Charleston Cougars vs Temple Owls basketball prediction & odds
Wed, Nov 11 · 6:30 PM ET · Liacouras Center, Philadelphia, PA
Non-conferenceESPN+Liacouras Center, Philadelphia, PA
Charleston
2025-26: 21-11 · 14-5 conf
Efficiency #157
@
Temple
1-1 · 0-0 conf
Efficiency #217
Wed, Nov 11 · 6:30 PM ET
74.678.9
Projected score
COFC win 36%TEM win 64%
Consensus
Spread
TEM −1.5
open TEM −0.75
Total
154.5
open 153.5
Our line
TEM −4.3
ML Charleston
-110
ML Temple
-110
Median of 8 books · as of Tue, Nov 10 · 9:27 PM ET
Our play
How our line is built
each step, from an even game to our lineSpread
Even game
0.0
Templerated 0.5 above average
+0.5
Charlestonrated 0.4 above average
−0.4
Home court
+4.2
Our line
TEM −4.3
◂ Charleston sideTemple side ▸
The spread is seen from the home side: a plus moves it toward Temple. Our total joins once both teams have played 3 games.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 69.1, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw season pace, Charleston is the faster team (68.3, #187 of 365) and Temple the slower (68.3, #259). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
69.1
per team, 40 min
Market total
154.5
Consensus · open 153.5
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
70.8#168
Charleston
68.8#297
Temple
How this game plays
points this game from the four factors, vs an average D-I matchupOur line
TEM −4.3
Four factors −4.8 · not in these stats +9.1
From the four factors
Temple has the ball−5.7
Charleston has the ball−0.8
Temple has the ball
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 44.7% #270 · COFC allows 49.2% #74−3.7
✗Few second chancesOR% 23.7% #302 · COFC allows 32.3% #273−2.1
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 19.0% #217 · COFC forces 14.7% #308 · ~11 turnovers+1.5
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 27.4% #286 · COFC allows 26.1% #15 · FT 64.5% #261−1.3
Charleston has the ball
✗Few second chancesOR% 29.9% #204 · TEM allows 26.0% #83−1.6
✓Takes care of the ballTO% 15.7% #118 · TEM forces 18.3% #158 · ~12 turnovers+1.1
✗Few trips to the lineFTR 41.2% #43 · TEM allows 21.8% #30 · FT 73.6% #147−0.4
✗Tough shooting lookeFG% 50.5% #212 · TEM allows 50.0% #1630.0
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shootCharlestonoffense vsTempledefense
Share of shots by zone
Charleston shoots
37.4
9.5
15.7
37.5
Temple allows
46.4
3.6
20.2
29.8
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 66.4%#12 | 43.6%#30 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 34.2%#299 | 0.0%#1 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 33.9%#315 | 23.5%#79 | 34.7% |
| Three | 30.6%#331 | 40.5%#304 | 32.5% |
Templeoffense vsCharlestondefense
Share of shots by zone
Temple shoots
34.2
3.9
5.3
56.6
Charleston allows
32.7
7.4
16.1
43.7
D-I average
37.8
8.0
12.4
41.8
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 65.4%#99 | 59.7%#214 | 58.0% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 33.3%#183 | 27.6%#6 | 38.2% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 0.0%#327 | 39.4%#217 | 34.7% |
| Three | 24.2%#312 | 32.6%#90 | 32.5% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul lineCharleston
+2.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#74 of 365
Off reb %
29.9%
#204
Def reb %
67.7%
#273
Turnover %
15.7%
#118
Forced TO %
14.7%
#308
FT rate
41.2%
#43
FT allowed
26.1%
#15
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.2
Defensive rebounding−0.6
Ball security+0.7
Forcing turnovers−1.4
Foul shots drawn+1.6
Foul shots allowed+2.3
Temple
+0.5extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#169 of 365
Off reb %
23.7%
#302
Def reb %
74.0%
#83
Turnover %
19.0%
#217
Forced TO %
18.3%
#158
FT rate
27.4%
#286
FT allowed
21.8%
#30
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−2.6
Defensive rebounding+1.9
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers+0.2
Foul shots drawn−2.6
Foul shots allowed+4.2
Charleston has more extra scoring chances per game: +2.6 (#74 of 365) to Temple’s +0.5 (#169).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Who has been playing, and who has notCharleston2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | G | Jr | 6'7" | 2-2 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 3.0 | 100.0% | 16.3% | |
| 8 | G | Sr | 6'0" | 2-2 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 60.5% | 45.5% | 5.5 | 50.0% | 30.3% | |
| 15 | G | So | 6'0" | 2-2 | 19.0 | 15.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 86.1% | 62.5% | 4.0 | — | 27.1% | |
| 11 | C | So | 7'0" | 2-2 | 17.5 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 0.0% | 27.9% | |
| 24 | G | Fr | 6'4" | 2-0 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 30.0% | 0.0% | 2.5 | 100.0% | 18.9% | |
| 0 | G | So | 6'4" | 2-0 | 15.5 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 66.7% | 0.0% | 2.0 | — | 23.7% | |
| 3 | G | Jr | 6'5" | 2-2 | 15.0 | 13.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 65.6% | 33.3% | 4.5 | 71.4% | 34.9% | |
| 2 | G | Fr | 6'2" | 2-0 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 85.7% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 33.3% | 14.2% | |
| 5 | G | So | 6'6" | 2-0 | 13.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 55.0% | 25.0% | 2.0 | 100.0% | 23.4% | |
| 18 | F | Jr | 6'9" | 2-0 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 50.0% | 33.3% | 1.5 | — | 17.0% | |
| 9 | F | So | 6'11" | 2-0 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 75.0% | 33.3% | 1.5 | — | 14.9% | |
| 23 | F | So | 6'10" | 2-0 | 10.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 18.2% | |
| 4 | G | Sr | 6'3" | 2-0 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 56.3% | 20.0% | 2.5 | — | 26.1% | |
| 1 | G | So | 6'1" | 2-0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 1.5 | — | 44.1% | |
| 7 | G | So | 6'5" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | — | 16.3% |
Competitive minutes leave out garbage time (provisional rule: a second-half lead of 25+ inside 15:00, 20+ inside 10:00, 15+ inside 5:00 or 10+ inside 2:00, held to the end) and are shown per 40 minutes. Status says only whether a player appeared; the reason is not published.
Trends
Results against the closing spread and total, last ten gamesCharleston
Against the spread
Season
19-12
Home
8-6
Road
9-3
Last 10
7-3
avg cover −0.2
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 8 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
13-18
Home
5-9
Road
7-5
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −7.3
Under in the last gameOver in 2 of 8 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | Newberry Wolves | H | W 112–66 | — | — | — | — | 139.6 | 82.3 | 80.2 |
| Nov 2 | Southern Wesleyan Warriors | H | W 111–55 | — | — | — | — | 136.6 | 67.7 | 81.3 |
| Mar 8 | Towson | N | L 56–81 | −2.5 | L−27.5 | 139.0 | U137 | 92.7 | 134.0 | 60.4 |
| Mar 1 | UNC Wilmington | A | W 79–76 | +5.0 | W+8.0 | 147.0 | O155 | 122.6 | 117.9 | 64.5 |
| Feb 26 | Hampton | A | W 85–71 | −5.5 | W+8.5 | 139.5 | O156 | 124.3 | 103.8 | 68.4 |
| Feb 21 | Monmouth | H | W 74–63 | −5.0 | W+6.0 | 150.0 | U137 | 109.9 | 93.5 | 67.4 |
| Feb 19 | NC A&T | A | W 74–61 | −5.0 | W+8.0 | 146.0 | U135 | 116.7 | 96.2 | 63.4 |
| Feb 15 | Campbell | A | W 62–57 | +2.5 | W+7.5 | 160.0 | U119 | 102.0 | 93.8 | 60.8 |
| Feb 12 | Hofstra | H | L 62–66 | −1.0 | L−5.0 | 146.0 | U128 | 88.3 | 94.0 | 70.2 |
| Feb 9 | UNC Wilmington | H | L 64–76 | −2.0 | L−14.0 | 149.0 | U140 | 94.1 | 111.8 | 68.0 |
Temple
Against the spread
Season
0-2
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-2
avg cover −13.5
Missed the spread 2 straight
Over / under
Season
0-2
Home
0-1
Road
0-0
Last 10
0-2
avg vs total −20.2
Under 2 straight
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | Richmond | N | L 53–79 | +1.5 | L−24.5 | 151.0 | U132 | 76.2 | 113.5 | 69.6 |
| Nov 2 | C Connecticut | H | W 68–56 | −14.5 | L−2.5 | 145.5 | U124 | 101.5 | 83.6 | 67.0 |
| Mar 11 | FAU | N | L 59–63 | −1.0 | L−5.0 | 144.5 | U122 | 91.3 | 97.4 | 64.7 |
| Mar 8 | Tulsa | A | L 76–78 | +11.5 | W+9.5 | 150.5 | O154 | 113.6 | 116.6 | 66.9 |
| Mar 5 | Tulane | H | W 89–60 | −5.0 | W+24.0 | 145.0 | O149 | 132.2 | 89.1 | 67.3 |
| Mar 1 | Rice | H | L 74–80 | −7.0 | L−13.0 | 142.5 | O154 | 113.5 | 122.7 | 65.2 |
| Feb 26 | FAU | A | L 73–77 | +4.5 | W+0.5 | 146.0 | O150 | 114.0 | 120.2 | 64.0 |
| Feb 21 | Wichita St | A | L 57–69 | +8.5 | L−3.5 | 143.5 | U126 | 92.8 | 112.4 | 61.4 |
| Feb 18 | UAB | H | L 71–76 | −1.5 | L−6.5 | 143.5 | O147 | 107.5 | 115.1 | 66.0 |
| Feb 15 | North Texas | H | L 62–65 | −2.0 | L−5.0 | 135.0 | U127 | 97.2 | 101.9 | 63.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Team comparison
national rank toned left for away, right for homeCharlestonTemple
Efficiency
105.8
102.4
105.3
105.7
70.8
68.8
—
-2.0
Shooting
50.5%
44.7%
53.4%
54.9%
30.6%
24.2%
73.6%
64.5%
41.2%
27.4%
Ball control & glass
15.7%
19.0%
14.7%
18.3%
29.9%
23.7%
32.3%
26.0%
9.3%
16.1%
8.6%
11.8%
Style
38.1%
54.9%
45.3%
46.3%
14.0%
31.4%
52.6%
58.1%
32.4%
50.0%
Roster
2.66
3.64
6'4.3"
6'4.4"
15.1%
32.8%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputCharleston
Returning minutes: 15.1%Returning production: 10.6%
Lost
- Jlynn Counter 29.9 mpg, 15.3 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Connor Hickman 24.2 mpg, 8.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Christian Reeves 20.7 mpg, 10.7 ppg · transferred to Kansas
- Chol Machot 19.7 mpg, 8.9 ppg · transferred to Georgetown
- Chris Davis Jr. 17.8 mpg, 7.4 ppg · transferred to South Florida
- Chadlyn Traylor 17.3 mpg, 3.8 ppg · transferred to Wright St
Added
- Tavari Johnson from Akron · 31.9 mpg, 19.7 ppg last season
- Ben Bradford from Charlotte · 28.2 mpg, 13.5 ppg last season
- Eli Ellis from South Carolina · 23.5 mpg, 7.5 ppg last season
- Xavier Abreu from Northeastern · 19.6 mpg, 11.7 ppg last season
- Trey Scott from Georgia St · 16.8 mpg, 4.3 ppg last season
- Max Green from Northwestern · 10.0 mpg, 2.9 ppg last season
Returns 15% of last season's minutes; lost 4 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Temple
Returning minutes: 34.5%Returning production: 35.9%
Lost
- Aiden Tobiason 35.4 mpg, 15.3 ppg · transferred to Syracuse
- Jordan Mason 33.7 mpg, 11.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Babatunde Durodola 19.2 mpg, 4.8 ppg · transferred to Ball State
- Masiah Gilyard 17.4 mpg, 5.6 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Jamai Felt 12.9 mpg, 3.7 ppg · transferred to Little Rock
- Ayuba Bryant Jr. 6.8 mpg, 1.5 ppg · transferred to North Florida
Added
- Dez White from Oregon St · 26.9 mpg, 8.8 ppg last season
- Baboucarr Njie from UTSA · 24.7 mpg, 9.1 ppg last season
- Edwin Suarez Jr. from Weber St · 20.9 mpg, 8.9 ppg last season
- Jordan Marsh from USC · 16.0 mpg, 6.3 ppg last season
- Christian Beam from Georgia St · 12.7 mpg, 2.6 ppg last season
- Sir Issac Herron from Louisiana Tech · 10.4 mpg, 3.6 ppg last season
Returns 34% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (2 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Line history
Market line, home spread or game totalLines by book
| Book | Spread (home) open → now | Total open → now | ML home | ML away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -1.5-105 | 153.5→154.5o-108 u-112 | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | +1.5-122 | 153.5→154.5o-114 u-106 | -106 | -113 |
| BetMGM | -1.5-110 | 154.5o-105 u-115 | -125 | +105 |
| Caesars | -1.5-110 | 154.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Fanatics | +1→-1-105 | 153.5→154.5o-110 u-110 | -110 | -110 |
| BetOnline | 0-115 | 152.5→153.5o-115 u-105 | — | — |
| Bovada | -1.5-105 | 154.5o-110 u-110 | -110 | -110 |
| theScore Bet | -1.5-105 | 153.5→154.5o-110 u-110 | — | — |
| Kalshi | -1.5+104 | 153.5o-122 u-113 | -104 | -104 |
| Polymarket | +1.5-170 | 153.5o-138 u-127 | -104 | -108 |
| Novig | -1.5-106 | 154.5o-122 u-117 | -111 | -104 |
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
Caesars
Fanatics
BetOnline
Bovada
theScore Bet
Kalshi
Polymarket
Novigopen = first-sighted line for this event · now = latest capture
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
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The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — the market spread and total (the median across books when no market line is up). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, from our line: the same view our bets are made from.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.