CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceBartow Arena, Birmingham, AL
FIU
Efficiency #200
2025-26: 15-17 · 8-13 conf
@
UAB
Efficiency #111
2025-26: 20-12 · 11-8 conf
Tue, Nov 17 · TBD
74.1
win 27%
Projected
81.2
win 73%
No line posted yet.
Model: UAB −7.1 · total 155.3 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: UAB 69.6, FIU 71.0 → 72.3 possessions
+8.6
UAB offense vs FIU defense
+0.7
FIU offense vs UAB defense
−2.3
Projected total
155.3
Axis starts at 140 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
UAB offense vs FIU defense
+0.7
FIU offense vs UAB defense
+2.3
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+4.2
UAB by 7.1
7.1
FIU side ◂▸ UAB side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the total steps add to 155.2 against a projected 155.3, and the margin steps add to +7.2 against +7.1. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help UAB.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 72.3, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, FIU is the faster team (71.5, #33 of 365) and UAB the slower (70.4, #78). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
72.3
per team, 40 min
Projected total
155.3
model
Projected team totals
74.1 / 81.2
FIU / UAB
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
71.0#16
FIU
69.6#77
UAB
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetPace
Track meet
UAB averages 70.4 possessions per 40, FIU 71.5. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 72 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
DefenseFIU
FIU's shot-blocking
FIU ranks #21 nationally in block rate — one of the few defensive numbers that travels. Expect about 12.1% of UAB's two-point attempts to get blocked against this defense.
AdvantageUAB
Where UAB scores: the offensive glass
UAB rebounds 32.5% of its own misses (#104); FIU lets opponents grab 34.8% of their own misses (#335). Expect about 34.0%, 3.6 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly +2.2 points per 100 possessions.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (UAB) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect FIU at about 33.9% of its shots from three, UAB about 35.9%.
ClashUAB
Strength vs strength: live-ball turnovers
UAB (#44 in live-ball turnovers) against FIU (#20 in the same stat allowed) — both rank inside the national top 60. Expect about 10.6%. Historically FIU's own number has carried a bit more weight in that exchange (0.40 vs 0.65).
ClashUAB
Style clash: 3-point volume
UAB rarely shoots threes (30.5% of its shots); FIU lets opponents take 45.1% of their shots from three (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 35.9% — the offense's habit usually carries a bit more weight (0.80 vs 0.64).
FIU has the ball
OffenseUAB allowsvs D1 avg
50.6% #210
50.0% #98
-1.5 pt/100
17.7% #254
16.1% #215
-0.2 pt/100
33.9% #69
27.7% #53
+0.7 pt/100
38.6% #87
28.7% #38
-0.3 pt/100
69.4% #287
—
-0.3 pt/100
FIU net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -1.5 pts/100
UAB has the ball
OffenseFIU allowsvs D1 avg
48.4% #305
52.9% #264
-1.2 pt/100
12.5% #2
20.1% #21
+0.4 pt/100
32.5% #104
34.8% #335
+2.2 pt/100
36.4% #141
35.9% #209
+0.2 pt/100
70.6% #251
—
-0.2 pt/100
UAB net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: +1.4 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersFIUoffense vsUABdefense
Share of shots by zone
FIU shoots
45.4
7.7
14.5
32.5
UAB allows
37.4
7.5
16.3
38.8
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 56.7%#249 | 58.6%#171 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 37.6%#233 | 37.9%#133 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.6%#271 | 35.5%#92 | 38.0% |
| Three | 34.7%#137 | 32.6%#95 | 33.7% |
UABoffense vsFIUdefense
Share of shots by zone
UAB shoots
45.0
7.3
17.6
30.1
FIU allows
39.0
5.4
10.0
45.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 60.8%#101 | 54.1%#41 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 30.3%#347 | 39.5%#175 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 35.2%#282 | 42.5%#317 | 38.0% |
| Three | 27.8%#364 | 36.2%#313 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersFIU
+2.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#91 of 365
Off reb %
33.9%
#69
Def reb %
65.2%
#335
Turnover %
17.7%
#254
Forced TO %
20.1%
#21
FT rate
38.6%
#87
FT allowed
35.9%
#209
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+1.1
Defensive rebounding−1.4
Ball security−0.6
Forcing turnovers+2.3
Foul shots drawn+0.9
Foul shots allowed−0.2
UAB
+6.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#11 of 365
Off reb %
32.5%
#104
Def reb %
72.3%
#53
Turnover %
12.5%
#2
Forced TO %
16.1%
#215
FT rate
36.4%
#141
FT allowed
28.7%
#38
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.7
Defensive rebounding+1.0
Ball security+2.9
Forcing turnovers−0.4
Foul shots drawn+0.4
Foul shots allowed+1.7
UAB has more extra scoring chances per game: +6.2 (#11 of 365) to FIU’s +2.2 (#91).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
FIU2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zawdie Jackson | G | Sr | 6'1" | 31-31 | 29.1 | 12.1 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 50.8% | 37.7% | 2.5 | 86.9% | 21.9% | |
| 9 | Eric Dibami | F | Fr | 6'10" | 30-30 | 29.0 | 9.3 | 7.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 52.7% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 52.1% | 19.9% | |
| 5 | Hamed Olayinka | F | Jr | 6'9" | 32-32 | 23.7 | 10.0 | 6.7 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 55.0% | 15.4% | 0.4 | 54.5% | 24.8% | |
| 10 | Julian Mackey | G | Sr | 6'2" | 30-9 | 22.7 | 12.4 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 52.1% | 36.4% | 5.0 | 72.9% | 30.2% | |
| 1 | Brit Harris | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-0 | 18.7 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 49.7% | 31.5% | 3.5 | 64.7% | 18.4% | |
| 4 | Ashton Williamson | G | So | 6'3" | 26-25 | 22.7 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 46.0% | 31.6% | 3.8 | 81.8% | 24.2% | |
| 34 | Ibrahim Olajuwon | F | Jr | 6'10" | 32-2 | 14.2 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 55.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 52.3% | 16.6% | |
| 6 | Thiago Sucatzky | G | Fr | 5'10" | 32-0 | 13.7 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 46.2% | 44.0% | 0.8 | 82.6% | 20.5% | |
| 25 | Kennedy Brown | F | Sr | 6'8" | 20-0 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 44.4% | 16.9% | |
| 11 | Amarion Nimmers | G | Jr | 6'3" | 5-0 | 8.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 18.2% | 0.0% | 1.6 | 57.1% | 16.4% | |
| 15 | Renato Ruiz | G | Sr | 6'1" | 6-0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 75.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 8.9% | |
| 23 | Aydan Clinton | F | Fr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 15.2% | |
| 7 | Gvidas Gicevicius | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Jorge Santos | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Michael Kelvin II | F | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
UAB2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted UAB's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chance Westry | G | So | 6'6" | 32-27 | 30.5 | 15.5 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 51.7% | 24.1% | 2.7 | 70.8% | 29.1% | |
| 23 | Daniel Rivera | F | Sr | 6'7" | 32-31 | 29.3 | 12.0 | 6.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 54.9% | 33.3% | 0.3 | 58.1% | 23.2% | |
| 15 | Evan Chatman | F | Jr | 6'8" | 32-29 | 28.9 | 8.8 | 8.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 48.4% | 27.5% | 2.5 | 68.6% | 17.5% | |
| 12 | Jacob Meyer | G | Jr | 6'2" | 28-25 | 28.5 | 12.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 45.9% | 31.4% | 3.6 | 80.3% | 27.0% | |
| 2 | KyeRon Lindsay-Martin | F | Sr | 6'8" | 28-4 | 22.6 | 10.8 | 6.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 53.8% | 50.0% | 0.1 | 75.9% | 25.5% | |
| 5 | Salim London | G | Fr | 6'4" | 32-12 | 19.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 41.0% | 29.5% | 1.9 | 84.4% | 17.0% | |
| 4 | Ahmad Robinson | G | Sr | 5'10" | 26-18 | 24.1 | 9.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 45.1% | 33.3% | 3.9 | 71.2% | 25.4% | |
| 0 | Dayjaun Anderson | G | So | 6'2" | 30-11 | 16.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 42.9% | 24.1% | 4.4 | 52.9% | 23.5% | |
| 8 | Quaran McPherson | G | Jr | 6'4" | 27-3 | 10.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 51.2% | 30.0% | 1.5 | 77.5% | 24.8% | |
| 7 | Ari Gooch | G | So | 6'2" | 17-0 | 8.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 37.5% | 15.4% | 0.8 | 68.4% | 18.4% | |
| 6 | Lance Carr | F | Fr | 6'7" | 7-0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 9.2% | |
| 3 | Joao Das Chagas | C | Jr | 6'10" | 2-0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 17.0% | |
| 9 | Joey Kahn | G | Sr | 6'4" | 1-0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 23.4% | |
| 21 | Jorden Pittman | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Justin Holloway | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
FIU2025-26 numbers
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zawdie Jackson | G | Sr | 6'1" | 31-31 | 29.1 | 12.1 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 50.8% | 37.7% | 2.5 | 86.9% | 21.9% | |
| 9 | Eric Dibami | F | Fr | 6'10" | 30-30 | 29.0 | 9.3 | 7.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 52.7% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 52.1% | 19.9% | |
| 5 | Hamed Olayinka | F | Jr | 6'9" | 32-32 | 23.7 | 10.0 | 6.7 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 55.0% | 15.4% | 0.4 | 54.5% | 24.8% | |
| 10 | Julian Mackey | G | Sr | 6'2" | 30-9 | 22.7 | 12.4 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 52.1% | 36.4% | 5.0 | 72.9% | 30.2% | |
| 1 | Brit Harris | G | Sr | 6'5" | 32-0 | 18.7 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 49.7% | 31.5% | 3.5 | 64.7% | 18.4% | |
| 4 | Ashton Williamson | G | So | 6'3" | 26-25 | 22.7 | 7.7 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 46.0% | 31.6% | 3.8 | 81.8% | 24.2% | |
| 34 | Ibrahim Olajuwon | F | Jr | 6'10" | 32-2 | 14.2 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 55.8% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 52.3% | 16.6% | |
| 6 | Thiago Sucatzky | G | Fr | 5'10" | 32-0 | 13.7 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 46.2% | 44.0% | 0.8 | 82.6% | 20.5% | |
| 25 | Kennedy Brown | F | Sr | 6'8" | 20-0 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 44.4% | 16.9% | |
| 11 | Amarion Nimmers | G | Jr | 6'3" | 5-0 | 8.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 18.2% | 0.0% | 1.6 | 57.1% | 16.4% | |
| 15 | Renato Ruiz | G | Sr | 6'1" | 6-0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 75.0% | — | 0.0 | — | 8.9% | |
| 23 | Aydan Clinton | F | Fr | 6'6" | 2-0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | — | 0.0 | 50.0% | 15.2% | |
| 7 | Gvidas Gicevicius | F | Jr | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 22 | Jorge Santos | F | Sr | 6'6" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 0 | Michael Kelvin II | F | Sr | 6'9" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26FIU
Against the spread
Season
16-13
Home
9-6
Road
7-6
Last 10
4-6
avg cover +0.5
Missed the spread in the last gameCovered 3 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
15-14
Home
6-9
Road
9-4
Last 10
3-7
avg vs total −1.8
Under 3 straightOver in 3 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10 | Missouri St | N | L 72–75 | +1.0 | L−2.0 | 152.5 | U147 | 110.5 | 115.1 | 65.1 |
| Mar 7 | Western KY | H | W 92–67 | +1.0 | W+26.0 | 160.0 | U159 | 125.7 | 91.5 | 73.2 |
| Mar 5 | MTSU | H | L 67–73 | +1.0 | L−5.0 | 153.5 | U140 | 97.4 | 106.1 | 68.8 |
| Feb 28 | Louisiana Tech | A | W 84–76 | +2.0 | W+10.0 | 146.0 | O160 | 120.7 | 109.2 | 69.6 |
| Feb 26 | Sam Houston | A | L 67–100 | +6.0 | L−27.0 | 162.0 | O167 | 91.4 | 136.4 | 73.3 |
| Feb 21 | Missouri St | H | W 70–67 | −3.5 | L−0.5 | 155.0 | U137 | 104.2 | 99.7 | 67.2 |
| Feb 19 | Liberty | A | L 89–90 OT | +10.5 | W+9.5 | 153.5 | O179 | 112.3 | 113.6 | 79.2 |
| Feb 14 | Louisiana Tech | H | W 77–64 | −3.0 | W+10.0 | 146.5 | U141 | 113.9 | 94.7 | 67.6 |
| Feb 12 | Delaware | H | L 66–68 | −8.5 | L−10.5 | 146.5 | U134 | 98.9 | 101.9 | 66.8 |
| Feb 7 | Western KY | A | L 70–80 | +4.0 | L−6.0 | 156.0 | U150 | 102.8 | 117.5 | 68.1 |
UAB
Against the spread
Season
15-16
Home
5-11
Road
8-4
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −0.2
Missed the spread 2 straightCovered 1 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
13-18
Home
7-9
Road
5-7
Last 10
5-5
avg vs total −6.2
Over 3 straightOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | Charlotte | N | L 78–83 | −5.5 | L−10.5 | 148.0 | O161 | 117.2 | 124.7 | 66.6 |
| Mar 8 | East Carolina | H | W 90–83 | −10.0 | L−3.0 | 150.5 | O173 | 118.1 | 108.9 | 76.2 |
| Mar 4 | Charlotte | A | W 80–74 | −2.0 | W+4.0 | 148.0 | O154 | 125.4 | 116.0 | 63.8 |
| Mar 1 | North Texas | H | L 58–62 | −5.0 | L−9.0 | 141.5 | U120 | 90.4 | 96.7 | 64.1 |
| Feb 22 | Memphis | A | W 78–67 | +6.0 | W+17.0 | 152.0 | U145 | 108.7 | 93.4 | 71.8 |
| Feb 18 | Temple | A | W 76–71 | +1.5 | W+6.5 | 143.5 | O147 | 115.1 | 107.5 | 66.0 |
| Feb 15 | Tulane | H | L 54–55 | −7.0 | L−8.0 | 152.5 | U109 | 86.1 | 87.7 | 62.7 |
| Feb 11 | Tulsa | A | W 68–63 | +10.5 | W+15.5 | 161.0 | U131 | 101.9 | 94.4 | 66.7 |
| Feb 8 | Rice | H | W 71–65 | −9.5 | L−3.5 | 154.5 | U136 | 107.0 | 97.9 | 66.4 |
| Feb 5 | Memphis | H | L 80–90 | −1.5 | L−11.5 | 156.0 | O170 | 100.3 | 112.8 | 79.8 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeFIUUAB
Efficiency
107.6
109.0
108.9
106.2
71.0
69.6
—
—
Shooting
50.6%
48.4%
49.9%
51.3%
34.7%
27.8%
69.4%
70.6%
38.6%
36.4%
Ball control & glass
17.7%
12.5%
20.1%
16.1%
33.9%
32.5%
34.8%
27.7%
11.1%
8.1%
8.4%
9.7%
Style
32.7%
30.5%
46.6%
50.7%
16.0%
19.6%
49.9%
50.3%
32.6%
29.9%
Roster
2.84
2.89
6'5"
6'4.7"
85.1%
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputFIU
Returning minutes: 85.1%Returning production: 81.4%
Lost
- Corey Stephenson 30.2 mpg, 17.5 ppg · not on a D1 roster yet
Added
- Jorge Santos no D1 minutes last season
- Gvidas Gicevicius no D1 minutes last season
- Michael Kelvin II no D1 minutes last season
No incoming D1 transfers are listed on ESPN's roster yet — until they are, returning shares read high.
Returns 85% of last season's minutes; lost 1 of its top 5. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026).
UAB
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted UAB's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.