CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceColonial Life Arena, Columbia, SC
Saint Peter's
Efficiency #225
2025-26: 17-12 · 14-7 conf
@
South Carolina
Efficiency #123
2025-26: 13-19 · 4-15 conf
Wed, Nov 11 · TBD
67.2
win 27%
Projected
74.5
win 73%
No line posted yet.
Model: SC −7.3 · total 141.7 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: South Carolina 67.6, Saint Peter's 67.1 → 66.4 possessions
−4.2
South Carolina offense vs Saint Peter's defense
+0.6
Saint Peter's offense vs South Carolina defense
−2.9
Projected total
141.7
Axis starts at 135 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
South Carolina offense vs Saint Peter's defense
+0.6
Saint Peter's offense vs South Carolina defense
+2.9
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.8
South Carolina by 7.3
7.3
Saint Peter's side ◂▸ South Carolina side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help South Carolina.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 66.4, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, South Carolina is the faster team (68.0, #202 of 365) and Saint Peter's the slower (65.5, #316). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
66.4
per team, 40 min
Projected total
141.7
model
Projected team totals
67.2 / 74.5
Saint Peter's / South Carolina
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
67.1#283
Saint Peter's
67.6#241
South Carolina
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageSaint Peter's
Where Saint Peter's struggles: shooting
Saint Peter's shoots an effective 46.4% (#347); South Carolina allows 51.6% (#188). Expect about 48.6%, 2.7 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.9 points per 100 possessions.
GlassSaint Peter's
Saint Peter's owns the glass
Projected offensive rebound rate of 35.8% is worth roughly +3.3 points per 100 possessions for Saint Peter's's offense.
AdvantageSouth Carolina
Where South Carolina struggles: shooting
South Carolina shoots an effective 50.3% (#226); Saint Peter's allows 48.1% (#39). Expect about 49.1%, 2.2 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -3.1 points per 100 possessions.
DefenseSaint Peter's
Saint Peter's's ball-hawking
Saint Peter's ranks #7 nationally in steal rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 11.8% of South Carolina's possessions to end in a steal against this defense.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (South Carolina, Saint Peter's) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect Saint Peter's at about 36.5% of its shots from three, South Carolina about 40.9%.
ClashSouth Carolina
Strength vs strength: turnover rate
South Carolina (#42 in turnover rate) against Saint Peter's (#22 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 17.5%. Historically Saint Peter's's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.57 vs 0.64).
Saint Peter's has the ball
OffenseSouth Carolina allowsvs D1 avg
46.4% #347
51.6% #188
-3.9 pt/100
17.7% #249
14.6% #314
+1.0 pt/100
37.0% #16
32.1% #263
+3.3 pt/100
35.5% #163
34.0% #151
-0.0 pt/100
73.6% #148
—
+0.1 pt/100
Saint Peter's net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +0.6 pts/100
South Carolina has the ball
OffenseSaint Peter's allowsvs D1 avg
50.3% #226
48.1% #39
-3.1 pt/100
14.5% #42
20.0% #22
-0.9 pt/100
27.2% #289
34.7% #330
-0.1 pt/100
36.7% #137
46.4% #354
+0.9 pt/100
78.1% #14
—
+0.5 pt/100
South Carolina net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.7 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersSaint Peter'soffense vsSouth Carolinadefense
Share of shots by zone
Saint Peter's shoots
38.7
5.6
16.9
38.8
South Carolina allows
38.5
7.1
18.2
36.2
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 51.6%#351 | 63.9%#340 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.8%#198 | 35.3%#65 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 37.2%#216 | 40.5%#258 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.0%#321 | 31.8%#56 | 33.7% |
South Carolinaoffense vsSaint Peter'sdefense
Share of shots by zone
South Carolina shoots
33.0
7.1
15.4
44.5
Saint Peter's allows
43.9
4.1
16.2
35.9
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 59.7%#130 | 51.7%#13 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 38.8%#200 | 41.1%#210 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 43.4%#32 | 39.6%#227 | 38.0% |
| Three | 31.1%#317 | 32.1%#68 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersSaint Peter's
−0.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#189 of 365
Off reb %
37.0%
#16
Def reb %
65.3%
#330
Turnover %
17.7%
#249
Forced TO %
20.0%
#22
FT rate
35.5%
#163
FT allowed
46.4%
#354
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+2.1
Defensive rebounding−1.3
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers+2.3
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed−2.9
South Carolina
−0.6extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#203 of 365
Off reb %
27.2%
#289
Def reb %
67.9%
#263
Turnover %
14.5%
#42
Forced TO %
14.6%
#314
FT rate
36.7%
#137
FT allowed
34.0%
#151
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−1.0
Defensive rebounding−0.5
Ball security+1.6
Forcing turnovers−1.4
Foul shots drawn+0.4
Foul shots allowed+0.3
Saint Peter's has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.2 (#189 of 365) to South Carolina’s −0.6 (#203).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
Saint Peter's2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bryce Eaton | G | Jr | 6'0" | 29-21 | 27.2 | 11.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 43.9% | 31.0% | 4.9 | 82.4% | 30.9% | |
| 15 | Bryson Wilsonat Binghamton | G | Sr | 6'5" | 28-22 | 28.1 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 44.8% | 24.1% | 1.9 | 77.5% | 24.9% | |
| 7 | Elijah Perkins | G | Sr | 6'4" | 22-19 | 25.4 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 36.3% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 55.6% | 13.9% | |
| 2 | Shaedon Simpson | G | Jr | 6'6" | 18-4 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 45.7% | 33.3% | 1.8 | 84.2% | 19.4% | |
| 3 | Trey Pattersonat Rice | F | Sr | 6'9" | 13-0 | 8.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 30.4% | 22.2% | 0.7 | 66.7% | 17.7% | |
| 0 | Phoenix Glassnorat Toledo | G | So | 6'0" | 6-0 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 53.3% | 33.3% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 25.6% | |
| 17 | Bourgeois Tshiloboat Weber St | F | So | 6'8" | 7-0 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 69.2% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 24.0% | |
| 14 | Jonathan Noudjihidiat UC Davis | C | Jr | 6'11" | 3-0 | 6.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 16.6% | |
| 24 | Robert Wilmote | G | Jr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 17.3% | |
| 23 | Akil Watson | F | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Ken Walker | G | Sr | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Mason Santiago | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Xavier Thomas | F | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Phoenix Glassnor (from Toledo), Jonathan Noudjihidi (from UC Davis), Trey Patterson (from Rice), Bourgeois Tshilobo (from Weber St), Bryson Wilson (from Binghamton)
South Carolina2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Eli Ellis | G | Fr | 6'0" | 28-0 | 26.9 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 44.2% | 28.0% | 2.9 | 87.9% | 20.8% | |
| 10 | Myles Stute | G | Sr | 6'7" | 27-24 | 23.3 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 47.6% | 30.9% | 4.1 | 64.0% | 16.8% | |
| 31 | Elijah Strong | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-18 | 17.1 | 10.0 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 49.3% | 27.8% | 3.0 | 75.9% | 36.1% | |
| 13 | Grant Polk | G | Fr | 6'6" | 30-0 | 12.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 51.5% | 32.9% | 2.6 | 90.9% | 17.1% | |
| 6 | EJ Walker | F | Fr | 6'7" | 22-6 | 15.9 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 49.1% | 24.1% | 1.3 | 47.1% | 13.9% | |
| 24 | Nordin Kapic | F | Sr | 6'8" | 22-4 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 52.1% | 34.0% | 2.1 | 69.2% | 21.7% | |
| 20 | Hayden Assemian | F | Fr | 6'6" | 24-4 | 9.8 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 69.4% | — | 0.0 | 57.1% | 13.7% | |
| 0 | Jordan Butler | F | Jr | 7'0" | 25-4 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 53.4% | 25.0% | 0.8 | 77.4% | 17.1% | |
| 14 | Eli Sparkman | G | Sr | 6'0" | 12-0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 42.9% | 28.6% | 0.6 | — | 9.7% | |
| 7 | Abu Yarmah | G | Fr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 23 | Cam Scott | G | So | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Saint Peter's2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bryce Eaton | G | Jr | 6'0" | 29-21 | 27.2 | 11.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 43.9% | 31.0% | 4.9 | 82.4% | 30.9% | |
| 15 | Bryson Wilsonat Binghamton | G | Sr | 6'5" | 28-22 | 28.1 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 44.8% | 24.1% | 1.9 | 77.5% | 24.9% | |
| 7 | Elijah Perkins | G | Sr | 6'4" | 22-19 | 25.4 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 36.3% | 0.0% | 0.5 | 55.6% | 13.9% | |
| 2 | Shaedon Simpson | G | Jr | 6'6" | 18-4 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 45.7% | 33.3% | 1.8 | 84.2% | 19.4% | |
| 3 | Trey Pattersonat Rice | F | Sr | 6'9" | 13-0 | 8.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 30.4% | 22.2% | 0.7 | 66.7% | 17.7% | |
| 0 | Phoenix Glassnorat Toledo | G | So | 6'0" | 6-0 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 53.3% | 33.3% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 25.6% | |
| 17 | Bourgeois Tshiloboat Weber St | F | So | 6'8" | 7-0 | 4.9 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 69.2% | — | 0.0 | 0.0% | 24.0% | |
| 14 | Jonathan Noudjihidiat UC Davis | C | Jr | 6'11" | 3-0 | 6.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 33.3% | 16.6% | |
| 24 | Robert Wilmote | G | Jr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 17.3% | |
| 23 | Akil Watson | F | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Ken Walker | G | Sr | 5'11" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Mason Santiago | G | Fr | 6'4" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 4 | Xavier Thomas | F | Jr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Transfers in: Phoenix Glassnor (from Toledo), Jonathan Noudjihidi (from UC Davis), Trey Patterson (from Rice), Bourgeois Tshilobo (from Weber St), Bryson Wilson (from Binghamton)
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26Saint Peter's
Against the spread
Season
16-11-1
Home
10-2-1
Road
6-8
Last 10
5-5
avg cover −2.6
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 6 as a favoriteCovered 2 of 4 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
10-18
Home
4-9
Road
6-8
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +1.6
Under 5 straightOver in 4 of 6 as a favoriteOver in 0 of 4 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6 | Fairfield | N | L 55–74 | −2.5 | L−21.5 | 137.5 | U129 | 85.3 | 114.7 | 64.5 |
| Mar 1 | Marist | A | W 63–56 | +4.0 | W+11.0 | 132.0 | U119 | 98.6 | 87.6 | 63.9 |
| Feb 27 | Manhattan | H | W 75–65 | −8.0 | W+2.0 | 145.0 | U140 | 119.5 | 103.6 | 62.8 |
| Feb 22 | Siena | A | L 63–72 | +6.0 | L−3.0 | 136.0 | U135 | 102.6 | 117.3 | 61.4 |
| Feb 20 | Iona | A | L 64–72 OT | +1.0 | L−7.0 | 140.5 | U136 | 84.4 | 94.9 | 75.9 |
| Feb 15 | Fairfield | H | W 83–74 | −4.0 | W+5.0 | 142.0 | O157 | 120.7 | 107.6 | 68.8 |
| Feb 13 | Sacred Heart | A | L 71–78 | −1.5 | L−8.5 | 148.0 | O149 | 110.6 | 121.5 | 64.2 |
| Feb 7 | Siena | H | W 70–65 | +1.0 | W+6.0 | 136.0 | U135 | 102.9 | 95.5 | 68.0 |
| Feb 5 | Manhattan | A | W 80–75 | −4.5 | W+0.5 | 145.5 | O155 | 128.1 | 120.1 | 62.5 |
| Feb 1 | Rider | A | L 78–81 | −7.5 | L−10.5 | 136.0 | O159 | 119.5 | 124.1 | 65.3 |
South Carolina
Against the spread
Season
14-17-1
Home
6-12-1
Road
7-3
Last 10
5-5
avg cover +0.1
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 5 of 10 as an underdogCovered 3 of 5 with a line of 10+
Over / under
Season
15-16-1
Home
9-10
Road
3-6-1
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −2.5
Over in the last gameOver in 3 of 10 as an underdogOver in 1 of 5 with a line of 10+
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Oklahoma | N | L 74–86 | +8.0 | L−4.0 | 149.0 | O160 | 116.1 | 134.9 | 63.8 |
| Mar 7 | Ole Miss | A | W 64–61 | +7.0 | W+10.0 | 147.0 | U125 | 96.5 | 92.0 | 66.3 |
| Mar 3 | #23Tennessee | H | L 59–78 | +11.0 | L−8.0 | 142.0 | U137 | 95.8 | 126.6 | 61.6 |
| Feb 28 | Georgia | A | L 68–87 | +12.5 | L−6.5 | 159.0 | U155 | 107.0 | 136.9 | 63.5 |
| Feb 24 | Kentucky | H | L 63–72 | +7.5 | L−1.5 | 151.0 | U135 | 87.7 | 100.3 | 71.8 |
| Feb 21 | Mississippi St | H | W 97–89 | +1.0 | W+9.0 | 152.0 | O186 | 133.7 | 122.7 | 72.5 |
| Feb 17 | #12Florida | A | L 62–76 | +23.0 | W+9.0 | 155.0 | U138 | 92.5 | 113.4 | 67.0 |
| Feb 14 | Alabama | A | L 75–89 | +18.0 | W+4.0 | 169.5 | U164 | 99.1 | 117.6 | 75.7 |
| Feb 7 | Missouri | H | L 59–78 | +3.0 | L−16.0 | 147.0 | U137 | 90.0 | 119.0 | 65.5 |
| Feb 3 | Texas | A | L 75–84 | +13.5 | W+4.5 | 149.5 | O159 | 109.9 | 123.1 | 68.3 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeSaint Peter'sSouth Carolina
Efficiency
105.4
109.7
108.1
107.3
67.1
67.6
—
—
Shooting
46.4%
50.3%
46.2%
53.2%
31.0%
31.1%
73.6%
78.1%
35.5%
36.7%
Ball control & glass
17.7%
14.5%
20.0%
14.6%
37.0%
27.2%
34.7%
32.1%
9.3%
9.3%
10.0%
11.1%
Style
38.7%
44.4%
39.9%
39.4%
17.0%
8.7%
53.2%
52.9%
36.5%
35.7%
Roster
3.54
2.25
6'3.5"
6'5.7"
26.5%
52.6%
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputSaint Peter's
Returning minutes: 26.5%Returning production: 21.7%
Lost
- Brent Bland 33.1 mpg, 13.9 ppg · transferred to Miami
- Jahki Gupton 24.5 mpg, 7.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Zaakir Williamson 21.7 mpg, 8.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- TJ Robinson 18.1 mpg, 9.0 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Lucas Scroggins 16.2 mpg, 5.4 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Adetokunbo Bakare 10.4 mpg, 3.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Bryson Wilson from Binghamton · 25.4 mpg, 8.9 ppg last season
- Trey Patterson from Rice · 3.4 mpg, 0.6 ppg last season
- Phoenix Glassnor from Toledo · 1.1 mpg, 0.5 ppg last season
- Bourgeois Tshilobo from Weber St · 1.1 mpg, 0.6 ppg last season
- Jonathan Noudjihidi from UC Davis · 0.5 mpg, 0.0 ppg last season
- Xavier Thomas no D1 minutes last season
Returns 27% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5 (1 transferred). Teams returning under 40% of last season's minutes have historically fallen about 0.8 points of AdjEM (n=716 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
South Carolina
Returning minutes: 52.6%Returning production: 42.7%
Lost
- Meechie Johnson 31.5 mpg, 17.2 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Kobe Knox 29.9 mpg, 10.8 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Mike Sharavjamts 29.7 mpg, 10.9 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Christ Essandoko 4.9 mpg, 1.3 ppg · transferred to Bowling Green
Added
- Abu Yarmah no D1 minutes last season
- Cam Scott no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 53% of last season's minutes; lost 3 of its top 5.
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.