CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceAlumni Hall (Navy), Annapolis, MDVeterans Classic
Penn
Efficiency #162
2025-26: 18-12 · 11-5 conf
@
Navy
Efficiency #104
2025-26: 26-8 · 18-2 conf
Wed, Nov 11 · 5:30 PM ET
68.9
win 31%
Projected
74.7
win 69%
No line posted yet.
Model: NAVY −5.8 · total 143.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: Navy 66.8, Penn 69.3 → 67.9 possessions
−1.0
Navy offense vs Penn defense
−0.9
Penn offense vs Navy defense
−2.8
Projected total
143.5
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
Navy offense vs Penn defense
−0.9
Penn offense vs Navy defense
+2.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
Navy by 5.8
5.8
Penn side ◂▸ Navy side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Navy.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 67.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Penn is the faster team (68.7, #163 of 365) and Navy the slower (65.2, #327). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
67.9
per team, 40 min
Projected total
143.5
model
Projected team totals
68.9 / 74.7
Penn / Navy
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.3#95
Penn
66.8#301
Navy
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantagePenn
Where Penn struggles: shooting
Penn shoots an effective 50.4% (#223); Navy allows 48.3% (#42). Expect about 49.2%, 2.1 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.9 points per 100 possessions.
AdvantageNavy
Where Navy scores: shooting
Navy shoots an effective 53.1% (#100); Penn allows 52.1% (#218). Expect about 52.7%, 1.4 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.1 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (Penn, Navy's defense) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Penn at about 40.4% of its shots from three, Navy about 34.5%.
ClashPenn
Strength vs strength: 3-point shooting
Penn (#13 in 3-point shooting) against Navy (#7 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 34.3%. Historically Penn's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.25 vs 0.16).
ClashPenn
Style clash: 3-point volume
Penn rarely shoots threes (35.4% of its shots); Navy lets opponents take 46.0% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 40.4% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
Penn has the ball
OffenseNavy allowsvs D1 avg
50.4% #223
48.3% #42
-2.9 pt/100
15.3% #89
18.3% #83
-0.2 pt/100
30.0% #200
27.4% #49
-1.1 pt/100
33.9% #212
26.0% #13
-0.7 pt/100
69.4% #285
—
-0.3 pt/100
Penn net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -5.2 pts/100
Navy has the ball
OffensePenn allowsvs D1 avg
53.1% #100
52.1% #218
+2.1 pt/100
16.8% #190
17.3% #131
-0.5 pt/100
31.9% #126
31.3% #220
+0.9 pt/100
38.8% #82
27.5% #28
-0.3 pt/100
73.6% #145
—
+0.1 pt/100
Navy net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +2.3 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersPennoffense vsNavydefense
Share of shots by zone
Penn shoots
36.7
5.6
22.4
35.4
Navy allows
29.4
7.8
17.3
45.5
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.4%#331 | 61.7%#295 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 35.2%#286 | 36.1%#91 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.7%#196 | 38.0%#159 | 38.0% |
| Three | 38.3%#13 | 30.0%#7 | 33.7% |
Navyoffense vsPenndefense
Share of shots by zone
Navy shoots
42.2
6.0
19.4
32.4
Penn allows
40.5
6.0
14.1
39.4
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.8%#123 | 61.3%#278 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 48.4%#19 | 46.0%#320 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.5%#172 | 38.0%#160 | 38.0% |
| Three | 35.8%#64 | 32.2%#73 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersPenn
+2.7extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#63 of 365
Off reb %
30.0%
#200
Def reb %
68.7%
#220
Turnover %
15.3%
#89
Forced TO %
17.3%
#131
FT rate
33.9%
#212
FT allowed
27.5%
#28
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding−0.2
Ball security+1.0
Forcing turnovers+0.4
Foul shots drawn−0.3
Foul shots allowed+2.0
Navy
+6.0extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#14 of 365
Off reb %
31.9%
#126
Def reb %
72.6%
#49
Turnover %
16.8%
#190
Forced TO %
18.3%
#83
FT rate
38.8%
#82
FT allowed
26.0%
#13
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.5
Defensive rebounding+1.0
Ball security0.0
Forcing turnovers+1.1
Foul shots drawn+1.0
Foul shots allowed+2.4
Navy has more extra scoring chances per game: +6.0 (#14 of 365) to Penn’s +2.7 (#63).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Penn2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | TJ Power | F | Jr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 35.1 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 55.3% | 43.2% | 6.1 | 64.9% | 27.5% | |
| 7 | Michael Zanoni | F | Sr | 6'5" | 30-30 | 28.8 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 53.1% | 38.7% | 4.7 | 92.0% | 22.1% | |
| 0 | AJ Levine | G | So | 6'0" | 30-30 | 24.3 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 46.2% | 27.5% | 2.3 | 63.4% | 24.7% | |
| 25 | Augustus Gerhart | F | Jr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 19.8 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 62.4% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 63.6% | 15.3% | |
| 30 | Lucas Lueth | F | So | 6'7" | 28-1 | 16.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 43.5% | 22.6% | 1.1 | 37.9% | 15.0% | |
| 5 | Cam Thrower | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-6 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 47.8% | 41.9% | 2.3 | 86.8% | 23.1% | |
| 13 | Dalton Scantlebury | C | Fr | 6'9" | 29-0 | 15.5 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 51.2% | — | 0.0 | 62.3% | 23.2% | |
| 4 | Jay Jones | G | Fr | 6'4" | 27-0 | 13.7 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 48.0% | 38.9% | 0.7 | 58.9% | 18.8% | |
| 35 | Niklas Polonowski | F | Jr | 6'6" | 23-0 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 40.3% | 31.8% | 1.0 | 63.6% | 15.6% | |
| 2 | Dylan Williams | G | Sr | 5'11" | 7-0 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 40.6% | 25.0% | 0.6 | 33.3% | 24.9% | |
| 11 | Alex Massung | G | So | 6'4" | 10-0 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 35.7% | — | 0.0 | 70.0% | 24.2% | |
| 33 | Michelangelo Oberti | C | So | 6'10" | 12-0 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 69.2% | — | 0.0 | 80.0% | 20.8% | |
| 3 | Johnnie Walter | F | Sr | 6'10" | 5-0 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.6 | — | 11.2% | |
| 21 | Payton Kamin | F | Fr | 6'7" | 4-0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 18.4% | |
| 40 | William Kruse | F | Fr | 6'11" | 3-0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 125.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | — | 8.7% | |
| 15 | Bradyn Foster | F | So | 6'8" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 34 | Chris Ubochi | C | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Ryan Altman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Navy2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Navy's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Benigni | G | Sr | 5'11" | 34-34 | 36.1 | 18.0 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 49.2% | 44.1% | 4.0 | 88.0% | 31.6% | |
| 99 | Aidan Kehoe | C | Sr | 6'11" | 34-34 | 33.6 | 15.2 | 10.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 73.1% | — | 0.0 | 47.0% | 23.6% | |
| 10 | Jinwoo Kim | G | Jr | 6'3" | 34-33 | 30.5 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 50.0% | 40.6% | 4.1 | 83.6% | 20.1% | |
| 11 | Donovan Draper | F | Sr | 6'6" | 32-16 | 26.9 | 8.7 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 46.6% | 11.6% | 1.3 | 79.3% | 22.8% | |
| 21 | Jordan Pennick | G | Jr | 6'0" | 34-20 | 24.6 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 46.3% | 31.2% | 4.1 | 74.6% | 21.1% | |
| 30 | Mike Woods | F | Sr | 6'4" | 34-31 | 22.4 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 49.5% | 28.9% | 1.3 | 78.4% | 19.3% | |
| 2 | Cam Cole | G | Jr | 6'2" | 34-0 | 19.1 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 55.7% | 38.5% | 2.8 | 75.9% | 19.8% | |
| 7 | David Burnett | G | So | 6'4" | 18-0 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 54.3% | 25.0% | 0.2 | 45.5% | 17.3% | |
| 8 | Sam Krist | G | Sr | 6'5" | 15-1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 64.3% | 40.0% | 0.7 | — | 20.9% | |
| 42 | Cooper Jackson | F | So | 6'7" | 17-0 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 62.5% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.0% | 18.2% | |
| 0 | Nyles Howard | G | Jr | 6'4" | 11-0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 75.0% | 25.6% | |
| 14 | Cam Cormany | G | Sr | 6'0" | 14-1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 63.6% | 44.4% | 0.6 | 100.0% | 23.3% | |
| 25 | Jerry Ashley Jr. | F | Fr | 6'8" | 9-0 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 66.7% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.1% | |
| 3 | Julian Gabbidon | G | Jr | 6'3" | 7-0 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 33.2% | |
| 20 | Matt Gaffney | G | Fr | 5'11" | 4-0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 23.2% | |
| 77 | Owen Gray | F | So | 6'9" | 4-0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 7.4% | |
| 33 | Tobi Raji | F | So | 6'7" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 40 | C.J. Kearns | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Colin Pollock | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 18 | Davyn de Jongh | G | So | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 32 | Jordan McConnell | C | Fr | 6'10" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 16 | Julien King | G | So | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 35 | Luke Morgan | F | Fr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 9 | Reiss Whitaker | F | Jr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Steven McLeod | G | Fr | 6'1" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Penn2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | TJ Power | F | Jr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 35.1 | 16.4 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 55.3% | 43.2% | 6.1 | 64.9% | 27.5% | |
| 7 | Michael Zanoni | F | Sr | 6'5" | 30-30 | 28.8 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 53.1% | 38.7% | 4.7 | 92.0% | 22.1% | |
| 0 | AJ Levine | G | So | 6'0" | 30-30 | 24.3 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 46.2% | 27.5% | 2.3 | 63.4% | 24.7% | |
| 25 | Augustus Gerhart | F | Jr | 6'9" | 30-30 | 19.8 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 62.4% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 63.6% | 15.3% | |
| 30 | Lucas Lueth | F | So | 6'7" | 28-1 | 16.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 43.5% | 22.6% | 1.1 | 37.9% | 15.0% | |
| 5 | Cam Thrower | G | Sr | 6'3" | 27-6 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 47.8% | 41.9% | 2.3 | 86.8% | 23.1% | |
| 13 | Dalton Scantlebury | C | Fr | 6'9" | 29-0 | 15.5 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 51.2% | — | 0.0 | 62.3% | 23.2% | |
| 4 | Jay Jones | G | Fr | 6'4" | 27-0 | 13.7 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 48.0% | 38.9% | 0.7 | 58.9% | 18.8% | |
| 35 | Niklas Polonowski | F | Jr | 6'6" | 23-0 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 40.3% | 31.8% | 1.0 | 63.6% | 15.6% | |
| 2 | Dylan Williams | G | Sr | 5'11" | 7-0 | 8.7 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 40.6% | 25.0% | 0.6 | 33.3% | 24.9% | |
| 11 | Alex Massung | G | So | 6'4" | 10-0 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 35.7% | — | 0.0 | 70.0% | 24.2% | |
| 33 | Michelangelo Oberti | C | So | 6'10" | 12-0 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 69.2% | — | 0.0 | 80.0% | 20.8% | |
| 3 | Johnnie Walter | F | Sr | 6'10" | 5-0 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 0.6 | — | 11.2% | |
| 21 | Payton Kamin | F | Fr | 6'7" | 4-0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.3 | — | 18.4% | |
| 40 | William Kruse | F | Fr | 6'11" | 3-0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 125.0% | 100.0% | 0.3 | — | 8.7% | |
| 15 | Bradyn Foster | F | So | 6'8" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | 0.0% | |
| 34 | Chris Ubochi | C | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Ryan Altman | F | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Penn
Against the spread
Season
20-9
Home
8-5
Road
10-3
Last 10
8-2
avg cover +5.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 6 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
8-21
Home
1-12
Road
5-8
Last 10
2-8
avg vs total −3.2
Over 2 straightOver in 2 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19 | #3Illinois | N | L 70–105 | +25.5 | L−9.5 | 151.0 | O175 | 103.0 | 154.5 | 68.0 |
| Mar 15 | Yale | N | W 88–84 OT | +9.5 | W+13.5 | 144.0 | O172 | 121.7 | 116.1 | 72.3 |
| Mar 14 | Harvard | N | W 62–60 OT | +3.5 | W+5.5 | 139.0 | U122 | 88.7 | 85.9 | 69.9 |
| Mar 6 | Brown | A | W 82–61 | +1.0 | W+22.0 | 147.0 | U143 | 114.2 | 84.9 | 71.8 |
| Feb 28 | Harvard | H | W 64–61 | +1.0 | W+4.0 | 139.5 | U125 | 89.5 | 85.3 | 71.5 |
| Feb 27 | Dartmouth | H | W 80–71 | −6.5 | W+2.5 | 153.5 | U151 | 115.6 | 102.6 | 69.2 |
| Feb 21 | Yale | A | L 70–74 | +8.5 | W+4.5 | 149.5 | U144 | 105.1 | 111.1 | 66.6 |
| Feb 14 | Cornell | H | W 82–76 | +3.0 | W+9.0 | 170.0 | U158 | 107.6 | 99.7 | 76.2 |
| Feb 13 | Columbia | H | W 76–67 | −2.0 | W+7.0 | 148.0 | U143 | 108.0 | 95.2 | 70.4 |
| Feb 7 | Princeton | H | W 61–60 | −3.5 | L−2.5 | 145.0 | U121 | 104.5 | 102.8 | 58.4 |
Navy
Against the spread
Season
20-11-1
Home
9-6
Road
10-4-1
Last 10
7-2-1
avg cover +5.2
Covered 7 of 9 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
14-17-1
Home
9-6
Road
5-9-1
Last 10
7-2-1
avg vs total +5.4
Over 4 straightOver in 6 of 9 as a favorite, 1 push
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18 | Wake Forest | A | L 72–82 | +10.0 | P0.0 | 147.5 | O154 | 109.0 | 124.1 | 66.1 |
| Mar 8 | Boston U | H | L 72–73 | −7.0 | L−8.0 | 136.5 | O145 | 117.4 | 119.1 | 61.3 |
| Mar 5 | Bucknell | H | W 74–69 | −14.5 | L−9.5 | 132.5 | O143 | 118.1 | 110.1 | 62.7 |
| Feb 28 | Colgate | H | W 85–69 | −6.5 | W+9.5 | 142.0 | O154 | 127.8 | 103.7 | 66.5 |
| Feb 25 | Loyola MD | A | W 78–51 | −6.5 | W+20.5 | 146.5 | U129 | 128.1 | 83.8 | 60.9 |
| Feb 21 | Army | A | W 81–63 | −7.5 | W+10.5 | 137.5 | O144 | 126.5 | 98.4 | 64.0 |
| Feb 18 | Lehigh | H | W 72–49 | −10.0 | W+13.0 | 139.5 | U121 | 111.7 | 76.0 | 64.5 |
| Feb 14 | Colgate | A | W 84–80 OT | −2.0 | W+2.0 | 139.0 | O164 | 117.4 | 111.8 | 71.6 |
| Feb 9 | Bucknell | A | W 76–60 | −6.5 | W+9.5 | 136.0 | P136 | 109.9 | 86.7 | 69.2 |
| Feb 7 | American | H | W 82–73 | −4.5 | W+4.5 | 134.0 | O155 | 127.1 | 113.2 | 64.5 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homePennNavy
Efficiency
107.9
108.5
107.2
104.9
69.3
66.8
—
—
Shooting
50.4%
53.1%
46.5%
52.7%
38.3%
35.8%
69.4%
73.6%
33.9%
38.8%
Ball control & glass
15.3%
16.8%
17.3%
18.3%
30.0%
31.9%
31.3%
27.4%
8.5%
9.2%
9.3%
7.8%
Style
35.4%
33.1%
39.7%
44.8%
11.0%
11.6%
52.3%
61.2%
31.8%
25.5%
Roster
2.70
3.56
6'5.9"
6'3.7"
88.4%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputPenn
Returning minutes: 88.4%Returning production: 86.3%
Lost
- Ethan Roberts 23.4 mpg, 13.0 ppg · transferred to Notre Dame
Added
- Ryan Altman no D1 minutes last season
- Chris Ubochi no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 88% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Navy
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Navy's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.