CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceHilton Coliseum, Ames, IA
Southern
Efficiency #286
2025-26: 17-17 · 13-8 conf
@
Iowa State
Efficiency #7
2025-26: 29-8 · 14-7 conf
Tue, Nov 10 · TBD
64.2
win 2%
Projected
87.2
win 98%
No line posted yet.
Model: ISU −23.0 · total 151.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Iowa State 68.2, Southern 70.0 → 69.9 possessions
+3.4
Iowa State offense vs Southern defense
+9.3
Southern offense vs Iowa State defense
−9.6
Projected total
151.3
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Iowa State offense vs Southern defense
+9.3
Southern offense vs Iowa State defense
+9.6
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.0
Iowa State by 23.0
23.0
Southern side ◂▸ Iowa State side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +22.9 against +23.0. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Iowa State.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Southern is the faster team (71.5, #31 of 365) and Iowa State the slower (68.5, #173). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.9
per team, 40 min
Projected total
151.3
model
Projected team totals
64.2 / 87.2
Southern / Iowa State
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.0#52
Southern
68.2#188
Iowa State
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageIowa State
Where Iowa State scores: shooting
Iowa State shoots an effective 56.2% (#20); Southern allows 53.2% (#274). Expect about 55.1%, 3.8 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +5.4 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageSouthern
Where Southern struggles: ball control
Southern turns it over on 16.5% of possessions (#170); Iowa State forces turnovers on 22.6% of opponent possessions (#4). Expect about 20.3%, 3.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -4.4 points per 100 possessions.
GlassIowa State
Iowa State owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 34.1% is worth roughly +2.3 points per 100 possessions for Iowa State's offense.
DefenseIowa State
Iowa State's ball-hawking
Iowa State ranks #9 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.6% of Southern's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Iowa State, Southern's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Southern at about 35.5% of its shots from three, Iowa State about 37.6%.
DefenseSouthern
Southern's ball-hawking
Southern ranks #36 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 10.8% of Iowa State's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
Southern has the ball
OffenseIowa State allowsvs D1 avg
49.1% #287
49.8% #92
-2.8 pt/100
16.5% #170
22.6% #4
-4.4 pt/100
31.4% #144
28.6% #85
-0.1 pt/100
39.8% #61
28.1% #33
-0.2 pt/100
69.5% #284
—
-0.3 pt/100
Southern net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -7.8 pts/100
Iowa State has the ball
OffenseSouthern allowsvs D1 avg
56.2% #20
53.2% #274
+5.4 pt/100
14.9% #59
18.6% #66
-0.2 pt/100
35.2% #45
31.3% #217
+2.3 pt/100
34.5% #194
42.9% #338
+0.6 pt/100
67.5% #333
—
-0.4 pt/100
Iowa State net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +7.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSouthernoffense vsIowa Statedefense
Share of shots by zone
Southern shoots
41.1
6.8
19.9
32.2
Iowa State allows
29.2
8.4
19.4
43.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.5%#255 | 63.4%#332 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.8%#291 | 39.4%#168 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 31.5%#343 | 34.6%#64 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.8%#129 | 32.0%#63 | 33.7% |
Iowa Stateoffense vsSoutherndefense
Share of shots by zone
Iowa State shoots
38.2
8.6
14.9
38.3
Southern allows
38.3
7.1
18.3
36.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 65.2%#20 | 59.7%#215 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.1%#220 | 38.6%#149 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.3%#210 | 35.9%#106 | 38.0% |
| Three | 38.3%#12 | 36.7%#339 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSouthern
+0.9extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#143 of 365
Off reb %
31.4%
#144
Def reb %
68.7%
#217
Turnover %
16.5%
#170
Forced TO %
18.6%
#66
FT rate
39.8%
#61
FT allowed
42.9%
#338
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.3
Defensive rebounding−0.2
Ball security+0.2
Forcing turnovers+1.3
Foul shots drawn+1.2
Foul shots allowed−2.0
Iowa State
+9.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#2 of 365
Off reb %
35.2%
#45
Def reb %
71.4%
#85
Turnover %
14.9%
#59
Forced TO %
22.6%
#4
FT rate
34.5%
#194
FT allowed
28.1%
#33
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.5
Defensive rebounding+0.7
Ball security+1.3
Forcing turnovers+4.0
Foul shots drawn−0.1
Foul shots allowed+1.8
Iowa State has more extra scoring chances per game: +9.2 (#2 of 365) to Southern’s +0.9 (#143).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Southern2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Michael Jacobs | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-25 | 32.1 | 17.3 | 3.6 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 44.9% | 33.9% | 3.9 | 66.2% | 34.7% | |
| 1 | DaMariee Jones | F | Sr | 6'5" | 30-22 | 25.4 | 9.9 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 66.7% | 19.8% | |
| 3 | Cam Amboree | G | Sr | 6'3" | 28-18 | 27.0 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 45.5% | 37.5% | 4.3 | 80.3% | 23.6% | |
| 23 | Terrance Dixon Jr. | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-30 | 20.5 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 69.3% | — | 0.0 | 62.3% | 20.3% | |
| 14 | Fazl Oshodi | G | So | 6'3" | 34-18 | 20.3 | 8.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 52.9% | 34.9% | 5.1 | 93.5% | 23.2% | |
| 4 | Brandon Hardy | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-10 | 19.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 53.4% | 35.8% | 1.6 | 75.0% | 12.4% | |
| 12 | AJ Barnes | F | Sr | 6'6" | 28-20 | 22.0 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 45.7% | 36.5% | 2.6 | 74.6% | 23.6% | |
| 8 | Malek Abdelgowad | F | Sr | 6'10" | 28-5 | 17.1 | 10.6 | 6.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 62.3% | 50.0% | 0.4 | 72.8% | 30.9% | |
| 2 | Joe Manning | G | Sr | 6'2" | 30-6 | 11.6 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 42.4% | 32.7% | 1.7 | 87.0% | 19.8% | |
| 35 | Puoch Dobuol | F | Sr | 6'8" | 19-8 | 8.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 31.7% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 17.6% | |
| 11 | Keith Lamar | F | Sr | 6'6" | 7-2 | 15.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 29.6% | 19.0% | 3.0 | — | 15.6% | |
| 13 | Lionel Bell | F | Fr | 6'9" | 18-1 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 52.4% | — | 0.0 | 40.0% | 17.1% | |
| 0 | Rondae Hill | G | So | 6'0" | 6-4 | 14.7 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 57.1% | 43.5% | 3.8 | 50.0% | 25.4% | |
| 5 | Jayce Depron | G | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 52.9% | 30.8% | 2.6 | — | 22.5% | |
| 30 | D'Mari Wiltz | G | Sr | — | 3-0 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 12.9% | |
| 9 | Andre Nunley | G | Sr | 5'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Femi Olaniyan | F | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 6 | Trey Shephard | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Iowa State2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Killyan Toure | G | Fr | 6'3" | 37-37 | 25.4 | 8.6 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 51.0% | 31.3% | 2.2 | 72.2% | 22.1% | |
| 0 | Nate Heise | G | Sr | 6'5" | 37-5 | 24.9 | 5.7 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 53.8% | 32.2% | 2.4 | 66.7% | 13.4% | |
| 23 | Blake Buchanan | F | Jr | 6'10" | 37-36 | 24.5 | 8.5 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 63.6% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 49.4% | 19.0% | |
| 1 | Jamarion Batemon | G | Fr | 6'3" | 37-0 | 15.6 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 51.4% | 37.0% | 3.9 | 78.8% | 24.8% | |
| 21 | Dominykas Pleta | F | Fr | 6'11" | 35-1 | 11.3 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 70.6% | — | 0.0 | 59.6% | 20.6% | |
| 11 | Dominick Nelson | G | Sr | 6'5" | 24-0 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 44.4% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 60.4% | 29.2% | |
| 4 | Eric Mulder | F | Sr | 6'9" | 20-0 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 53.6% | 100.0% | 0.1 | 44.4% | 17.6% | |
| 13 | Cade Kelderman | G | Jr | 6'1" | 18-0 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 0.6 | 50.0% | 12.1% | |
| 55 | Xzavion Mitchell | F | Fr | 6'6" | 7-0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 37.5% | 33.3% | 0.9 | 50.0% | 23.4% | |
| 7 | Anthony Rise | G | Fr | 6'0" | 11-0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 25.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 18.5% | |
| 2 | Mason Williams | G | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Southern2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Michael Jacobs | G | Sr | 6'2" | 32-25 | 32.1 | 17.3 | 3.6 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 44.9% | 33.9% | 3.9 | 66.2% | 34.7% | |
| 1 | DaMariee Jones | F | Sr | 6'5" | 30-22 | 25.4 | 9.9 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 58.9% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 66.7% | 19.8% | |
| 3 | Cam Amboree | G | Sr | 6'3" | 28-18 | 27.0 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 45.5% | 37.5% | 4.3 | 80.3% | 23.6% | |
| 23 | Terrance Dixon Jr. | F | Sr | 6'8" | 34-30 | 20.5 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 69.3% | — | 0.0 | 62.3% | 20.3% | |
| 14 | Fazl Oshodi | G | So | 6'3" | 34-18 | 20.3 | 8.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 52.9% | 34.9% | 5.1 | 93.5% | 23.2% | |
| 4 | Brandon Hardy | G | Jr | 6'3" | 33-10 | 19.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 53.4% | 35.8% | 1.6 | 75.0% | 12.4% | |
| 12 | AJ Barnes | F | Sr | 6'6" | 28-20 | 22.0 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 45.7% | 36.5% | 2.6 | 74.6% | 23.6% | |
| 8 | Malek Abdelgowad | F | Sr | 6'10" | 28-5 | 17.1 | 10.6 | 6.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 62.3% | 50.0% | 0.4 | 72.8% | 30.9% | |
| 2 | Joe Manning | G | Sr | 6'2" | 30-6 | 11.6 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 42.4% | 32.7% | 1.7 | 87.0% | 19.8% | |
| 35 | Puoch Dobuol | F | Sr | 6'8" | 19-8 | 8.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 31.7% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 100.0% | 17.6% | |
| 11 | Keith Lamar | F | Sr | 6'6" | 7-2 | 15.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 29.6% | 19.0% | 3.0 | — | 15.6% | |
| 13 | Lionel Bell | F | Fr | 6'9" | 18-1 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 52.4% | — | 0.0 | 40.0% | 17.1% | |
| 0 | Rondae Hill | G | So | 6'0" | 6-4 | 14.7 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 57.1% | 43.5% | 3.8 | 50.0% | 25.4% | |
| 5 | Jayce Depron | G | So | 6'3" | 5-0 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 52.9% | 30.8% | 2.6 | — | 22.5% | |
| 30 | D'Mari Wiltz | G | Sr | — | 3-0 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 12.9% | |
| 9 | Andre Nunley | G | Sr | 5'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Femi Olaniyan | F | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 6 | Trey Shephard | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Southern
Against the spread
Season
13-18
Home
3-6
Road
9-10
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −2.4
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 10 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
20-11
Home
7-2
Road
11-8
Last 10
7-3
avg vs total +5.7
Under in the last gameOver in 7 of 10 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14 | Prairie View | N | L 66–72 | −3.5 | L−9.5 | 145.0 | U138 | 100.2 | 109.3 | 65.9 |
| Mar 13 | Florida A&M | N | W 73–70 | −2.0 | W+1.0 | 140.5 | O143 | 101.9 | 97.7 | 71.6 |
| Mar 12 | AR-Pine Bluff | N | W 84–81 | −5.0 | L−2.0 | 150.5 | O165 | 128.4 | 123.9 | 65.4 |
| Mar 5 | Alabama A&M | A | W 88–85 | −1.0 | W+2.0 | 145.0 | O173 | 121.1 | 117.0 | 72.7 |
| Mar 3 | Alabama St | A | W 71–64 | −1.0 | W+6.0 | 153.0 | U135 | 100.0 | 90.2 | 71.0 |
| Feb 28 | Bethune | H | L 79–82 | −2.0 | L−5.0 | 153.0 | O161 | 106.6 | 110.6 | 74.1 |
| Feb 26 | Florida A&M | H | L 71–82 | −9.0 | L−20.0 | 146.5 | O153 | 100.9 | 116.6 | 70.3 |
| Feb 21 | Grambling | H | W 87–73 | −5.5 | W+8.5 | 143.0 | O160 | 116.6 | 97.8 | 74.6 |
| Feb 16 | Texas Southern | A | L 73–74 | −5.0 | L−6.0 | 152.0 | U147 | 100.2 | 101.6 | 72.8 |
| Feb 14 | Prairie View | A | W 87–82 | −4.0 | W+1.0 | 159.0 | O169 | 113.1 | 106.6 | 76.9 |
Iowa State
Against the spread
Season
22-15
Home
9-8
Road
5-5
Last 10
7-3
avg cover +4.0
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 6 of 8 as a favoriteCovered 4 of 4 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
16-21
Home
9-8
Road
2-8
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +0.1
Under 2 straightOver in 3 of 8 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27 | #6Tennessee | N | L 62–76 | −3.0 | L−17.0 | 139.5 | U138 | 91.2 | 111.8 | 68.0 |
| Mar 22 | #7Kentucky | N | W 82–63 | −4.5 | W+14.5 | 146.5 | U145 | 118.4 | 91.0 | 69.2 |
| Mar 20 | #15Tennessee St | N | W 108–74 | −25.0 | W+9.0 | 147.5 | O182 | 137.7 | 94.4 | 78.4 |
| Mar 13 | #2Arizona | N | L 80–82 | +3.5 | W+1.5 | 144.5 | O162 | 120.8 | 123.9 | 66.2 |
| Mar 12 | #16Texas Tech | N | W 75–53 | −5.5 | W+16.5 | 143.5 | U128 | 115.9 | 81.9 | 64.7 |
| Mar 11 | Arizona St | N | W 91–42 | −12.5 | W+36.5 | 149.5 | U133 | 132.3 | 61.1 | 68.8 |
| Mar 7 | Arizona St | H | W 86–65 | −16.5 | W+4.5 | 148.0 | O151 | 117.9 | 89.1 | 73.0 |
| Mar 2 | #2Arizona | A | L 57–73 | +7.0 | L−9.0 | 149.0 | U130 | 85.4 | 109.3 | 66.8 |
| Feb 28 | #16Texas Tech | H | L 73–82 | −9.5 | L−18.5 | 145.0 | O155 | 113.1 | 127.1 | 64.5 |
| Feb 24 | Utah | A | W 75–59 | −14.0 | W+2.0 | 144.5 | U134 | 110.2 | 86.7 | 68.1 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSouthernIowa State
Efficiency
105.6
118.3
112.0
97.6
70.0
68.2
—
—
Shooting
49.1%
56.2%
47.7%
55.4%
34.8%
38.3%
69.5%
67.5%
39.8%
34.5%
Ball control & glass
16.5%
14.9%
18.6%
22.6%
31.4%
35.2%
31.3%
28.6%
8.8%
9.6%
10.0%
10.2%
Style
32.1%
38.8%
44.5%
45.2%
16.3%
14.1%
52.6%
59.0%
40.6%
28.6%
Roster
3.61
2.34
6'4.6"
6'5.9"
94.9%
55.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSouthern
Returning minutes: 94.9%Returning production: 97.0%
Lost
- Ashton Magee 10.3 mpg, 2.7 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St
Added
- Femi Olaniyan no D1 minutes last season
- Andre Nunley no D1 minutes last season
- Trey Shephard no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 95% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Iowa State
Returning minutes: 55.7%Returning production: 46.0%
Lost
- Milan Momcilovic 30.4 mpg, 16.9 ppg · transferred to Kentucky
- Joshua Jefferson 29.3 mpg, 15.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Tamin Lipsey 29.0 mpg, 12.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Mason Williams no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 56% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred).
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.