CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneSteps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +2.7 against +2.8. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help Omaha.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesProjected possessions: 66.9, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, Omaha is the faster team (68.6, #166 of 365) and Lamar the slower (65.8, #301). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetShot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbers| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 53.3%#337 | 64.6%#346 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.1%#77 | 39.7%#182 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 38.0%#188 | 41.6%#291 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.9%#238 | 32.9%#114 | 33.7% |
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 58.9%#165 | 59.0%#189 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 40.7%#155 | 32.9%#27 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 41.5%#71 | 33.6%#40 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.0%#169 | 35.3%#266 | 33.7% |
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersOmaha has more extra scoring chances per game: −2.0 (#269 of 365) to Lamar’s −2.5 (#284).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Rob Lee Jr. | G | Jr | 6'2" | 31-30 | 28.2 | 16.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 53.6% | 40.0% | 6.0 | 81.1% | 33.5% | |
| 0 | Cody Pennebaker | G | Sr | 6'5" | 31-31 | 27.5 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 50.7% | 26.5% | 1.1 | 51.9% | 18.2% | |
| 4 | Braden East | F | So | 6'9" | 30-28 | 23.9 | 12.8 | 9.1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 54.2% | 31.3% | 0.5 | 70.6% | 32.7% | |
| 10 | Errol White | F | Sr | 6'7" | 31-15 | 22.3 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 47.4% | — | 0.0 | 56.9% | 17.4% | |
| 3 | King-Njhsanni Wilhite | G | Jr | 6'1" | 29-16 | 21.0 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 43.0% | 34.5% | 1.9 | 65.9% | 21.2% | |
| 11 | Eian Lowe | G | Fr | 5'10" | 30-2 | 17.9 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 43.5% | 34.9% | 1.4 | 63.6% | 19.3% | |
| 32 | Janko Bulajic | C | Sr | 6'10" | 31-2 | 11.8 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 43.5% | 10.4% | |
| 5 | Jayden Gambrell | G | Fr | 6'3" | 30-1 | 11.2 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 45.3% | 32.3% | 3.1 | 71.4% | 26.5% | |
| 8 | B.B. Knight | G | Jr | 6'6" | 20-0 | 8.1 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 28.7% | 13.9% | 1.8 | 95.0% | 30.7% | |
| 20 | Spencer Ezewiro | F | Jr | 6'9" | 20-0 | 5.7 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 30.8% | — | 0.0 | 10.0% | 11.4% | |
| 2 | Jayden Barrs | G | So | 6'1" | 7-0 | 11.7 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 42.3% | 28.6% | 1.0 | — | 21.5% | |
| 12 | Christian Thomas | PF | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 51 | Izuchukwu Emelife | C | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Quinton Sanders | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lance Waddles | G | Sr | 6'4" | 33-33 | 29.4 | 12.8 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 55.6% | 38.0% | 6.2 | 66.7% | 25.4% | |
| 32 | Tony Osburn | G | Sr | 6'2" | 29-28 | 32.8 | 11.6 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 53.3% | 36.8% | 6.3 | 78.6% | 20.2% | |
| 5 | Ja'Sean Glover | G | Sr | 6'5" | 31-8 | 25.9 | 11.6 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 49.2% | 28.3% | 3.2 | 86.7% | 27.5% | |
| 3 | Grant Stubblefield | G | Jr | 6'1" | 26-22 | 28.5 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 55.9% | 33.3% | 1.5 | 77.6% | 19.0% | |
| 11 | Paul Djobet | G | Jr | 6'7" | 20-18 | 29.9 | 17.4 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 58.0% | 41.5% | 4.1 | 72.0% | 33.0% | |
| 22 | Kamryn Thomas | F | Sr | 6'8" | 28-14 | 20.8 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 48.6% | 34.6% | 1.9 | 62.2% | 15.9% | |
| 44 | Brock Scholl | F | Fr | 6'8" | 33-9 | 14.5 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 44.8% | 25.0% | 0.1 | 71.1% | 17.8% | |
| 15 | Christian Richardson | C | Sr | 7'1" | 27-16 | 15.7 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 72.7% | — | 0.0 | 59.7% | 23.7% | |
| 25 | Khamani Cooper | G | Jr | 6'4" | 26-9 | 16.1 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 46.9% | 33.3% | 2.1 | 76.9% | 21.4% | |
| 21 | Valentino Simon | F | Sr | 6'6" | 30-8 | 12.5 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 53.6% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 64.9% | 17.0% | |
| 2 | Julian Margrave | F | Sr | 6'10" | 20-0 | 9.8 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 47.4% | 31.7% | 3.0 | 100.0% | 25.3% | |
| 12 | Aidan Skradis | G | So | 6'4" | 12-0 | 7.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 36.7% | 25.0% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 12.9% | |
| 0 | Benji Nelson | F | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 20 | Brandon Orgilbold | G | — | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 10 | Deng Mayar | F | Sr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 24 | Isaac Ondekane | C | Sr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Rob Matos | G | Jr | 5'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Rob Lee Jr. | G | Jr | 6'2" | 31-30 | 28.2 | 16.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 53.6% | 40.0% | 6.0 | 81.1% | 33.5% | |
| 0 | Cody Pennebaker | G | Sr | 6'5" | 31-31 | 27.5 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 50.7% | 26.5% | 1.1 | 51.9% | 18.2% | |
| 4 | Braden East | F | So | 6'9" | 30-28 | 23.9 | 12.8 | 9.1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 54.2% | 31.3% | 0.5 | 70.6% | 32.7% | |
| 10 | Errol White | F | Sr | 6'7" | 31-15 | 22.3 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 47.4% | — | 0.0 | 56.9% | 17.4% | |
| 3 | King-Njhsanni Wilhite | G | Jr | 6'1" | 29-16 | 21.0 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 43.0% | 34.5% | 1.9 | 65.9% | 21.2% | |
| 11 | Eian Lowe | G | Fr | 5'10" | 30-2 | 17.9 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 43.5% | 34.9% | 1.4 | 63.6% | 19.3% | |
| 32 | Janko Bulajic | C | Sr | 6'10" | 31-2 | 11.8 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 60.0% | — | 0.0 | 43.5% | 10.4% | |
| 5 | Jayden Gambrell | G | Fr | 6'3" | 30-1 | 11.2 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 45.3% | 32.3% | 3.1 | 71.4% | 26.5% | |
| 8 | B.B. Knight | G | Jr | 6'6" | 20-0 | 8.1 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 28.7% | 13.9% | 1.8 | 95.0% | 30.7% | |
| 20 | Spencer Ezewiro | F | Jr | 6'9" | 20-0 | 5.7 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 30.8% | — | 0.0 | 10.0% | 11.4% | |
| 2 | Jayden Barrs | G | So | 6'1" | 7-0 | 11.7 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 42.3% | 28.6% | 1.0 | — | 21.5% | |
| 12 | Christian Thomas | PF | Fr | 6'5" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 51 | Izuchukwu Emelife | C | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 1 | Quinton Sanders | G | Fr | 6'3" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2 | Hou Christian | A | L 53–75 | −2.5 | L−24.5 | 134.0 | U128 | 79.4 | 112.3 | 66.8 |
| Feb 28 | Incarnate Word | A | L 60–72 | +1.0 | L−11.0 | 138.0 | U132 | 94.4 | 113.3 | 63.6 |
| Feb 23 | Nicholls | H | L 52–53 | −3.5 | L−4.5 | 143.5 | U105 | 80.3 | 81.8 | 64.8 |
| Feb 21 | LSU N Orleans | H | L 71–77 | −5.5 | L−11.5 | 146.5 | O148 | 101.3 | 109.8 | 70.1 |
| Feb 16 | UT Rio Grande | A | L 65–70 | +6.0 | W+1.0 | 142.0 | U135 | 108.8 | 117.1 | 59.8 |
| Feb 14 | Texas A&M-CC | A | L 63–76 | +2.5 | L−10.5 | 136.0 | O139 | 93.7 | 113.1 | 67.2 |
| Feb 9 | N'Western St | H | L 68–70 | −7.5 | L−9.5 | 136.5 | O138 | 103.1 | 106.1 | 66.0 |
| Feb 7 | SF Austin | A | L 74–84 | +8.0 | L−2.0 | 139.5 | O158 | 108.7 | 123.4 | 68.1 |
| Feb 2 | SE Louisiana | H | W 73–54 | −6.0 | W+13.0 | 133.5 | U127 | 120.3 | 89.0 | 60.7 |
| Jan 31 | McNeese | H | L 63–64 | +10.5 | W+9.5 | 144.0 | U127 | 109.8 | 111.6 | 57.4 |
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7 | N Dakota St | N | L 50–74 | +8.0 | L−16.0 | 147.0 | U124 | 73.8 | 109.2 | 67.8 |
| Mar 6 | South Dakota | N | W 76–62 | −2.0 | W+12.0 | 151.5 | U138 | 117.4 | 95.8 | 64.7 |
| Feb 28 | St Thomas | A | L 53–68 | +11.5 | L−3.5 | 159.5 | U121 | 81.3 | 104.3 | 65.2 |
| Feb 25 | South Dakota | A | L 72–89 | −1.5 | L−18.5 | 153.5 | O161 | 98.3 | 121.5 | 73.3 |
| Feb 18 | Oral Roberts | H | W 80–71 | −6.5 | W+2.5 | 152.0 | U151 | 121.2 | 107.6 | 66.0 |
| Feb 15 | Denver | H | W 83–76 | −2.5 | W+4.5 | 160.5 | U159 | 125.7 | 115.1 | 66.0 |
| Feb 12 | St Thomas | H | W 98–94 | +4.5 | W+8.5 | 156.5 | O192 | 132.5 | 127.1 | 74.0 |
| Feb 7 | N Dakota St | A | L 84–92 | +9.5 | W+1.5 | 144.5 | O176 | 125.2 | 137.2 | 67.1 |
| Feb 5 | North Dakota | A | L 73–76 | +2.0 | L−1.0 | 150.0 | U149 | 107.0 | 111.4 | 68.3 |
| Jan 31 | Denver | A | W 84–82 | +2.5 | W+4.5 | 157.5 | O166 | 117.0 | 114.2 | 71.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeOffseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model input- Andrew Holifield 28.6 mpg, 11.7 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
- Christian Thomas no D1 minutes last season
- Izuchukwu Emelife no D1 minutes last season
- Quinton Sanders no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 86% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and last| Date | Season | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Dec 20 | 2025-26 | Omaha 85 – 82 Lamar |
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.