Washington State Cougars vs Duquesne Dukes basketball prediction & odds
Tue, Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET · UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse, Pittsburgh, PA
Non-conferenceESPN+UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse, Pittsburgh, PA
Washington St
0-2 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #204
@
Duquesne
2-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #138
Live
71.376.7
Projected score
WSU win 32%DUQ win 68%
MarketClose
Spread
DUQ −3.5
open DUQ −5.5
Total
145.5
open 148.0
Our line
DUQ −5.3
as of Tue, Nov 10 · 6:51 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
from the market's opening number| Line | Market open | Our adjustment | Our line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DUQ −5.5 | 0.2 toward Washington St | DUQ −5.3 |
Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Duquesne is the faster team (71.1, #167 of 365) and Washington St the slower (64.8, #330). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.7
per team, 40 min
Market total
145.5
Market close · open 148.0
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
68.9#291
Washington St
71.3#128
Duquesne
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
DUQ −5.3
Four factors +14.3 · not in these stats −9.0
From the four factors
Duquesne has the ball+9.6
Washington St has the ball−4.7
Duquesne has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 57.3% #66 · WSU allows 66.7% #350+12.3
✗Coughs it upTO% 21.1% #275 · WSU forces 20.1% #106 · ~15 turnovers−2.4
✗Few second chancesOR% 30.8% #194 · WSU allows 28.8% #138−0.8
✓Gets to the lineFTR 36.4% #185 · WSU allows 41.4% #224 · FT 75.0% #98+0.5
Washington St has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 46.7% #247 · DUQ allows 50.0% #163−2.2
✗Coughs it upTO% 19.3% #225 · DUQ forces 19.7% #115 · ~14 turnovers−1.3
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 20.7% #339 · DUQ allows 19.7% #18 · FT 76.0% #85−1.2
✓Wins second chancesOR% 35.9% #98 · DUQ allows 25.6% #73+0.1
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootWashington Stoffense vsDuquesnedefense
Share of shots by zone
Washington St shoots
36.8
5.3
14.9
43.0
Duquesne allows
42.6
6.6
8.2
42.6
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 47.6%#294 | 38.5%#15 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 16.7%#299 | 0.0%#1 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 29.4%#221 | 20.0%#59 | 34.7% |
| Three | 34.0%#153 | 50.0%#352 | 32.5% |
Duquesneoffense vsWashington Stdefense
Share of shots by zone
Duquesne shoots
56.4
7.3
7.3
29.1
Washington St allows
32.6
15.2
7.6
44.6
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 67.7%#74 | 76.7%#348 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 50.0%#75 | 50.0%#243 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 25.0%#245 | 71.4%#346 | 34.7% |
| Three | 31.3%#203 | 44.4%#338 | 32.5% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineWashington St
−2.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#211 of 365
Off reb %
35.9%
#98
Def reb %
71.2%
#138
Turnover %
19.3%
#225
Forced TO %
20.1%
#106
FT rate
20.7%
#339
FT allowed
41.4%
#224
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.5
Defensive rebounding+0.9
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers+1.4
Foul shots drawn−4.4
Foul shots allowed−0.9
Duquesne
+5.4extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#105 of 365
Off reb %
30.8%
#194
Def reb %
74.4%
#73
Turnover %
21.1%
#275
Forced TO %
19.7%
#115
FT rate
36.4%
#185
FT allowed
19.7%
#18
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.3
Defensive rebounding+2.0
Ball security−2.0
Forcing turnovers+1.2
Foul shots drawn−0.3
Foul shots allowed+4.8
Duquesne has more extra scoring chances per game: +5.4 (#105 of 365) to Washington St’s −2.2 (#211).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notWashington St2026-27 numbers · last game: High Point, Nov 7
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | Min/40, last 8 | Last 3 vs before | Status | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | G | Fr | 6'5" | 2-1 | 28.0 | 30 | — | Started last | 15.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 72.5% | 33.3% | 4.5 | 100.0% | 27.5% | |
| 7 | G | So | 6'0" | 2-2 | 25.5 | 33 | — | Started last | 17.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 65.8% | 55.6% | 4.5 | 81.8% | 30.8% | |
| 31 | G | Sr | 6'6" | 2-1 | 22.0 | 21 | — | Bench | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 42.9% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 16.6% | |
| 21 | F | Jr | 6'0" | 2-2 | 21.5 | 23 | — | Started last | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 35.0% | 25.0% | 2.0 | — | 18.6% | |
| 10 | G | Jr | 6'3" | 2-1 | 21.0 | 20 | — | Started last | 6.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 26.2% | 16.7% | 3.0 | 50.0% | 32.1% | |
| 2 | F | So | 6'10" | 2-2 | 17.5 | 20 | — | Started last | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | 21.1% | |
| 24 | F | Fr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 17.0 | 8 | — | Bench | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 20.5% | |
| 33 | G | Jr | 6'4" | 2-1 | 16.0 | 7 | — | Bench | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 30.8% | 20.0% | 5.0 | 75.0% | 31.8% | |
| 8 | G | Jr | 6'2" | 2-0 | 15.0 | 16 | — | Bench | 6.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 27.7% | |
| 13 | F | Jr | 6'7" | 2-0 | 9.0 | 9 | — | Bench | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 62.5% | 100.0% | 0.5 | — | 13.8% | |
| 93 | F | — | 6'10" | 2-0 | 7.5 | 15 | — | Bench | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 4.2% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten gamesWashington St
Against the spread
Season
1-1
Home
0-1
Road
1-0
Last 10
1-1
avg cover −8.5
Covered the last game
Over / under
Season
0-2
Home
0-1
Road
0-1
Last 10
0-2
avg vs total −7.2
Under 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | High Point | A | L 71–83 | +13.0 | W+1.0 | 156.5 | U154 | 112.3 | 131.3 | 63.2 |
| Nov 2 | Davidson | H | L 61–76 | −3.0 | L−18.0 | 149.0 | U137 | 91.8 | 114.4 | 66.5 |
| Mar 6 | Portland | N | L 68–74 | −5.5 | L−11.5 | 150.0 | U142 | 97.7 | 106.3 | 69.6 |
| Feb 28 | Pepperdine | A | L 79–88 | −8.0 | L−17.0 | 158.0 | O167 | 104.6 | 116.6 | 75.5 |
| Feb 25 | LMU | A | L 66–67 | +2.0 | W+1.0 | 148.0 | U133 | 97.1 | 98.6 | 68.0 |
| Feb 21 | Saint Mary's | H | L 67–83 | +8.5 | L−7.5 | 148.5 | O150 | 106.5 | 131.9 | 62.9 |
| Feb 18 | Pacific | H | W 87–70 | −2.5 | W+14.5 | 143.5 | O157 | 132.8 | 106.8 | 65.5 |
| Feb 10 | #12Gonzaga | A | L 53–83 | +21.5 | L−8.5 | 156.0 | U136 | 74.8 | 117.1 | 70.9 |
| Feb 7 | Santa Clara | H | L 92–96 | +8.5 | W+4.5 | 160.5 | O188 | 129.8 | 135.5 | 70.9 |
| Feb 4 | Oregon St | A | L 64–74 | −2.0 | L−12.0 | 148.0 | U138 | 94.7 | 109.5 | 67.6 |
Duquesne
Against the spread
Season
0-1
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg cover −2.5
Missed the spread in the last game
Over / under
Season
0-1
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-1
avg vs total −3.5
Under in the last game
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | Central State Marauders | H | W 68–58 | — | — | — | — | 103.8 | 88.5 | 65.5 |
| Nov 3 | Purdue FW | H | W 78–71 | −9.5 | L−2.5 | 152.5 | U149 | 109.7 | 99.9 | 71.1 |
| Mar 13 | VCU | N | L 66–71 | +7.0 | W+2.0 | 153.0 | U137 | 101.9 | 109.6 | 64.8 |
| Mar 12 | Rhode Island | N | W 67–61 | −1.5 | W+4.5 | 138.5 | U128 | 112.4 | 102.3 | 59.6 |
| Mar 7 | Richmond | H | W 79–77 | −4.5 | L−2.5 | 148.0 | O156 | 119.9 | 116.8 | 65.9 |
| Mar 4 | Rhode Island | A | L 52–64 | +2.5 | L−9.5 | 143.0 | U116 | 79.7 | 98.1 | 65.3 |
| Feb 28 | #23Saint Louis | A | L 76–91 | +13.5 | L−1.5 | 160.0 | O167 | 115.7 | 138.6 | 65.7 |
| Feb 25 | Davidson | H | L 56–67 | −3.5 | L−14.5 | 143.0 | U123 | 85.4 | 102.2 | 65.6 |
| Feb 21 | Dayton | A | L 66–78 | +6.5 | L−5.5 | 148.5 | U144 | 102.6 | 121.3 | 64.3 |
| Feb 18 | La Salle | H | W 62–61 | −11.0 | L−10.0 | 146.0 | U123 | 89.5 | 88.1 | 69.2 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeWashington StDuquesne
Efficiency
107.8
106.7
110.7
105.0
68.9
71.3
8.5
-4.6
Shooting
46.7%
57.3%
43.7%
61.5%
34.0%
31.3%
76.0%
75.0%
20.7%
36.4%
Ball control & glass
19.3%
21.1%
20.1%
19.7%
35.9%
30.8%
28.8%
25.6%
13.1%
8.4%
7.0%
5.1%
Style
41.3%
29.1%
39.4%
59.0%
15.9%
20.5%
56.3%
62.1%
43.0%
35.3%
Roster
2.42
2.85
6'4.6"
6'5.8"
0.0%
12.7%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputWashington St
Returning minutes: 0.1%Returning production: 0.2%
Lost
- Ace Glass 28.9 mpg, 16.4 ppg · transferred to Vanderbilt
- Eemeli Yalaho 28.3 mpg, 10.1 ppg · transferred to NC State
- Jerone Morton 24.9 mpg, 7.8 ppg · transferred to Kentucky
- ND Okafor 23.2 mpg, 11.0 ppg · transferred to Mississippi St
- Rihards Vavers 22.9 mpg, 10.4 ppg · transferred to Memphis
- Adria Rodriguez 20.3 mpg, 3.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Fraser Roxburgh from Manhattan · 30.6 mpg, 11.0 ppg last season
- Ronnie Harrison from East Texas A&M · 27.7 mpg, 13.8 ppg last season
- Sebastian Akins from Wake Forest · 15.1 mpg, 5.3 ppg last season
- Tyler Kropp from Northwestern · 10.9 mpg, 2.8 ppg last season
- Jamari Phillips from Oregon · 9.2 mpg, 2.2 ppg last season
- Ladji Dembele from UNLV · 2.9 mpg, 0.7 ppg last season
Returns 0% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (5 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Duquesne
Returning minutes: 28.8%Returning production: 26.0%
Lost
- Jimmie Williams 29.7 mpg, 15.1 ppg · transferred to Ohio State
- Jakub Necas 23.7 mpg, 6.7 ppg · transferred to South Carolina
- David Dixon 22.4 mpg, 8.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Cam Crawford 18.0 mpg, 4.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Alex Williams 16.8 mpg, 8.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- John Hugley IV 13.1 mpg, 6.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Yoav Berman from Queens · 29.2 mpg, 12.3 ppg last season
- Josh Smith from West Georgia · 26.3 mpg, 15.7 ppg last season
- Kerem Konan from Creighton · 7.4 mpg, 2.3 ppg last season
- Ege Demir from Oregon · 5.3 mpg, 1.3 ppg last season
- Izaiah Pasha from Virginia Tech · 4.6 mpg, 1.1 ppg last season
- Stephen Olowoniyi from Oregon St · 1.1 mpg, 0.3 ppg last season
Returns 29% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -6.5→-3.5-110 | 147.5→145.5o-108 u-112 | -166 | +140 |
| FanDuel | -5.5→-3.5-115 | 148.5→144.5o-115 u-105 | -178 | +146 |
| BetMGM | -4.5→-3.5-110 | 147.5→145.5o-105 u-115 | -170 | +140 |
| BetRivers | -4.5→-3.5-104 | 148.5→145.5o-109 u-114 | -167 | +133 |
| Caesars | -5.5→-3.5-110 | 147.5→145.5o-110 u-110 | -165 | +140 |
| Fanatics | -5.5→-3.5-105 | 148→145.5o-110 u-110 | -165 | +135 |
| BetOnline | -6→-3.5-114 | 148→145o-108 u-112 | -165 | +145 |
| Bovada | -4.5→-3.5-110 | 148.5→145.5o-110 u-110 | -165 | +140 |
| theScore Bet | -5.5→-3.5-110 | 147.5→145.5o-110 u-110 | -165 | +140 |
| Hard Rock | -4.5→-2.5-120 | 148.5→145.5o-110 u-110 | -165 | +135 |
| Kalshi | -2.5-127 | 145.5o+100 u-104 | -163 | +156 |
| Polymarket | -3.5-104 | 146.5o+108 u-113 | -150 | +144 |
| Novig | -5.5→-3.5-104 | 145.5o+102 u-104 | -160 | +156 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
BetRivers
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Hard Rock
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
More games on Tue, Nov 10
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.