr | 6'5" | 24-1 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 42.6% | 27.9% | 1.8 | 100.0% | 14.8% | |
| 34 | Paul Mbiya | C | Fr | 7'0" | 21-0 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 68.8% | — | 0.0 | 36.4% | 12.6% | |
| 6 | Samis Calderon | F | Fr | 6'8" | 15-0 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 33.3% | 11.7% | |
| 0 | Nginyu Ngala | G | Sr | 5'10" | 11-0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.7 | 100.0% | 23.7% | |
| 12 | Wilder Evers | G | Jr | 6'4" | 6-1 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 80.0% | 50.0% | 0.7 | — | 23.2% | |
| 25 | Justin Cross | F | Sr | 6'8" | 5-1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 16.8% | |
| 21 | Will Thengvall | G | So | 6'4" | 5-0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 7.0% | |
| 2 | Corbin Allen | G | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Kentucky2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Milan Momcilovicat Iowa State | F | Sr | 6'9" | 37-37 | 30.4 | 16.9 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 67.2% | 48.7% | 7.5 | 87.8% | 25.0% | |
| 10 | Alex Wilkinsat Furman | G | So | 6'6" | 35-35 | 29.7 | 17.8 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 52.8% | 32.8% | 5.7 | 82.4% | 39.2% | |
| 5 | Zoom Dialloat Washington | G | Jr | 6'6" | 33-29 | 29.6 | 15.7 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 51.7% | 31.5% | 2.2 | 82.5% | 33.0% | |
| 21 | Justin McBrideat James Madison | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-30 | 27.1 | 15.3 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 54.9% | 40.0% | 3.1 | 78.2% | 32.4% | |
| 1 | Jerone Mortonat Washington St | G | Sr | 6'4" | 32-29 | 24.9 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 51.8% | 38.8% | 2.5 | 82.0% | 18.8% | |
| 24 | Malachi Moreno | C | So | 7'0" | 36-30 | 22.6 | 7.8 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 58.2% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 69.8% | 19.1% | |
| 11 | Franck Kepnangat Washington | C | Sr | 7'0" | 27-25 | 22.9 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 51.5% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 68.9% | 17.2% | |
| 3 | Kam Williams | G | Jr | 6'7" | 24-7 | 18.5 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 57.9% | 35.9% | 3.3 | 95.5% | 17.0% | |
| 9 | Trent Noah | F | Jr | 6'6" | 26-3 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 49.2% | 33.3% | 2.0 | 82.6% | 16.2% | |
| 2 | Braydon Hawthorne | F | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 33 | Reece Potter | F | Sr | 7'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Mason Williams | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 19 | Ousmane N'Diaye | F | — | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Zyon Hawthorne | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Zoom Diallo (from Washington), Franck Kepnang (from Washington), Justin McBride (from James Madison), Milan Momcilovic (from Iowa State), Jerone Morton (from Washington St), Alex Wilkins (from Furman)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Kentucky
Against the spread
Season
18-18
Home
9-9
Road
5-5
Last 10
6-4
avg cover −0.8
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 4 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
17-18-1
Home
10-8
Road
4-5-1
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.5
Under in the last gameOver in 4 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 1 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | #2Iowa State | N | L 63–82 | +4.5 | L−14.5 | 146.5 | U145 | 91.0 | 118.4 | 69.2 |
| Mar 20 | #10Santa Clara | N | W 89–84 OT | −3.5 | W+1.5 | 157.5 | O173 | 119.3 | 112.6 | 74.6 |
| Mar 13 | #4Florida | N | L 63–71 | +10.0 | W+2.0 | 160.5 | U134 | 86.2 | 97.1 | 73.1 |
| Mar 12 | Missouri | N | W 78–72 | −3.5 | W+2.5 | 149.5 | O150 | 113.2 | 104.5 | 68.9 |
| Mar 11 | LSU | N | W 87–82 | −9.0 | L−4.0 | 151.5 | O169 | 123.9 | 116.8 | 70.2 |
| Mar 7 | #5Florida | H | L 77–84 | +5.5 | L−1.5 | 162.0 | U161 | 107.6 | 117.3 | 71.6 |
| Mar 3 | Texas A&M | A | L 85–96 | +1.5 | L−9.5 | 162.0 | O181 | 112.7 | 127.3 | 75.4 |
| Feb 28 | #25Vanderbilt | H | W 91–77 | −1.0 | W+13.0 | 157.5 | O168 | 133.7 | 113.2 | 68.0 |
| Feb 24 | South Carolina | A | W 72–63 | −7.5 | W+1.5 | 151.0 | U135 | 100.3 | 87.7 | 71.8 |
| Feb 21 | Auburn | A | L 74–75 | +2.5 | W+1.5 | 162.5 | U149 | 104.6 | 106.0 | 70.7 |
Kansas
Against the spread
Season
20-14-1
Home
10-5
Road
5-6
Last 10
4-5-1
avg cover −5.2
Covered the last gameCovered 2 of 6 as a favorite, 1 pushCovered 2 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-24
Home
6-9
Road
3-8
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −4.9
Under 3 straightOver in 3 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 0 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | #5St John's | N | L 65–67 | +3.5 | W+1.5 | 145.5 | U132 | 92.7 | 95.5 | 70.2 |
| Mar 20 | #13CA Baptist | N | W 68–60 | −14.0 | L−6.0 | 142.0 | U128 | 98.1 | 86.5 | 69.3 |
| Mar 13 | #5Houston | N | L 47–69 | +5.5 | L−16.5 | 138.0 | U116 | 79.3 | 116.4 | 59.3 |
| Mar 12 | TCU | N | W 78–73 | −5.0 | P0.0 | 146.5 | O151 | 104.6 | 97.9 | 74.6 |
| Mar 7 | Kansas St | H | W 104–85 | −17.5 | W+1.5 | 157.0 | O189 | 133.2 | 108.9 | 78.0 |
| Mar 3 | Arizona St | A | L 60–70 | −6.0 | L−16.0 | 150.0 | U130 | 82.8 | 96.7 | 72.4 |
| Feb 28 | #2Arizona | A | L 61–84 | +10.0 | L−13.0 | 151.5 | U145 | 88.2 | 121.4 | 69.2 |
| Feb 23 | #5Houston | H | W 69–56 | +2.5 | W+15.5 | 138.0 | U125 | 106.3 | 86.3 | 64.9 |
| Feb 21 | Cincinnati | H | L 68–84 | −9.0 | L−25.0 | 139.0 | O152 | 100.5 | 124.2 | 67.7 |
| Feb 18 | Oklahoma St | A | W 81–69 | −6.5 | W+5.5 | 159.5 | U150 | 115.2 | 98.2 | 70.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeKentuckyKansas
Efficiency
115.6
112.9
102.5
98.9
68.9
68.5
—
—
Shooting
53.3%
51.2%
54.7%
50.9%
34.2%
34.6%
72.7%
76.7%
37.4%
32.2%
Ball control & glass
15.4%
15.6%
15.5%
13.8%
33.2%
29.2%
30.0%
29.9%
9.7%
9.5%
8.5%
8.1%
Style
39.7%
35.2%
44.7%
44.7%
19.2%
13.8%
56.9%
52.3%
34.9%
25.2%
Roster
3.22
2.04
6'7.8"
6'4.9"
21.4%
28.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputKentucky
Returning minutes: 21.4%Returning production: 21.9%
Lost
- Otega Oweh 32.7 mpg, 18.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Denzel Aberdeen 30.6 mpg, 13.5 ppg · transferred to Florida
- Collin Chandler 27.1 mpg, 9.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Mouhamed Dioubate 18.6 mpg, 7.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Brandon Garrison 16.2 mpg, 4.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Andrija Jelavic 14.0 mpg, 4.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Milan Momcilovic from Iowa State · 30.4 mpg, 16.9 ppg last season
- Alex Wilkins from Furman · 29.7 mpg, 17.8 ppg last season
- Zoom Diallo from Washington · 29.6 mpg, 15.7 ppg last season
- Justin McBride from James Madison · 25.5 mpg, 14.3 ppg last season
- Jerone Morton from Washington St · 24.9 mpg, 7.8 ppg last season
- Franck Kepnang from Washington · 18.8 mpg, 5.1 ppg last season
Returns 21% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Kansas
Returning minutes: 28.8%Returning production: 18.1%
Lost
- Melvin Council Jr. 34.8 mpg, 12.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Flory Bidunga 31.6 mpg, 13.3 ppg · transferred to Louisville
- Tre White 31.3 mpg, 13.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Bryson Tiller 25.9 mpg, 7.9 ppg · transferred to Missouri
- Darryn Peterson 19.9 mpg, 13.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Corbin Allen no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 29% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.