CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceBroadview Center, Albany, NY
Dartmouth
Efficiency #254
2025-26: 11-16 · 5-9 conf
@
UAlbany
Efficiency #306
2025-26: 11-21 · 7-10 conf
Wed, Nov 11 · TBD
73.9
win 44%
Projected
75.6
win 56%
No line posted yet.
Model: UALB −1.7 · total 149.5 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: UAlbany 67.0, Dartmouth 69.7 → 68.3 possessions
0.0
UAlbany offense vs Dartmouth defense
−0.4
Dartmouth offense vs UAlbany defense
+1.8
Projected total
149.5
Axis starts at 147 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
UAlbany offense vs Dartmouth defense
−0.4
Dartmouth offense vs UAlbany defense
−1.8
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.9
UAlbany by 1.7
1.7
Dartmouth side ◂▸ UAlbany side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 149.6 against a projected 149.5. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help UAlbany.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 68.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Dartmouth is the faster team (69.2, #130 of 365) and UAlbany the slower (65.6, #311). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
68.3
per team, 40 min
Projected total
149.5
model
Projected team totals
73.9 / 75.6
Dartmouth / UAlbany
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
69.7#74
Dartmouth
67.0#291
UAlbany
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageDartmouth
Where Dartmouth struggles: the offensive glass
Dartmouth rebounds 23.7% of its own misses (#346); UAlbany lets opponents grab 32.4% of their own misses (#277). Expect about 26.7%, 3.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -2.2 points per 100 possessions.
Dartmouth has the ball
OffenseUAlbany allowsvs D1 avg
51.8% #156
53.2% #275
+1.8 pt/100
17.6% #247
15.8% #230
+0.1 pt/100
23.7% #346
32.4% #277
-2.2 pt/100
38.0% #103
35.7% #202
+0.2 pt/100
74.2% #119
—
+0.2 pt/100
Dartmouth net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.1 pts/100
UAlbany has the ball
OffenseDartmouth allowsvs D1 avg
51.3% #182
52.7% #254
+1.1 pt/100
18.5% #300
13.8% #340
+1.1 pt/100
32.7% #99
29.7% #148
+0.8 pt/100
24.9% #364
30.7% #80
-0.9 pt/100
65.9% #354
—
-0.6 pt/100
UAlbany net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.5 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersDartmouthoffense vsUAlbanydefense
Share of shots by zone
Dartmouth shoots
34.0
5.1
12.2
48.6
UAlbany allows
40.4
5.2
13.7
40.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.0%#274 | 56.9%#110 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.3%#312 | 41.3%#219 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.7%#119 | 39.6%#225 | 38.0% |
| Three | 36.1%#51 | 36.0%#302 | 33.7% |
UAlbanyoffense vsDartmouthdefense
Share of shots by zone
UAlbany shoots
42.2
6.8
13.1
37.9
Dartmouth allows
44.0
4.8
11.8
39.3
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 57.1%#228 | 58.3%#156 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 49.0%#14 | 44.8%#291 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.9%#146 | 32.9%#27 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.6%#248 | 34.6%#227 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersDartmouth
−2.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#285 of 365
Off reb %
23.7%
#346
Def reb %
70.3%
#148
Turnover %
17.6%
#247
Forced TO %
13.8%
#340
FT rate
38.0%
#103
FT allowed
30.7%
#80
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.1
Defensive rebounding+0.3
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers−2.0
Foul shots drawn+0.8
Foul shots allowed+1.2
UAlbany
−4.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#336 of 365
Off reb %
32.7%
#99
Def reb %
67.6%
#277
Turnover %
18.5%
#300
Forced TO %
15.8%
#230
FT rate
24.9%
#364
FT allowed
35.7%
#202
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security−1.2
Forcing turnovers−0.6
Foul shots drawn−2.6
Foul shots allowed−0.1
Dartmouth has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.5 (#285 of 365) to UAlbany’s −4.3 (#336).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Dartmouth2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Dartmouth's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kareem Thomas | G | So | 6'5" | 26-25 | 29.2 | 15.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 53.5% | 44.7% | 4.0 | 79.5% | 30.6% | |
| 30 | Connor Amundsen | PG | So | 5'11" | 26-25 | 29.1 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 48.0% | 33.3% | 4.5 | 74.6% | 20.2% | |
| 21 | Brandon Mitchell-Day | F | Sr | 6'8" | 27-27 | 28.0 | 12.1 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 53.7% | 35.8% | 2.5 | 75.0% | 27.0% | |
| 22 | Jayden Williams | F | Sr | 6'6" | 26-26 | 27.3 | 11.8 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 54.0% | 35.6% | 6.9 | 84.8% | 25.9% | |
| 33 | Jackson Munro | F | Sr | 6'8" | 27-27 | 24.7 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 59.3% | 37.3% | 3.1 | 80.6% | 16.7% | |
| 5 | Cameron McNamee | G | So | 6'6" | 27-1 | 20.3 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 53.8% | 38.1% | 3.1 | 66.0% | 17.3% | |
| 11 | Cam Hiatt | G | Fr | 6'4" | 23-1 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 44.0% | 31.7% | 2.6 | 84.6% | 15.7% | |
| 23 | Nikola Abusara | G | Jr | 6'5" | 23-0 | 17.2 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 45.0% | 17.6% | 0.7 | 73.9% | 20.4% | |
| 0 | Ben Brown | G | Jr | 6'2" | 16-2 | 9.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 34.5% | 1.8 | — | 14.7% | |
| 10 | Anton Strelnikov | C | Fr | 6'8" | 18-0 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 66.3% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 53.3% | 33.7% | |
| 7 | Patrick Tivnan Jr. | F | Jr | 6'8" | 13-0 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 14.3% | 10.2% | |
| 44 | Shanon Simango | F | So | 6'8" | 10-0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.9% | 31.1% | |
| 50 | Tyler Garrett | F | Fr | 6'10" | 8-0 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 59.4% | 33.3% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 26.3% | |
| 3 | Khai Lockwood | G | So | 6'1" | 7-0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 9.2% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
UAlbany2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UAlbany's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Amir Lindsey | G | So | 5'11" | 31-31 | 37.6 | 17.9 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 51.7% | 34.9% | 5.6 | 79.2% | 29.2% | |
| 00 | Okechukwu Okeke | F | Sr | 6'10" | 32-25 | 29.8 | 10.8 | 7.3 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 69.3% | 100.0% | 0.0 | 56.5% | 20.5% | |
| 5 | Isaac Abidde | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-29 | 25.3 | 9.4 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 56.1% | 36.2% | 4.0 | 65.0% | 22.9% | |
| 11 | Jaden Kempson | G | Jr | 6'3" | 24-20 | 31.0 | 10.2 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 43.1% | 29.5% | 3.3 | 62.2% | 24.9% | |
| 14 | Zacharie Matulu | G | So | 6'4" | 21-18 | 28.4 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 57.0% | 36.0% | 4.1 | 75.0% | 21.0% | |
| 4 | Miles Rose | G | So | 6'4" | 29-6 | 15.7 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 41.0% | 33.3% | 0.6 | 36.7% | 19.6% | |
| 24 | Tarique Foster | F | Jr | 6'8" | 22-8 | 20.3 | 5.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 48.8% | 33.3% | 4.1 | 64.7% | 20.3% | |
| 13 | Ma'Kye Taylor | F | So | 6'7" | 31-4 | 13.7 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 47.5% | 9.1% | 0.7 | 45.0% | 19.0% | |
| 8 | Nas Muhammad | G | Jr | 6'1" | 15-5 | 20.5 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 47.6% | 34.2% | 5.3 | 75.0% | 27.0% | |
| 22 | Abdoulaye Fall | G | Jr | 6'10" | 7-7 | 30.7 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 51.9% | 31.8% | 3.1 | 85.7% | 20.8% | |
| 7 | Ife West-Ingram | F | Jr | 6'7" | 9-1 | 14.3 | 6.9 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 72.6% | 25.0% | 0.4 | 50.0% | 21.2% | |
| 25 | Yaya Keita | C | Jr | 6'9" | 13-4 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 51.6% | — | 0.0 | 78.6% | 21.7% | |
| 10 | Bautista Giralt | C | So | 7'0" | 15-2 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 62.5% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 20.4% | |
| 33 | Sully Adewale | F | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 3 | Wilkin Paulino | G | Fr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Will Richardson | G | Jr | 6'2" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Dartmouth2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted Dartmouth's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kareem Thomas | G | So | 6'5" | 26-25 | 29.2 | 15.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 53.5% | 44.7% | 4.0 | 79.5% | 30.6% | |
| 30 | Connor Amundsen | PG | So | 5'11" | 26-25 | 29.1 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 48.0% | 33.3% | 4.5 | 74.6% | 20.2% | |
| 21 | Brandon Mitchell-Day | F | Sr | 6'8" | 27-27 | 28.0 | 12.1 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 53.7% | 35.8% | 2.5 | 75.0% | 27.0% | |
| 22 | Jayden Williams | F | Sr | 6'6" | 26-26 | 27.3 | 11.8 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 54.0% | 35.6% | 6.9 | 84.8% | 25.9% | |
| 33 | Jackson Munro | F | Sr | 6'8" | 27-27 | 24.7 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 59.3% | 37.3% | 3.1 | 80.6% | 16.7% | |
| 5 | Cameron McNamee | G | So | 6'6" | 27-1 | 20.3 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 53.8% | 38.1% | 3.1 | 66.0% | 17.3% | |
| 11 | Cam Hiatt | G | Fr | 6'4" | 23-1 | 17.3 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 44.0% | 31.7% | 2.6 | 84.6% | 15.7% | |
| 23 | Nikola Abusara | G | Jr | 6'5" | 23-0 | 17.2 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 45.0% | 17.6% | 0.7 | 73.9% | 20.4% | |
| 0 | Ben Brown | G | Jr | 6'2" | 16-2 | 9.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 50.0% | 34.5% | 1.8 | — | 14.7% | |
| 10 | Anton Strelnikov | C | Fr | 6'8" | 18-0 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 66.3% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 53.3% | 33.7% | |
| 7 | Patrick Tivnan Jr. | F | Jr | 6'8" | 13-0 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 14.3% | 10.2% | |
| 44 | Shanon Simango | F | So | 6'8" | 10-0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 60.9% | 31.1% | |
| 50 | Tyler Garrett | F | Fr | 6'10" | 8-0 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 59.4% | 33.3% | 1.1 | 50.0% | 26.3% | |
| 3 | Khai Lockwood | G | So | 6'1" | 7-0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 9.2% |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Dartmouth
Against the spread
Season
11-14
Home
2-9
Road
9-5
Last 10
3-7
avg cover −5.0
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 3 of 9 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
12-13
Home
4-7
Road
8-6
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.6
Over 2 straightOver in 4 of 9 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | Cornell | H | L 90–111 | +4.5 | L−16.5 | 166.0 | O201 | 115.5 | 142.5 | 77.9 |
| Feb 28 | Princeton | A | L 61–82 | +2.0 | L−19.0 | 141.5 | O143 | 94.4 | 126.9 | 64.6 |
| Feb 27 | Penn | A | L 71–80 | +6.5 | L−2.5 | 153.5 | U151 | 102.6 | 115.6 | 69.2 |
| Feb 21 | Columbia | A | W 64–63 | +7.0 | W+8.0 | 151.5 | U127 | 95.3 | 93.8 | 67.2 |
| Feb 14 | Brown | H | L 76–79 | −3.0 | L−6.0 | 139.5 | O155 | 106.4 | 110.6 | 71.5 |
| Feb 13 | Yale | H | L 70–83 | +10.0 | L−3.0 | 151.5 | O153 | 102.5 | 121.5 | 68.3 |
| Feb 7 | Harvard | H | L 58–71 | +1.0 | L−12.0 | 140.5 | U129 | 90.1 | 110.3 | 64.4 |
| Jan 31 | Brown | A | W 77–70 OT | +2.0 | W+9.0 | 143.0 | O147 | 103.1 | 93.7 | 74.7 |
| Jan 30 | Yale | A | L 68–83 | +15.5 | W+0.5 | 155.0 | U151 | 105.8 | 129.1 | 64.3 |
| Jan 24 | Columbia | H | L 69–79 | +2.0 | L−8.0 | 157.0 | U148 | 96.6 | 110.6 | 71.4 |
UAlbany
Against the spread
Season
11-18
Home
4-5
Road
5-12
Last 10
4-6
avg cover +0.6
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 1 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 5 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
14-15
Home
4-5
Road
8-9
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total +0.8
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 2 of 5 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | UMass Lowell | A | L 76–81 | +3.0 | L−2.0 | 147.5 | O157 | 112.7 | 120.1 | 67.5 |
| Mar 3 | Vermont | A | L 56–69 | +9.0 | L−4.0 | 137.0 | U125 | 91.7 | 112.9 | 61.1 |
| Feb 28 | New Hampshire | H | W 84–61 | −3.0 | W+20.0 | 139.0 | O145 | 125.3 | 91.0 | 67.0 |
| Feb 26 | Maine | H | L 59–70 | −5.5 | L−16.5 | 131.5 | U129 | 98.0 | 116.3 | 60.2 |
| Feb 21 | UMBC | A | L 62–66 | +6.0 | W+2.0 | 145.0 | U128 | 104.1 | 110.9 | 59.5 |
| Feb 19 | NJIT | A | W 81–63 | +4.0 | W+22.0 | 143.0 | O144 | 136.0 | 105.7 | 59.6 |
| Feb 14 | Binghamton | A | W 77–74 | −4.5 | L−1.5 | 137.0 | O151 | 112.4 | 108.0 | 68.5 |
| Feb 7 | UMass Lowell | H | L 79–89 | −3.5 | L−13.5 | 145.0 | O168 | 113.6 | 128.0 | 69.5 |
| Feb 5 | Bryant | A | W 65–63 | +1.0 | W+3.0 | 134.0 | U128 | 107.7 | 104.3 | 60.4 |
| Jan 31 | UMBC | H | L 65–68 | −1.0 | L−4.0 | 140.5 | U133 | 102.7 | 107.4 | 63.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeDartmouthUAlbany
Efficiency
106.2
105.5
110.8
113.4
69.7
67.0
—
—
Shooting
51.8%
51.3%
49.4%
52.8%
36.1%
32.6%
74.2%
65.9%
38.0%
24.9%
Ball control & glass
17.6%
18.5%
13.8%
15.8%
23.7%
32.7%
29.7%
32.4%
10.5%
10.4%
10.4%
9.4%
Style
48.7%
37.6%
34.2%
49.5%
9.5%
13.7%
53.9%
48.9%
32.1%
26.3%
Roster
2.80
2.86
6'5.2"
6'5.2"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputDartmouth
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted Dartmouth's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
UAlbany
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted UAlbany's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.