Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane basketball prediction & odds

Wed, Nov 11 · 8:00 PM ET · Reynolds Center, Tulsa, OK

Non-conferenceESPN+Reynolds Center, Tulsa, OK
Oral Roberts
1-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #328
@
Tulsa
2-0 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #57
Wed, Nov 11 · 8:00 PM ET
68.185.4
Projected score
ORU win 7%TLSA win 93%
Consensus
Spread
TLSA −18.5
open TLSA −19.0
Total
153.5
open 153.5
Our line
TLSA −17.3
ML Oral Roberts
+1000
ML Tulsa
-1895
Median of 7 books · as of Tue, Nov 10 · 9:27 PM ET

Our play

How our line is built

each step, from an even game to our line
Spread
Even game
0.0
Tulsarated 5.2 above average
+5.2
Oral Robertsrated 7.9 below average
+7.9
Home court
+4.2
Our line
TLSA −17.3
◂ Oral Roberts sideTulsa side ▸

The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Tulsa. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes
Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 70.7, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Oral Roberts is the faster team (71.2, #161 of 365) and Tulsa the slower (68.1, #265). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions
70.7
per team, 40 min
Market total
153.5
Consensus · open 153.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.8#166
Oral Roberts
70.5#192
Tulsa

How this game plays

points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchup
Our line
TLSA −17.3
Four factors +23.9 · not in these stats −6.6
From the four factors
Tulsa has the ball+15.2
Oral Roberts has the ball−8.8
Tulsa has the ball
✓Shoots it welleFG% 61.4% #27 · ORU allows 55.6% #271+9.2
✓Wins second chancesOR% 38.9% #56 · ORU allows 33.3% #217+2.6
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 14.7% #79 · ORU forces 16.9% #212 · ~11 turnovers+2.5
✓Gets to the lineFTR 59.6% #15 · ORU allows 33.9% #148 · FT 70.6% #165+0.8
Oral Roberts has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 35.0% #354 · TLSA allows 52.7% #216−7.7
✗Few second chancesOR% 38.3% #66 · TLSA allows 12.5% #2−1.9
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 25.3% #336 · TLSA forces 8.8% #354 · ~11 turnovers+1.7
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 36.7% #179 · TLSA allows 33.9% #150 · FT 59.1% #320−0.9

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot
Oral Robertsoffense vsTulsadefense
Share of shots by zone
Oral Roberts shoots
Tulsa allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim61.1%#13458.3%#18058.0%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)0.0%#3230.0%#138.2%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)0.0%#3270.0%#134.7%
Three16.7%#35537.9%#29132.5%
Tulsaoffense vsOral Robertsdefense
Share of shots by zone
Tulsa shoots
Oral Roberts allows
D-I average
FG% by zone
ZoneD-I avg
Rim63.6%#11378.6%#35258.0%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)100.0%#10.0%#138.2%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)100.0%#1100.0%#35234.7%
Three41.2%#5033.3%#18532.5%
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line
Oral Roberts
−3.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#227 of 365
Off reb %
38.3%
#66
Def reb %
66.7%
#217
Turnover %
25.3%
#336
Forced TO %
16.9%
#212
FT rate
36.7%
#179
FT allowed
33.9%
#148
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.3
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−5.0
Forcing turnovers−0.9
Foul shots drawn−0.2
Foul shots allowed+1.1
Tulsa
+11.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#38 of 365
Off reb %
38.9%
#56
Def reb %
87.5%
#2
Turnover %
14.7%
#79
Forced TO %
8.8%
#354
FT rate
59.6%
#15
FT allowed
33.9%
#150
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.4
Defensive rebounding+6.4
Ball security+2.5
Forcing turnovers−6.6
Foul shots drawn+5.8
Foul shots allowed+1.0

Tulsa has more extra scoring chances per game: +11.6 (#38 of 365) to Oral Roberts’s −3.3 (#227).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

Oral Roberts2026-27 numbers
#PlayerPosClHtGP-GSMPGPPGRPGAPGTOVeFG%3P%3PA/gFT%UsageStatus
0GFr6'2"2-230.59.04.02.51.532.7%17.6%8.5100.0%27.0%Active
25FJr6'6"2-225.022.56.01.51.564.3%20.0%5.064.3%42.0%Active
6GSo5'10"2-224.09.03.05.51.061.5%44.4%4.5100.0%18.5%Active
7GSo6'4"2-220.54.54.51.02.038.9%16.7%3.066.7%19.7%Active
2GSr6'4"2-220.05.03.52.52.066.7%0.0%1.0100.0%15.2%Active
8GFr6'1"2-018.54.03.51.51.018.8%14.3%7.066.7%29.2%Active
22GJr6'3"2-012.54.05.01.51.042.9%33.3%3.050.0%23.9%Active
10GFr6'5"2-011.53.03.51.51.060.0%—0.00.0%18.5%Active
18FJr6'9"2-011.59.02.00.50.577.8%—0.080.0%29.8%Active
21FSo6'9"2-08.50.01.50.00.50.0%—0.0—6.5%Active
43GSr6'6"2-06.02.01.00.50.00.0%—0.0100.0%17.9%Active
23FSo6'6"2-05.50.01.00.01.00.0%0.0%1.5—25.2%Active
11FFr6'9"2-04.52.50.50.02.050.0%50.0%1.050.0%54.5%Active
1GSr6'2"1-05.00.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%2.0—22.9%Missed last

Team comparison

national rank toned left for away, right for home
Oral RobertsTulsa
Efficiency
98.4
116.5
110.7
105.7
70.8
70.5
1.0
-8.1
Shooting
35.0%
61.4%
50.0%
60.9%
16.7%
41.2%
59.1%
70.6%
36.7%
59.6%
Ball control & glass
25.3%
14.7%
16.9%
8.8%
38.3%
38.9%
33.3%
12.5%
16.9%
5.9%
12.5%
13.0%
Style
60.0%
59.6%
43.6%
27.7%
3.6%
10.6%
55.6%
39.3%
40.3%
47.3%
Roster
2.20
3.08
6'3.6"
6'6.2"
35.8%
15.1%

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input
Oral Roberts
Returning minutes: 51.6%Returning production: 48.0%
Lost
  • Ofri Naveh 28.0 mpg, 10.8 ppg · transferred to MTSU
  • Ty Harper 28.0 mpg, 17.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Jack Turner 16.7 mpg, 4.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams 16.2 mpg, 6.7 ppg · transferred to S Indiana
  • Baron Smith Jr. 5.7 mpg, 1.2 ppg · transferred to Wagner
  • Aaron Jacob 2.5 mpg, 1.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Cam Haffner from Western KY · 11.0 mpg, 3.8 ppg last season
  • Amire Robinson from Nevada · 9.1 mpg, 2.6 ppg last season
  • Alex Couto no D1 minutes last season
  • Mihail Gavazov no D1 minutes last season
  • Boden Williams no D1 minutes last season
  • Marko Pavlovic no D1 minutes last season

Returns 52% of last season's minutes; lost 2 of its top 5 (1 transferred).

Tulsa
Returning minutes: 15.1%Returning production: 15.2%
Lost
  • Miles Barnstable 30.3 mpg, 14.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Ade Popoola 28.7 mpg, 10.8 ppg · transferred to DePaul
  • Tylen Riley 27.7 mpg, 15.0 ppg · transferred to Cincinnati
  • David Green 25.6 mpg, 15.1 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
  • Tyler Behrend 21.7 mpg, 6.5 ppg · transferred to Grand Canyon
  • Romad Dean 16.0 mpg, 4.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
  • Macon Emory from Delaware · 37.1 mpg, 11.3 ppg last season
  • Kobi Williams from Missouri St · 34.4 mpg, 14.0 ppg last season
  • Jeremiah Johnson from Campbell · 32.4 mpg, 15.2 ppg last season
  • Brent Moss from UTSA · 25.9 mpg, 9.3 ppg last season
  • Chris Loofe from MTSU · 24.9 mpg, 7.3 ppg last season
  • Mike Williams III from Seton Hall · 20.9 mpg, 7.0 ppg last season

Returns 15% of last season's minutes; lost 5 of its top 5 (3 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

Line history

Market line, home spread or game total

Lines by book

BookSpread (home) open → nowTotal open → nowML homeML away
DraftKings-18.5-102153.5o-115 u-105——
BetMGM-17.5-110153.5o-115 u-105-2000+1000
Caesars-18.5-110153.5o-110 u-110——
Fanatics-19→-18.5-105154o-110 u-110-1800+1000
BetOnline-19→-17-110153.5o-115 u-105——
Bovada-18.5+100153.5o-115 u-105——
theScore Bet-18.5→-17.5-115154.5o-105 u-115——
Kalshi—153.5o-113 u-108-1567+1329
Polymarket——-2400+733
Novig————
open = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture

Head-to-head

this season and last
DateSeasonResult
Wed, Nov 122025-26Tulsa 88 – 87 Oral Roberts

More games on Wed, Nov 11

← Tue, Nov 10 · Thu, Nov 12 → · Full season schedule

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.