CBB Matchups
Every D1 game with tempo-free ratings, four factors and market lines, one place.
College basketball is being built for the 2026-27 season (tip-off Nov 3). What's here fills in as games are played.
Non-conferenceWintrust Arena, Chicago, IL
MD Eastern
Efficiency #345
2025-26: 9-23 · 5-10 conf
@
DePaul
Efficiency #113
2025-26: 16-16 · 8-13 conf
Tue, Nov 17 · TBD
59.0
win 12%
Projected
72.6
win 88%
No line posted yet.
Model: DEP −13.5 · total 131.6 · ratings as of Sat, Oct 3
Preseason ratings start from 2025-26's final adjusted ratings, regressed toward the D1 average. The stats below are 2025-26's too; both update once 2026-27 games are played.
How the projection is built
each step, from an average D-I game to this oneProjected total
Average D-I game
148.2
PaceAdjusted tempo: DePaul 67.7, MD Eastern 65.7 → 65.0 possessions
−7.1
DePaul offense vs MD Eastern defense
+0.1
MD Eastern offense vs DePaul defense
−9.6
Projected total
131.6
Axis starts at 120 pointsPoints added or removed at each step
Projected margin
Even game
0.0
DePaul offense vs MD Eastern defense
+0.1
MD Eastern offense vs DePaul defense
+9.6
Home court+2.9 points per 100 possessions to the home offense, −2.9 to the visitors
+3.7
DePaul by 13.5
13.5
MD Eastern side ◂▸ DePaul side
Steps are rounded to one decimal, so they can differ from the total by 0.1: the margin steps add to +13.4 against +13.5. The margin is the same build seen from the home side; positive numbers help DePaul.
Pace & total
possessions per 40 minutesTempo, possessions per 40 minutes
Projected possessions: 65.0, from each team's opponent-adjusted tempo. On raw 2025-26 season pace, DePaul is the faster team (67.7, #213 of 365) and MD Eastern the slower (64.4, #343). When tempos clash, the slower team usually pulls the pace harder (study weights 0.80 vs 0.66).
Projected possessions
65.0
per team, 40 min
Projected total
131.6
model
Projected team totals
59.0 / 72.6
MD Eastern / DePaul
Adjusted tempo, vs an average opponent
65.7#352
MD Eastern
67.7#236
DePaul
How this game plays
what the study found each side's numbers actually do when these two teams meetAdvantageMD Eastern
Where MD Eastern struggles: ball control
MD Eastern turns it over on 23.8% of possessions (#365); DePaul forces turnovers on 18.6% of opponent possessions (#67). Expect about 22.0%, 5.2 points above an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -6.4 points per 100 possessions.
Pace
Half-court grind
DePaul averages 67.7 possessions per 40, MD Eastern 64.4. Slower teams pull the pace toward themselves more than fast teams push it (0.80 vs 0.66 in five seasons of games), so expect about 65 — more possessions mean more points in the total and more chances for the better team to separate.
ClashMD Eastern
Style match: 3-point volume
MD Eastern rarely shoots threes (33.5% of its shots); DePaul runs teams off the line (33.9% of shots allowed from three) (D1 average 39.5%). Expect about 31.1% — both habits push the same way.
Watch for noise
3-point caution
A notable season 3-point number here (MD Eastern) is close to a coin flip going forward — the study's model of next-game 3P% barely beats guessing the D1 average. Shot volume is what actually carries: expect MD Eastern at about 31.1% of its shots from three, DePaul about 39.3%.
AdvantageDePaul
Where DePaul struggles: shooting
DePaul shoots an effective 49.8% (#243); MD Eastern allows 50.7% (#142). Expect about 50.2%, 1.1 points below an average D1 matchup — worth roughly -1.6 points per 100 possessions.
TurnoversDePaul
DePaul turns it over
Projected turnover rate of 18.0% is worth roughly -1.6 points per 100 possessions against DePaul's offense.
MD Eastern has the ball
OffenseDePaul allowsvs D1 avg
47.8% #319
49.3% #77
-4.3 pt/100
23.8% #365
18.6% #67
-6.4 pt/100
32.4% #112
31.1% #205
+1.0 pt/100
29.5% #321
37.8% #257
-0.1 pt/100
71.5% #224
—
-0.1 pt/100
MD Eastern net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -9.9 pts/100
DePaul has the ball
OffenseMD Eastern allowsvs D1 avg
49.8% #243
50.7% #142
-1.6 pt/100
17.8% #256
17.9% #102
-1.6 pt/100
30.0% #197
33.6% #311
+0.8 pt/100
35.3% #169
43.0% #340
+0.6 pt/100
69.2% #295
—
-0.3 pt/100
DePaul net across the four factors + FT%, vs. a D1-average matchup: -2.0 pts/100
Shot diet
Where each offense shoots from and where each defense lets teams shoot · 2025-26 numbersMD Easternoffense vsDePauldefense
Share of shots by zone
MD Eastern shoots
40.3
4.5
20.7
34.5
DePaul allows
39.4
6.5
21.2
33.0
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.9%#277 | 53.6%#34 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 36.4%#259 | 35.3%#65 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 39.3%#138 | 36.2%#117 | 38.0% |
| Three | 29.0%#354 | 35.4%#274 | 33.7% |
DePauloffense vsMD Easterndefense
Share of shots by zone
DePaul shoots
38.2
5.5
17.5
38.8
MD Eastern allows
40.3
3.1
17.9
38.7
D-I average
38.5
6.4
15.8
39.3
FG% by zone
| Zone | D-I avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 55.4%#287 | 58.3%#155 | 58.6% |
| Short 2 (≤9 ft) | 44.9%#66 | 35.6%#74 | 39.5% |
| Mid 2 (10 ft+) | 36.4%#255 | 33.2%#32 | 38.0% |
| Three | 32.5%#253 | 33.5%#156 | 33.7% |
RimShort 2 (≤9 ft)Mid 2 (10 ft+)Three
Zones from play-by-play shot descriptions; garbage time removed. Bars show the share of field-goal attempts in each zone; where a slice is too thin for its number, the shares are listed under the bar. FG% ranks: #1 = best for that side (most accurate shooting, stingiest defense).
Shot volume
Extra scoring chances from rebounds, turnovers and the foul line · 2025-26 numbersMD Eastern
−7.8extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#361 of 365
Off reb %
32.4%
#112
Def reb %
66.4%
#311
Turnover %
23.8%
#365
Forced TO %
17.9%
#102
FT rate
29.5%
#321
FT allowed
43.0%
#340
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding+0.6
Defensive rebounding−1.0
Ball security−4.8
Forcing turnovers+0.8
Foul shots drawn−1.4
Foul shots allowed−2.0
DePaul
−0.2extra scoring chances per game vs a D-I average team#188 of 365
Off reb %
30.0%
#197
Def reb %
68.9%
#205
Turnover %
17.8%
#256
Forced TO %
18.6%
#67
FT rate
35.3%
#169
FT allowed
37.8%
#257
Where the chances come from (per game)
Offensive rebounding−0.1
Defensive rebounding−0.1
Ball security−0.7
Forcing turnovers+1.3
Foul shots drawn+0.1
Foul shots allowed−0.7
DePaul has more extra scoring chances per game: −0.2 (#188 of 365) to MD Eastern’s −7.8 (#361).
Grade = extra shots and foul-line trips per game compared with a D-I average team, built from six season rates. Cell shading is the national rank for each rate (greener = better for that team).
Rotation
MD Eastern2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted MD Eastern's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Michael Teal | G | Sr | 6'1" | 32-32 | 26.2 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 43.8% | 17.1% | 1.3 | 76.1% | 18.8% | |
| 0 | Jaden Cooper | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-31 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 49.5% | 33.6% | 3.6 | 83.7% | 20.5% | |
| 5 | Dorion Staples | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-24 | 24.3 | 9.3 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 52.4% | 33.8% | 4.3 | 78.8% | 24.4% | |
| 1 | Zion Obanla | G | Sr | 6'8" | 32-15 | 22.1 | 10.8 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 60.6% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 70.4% | 28.1% | |
| 12 | Justin Monden | G | Jr | 6'0" | 32-1 | 20.8 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 45.6% | 27.0% | 2.3 | 72.2% | 23.1% | |
| 14 | Joseph Locandro | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-22 | 19.3 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 56.9% | 40.7% | 2.8 | 71.8% | 30.7% | |
| 24 | Levi Beckwith | SF | Fr | 6'7" | 26-24 | 17.3 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 27.0% | 11.8% | 1.3 | 61.1% | 14.2% | |
| 35 | Christopher Flippin | PF | Sr | 6'8" | 30-1 | 13.2 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 47.0% | — | 0.0 | 55.1% | 29.2% | |
| 3 | Trey Brown | PG | Jr | 6'7" | 27-0 | 13.8 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 41.0% | 31.0% | 1.1 | 66.7% | 23.4% | |
| 31 | Maurio Hanson Jr. | F | So | 6'7" | 23-0 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 56.8% | 40.0% | 0.2 | 70.0% | 20.8% | |
| 22 | Maurice Vassel | F | So | 6'9" | 25-10 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 58.1% | — | 0.0 | 70.0% | 18.9% | |
| 23 | Trey Hall | F | Sr | 6'9" | 16-0 | 11.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 39.2% | 20.0% | 1.6 | — | 18.5% | |
| 2 | Jaden Johnson | PG | Jr | 5'10" | 22-0 | 6.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 26.7% | 13.3% | 0.7 | 100.0% | 18.8% | |
| 11 | Javoy Thompson | G | Jr | 6'7" | 17-0 | 8.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 41.4% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 71.4% | 15.9% | |
| 10 | Devin Thomas | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
DePaul2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted DePaul's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Layden Blocker | G | Jr | 6'2" | 32-29 | 29.1 | 11.1 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 41.7% | 31.8% | 3.4 | 82.8% | 27.3% | |
| 11 | CJ Gunn | G | Sr | 6'7" | 32-23 | 27.7 | 13.1 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 47.3% | 32.7% | 5.3 | 72.5% | 32.1% | |
| 5 | RJ Smith | G | Jr | 6'3" | 32-23 | 27.7 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 46.1% | 30.8% | 3.8 | 75.0% | 16.7% | |
| 35 | NJ Benson | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-31 | 25.9 | 11.7 | 7.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 63.6% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.5% | 24.6% | |
| 0 | Brandon Maclin | G | Sr | 6'3" | 29-16 | 27.6 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 48.5% | 30.6% | 2.5 | 69.5% | 25.2% | |
| 22 | Kruz McClure | G | Fr | 6'6" | 28-4 | 18.6 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 41.6% | 29.9% | 2.8 | 74.1% | 20.7% | |
| 1 | Kaleb Banks | F | Sr | 6'8" | 31-11 | 16.2 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 54.0% | 35.5% | 2.0 | 74.1% | 19.5% | |
| 21 | Theo Pierre-Justin | F | So | 6'10" | 30-22 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 54.5% | 39.7% | 2.1 | 61.1% | 15.7% | |
| 15 | Fabian Flores | C | Fr | 7'2" | 28-1 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 68.1% | — | 0.0 | 64.0% | 13.8% | |
| 10 | Ilija Milijasevic | G | Jr | 6'2" | 15-0 | 7.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 53.6% | 35.7% | 1.9 | 75.0% | 16.4% | |
| 32 | Jeremy Lorenz | F | Jr | 6'8" | 9-0 | 10.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 60.0% | 0.0% | 0.1 | 50.0% | 15.4% | |
| 14 | Khaman Maker | C | So | 7'1" | 12-0 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 50.0% | — | 0.0 | 25.0% | 16.1% | |
| 3 | Nate Kasher | G | Fr | 6'1" | 5-0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0% | — | 0.0 | 100.0% | 18.7% | |
| 52 | Amsal Delalic | G | So | 6'8" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 7 | Isaiah Medina | F | Fr | 7'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — | |
| 6 | Jonas Johnson | F | Fr | 6'7" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
MD Eastern2025-26 numbers
ESPN hasn't posted MD Eastern's 2026-27 roster yet — these are last season's players.
| # | Player | Pos | Cl | Ht | GP-GS | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | TOV | eFG% | 3P% | 3PA/g | FT% | Usage | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Michael Teal | G | Sr | 6'1" | 32-32 | 26.2 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 43.8% | 17.1% | 1.3 | 76.1% | 18.8% | |
| 0 | Jaden Cooper | G | Sr | 6'3" | 32-31 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 49.5% | 33.6% | 3.6 | 83.7% | 20.5% | |
| 5 | Dorion Staples | F | Sr | 6'8" | 32-24 | 24.3 | 9.3 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 52.4% | 33.8% | 4.3 | 78.8% | 24.4% | |
| 1 | Zion Obanla | G | Sr | 6'8" | 32-15 | 22.1 | 10.8 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 60.6% | 20.0% | 0.2 | 70.4% | 28.1% | |
| 12 | Justin Monden | G | Jr | 6'0" | 32-1 | 20.8 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 45.6% | 27.0% | 2.3 | 72.2% | 23.1% | |
| 14 | Joseph Locandro | F | Sr | 6'9" | 32-22 | 19.3 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 56.9% | 40.7% | 2.8 | 71.8% | 30.7% | |
| 24 | Levi Beckwith | SF | Fr | 6'7" | 26-24 | 17.3 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 27.0% | 11.8% | 1.3 | 61.1% | 14.2% | |
| 35 | Christopher Flippin | PF | Sr | 6'8" | 30-1 | 13.2 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 47.0% | — | 0.0 | 55.1% | 29.2% | |
| 3 | Trey Brown | PG | Jr | 6'7" | 27-0 | 13.8 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 41.0% | 31.0% | 1.1 | 66.7% | 23.4% | |
| 31 | Maurio Hanson Jr. | F | So | 6'7" | 23-0 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 56.8% | 40.0% | 0.2 | 70.0% | 20.8% | |
| 22 | Maurice Vassel | F | So | 6'9" | 25-10 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 58.1% | — | 0.0 | 70.0% | 18.9% | |
| 23 | Trey Hall | F | Sr | 6'9" | 16-0 | 11.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 39.2% | 20.0% | 1.6 | — | 18.5% | |
| 2 | Jaden Johnson | PG | Jr | 5'10" | 22-0 | 6.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 26.7% | 13.3% | 0.7 | 100.0% | 18.8% | |
| 11 | Javoy Thompson | G | Jr | 6'7" | 17-0 | 8.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 41.4% | 0.0% | 0.2 | 71.4% | 15.9% | |
| 10 | Devin Thomas | G | Fr | 6'0" | 0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | 0.0 | — | — |
Rosters come from ESPN and are still filling in; incoming transfers and freshmen may be missing.
Trends
Last 10 games of 2025-26MD Eastern
Against the spread
Season
14-16
Home
3-5
Road
10-10
Last 10
2-8
avg cover −6.2
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 1 of 7 as a favorite
Over / under
Season
13-17
Home
3-5
Road
9-11
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total +1.6
Over in the last gameOver in 4 of 7 as a favorite
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | NC Central | N | L 76–83 OT | −1.0 | L−8.0 | 132.0 | O159 | 109.5 | 119.6 | 69.4 |
| Mar 5 | Delaware St | H | L 56–57 | −5.5 | L−6.5 | 125.0 | U113 | 94.2 | 95.9 | 59.4 |
| Mar 2 | NC Central | H | L 73–77 | −2.5 | L−6.5 | 133.5 | O150 | 106.9 | 112.8 | 68.3 |
| Feb 28 | SC State | H | W 69–57 | −6.0 | W+6.0 | 132.5 | U126 | 104.0 | 85.9 | 66.3 |
| Feb 21 | Coppin St | A | L 65–71 OT | −3.0 | L−9.0 | 127.0 | O136 | 88.3 | 96.4 | 73.6 |
| Feb 16 | Norfolk St | H | L 66–70 | +2.0 | L−2.0 | 136.5 | U136 | 111.7 | 118.5 | 59.1 |
| Feb 14 | Howard | A | L 53–79 | +11.0 | L−15.0 | 133.0 | U132 | 82.4 | 122.8 | 64.3 |
| Feb 7 | Morgan St | A | L 71–79 | −1.5 | L−9.5 | 141.0 | O150 | 106.1 | 118.0 | 66.9 |
| Feb 4 | SC State | A | L 54–63 | −4.5 | L−13.5 | 134.5 | U117 | 83.7 | 97.7 | 64.5 |
| Feb 2 | NC Central | A | L 63–65 | +4.0 | W+2.0 | 135.5 | U128 | 101.7 | 104.9 | 61.9 |
DePaul
Against the spread
Season
18-13-1
Home
9-9
Road
8-2-1
Last 10
4-6
avg cover −2.2
Missed the spread 3 straightCovered 4 of 7 as an underdog
Over / under
Season
11-20-1
Home
7-10-1
Road
3-8
Last 10
4-6
avg vs total −5.8
Under in the last gameOver in 3 of 7 as an underdog
Last 10 games, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Total | PPP for | PPP vs | Pace | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Georgetown | N | L 56–63 | −5.0 | L−12.0 | 130.0 | U119 | 89.0 | 100.2 | 62.9 |
| Mar 7 | Butler | H | L 71–81 | −4.0 | L−14.0 | 142.5 | O152 | 96.8 | 110.4 | 73.4 |
| Mar 4 | Villanova | H | L 57–76 | +2.0 | L−17.0 | 136.5 | U133 | 81.1 | 108.2 | 70.3 |
| Mar 1 | Marquette | A | W 62–51 | +4.5 | W+15.5 | 139.5 | U113 | 98.0 | 80.6 | 63.2 |
| Feb 25 | Creighton | A | W 72–71 | +4.5 | W+5.5 | 142.5 | O143 | 110.8 | 109.3 | 65.0 |
| Feb 21 | Providence | H | L 68–71 | −3.0 | L−6.0 | 152.5 | U139 | 101.2 | 105.7 | 67.2 |
| Feb 18 | Seton Hall | A | W 69–57 | +7.0 | W+19.0 | 129.0 | U126 | 106.6 | 88.0 | 64.7 |
| Feb 11 | Creighton | H | W 72–71 | +1.0 | W+2.0 | 141.0 | O143 | 116.4 | 114.8 | 61.9 |
| Feb 7 | Providence | A | L 72–90 | +5.0 | L−13.0 | 153.5 | O162 | 100.6 | 125.8 | 71.5 |
| Feb 3 | #22St John's | H | L 56–68 | +9.5 | L−2.5 | 145.0 | U124 | 85.3 | 103.6 | 65.6 |
Records vs the closing line describe the past; ten games is a small sample.
Tale of the tape
national rank toned left for away, right for homeMD EasternDePaul
Efficiency
98.6
106.3
110.9
103.5
65.7
67.7
—
—
Shooting
47.8%
49.8%
49.9%
50.5%
29.0%
32.5%
71.5%
69.2%
29.5%
35.3%
Ball control & glass
23.8%
17.8%
17.9%
18.6%
32.4%
30.0%
33.6%
31.1%
13.8%
10.8%
8.6%
10.7%
Style
33.5%
39.0%
46.3%
42.9%
10.1%
13.1%
56.5%
60.9%
42.2%
35.0%
Roster
3.47
3.13
6'5.4"
6'5.9"
—
—
Offseason
roster movement into this season — descriptive, not a model inputMD Eastern
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted MD Eastern's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
DePaul
Returning minutes: 100.0%Returning production: 100.0%
ESPN hasn't posted DePaul's roster for this season yet — no movement to show.
Returns 100% of last season's minutes. Teams returning at least 65% of last season's minutes have historically gained about 2.2 points of AdjEM (n=156 team-seasons, 2022-2026). (ESPN hasn't posted this season's roster yet -- this may still be last season's list.)
Head-to-head
this season and lastNo meetings the last two seasons.
The CBB Matchups tab lays out the day's Division I slate: matchup, tip time, records and rank, and — once posted — Pinnacle's spread and total (the median across books when Pinnacle has no line). Three views switch the table between projected scores, pace and totals, and each team's offensive and defensive tendencies. Each game opens into opponent-adjusted possessions, efficiency and four-factor tendencies for both teams, plus recent form, rotation and head-to-head history. Every game also carries our projected score, spread and total, built bottom-up from those same numbers: expected possessions times each side's opponent-adjusted points per possession, plus home court.
What these numbers mean: line shopping.