CBB Matchups

Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.

College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.

Non-conferenceThe Coliseum, Carrollton, GA

UNC Asheville

Efficiency #226

2025-26: 15-17 · 9-9 conf

West Georgia

Efficiency #304

2025-26: 15-17 · 9-11 conf

Wed, Nov 11 · 7:00 PM ET

72.1

win 48%

Projected

72.7

win 52%

No line posted yet.

Model: WGA −0.6 · total 144.8 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3

Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.

How the projection is built

each step, from an average D-I game to this one

Projected total

Average D-I game

148.2

PaceAdjusted tempo: West Georgia 69.4, UNC Asheville 66.6 → 67.8 possessions

−1.2

West Georgia offense vs UNC Asheville defense

−2.8

UNC Asheville offense vs West Georgia defense

+0.5

Projected total

144.8

Axis starts at 142 pointsPoints added or removed at each step

Projected margin

Even game

0.0

West Georgia offense vs UNC Asheville defense

−2.8

UNC Asheville offense vs West Georgia defense

−0.5

Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors

+3.9

West Georgia by 0.6

0.6

UNC Asheville side ◂▸ West Georgia side

Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 144.7 against a projected 144.8. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help West Georgia.

Pace & total

possessions per 40 minutes

Tempo, possessions per 40 minutes

Projected possessions: 67.8, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, West Georgia is the faster team (70.2, #89 of 365) and UNC Asheville the slower (67.1, #238). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).

Projected possessions

67.8

per team, 40 min

Projected total

144.8

model

Projected team totals

72.1 / 72.7

UNC Asheville / West Georgia

Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent

66.6#311

UNC Asheville

69.4#86

West Georgia

How this game plays

what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meet

AdvantageWest Georgia

Where West Georgia scores: ball control

West Georgia turns it over on 15.9% of possessions (#128); UNC Asheville forces turnovers on 15.5% of opponent possessions (#252). Expect about 15.4%, 1.3 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +1.7 points per 100 possessions.

ClashUNC Asheville

Strength vs strength: shot-blocking exposure

UNC Asheville (#37 in shot-blocking exposure) against West Georgia (#42 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 10.7%. Historically West Georgia's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.41 vs 0.68).

ClashWest Georgia

Style match: paint scoring

West Georgia scores 46.3% of its points in the paint; UNC Asheville gives up 46.2% of opponents' points in the paint (D1 average 42.8%). Expect about 44.8% — both habits push the same way.

UNC Asheville has the ball

OffenseWest Georgia allowsvs D1 avg

51.0% #194

53.4% #281

+1.3 pt/100

17.4% #231

14.7% #310

+1.2 pt/100

29.8% #211

29.0% #102

-0.7 pt/100

40.0% #60

36.9% #234

+0.4 pt/100

68.4% #317

—

-0.4 pt/100

UNC Asheville net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.9 pts/100

West Georgia has the ball

OffenseUNC Asheville allowsvs D1 avg

49.6% #261

51.3% #175

-1.4 pt/100

15.9% #128

15.5% #252

+1.7 pt/100

31.5% #142

31.3% #218

+0.7 pt/100

29.2% #329

38.7% #279

-0.1 pt/100

70.4% #259

—

-0.2 pt/100

West Georgia net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.8 pts/100

Shot diet

Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers

UNC Ashevilleoffense vsWest Georgiadefense

Share of shots by zone

UNC Asheville shoots

32.0

10.4

24.2

33.5

West Georgia allows

46.0

6.7

10.1

37.1

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	57.1%#232	60.8%#262	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	46.8%#40	44.6%#285	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	41.6%#67	39.6%#228	38.0%
Three	35.1%#110	33.1%#128	33.7%

West Georgiaoffense vsUNC Ashevilledefense

Share of shots by zone

West Georgia shoots

35.5

9.9

21.6

32.9

UNC Asheville allows

44.2

5.6

11.9

38.3

D-I average

38.5

6.4

15.8

39.3

FG% by zone

Zone			D-I avg
Rim	56.3%#261	57.3%#125	58.6%
Short 2 (≤9 ft)	50.9%#9	36.4%#99	39.5%
Mid 2 (10 ft+)	37.3%#212	40.9%#272	38.0%
Three	33.1%#222	32.6%#93	33.7%

RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three

Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).

Shot volume

Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbers

UNC Asheville

−1.3extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#249 of 365

Off reb %

29.8%

#211

Def reb %

68.7%

#218

Turnover %

17.4%

#231

Forced TO %

15.5%

#252

FT rate

40.0%

#60

FT allowed

38.7%

#279

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding−0.2

Defensive rebounding−0.2

Ball security−0.4

Forcing turnovers−0.8

Foul shots drawn+1.3

Foul shots allowed−0.9

West Georgia

−1.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#264 of 365

Off reb %

31.5%

#142

Def reb %

71.0%

#102

Turnover %

15.9%

#128

Forced TO %

14.7%

#310

FT rate

29.2%

#329

FT allowed

36.9%

#234

Where the chances come from (per game)

Offensive rebounding+0.4

Defensive rebounding+0.5

Ball security+0.6

Forcing turnovers−1.4

Foul shots drawn−1.5

Foul shots allowed−0.4

UNC Asheville has more extra scoring chances per game: −1.3 (#249 of 365) to West Georgia’s −1.8 (#264).

Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).

Rotation

UNC Asheville2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
0	Toyaz Solomon	F	Sr	6'9"	32-28	33.4	16.9	7.4	2.0	2.2	50.0%	36.3%	2.8	68.4%	32.1%
55	Justin Wright	G	Sr	6'2"	32-32	33.0	17.1	3.1	3.0	2.3	53.8%	37.3%	3.9	78.8%	30.6%
8	DJ Patrick	G	Sr	6'6"	29-27	33.8	9.6	4.0	0.8	1.0	53.4%	39.3%	6.1	73.2%	17.0%
5	Myles Mayfield	F	Fr	6'8"	32-15	22.9	4.5	4.3	0.8	1.2	62.5%	66.7%	0.1	42.1%	13.0%
13	Daniel Thomas	F	Fr	6'8"	30-19	20.2	2.8	4.9	0.4	0.9	45.7%	0.0%	0.1	54.3%	11.1%
1	Julian Clarke	PG	So	6'1"	26-0	10.3	1.8	0.6	0.3	0.5	58.1%	40.6%	1.2	55.6%	12.0%
44	Sage Tolentino	F	Jr	7'1"	27-3	9.3	1.1	1.8	0.3	0.3	57.9%	0.0%	0.0	80.0%	7.3%
24	Corey Jones	G	Jr	6'2"	18-1	8.7	0.7	0.5	0.5	0.2	33.3%	14.3%	0.8	0.0%	7.9%
11	Jakel Powell	G	Fr	6'5"	10-0	12.5	3.2	1.5	0.6	0.3	40.3%	28.0%	2.5	77.8%	17.0%
23	David Hermes	F	Sr	6'10"	8-4	11.5	0.5	1.3	0.1	0.4	50.0%	—	0.0	100.0%	3.9%
7	Connor Dubsky	G	Jr	6'4"	1-0	13.0	15.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	83.3%	55.6%	9.0	—	44.6%
2	Rasheed Baldwin	G	Sr	6'5"	3-1	3.3	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.3	18.8%	12.5%	2.7	—	51.7%
10	Hugo Maton	G	Fr	6'2"	2-0	3.5	3.0	1.0	0.5	0.0	100.0%	66.7%	1.5	—	24.7%
14	Brayden Rivers	SF	Fr	6'7"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
12	Mitchell Taylor	G	Jr	6'3"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

West Georgia2025-26 numbers

ESPN hasn't posted West Georgia's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
4	Shelton Williams-Dryden	F	Sr	6'6"	32-32	35.2	20.7	9.1	1.5	2.0	51.7%	23.6%	2.3	72.3%	33.4%
11	Kolten Griffin	F	Sr	6'6"	32-32	33.3	7.7	4.2	2.8	1.7	51.4%	35.0%	1.9	61.5%	15.4%
10	Josh Smith	G	Jr	6'3"	31-6	27.1	16.2	2.1	2.1	1.4	47.0%	34.8%	5.7	73.7%	36.3%
23	Malcolm Noel	G	Sr	5'11"	28-18	23.7	8.1	1.9	3.4	2.1	48.0%	31.1%	3.7	75.0%	23.3%
22	Kenneth Chime	F	Fr	6'9"	32-28	20.3	5.0	5.9	0.3	0.7	57.9%	—	0.0	43.8%	14.5%
5	JaVar Daniel	F	Jr	6'10"	31-4	19.2	7.4	5.3	0.7	0.6	54.5%	50.0%	0.6	70.0%	21.2%
1	Brady Hardewig	G	So	6'2"	31-26	17.3	3.9	1.3	0.8	0.5	54.8%	36.7%	2.9	83.3%	13.3%
6	Matija Zuzic	G	Sr	6'6"	23-4	16.0	4.0	2.4	0.7	0.8	38.6%	30.2%	2.7	85.7%	20.1%
2	Chas Lewless	G	Fr	6'2"	10-10	28.3	12.8	2.9	2.9	2.4	47.3%	32.8%	6.4	88.5%	29.2%
3	Xavier Shegog	F	Fr	6'6"	31-0	8.7	1.5	1.8	0.3	0.7	42.9%	50.0%	0.3	50.0%	15.3%
12	Eric Baldassarre	G	Fr	6'4"	11-0	4.4	2.2	0.5	0.0	0.0	80.0%	53.3%	1.4	—	17.0%
30	Cameron Merritt	G	So	5'11"	4-0	3.3	1.0	0.3	0.3	0.3	66.7%	—	0.0	—	17.1%
14	Nate Jones	G	Sr	6'2"	5-0	2.0	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	25.0%	0.0%	0.6	0.0%	24.8%
20	Max Young	G	Fr	6'3"	4-0	2.0	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	125.0%	100.0%	0.3	—	13.5%
25	Maddox Fowles	F	Fr	6'7"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
9	Micah Smith	F	So	6'7"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

UNC Asheville2025-26 numbers

#	Player	Pos	Cl	Ht	GP-GS	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	TOV	eFG%	3P%	3PA/g	FT%	Usage
0	Toyaz Solomon	F	Sr	6'9"	32-28	33.4	16.9	7.4	2.0	2.2	50.0%	36.3%	2.8	68.4%	32.1%
55	Justin Wright	G	Sr	6'2"	32-32	33.0	17.1	3.1	3.0	2.3	53.8%	37.3%	3.9	78.8%	30.6%
8	DJ Patrick	G	Sr	6'6"	29-27	33.8	9.6	4.0	0.8	1.0	53.4%	39.3%	6.1	73.2%	17.0%
5	Myles Mayfield	F	Fr	6'8"	32-15	22.9	4.5	4.3	0.8	1.2	62.5%	66.7%	0.1	42.1%	13.0%
13	Daniel Thomas	F	Fr	6'8"	30-19	20.2	2.8	4.9	0.4	0.9	45.7%	0.0%	0.1	54.3%	11.1%
1	Julian Clarke	PG	So	6'1"	26-0	10.3	1.8	0.6	0.3	0.5	58.1%	40.6%	1.2	55.6%	12.0%
44	Sage Tolentino	F	Jr	7'1"	27-3	9.3	1.1	1.8	0.3	0.3	57.9%	0.0%	0.0	80.0%	7.3%
24	Corey Jones	G	Jr	6'2"	18-1	8.7	0.7	0.5	0.5	0.2	33.3%	14.3%	0.8	0.0%	7.9%
11	Jakel Powell	G	Fr	6'5"	10-0	12.5	3.2	1.5	0.6	0.3	40.3%	28.0%	2.5	77.8%	17.0%
23	David Hermes	F	Sr	6'10"	8-4	11.5	0.5	1.3	0.1	0.4	50.0%	—	0.0	100.0%	3.9%
7	Connor Dubsky	G	Jr	6'4"	1-0	13.0	15.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	83.3%	55.6%	9.0	—	44.6%
2	Rasheed Baldwin	G	Sr	6'5"	3-1	3.3	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.3	18.8%	12.5%	2.7	—	51.7%
10	Hugo Maton	G	Fr	6'2"	2-0	3.5	3.0	1.0	0.5	0.0	100.0%	66.7%	1.5	—	24.7%
14	Brayden Rivers	SF	Fr	6'7"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—
12	Mitchell Taylor	G	Jr	6'3"	0-0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0	—	—

Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.

Trends

Last 10 games of 2025-26

UNC Asheville

Against the spread

Season

14-15

Home

5-7

Road

6-7

Last 10

4-6

avg cover −2.5

Covered 2 straightCovered 1 of 5 as a favoriteCovered 3 of 5 as an underdogCovered 1 of 4 with a line of 10+

Over / under

Season

15-14

Home

4-8

Road

9-4

Last 10

6-4

avg vs total +0.8

Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 5 as a favoriteOver in 3 of 5 as an underdogOver in 2 of 4 with a line of 10+

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 7	High PointAdjEM #50	N	L 71–75	+13.0	W+9.0	147.5	U146	104.6	110.5	67.9
Mar 6	LongwoodAdjEM #248	N	W 85–82 OT	+1.0	W+4.0	141.0	O167	111.0	107.1	76.5
Feb 28	Charleston SoAdjEM #220	H	L 75–92	−4.0	L−21.0	149.5	O167	105.9	129.9	70.8
Feb 26	Gardner-WebbAdjEM #363	A	W 77–71	−12.5	L−6.5	145.5	O148	124.2	114.6	62.0
Feb 21	RadfordAdjEM #245	H	W 74–73 OT	−2.0	L−1.0	149.0	U147	104.3	102.9	71.0
Feb 19	High PointAdjEM #50	A	L 48–74	+15.0	L−11.0	152.0	U122	74.6	115.0	64.4
Feb 14	PresbyterianAdjEM #252	H	L 57–58	−4.5	L−5.5	136.5	U115	90.5	92.1	63.0
Feb 12	LongwoodAdjEM #248	A	W 79–74	+2.0	W+7.0	142.5	O153	117.1	109.7	67.5
Feb 4	SC UpstateAdjEM #284	H	W 76–67	−6.5	W+2.5	140.5	O143	112.5	99.2	67.6
Jan 31	WinthropAdjEM #116	A	L 71–84	+10.0	L−3.0	150.5	O155	109.5	129.5	64.8

West Georgia

Against the spread

Season

19-10-1

Home

9-4

Road

9-6

Last 10

7-2-1

avg cover +3.6

Covered 5 of 7 as an underdog, 1 push

Over / under

Season

16-14

Home

7-6

Road

8-7

Last 10

6-4

avg vs total +1.6

Under in the last gameOver in 5 of 7 as an underdog

Last 10 games, newest first

Date	Opponent	Site	Result			Total		PPP for	PPP vs	Pace
Mar 6	QueensAdjEM #191	N	L 63–71	+8.0	P0.0	165.5	U134	86.5	97.5	72.8
Mar 4	North FloridaAdjEM #338	N	W 93–85	−4.0	W+4.0	159.0	O178	123.7	113.1	75.2
Feb 28	North AlabamaAdjEM #343	H	W 75–63	−5.0	W+7.0	146.5	U138	109.4	91.9	68.5
Feb 25	LipscombAdjEM #179	H	W 84–78	+5.5	W+11.5	153.0	O162	119.1	110.6	70.5
Feb 21	QueensAdjEM #191	A	L 84–91	+11.0	W+4.0	162.5	O175	116.6	126.3	72.1
Feb 18	E KentuckyAdjEM #287	A	L 80–81 OT	+6.5	W+5.5	154.0	O161	100.4	101.6	79.7
Feb 14	C ArkansasAdjEM #139	A	L 62–79	+11.0	L−6.0	152.0	U141	90.0	114.7	68.9
Feb 11	North AlabamaAdjEM #343	A	W 82–73	+1.0	W+10.0	145.5	O155	126.9	113.0	64.6
Feb 7	JacksonvilleAdjEM #294	H	W 87–73	+1.0	W+15.0	138.0	O160	128.8	108.1	67.5
Feb 5	North FloridaAdjEM #338	H	L 73–81	−6.5	L−14.5	166.0	U154	98.2	109.0	74.3

Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.

Tale of the tape

national rank toned left for away, right for home

UNC AshevilleWest Georgia

Efficiency

106.1

104.0

108.9

111.6

66.6

69.4

—

Shooting

51.0%

49.6%

50.1%

49.6%

35.1%

33.1%

68.4%

70.4%

40.0%

29.2%

Ball control & glass

17.4%

15.9%

15.5%

14.7%

29.8%

31.5%

31.3%

29.0%

9.3%

9.5%

7.7%

5.6%

Style

33.6%

33.0%

44.9%

46.3%

10.4%

13.4%

40.4%

44.3%

24.1%

32.3%

Roster

3.00

3.03

6'6.3"

6'5"

82.9%

—

Offseason

roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input

UNC Asheville

Returning minutes: 82.9%Returning production: 77.5%

Lost

Kam Taylor 34.7 mpg, 18.9 ppg · transferred to Florida St

Added

Brayden Rivers no D1 minutes last season
Mitchell Taylor no D1 minutes last season

No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.

Returns 83% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).

West Georgia

Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%

ESPN hasn't posted West Georgia's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.

Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)

Head-to-head

this season and last

No meetings the last two seasons.

The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.

What these numbers mean: line shopping.